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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.551
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.549
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41275


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Maryland Alabama 29 25 0.537 0.569 0.411 -0.00003
Maryland Alabama 29 25 0.537 0.569 0.411 -0.00003
Maryland Alabama 29 25 0.537 0.569 0.411 -0.00003
Nicholls State Alabama 26 30 0.464 0.497 0.356 -0.00100
North Dakota Alabama 7 37 0.159 0.450 0.192 -0.00387
North Dakota Alabama 7 37 0.159 0.450 0.192 -0.00387
North Dakota Alabama 7 37 0.159 0.450 0.192 -0.00387
Troy Troy 32 25 0.561 0.529 0.413 0.00000
Notre Dame neutral 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00047
Niagara neutral 16 37 0.302 0.458 0.266 -0.00257
North Carolina State neutral 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00107
Brown neutral 15 24 0.385 0.465 0.309 -0.00182
Houston Alabama 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00041
Houston Alabama 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00041
Houston Alabama 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00041
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 37 18 0.673 0.551 0.474 0.00107
Louisiana State Louisiana State 41 17 0.707 0.599 0.503 0.00158
Louisiana State Louisiana State 41 17 0.707 0.599 0.503 0.00158
Louisiana State Louisiana State 41 17 0.707 0.599 0.503 0.00158
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.559 0.331 -0.00143
Tennessee Alabama 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00035
Tennessee Alabama 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00035
Tennessee Alabama 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00035
Auburn neutral 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349 -0.00112
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393 -0.00035
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393 -0.00035
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393 -0.00035
Alcorn State Alabama 13 36 0.265 0.420 0.237 -0.00308
Alcorn State Alabama 13 36 0.265 0.420 0.237 -0.00308
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.553 0.419 0.00011
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.553 0.419 0.00011
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.553 0.419 0.00011
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama 21 34 0.382 0.559 0.331 -0.00143
Mississippi Alabama 42 16 0.724 0.583 0.508 0.00167
Mississippi Alabama 42 16 0.724 0.583 0.508 0.00167
Mississippi Alabama 42 16 0.724 0.583 0.508 0.00167
Troy Alabama 32 25 0.561 0.529 0.413 0.00000
South Alabama Alabama 38 19 0.667 0.515 0.462 0.00086
Texas A&M Texas A&M 41 14 0.745 0.585 0.519 0.00186
Texas A&M Texas A&M 41 14 0.745 0.585 0.519 0.00186
Texas A&M Texas A&M 41 14 0.745 0.585 0.519 0.00186
Samford Samford 33 24 0.579 0.498 0.414 0.00002
Mississippi State Alabama 41 14 0.745 0.569 0.515 0.00179
Mississippi State Alabama 41 14 0.745 0.569 0.515 0.00179
Mississippi State Alabama 41 14 0.745 0.569 0.515 0.00179
Auburn Alabama 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349 -0.00112
Auburn Alabama 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349 -0.00112
Auburn Alabama 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349 -0.00112
Arkansas Arkansas 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00068
Arkansas Arkansas 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00068
Arkansas Arkansas 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00068
Samford Alabama 33 24 0.579 0.498 0.414 0.00002
South Carolina Alabama 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516 0.00181
South Carolina Alabama 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516 0.00181
South Carolina Alabama 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516 0.00181
Kentucky neutral 32 25 0.561 0.553 0.419 0.00011
Mississippi State neutral 41 14 0.745 0.569 0.515 0.00179
Florida neutral 44 12 0.786 0.601 0.543 0.00229

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 121.98 12 44 0.214 0.406 0.209
Alabama State 93.17 38 15 0.717 0.402 0.459
Alabama-Birmingham 46.87 21 34 0.382 0.559 0.331
Auburn 125.96 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349
Jacksonville State 110.18 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424
Mississippi 139.47 42 16 0.724 0.583 0.508
Mississippi State 74.64 41 14 0.745 0.569 0.515
Samford 46.41 33 24 0.579 0.498 0.414
Troy 134.08 32 25 0.561 0.529 0.413

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 228.85 13 36 0.265 0.420 0.237
Arkansas State 254.82 27 28 0.491 0.527 0.377
Arkansas-Little Rock 294.03 26 27 0.491 0.531 0.378
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 265.22 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334
Austin Peay State 230.46 33 21 0.611 0.497 0.430
Belmont 207.49 31 26 0.544 0.450 0.385
Clemson 287.41 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
Florida A&M 270.91 31 21 0.596 0.482 0.418
Florida State 269.31 35 19 0.648 0.594 0.473
Georgia 244.70 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393
Georgia State 190.84 23 30 0.434 0.484 0.338
Georgia Tech 185.44 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462
Jackson State 166.95 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Kennesaw State 179.50 29 26 0.527 0.491 0.386
Lipscomb 204.55 31 25 0.554 0.456 0.391
Louisiana State 288.54 41 17 0.707 0.599 0.503
Louisiana-Monroe 266.66 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320
Memphis 189.21 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
Mercer 226.58 36 21 0.632 0.485 0.437
Middle Tennessee State 194.60 20 35 0.364 0.548 0.319
Murray State 240.24 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357
New Orleans 264.38 30 25 0.545 0.540 0.408
South Alabama 177.77 38 19 0.667 0.515 0.462
Southeastern Louisiana 253.54 37 18 0.673 0.513 0.465
Southern 283.08 10 31 0.244 0.420 0.227
Southern Mississippi 166.67 37 18 0.673 0.551 0.474
Tennessee 279.43 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
Tennessee Tech 235.38 31 23 0.574 0.443 0.398
Tennessee-Martin 229.55 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294
Tulane 271.48 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477
Vanderbilt 207.20 43 15 0.741 0.568 0.512
Western Carolina 287.89 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370
Western Kentucky 268.06 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation