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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.431
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.490
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.338


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Louisville neutral 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00445
Cal State Fullerton neutral 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413 0.00188
South Florida neutral 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00353
Auburn Auburn 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468 0.00325
Florida A&M Alabama State 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322 -0.00040
Florida A&M Alabama State 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322 -0.00040
South Alabama Alabama State 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00238
The Citadel The Citadel 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 0.00073
The Citadel The Citadel 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 0.00073
Troy Alabama State 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 0.00153
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 5 25 0.167 0.490 0.206 -0.00330
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 5 25 0.167 0.490 0.206 -0.00330
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 5 25 0.167 0.490 0.206 -0.00330
Alcorn State Alcorn State 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212 -0.00315
Alcorn State Alcorn State 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212 -0.00315
Alcorn State Alcorn State 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212 -0.00315
South Alabama South Alabama 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00238
Jacksonville State Alabama State 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376 0.00095
Alabama A&M Alabama State 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 0.00025
Alabama A&M Alabama State 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 0.00025
Alabama A&M Alabama State 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 0.00025
Samford Alabama State 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00198
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00420
Jackson State Alabama State 17 16 0.515 0.431 0.365 0.00068
Jackson State Alabama State 17 16 0.515 0.431 0.365 0.00068
Jackson State Alabama State 17 16 0.515 0.431 0.365 0.00068
Troy Troy 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 0.00153
Savannah State Alabama State 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00122
Savannah State Alabama State 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00122
Savannah State Alabama State 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00122
Jacksonville State Alabama State 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376 0.00095
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 5 25 0.167 0.490 0.206 -0.00330
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 5 25 0.167 0.490 0.206 -0.00330
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 5 25 0.167 0.490 0.206 -0.00330
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376 0.00095
Alcorn State Alabama State 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212 -0.00315
Alcorn State Alabama State 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212 -0.00315
Alcorn State Alabama State 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212 -0.00315
Samford Samford 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00198
Alabama A&M neutral 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 0.00025
Alabama A&M neutral 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 0.00025
Alabama A&M neutral 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 0.00025

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 93.17 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425
Alabama-Birmingham 84.90 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Auburn 49.34 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468
Georgia State 148.14 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 146.95 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jacksonville State 105.40 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Samford 81.68 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417
Troy 43.50 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 168.05 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Alcorn State 285.74 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212
Austin Peay State 294.90 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 262.87 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Clemson 254.71 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Florida 299.00 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515
Florida A&M 178.51 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322
Florida State 176.89 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506
Furman 283.21 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Georgia 200.50 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 262.95 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
Jackson State 228.48 17 16 0.515 0.431 0.365
Kennesaw State 151.95 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Lipscomb 260.16 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Memphis 282.03 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468
Mercer 156.73 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Middle Tennessee State 241.19 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Mississippi 232.57 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Mississippi State 164.10 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402
New Orleans 274.37 12 25 0.324 0.497 0.286
Presbyterian 293.50 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
South Alabama 160.56 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433
Southeastern Louisiana 277.75 32 12 0.727 0.495 0.487
Southern Mississippi 192.59 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427
Tennessee 282.21 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 267.38 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Tulane 281.13 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445
Vanderbilt 263.02 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Western Carolina 270.28 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation