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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama-Birmingham

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:07 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.560
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.522
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4105


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382 -0.00052
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382 -0.00052
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382 -0.00052
Troy Troy 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00014
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00143
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00143
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00143
Samford Samford 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 -0.00003
Troy Alabama-Birmingham 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00014
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392 -0.00034
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392 -0.00034
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392 -0.00034
Creighton Creighton 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00123
Creighton Creighton 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00123
Creighton Creighton 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00123
Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503 0.00168
Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503 0.00168
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 37 16 0.698 0.500 0.474 0.00115
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 37 16 0.698 0.500 0.474 0.00115
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 37 16 0.698 0.500 0.474 0.00115
Alabama Alabama-Birmingham 31 24 0.564 0.549 0.419 0.00015
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 37 15 0.712 0.519 0.486 0.00137
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 37 15 0.712 0.519 0.486 0.00137
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 37 15 0.712 0.519 0.486 0.00137
Alabama A&M Alabama-Birmingham 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208 -0.00368
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357 -0.00097
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357 -0.00097
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357 -0.00097
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00025
Rice Rice 32 20 0.615 0.560 0.448 0.00068
Rice Rice 32 20 0.615 0.560 0.448 0.00068
Rice Rice 32 20 0.615 0.560 0.448 0.00068
Alabama Alabama 31 24 0.564 0.549 0.419 0.00015
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 36 18 0.667 0.551 0.471 0.00110
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 36 18 0.667 0.551 0.471 0.00110
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 36 18 0.667 0.551 0.471 0.00110
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320 -0.00165
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320 -0.00165
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320 -0.00165
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427 0.00030
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427 0.00030
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427 0.00030
Ohio State Ohio State 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00103
Ohio State Ohio State 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00103
Marshall Marshall 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444 0.00061
Marshall Marshall 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444 0.00061
Marshall Marshall 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444 0.00061
Samford Alabama-Birmingham 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 -0.00003
Florida International Alabama-Birmingham 27 27 0.500 0.557 0.389 -0.00039
Florida International Alabama-Birmingham 27 27 0.500 0.557 0.389 -0.00039
Florida International Alabama-Birmingham 27 27 0.500 0.557 0.389 -0.00039
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349 -0.00112
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351 -0.00108
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351 -0.00108
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351 -0.00108

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 46.87 31 24 0.564 0.549 0.419
Alabama A&M 88.95 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Alabama State 84.90 38 15 0.717 0.405 0.460
Auburn 98.97 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349
Georgia State 146.29 23 30 0.434 0.485 0.338
Georgia Tech 140.31 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463
Jacksonville State 63.45 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424
Kennesaw State 133.15 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392
Mississippi State 114.27 40 14 0.741 0.569 0.513
Samford 3.23 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Troy 128.24 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 275.62 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237
Arkansas State 272.04 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382
Austin Peay State 211.54 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426
Belmont 182.08 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Clemson 240.73 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485
Florida A&M 259.56 31 21 0.596 0.479 0.418
Florida State 257.91 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470
Furman 268.04 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
Georgia 199.45 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398
Jackson State 213.66 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Lipscomb 179.25 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Memphis 209.05 19 37 0.339 0.504 0.295
Mercer 188.62 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434
Middle Tennessee State 163.84 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
Mississippi 166.54 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503
Murray State 231.44 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357
North Carolina-Asheville 281.88 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
Presbyterian 290.99 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363
South Alabama 210.55 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469
South Carolina-Upstate 295.15 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
Southeastern Louisiana 298.07 36 18 0.667 0.514 0.462
Southern Mississippi 210.44 36 18 0.667 0.551 0.471
Tennessee 235.01 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
Tennessee Tech 198.58 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Tennessee-Martin 227.89 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293
Vanderbilt 182.06 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508
Western Carolina 241.20 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
Western Kentucky 240.93 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357
Wofford 296.24 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation