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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama-Birmingham

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:18 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.585
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.528
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4245


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 19 21 0.475 0.540 0.372 -0.00135
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 19 21 0.475 0.540 0.372 -0.00135
Arkansas State Alabama-Birmingham 19 21 0.475 0.540 0.372 -0.00135
Troy Troy 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 -0.00024
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327 -0.00250
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327 -0.00250
Ohio Alabama-Birmingham 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327 -0.00250
Samford Samford 24 18 0.571 0.531 0.418 -0.00017
Troy Alabama-Birmingham 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 -0.00024
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 20 23 0.465 0.500 0.358 -0.00171
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 20 23 0.465 0.500 0.358 -0.00171
Kennesaw State Alabama-Birmingham 20 23 0.465 0.500 0.358 -0.00171
Creighton Creighton 27 9 0.750 0.533 0.508 0.00214
Creighton Creighton 27 9 0.750 0.533 0.508 0.00214
Creighton Creighton 27 9 0.750 0.533 0.508 0.00214
Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 31 11 0.738 0.594 0.517 0.00237
Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 31 11 0.738 0.594 0.517 0.00237
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 25 13 0.658 0.512 0.457 0.00083
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 25 13 0.658 0.512 0.457 0.00083
Louisiana Tech Alabama-Birmingham 25 13 0.658 0.512 0.457 0.00083
Alabama Alabama-Birmingham 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426 0.00004
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 28 11 0.718 0.508 0.486 0.00158
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 28 11 0.718 0.508 0.486 0.00158
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 28 11 0.718 0.508 0.486 0.00158
Alabama A&M Alabama-Birmingham 11 34 0.244 0.365 0.213 -0.00542
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 -0.00024
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 -0.00024
Western Kentucky Alabama-Birmingham 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 -0.00024
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 14 0.650 0.521 0.455 0.00078
Rice Rice 25 13 0.658 0.586 0.476 0.00132
Rice Rice 25 13 0.658 0.586 0.476 0.00132
Rice Rice 25 13 0.658 0.586 0.476 0.00132
Alabama Alabama 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426 0.00004
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 30 12 0.714 0.544 0.493 0.00176
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 30 12 0.714 0.544 0.493 0.00176
Southern Mississippi Alabama-Birmingham 30 12 0.714 0.544 0.493 0.00176
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343 -0.00209
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343 -0.00209
Middle Tennessee State Alabama-Birmingham 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343 -0.00209

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 46.87 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426
Alabama A&M 88.95 11 34 0.244 0.365 0.213
Alabama State 84.90 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441
Auburn 98.97 18 23 0.439 0.593 0.368
Georgia State 146.29 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349
Georgia Tech 140.31 27 14 0.659 0.566 0.471
Jacksonville State 63.45 26 14 0.650 0.521 0.455
Kennesaw State 133.15 20 23 0.465 0.500 0.358
Mississippi State 114.27 28 13 0.683 0.609 0.494
Samford 3.23 24 18 0.571 0.531 0.418
Troy 128.24 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 275.62 11 25 0.306 0.399 0.253
Arkansas State 272.04 19 21 0.475 0.540 0.372
Austin Peay State 211.54 25 14 0.641 0.530 0.453
Belmont 182.08 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393
Clemson 240.73 26 14 0.650 0.589 0.472
Florida A&M 259.56 24 14 0.632 0.427 0.423
Florida State 257.91 28 11 0.718 0.624 0.515
Furman 268.04 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347
Georgia 199.45 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Jackson State 213.66 14 21 0.400 0.394 0.298
Lipscomb 179.25 20 21 0.488 0.446 0.355
Memphis 209.05 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292
Mercer 188.62 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433
Middle Tennessee State 163.84 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343
Mississippi 166.54 31 11 0.738 0.594 0.517
Murray State 231.44 19 20 0.487 0.456 0.357
North Carolina-Asheville 281.88 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
Presbyterian 290.99 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371
South Alabama 210.55 31 11 0.738 0.513 0.497
South Carolina-Upstate 295.15 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Southeastern Louisiana 298.07 28 13 0.683 0.504 0.468
Southern Mississippi 210.44 30 12 0.714 0.544 0.493
Tennessee 235.01 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425
Tennessee Tech 198.58 21 18 0.538 0.412 0.372
Tennessee-Martin 227.89 12 26 0.316 0.488 0.280
Vanderbilt 182.06 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Western Carolina 241.20 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
Western Kentucky 240.93 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415
Wofford 296.24 25 18 0.581 0.495 0.414

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation