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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.547 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.545 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.40975 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Maryland | Alabama | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | -0.00010 |
Maryland | Alabama | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | -0.00010 |
Maryland | Alabama | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | -0.00010 |
Nicholls State | Alabama | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.487 | 0.354 | -0.00096 |
North Dakota | Alabama | 7 | 37 | 0.159 | 0.447 | 0.191 | -0.00377 |
North Dakota | Alabama | 7 | 37 | 0.159 | 0.447 | 0.191 | -0.00377 |
North Dakota | Alabama | 7 | 37 | 0.159 | 0.447 | 0.191 | -0.00377 |
Troy | Troy | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | -0.00005 |
Notre Dame | neutral | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 | -0.00043 |
Niagara | neutral | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 | -0.00250 |
North Carolina State | neutral | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00106 |
Brown | neutral | 15 | 24 | 0.385 | 0.461 | 0.308 | -0.00175 |
Houston | Alabama | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00050 |
Houston | Alabama | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00050 |
Houston | Alabama | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00050 |
Southern Mississippi | Southern Mississippi | 41 | 20 | 0.672 | 0.553 | 0.474 | 0.00111 |
Louisiana State | Louisiana State | 45 | 21 | 0.682 | 0.599 | 0.491 | 0.00140 |
Louisiana State | Louisiana State | 45 | 21 | 0.682 | 0.599 | 0.491 | 0.00140 |
Louisiana State | Louisiana State | 45 | 21 | 0.682 | 0.599 | 0.491 | 0.00140 |
Alabama-Birmingham | Alabama-Birmingham | 21 | 34 | 0.382 | 0.550 | 0.329 | -0.00139 |
Tennessee | Alabama | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 | -0.00034 |
Tennessee | Alabama | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 | -0.00034 |
Tennessee | Alabama | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 | -0.00034 |
Auburn | neutral | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 | -0.00110 |
Georgia | Georgia | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 | -0.00034 |
Georgia | Georgia | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 | -0.00034 |
Georgia | Georgia | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 | -0.00034 |
Alcorn State | Alabama | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 | -0.00300 |
Alcorn State | Alabama | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 | -0.00300 |
Kentucky | Kentucky | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 | 0.00011 |
Kentucky | Kentucky | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 | 0.00011 |
Kentucky | Kentucky | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 | 0.00011 |
Alabama-Birmingham | Alabama | 21 | 34 | 0.382 | 0.550 | 0.329 | -0.00139 |
Mississippi | Alabama | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 | 0.00142 |
Mississippi | Alabama | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 | 0.00142 |
Mississippi | Alabama | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 | 0.00142 |
Troy | Alabama | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | -0.00005 |
South Alabama | Alabama | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 | 0.00085 |
Texas A&M | Texas A&M | 49 | 16 | 0.754 | 0.590 | 0.524 | 0.00197 |
Texas A&M | Texas A&M | 49 | 16 | 0.754 | 0.590 | 0.524 | 0.00197 |
Texas A&M | Texas A&M | 49 | 16 | 0.754 | 0.590 | 0.524 | 0.00197 |
Samford | Samford | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 | 0.00000 |
Mississippi State | Alabama | 44 | 18 | 0.710 | 0.570 | 0.497 | 0.00150 |
Mississippi State | Alabama | 44 | 18 | 0.710 | 0.570 | 0.497 | 0.00150 |
Mississippi State | Alabama | 44 | 18 | 0.710 | 0.570 | 0.497 | 0.00150 |
Auburn | Alabama | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 | -0.00110 |
Auburn | Alabama | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 | -0.00110 |
Auburn | Alabama | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 | -0.00110 |
Arkansas | Arkansas | 26 | 29 | 0.473 | 0.542 | 0.372 | -0.00065 |
Arkansas | Arkansas | 26 | 29 | 0.473 | 0.542 | 0.372 | -0.00065 |
Arkansas | Arkansas | 26 | 29 | 0.473 | 0.542 | 0.372 | -0.00065 |
Samford | Alabama | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 | 0.00000 |
South Carolina | Alabama | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00157 |
South Carolina | Alabama | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00157 |
South Carolina | Alabama | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00157 |
Kentucky | neutral | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 | 0.00011 |
Mississippi State | neutral | 44 | 18 | 0.710 | 0.570 | 0.497 | 0.00150 |
Florida | neutral | 52 | 16 | 0.765 | 0.606 | 0.534 | 0.00214 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Alabama A&M | 121.98 | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 |
Alabama State | 93.17 | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.409 | 0.448 |
Alabama-Birmingham | 46.87 | 21 | 34 | 0.382 | 0.550 | 0.329 |
Auburn | 125.96 | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 |
Jacksonville State | 110.18 | 34 | 24 | 0.586 | 0.514 | 0.421 |
Mississippi | 139.47 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 |
Mississippi State | 74.64 | 44 | 18 | 0.710 | 0.570 | 0.497 |
Samford | 46.41 | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 |
Troy | 134.08 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Alcorn State | 228.85 | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 |
Arkansas State | 254.82 | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.525 | 0.381 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | 294.03 | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 265.22 | 22 | 25 | 0.468 | 0.398 | 0.334 |
Austin Peay State | 230.46 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Belmont | 207.49 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Clemson | 287.41 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 |
Florida A&M | 270.91 | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 |
Florida State | 269.31 | 41 | 22 | 0.651 | 0.602 | 0.476 |
Georgia | 244.70 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 |
Georgia State | 190.84 | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.478 | 0.337 |
Georgia Tech | 185.44 | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 |
Jackson State | 166.95 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 |
Kennesaw State | 179.50 | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.487 | 0.381 |
Lipscomb | 204.55 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Louisiana State | 288.54 | 45 | 21 | 0.682 | 0.599 | 0.491 |
Louisiana-Monroe | 266.66 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.549 | 0.319 |
Memphis | 189.21 | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 |
Mercer | 226.58 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.484 | 0.432 |
Middle Tennessee State | 194.60 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.539 | 0.317 |
Murray State | 240.24 | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 |
New Orleans | 264.38 | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.534 | 0.406 |
South Alabama | 177.77 | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 |
Southeastern Louisiana | 253.54 | 40 | 21 | 0.656 | 0.518 | 0.458 |
Southern | 283.08 | 10 | 31 | 0.244 | 0.416 | 0.226 |
Southern Mississippi | 166.67 | 41 | 20 | 0.672 | 0.553 | 0.474 |
Tennessee | 279.43 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
Tennessee Tech | 235.38 | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 0.439 | 0.392 |
Tennessee-Martin | 229.55 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.477 | 0.292 |
Tulane | 271.48 | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 |
Vanderbilt | 207.20 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Western Carolina | 287.89 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
Western Kentucky | 268.06 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |