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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama-Birmingham

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.529
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.522
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.395


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Western Michigan Alabama-Birmingham 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311 -0.00215
Western Michigan Alabama-Birmingham 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311 -0.00215
Western Michigan Alabama-Birmingham 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311 -0.00215
Savannah State Alabama-Birmingham 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00272
Savannah State Alabama-Birmingham 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00272
Savannah State Alabama-Birmingham 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00272
Alabama A&M Alabama-Birmingham 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 -0.00121
Ohio State Alabama-Birmingham 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00285
Ohio State Alabama-Birmingham 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00285
Ohio State Alabama-Birmingham 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00285
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00003
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00003
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396 0.00003
Troy Troy 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 0.00010
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00054
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00054
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00054
Auburn Alabama-Birmingham 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468 0.00187
Marshall Alabama-Birmingham 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00249
Marshall Alabama-Birmingham 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00249
Marshall Alabama-Birmingham 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00249
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 0.00031
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 0.00031
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 0.00013
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 0.00013
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 0.00013
Alabama Alabama-Birmingham 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425 0.00077
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00082
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00082
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00082
Jacksonville State Alabama-Birmingham 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376 -0.00049
Rice Alabama-Birmingham 28 16 0.636 0.552 0.456 0.00156
Rice Alabama-Birmingham 28 16 0.636 0.552 0.456 0.00156
Rice Alabama-Birmingham 28 16 0.636 0.552 0.456 0.00156
Alabama Alabama 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425 0.00077
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00031
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00031
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00031
North Carolina-Charlotte Alabama-Birmingham 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00172
North Carolina-Charlotte Alabama-Birmingham 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00172
North Carolina-Charlotte Alabama-Birmingham 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00172

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 46.87 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425
Alabama A&M 88.95 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Alabama State 84.90 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458
Auburn 98.97 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468
Georgia State 146.29 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 140.31 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jacksonville State 63.45 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Kennesaw State 133.15 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Mississippi State 114.27 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402
Samford 3.23 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417
Troy 128.24 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 275.62 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212
Arkansas State 272.04 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349
Austin Peay State 211.54 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 182.08 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Clemson 240.73 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Florida A&M 259.56 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322
Florida State 257.91 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506
Furman 268.04 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Georgia 199.45 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Jackson State 213.66 17 16 0.515 0.431 0.365
Lipscomb 179.25 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Memphis 209.05 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468
Mercer 188.62 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Middle Tennessee State 163.84 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Mississippi 166.54 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Murray State 231.44 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
North Carolina-Asheville 281.88 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
Presbyterian 290.99 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
South Alabama 210.55 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433
South Carolina-Upstate 295.15 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Southeastern Louisiana 298.07 32 12 0.727 0.495 0.487
Southern Mississippi 210.44 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427
Tennessee 235.01 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 198.58 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Tennessee-Martin 227.89 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Vanderbilt 182.06 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Western Carolina 241.20 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Western Kentucky 240.93 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Wofford 296.24 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation