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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:27 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.563
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.554
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.42


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Maryland Alabama 23 18 0.561 0.567 0.422 0.00005
Maryland Alabama 23 18 0.561 0.567 0.422 0.00005
Maryland Alabama 23 18 0.561 0.567 0.422 0.00005
Nicholls State Alabama 18 24 0.429 0.482 0.335 -0.00198
North Dakota Alabama 6 25 0.194 0.500 0.222 -0.00460
North Dakota Alabama 6 25 0.194 0.500 0.222 -0.00460
North Dakota Alabama 6 25 0.194 0.500 0.222 -0.00460
Troy Troy 24 18 0.571 0.533 0.419 -0.00002
Notre Dame neutral 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00047
Niagara neutral 12 26 0.316 0.477 0.277 -0.00333
North Carolina State neutral 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517 0.00226
Brown neutral 13 24 0.351 0.454 0.289 -0.00305
Houston Alabama 24 16 0.600 0.542 0.435 0.00035
Houston Alabama 24 16 0.600 0.542 0.435 0.00035
Houston Alabama 24 16 0.600 0.542 0.435 0.00035
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 30 13 0.698 0.545 0.485 0.00151
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 15 0.651 0.615 0.479 0.00137
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 15 0.651 0.615 0.479 0.00137
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 15 0.651 0.615 0.479 0.00137
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 17 23 0.425 0.580 0.357 -0.00147
Tennessee Alabama 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419 -0.00002
Tennessee Alabama 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419 -0.00002
Tennessee Alabama 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419 -0.00002
Auburn neutral 19 23 0.452 0.589 0.373 -0.00109
Georgia Georgia 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417 -0.00007
Georgia Georgia 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417 -0.00007
Georgia Georgia 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417 -0.00007
Alcorn State Alabama 11 26 0.297 0.406 0.250 -0.00395
Alcorn State Alabama 11 26 0.297 0.406 0.250 -0.00395
Kentucky Kentucky 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451 0.00072
Kentucky Kentucky 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451 0.00072
Kentucky Kentucky 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451 0.00072
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama 17 23 0.425 0.580 0.357 -0.00147
Mississippi Alabama 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513 0.00216
Mississippi Alabama 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513 0.00216
Mississippi Alabama 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513 0.00216
Troy Alabama 24 18 0.571 0.533 0.419 -0.00002
South Alabama Alabama 32 11 0.744 0.510 0.499 0.00184
Texas A&M Texas A&M 33 8 0.805 0.556 0.542 0.00284
Texas A&M Texas A&M 33 8 0.805 0.556 0.542 0.00284
Texas A&M Texas A&M 33 8 0.805 0.556 0.542 0.00284
Samford Samford 24 19 0.558 0.532 0.412 -0.00019
Mississippi State Alabama 29 13 0.690 0.605 0.496 0.00177
Mississippi State Alabama 29 13 0.690 0.605 0.496 0.00177
Mississippi State Alabama 29 13 0.690 0.605 0.496 0.00177

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 121.98 11 35 0.239 0.368 0.211
Alabama State 93.17 29 14 0.674 0.431 0.445
Alabama-Birmingham 46.87 17 23 0.425 0.580 0.357
Auburn 125.96 19 23 0.452 0.589 0.373
Jacksonville State 110.18 27 14 0.659 0.515 0.458
Mississippi 139.47 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513
Mississippi State 74.64 29 13 0.690 0.605 0.496
Samford 46.41 24 19 0.558 0.532 0.412
Troy 134.08 24 18 0.571 0.533 0.419

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 228.85 11 26 0.297 0.406 0.250
Arkansas State 254.82 20 22 0.476 0.527 0.370
Arkansas-Little Rock 294.03 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 265.22 17 21 0.447 0.399 0.323
Austin Peay State 230.46 25 16 0.610 0.528 0.437
Belmont 207.49 24 18 0.571 0.409 0.388
Clemson 287.41 26 14 0.650 0.587 0.472
Florida A&M 270.91 24 15 0.615 0.440 0.417
Florida State 269.31 28 11 0.718 0.623 0.515
Georgia 244.70 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417
Georgia State 190.84 18 21 0.462 0.460 0.346
Georgia Tech 185.44 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476
Jackson State 166.95 15 21 0.417 0.393 0.307
Kennesaw State 179.50 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357
Lipscomb 204.55 22 21 0.512 0.443 0.367
Louisiana State 288.54 28 15 0.651 0.615 0.479
Louisiana-Monroe 266.66 16 27 0.372 0.549 0.323
Memphis 189.21 14 28 0.333 0.494 0.290
Mercer 226.58 26 17 0.605 0.489 0.425
Middle Tennessee State 194.60 17 26 0.395 0.560 0.338
Murray State 240.24 20 21 0.488 0.468 0.361
New Orleans 264.38 25 16 0.610 0.558 0.445
South Alabama 177.77 32 11 0.744 0.510 0.499
Southeastern Louisiana 253.54 29 13 0.690 0.502 0.470
Southern 283.08 8 24 0.250 0.427 0.232
Southern Mississippi 166.67 30 13 0.698 0.545 0.485
Tennessee 279.43 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419
Tennessee Tech 235.38 21 18 0.538 0.413 0.372
Tennessee-Martin 229.55 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Tulane 271.48 27 14 0.659 0.545 0.466
Vanderbilt 207.20 32 10 0.762 0.536 0.515
Western Carolina 287.89 22 19 0.537 0.510 0.396
Western Kentucky 268.06 23 20 0.535 0.532 0.401

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation