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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama State

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:15 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.427
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.459
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.32825


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northwestern State Northwestern State 25 18 0.581 0.562 0.431 0.00228
Northwestern State Northwestern State 25 18 0.581 0.562 0.431 0.00228
Northwestern State Northwestern State 25 18 0.581 0.562 0.431 0.00228
South Alabama South Alabama 34 12 0.739 0.510 0.497 0.00375
Winthrop Alabama State 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381 0.00117
Winthrop Alabama State 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381 0.00117
Winthrop Alabama State 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381 0.00117
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 28 16 0.636 0.523 0.449 0.00268
Jackson State Alabama State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00061
Jackson State Alabama State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00061
Jackson State Alabama State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00061
Bowling Green State neutral 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00098
Bowling Green State neutral 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00098
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00074
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00074
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00074
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295 -0.00074
Samford Alabama State 26 19 0.578 0.542 0.424 0.00213
Florida A&M Alabama State 24 17 0.585 0.463 0.408 0.00177
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 30 0.118 0.409 0.161 -0.00372
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 30 0.118 0.409 0.161 -0.00372
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 30 0.118 0.409 0.161 -0.00372
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.581 0.373 0.00099
Alcorn State Alabama State 12 28 0.300 0.420 0.255 -0.00163
Alcorn State Alabama State 12 28 0.300 0.420 0.255 -0.00163
Alcorn State Alabama State 12 28 0.300 0.420 0.255 -0.00163
Troy Troy 25 19 0.568 0.536 0.418 0.00199
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 28 16 0.636 0.523 0.449 0.00268
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 37 0.245 0.373 0.216 -0.00249
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 37 0.245 0.373 0.216 -0.00249
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 37 0.245 0.373 0.216 -0.00249
South Alabama Alabama State 34 12 0.739 0.510 0.497 0.00375
Jackson State Jackson State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00061
Jackson State Jackson State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00061
Jackson State Jackson State 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301 -0.00061
Samford Samford 26 19 0.578 0.542 0.424 0.00213
Auburn Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.581 0.373 0.00099
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 30 0.118 0.409 0.161 -0.00372
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 30 0.118 0.409 0.161 -0.00372
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 30 0.118 0.409 0.161 -0.00372
Jacksonville State Alabama State 28 16 0.636 0.523 0.449 0.00268
Tennessee Tennessee 24 21 0.533 0.553 0.405 0.00171
Alcorn State Alcorn State 12 28 0.300 0.420 0.255 -0.00163
Alcorn State Alcorn State 12 28 0.300 0.420 0.255 -0.00163
Alcorn State Alcorn State 12 28 0.300 0.420 0.255 -0.00163
Troy Alabama State 25 19 0.568 0.536 0.418 0.00199

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 93.17 25 20 0.556 0.561 0.418
Alabama-Birmingham 84.90 19 24 0.442 0.584 0.367
Auburn 49.34 20 24 0.455 0.581 0.373
Georgia State 148.14 20 22 0.476 0.473 0.356
Georgia Tech 146.95 30 14 0.682 0.570 0.484
Jacksonville State 105.40 28 16 0.636 0.523 0.449
Samford 81.68 26 19 0.578 0.542 0.424
Troy 43.50 25 19 0.568 0.536 0.418

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 168.05 12 37 0.245 0.373 0.216
Alcorn State 285.74 12 28 0.300 0.420 0.255
Austin Peay State 294.90 26 16 0.619 0.530 0.442
Belmont 262.87 25 19 0.568 0.427 0.391
Clemson 254.71 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475
Florida 299.00 38 7 0.844 0.618 0.577
Florida A&M 178.51 24 17 0.585 0.463 0.408
Florida State 176.89 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499
Furman 283.21 20 24 0.455 0.546 0.364
Georgia 200.50 22 23 0.489 0.648 0.406
Georgia Southern 262.95 27 18 0.600 0.470 0.417
Jackson State 228.48 16 23 0.410 0.383 0.301
Kennesaw State 151.95 20 23 0.465 0.502 0.358
Lipscomb 260.16 23 21 0.523 0.442 0.372
Memphis 282.03 15 30 0.333 0.496 0.290
Mercer 156.73 28 17 0.622 0.499 0.436
Middle Tennessee State 241.19 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Mississippi 232.57 33 12 0.733 0.593 0.515
Mississippi State 164.10 30 14 0.682 0.602 0.492
New Orleans 274.37 26 17 0.605 0.543 0.438
Presbyterian 293.50 23 21 0.523 0.463 0.377
South Alabama 160.56 34 12 0.739 0.510 0.497
Southeastern Louisiana 277.75 31 13 0.705 0.499 0.477
Southern Mississippi 192.59 31 14 0.689 0.556 0.483
Tennessee 282.21 24 21 0.533 0.553 0.405
Tennessee Tech 267.38 23 19 0.548 0.417 0.378
Tulane 281.13 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470
Vanderbilt 263.02 35 10 0.778 0.537 0.523
Western Carolina 270.28 22 21 0.512 0.522 0.387

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation