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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama State
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.409 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.453 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.31775 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Northwestern State | Northwestern State | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 | 0.00195 |
Northwestern State | Northwestern State | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 | 0.00195 |
Northwestern State | Northwestern State | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 | 0.00195 |
South Alabama | South Alabama | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 | 0.00257 |
Winthrop | Alabama State | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 | 0.00102 |
Winthrop | Alabama State | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 | 0.00102 |
Winthrop | Alabama State | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 | 0.00102 |
Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | 34 | 24 | 0.586 | 0.514 | 0.421 | 0.00188 |
Jackson State | Alabama State | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 | 0.00031 |
Jackson State | Alabama State | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 | 0.00031 |
Jackson State | Alabama State | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 | 0.00031 |
Bowling Green State | neutral | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 | -0.00089 |
Bowling Green State | neutral | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 | -0.00089 |
Northern Kentucky | Alabama State | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 | -0.00030 |
Northern Kentucky | Alabama State | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 | -0.00030 |
Northern Kentucky | Alabama State | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 | -0.00030 |
Northern Kentucky | Alabama State | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 | -0.00030 |
Samford | Alabama State | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 | 0.00168 |
Florida A&M | Alabama State | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 | 0.00180 |
Mississippi Valley State | Alabama State | 4 | 34 | 0.105 | 0.411 | 0.155 | -0.00296 |
Mississippi Valley State | Alabama State | 4 | 34 | 0.105 | 0.411 | 0.155 | -0.00296 |
Mississippi Valley State | Alabama State | 4 | 34 | 0.105 | 0.411 | 0.155 | -0.00296 |
Auburn | Auburn | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 | 0.00051 |
Alcorn State | Alabama State | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 | -0.00149 |
Alcorn State | Alabama State | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 | -0.00149 |
Alcorn State | Alabama State | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 | -0.00149 |
Troy | Troy | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00162 |
Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | 34 | 24 | 0.586 | 0.514 | 0.421 | 0.00188 |
Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 | -0.00201 |
Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 | -0.00201 |
Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 | -0.00201 |
South Alabama | Alabama State | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 | 0.00257 |
Jackson State | Jackson State | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 | 0.00031 |
Jackson State | Jackson State | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 | 0.00031 |
Jackson State | Jackson State | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 | 0.00031 |
Samford | Samford | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 | 0.00168 |
Auburn | Auburn | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 | 0.00051 |
Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | 4 | 34 | 0.105 | 0.411 | 0.155 | -0.00296 |
Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | 4 | 34 | 0.105 | 0.411 | 0.155 | -0.00296 |
Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | 4 | 34 | 0.105 | 0.411 | 0.155 | -0.00296 |
Jacksonville State | Alabama State | 34 | 24 | 0.586 | 0.514 | 0.421 | 0.00188 |
Tennessee | Tennessee | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 | 0.00131 |
Alcorn State | Alcorn State | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 | -0.00149 |
Alcorn State | Alcorn State | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 | -0.00149 |
Alcorn State | Alcorn State | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 | -0.00149 |
Troy | Alabama State | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00162 |
Alabama A&M | neutral | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 | -0.00201 |
Alabama A&M | Alabama State | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 | -0.00201 |
Alabama A&M | Alabama State | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 | -0.00201 |
Southern | neutral | 10 | 31 | 0.244 | 0.416 | 0.226 | -0.00167 |
Alcorn State | neutral | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 | -0.00149 |
Southern | neutral | 10 | 31 | 0.244 | 0.416 | 0.226 | -0.00167 |
Texas Southern | neutral | 19 | 24 | 0.442 | 0.405 | 0.322 | 0.00008 |
Florida State | neutral | 41 | 22 | 0.651 | 0.602 | 0.476 | 0.00288 |
South Alabama | neutral | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 | 0.00257 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Alabama | 93.17 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.547 | 0.413 |
Alabama-Birmingham | 84.90 | 21 | 34 | 0.382 | 0.550 | 0.329 |
Auburn | 49.34 | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 |
Georgia State | 148.14 | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.478 | 0.337 |
Georgia Tech | 146.95 | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 |
Jacksonville State | 105.40 | 34 | 24 | 0.586 | 0.514 | 0.421 |
Samford | 81.68 | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 |
Troy | 43.50 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Alabama A&M | 168.05 | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 |
Alcorn State | 285.74 | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 |
Austin Peay State | 294.90 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Belmont | 262.87 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Clemson | 254.71 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 |
Florida | 299.00 | 52 | 16 | 0.765 | 0.606 | 0.534 |
Florida A&M | 178.51 | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 |
Florida State | 176.89 | 41 | 22 | 0.651 | 0.602 | 0.476 |
Furman | 283.21 | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 |
Georgia | 200.50 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 |
Georgia Southern | 262.95 | 36 | 24 | 0.600 | 0.506 | 0.426 |
Jackson State | 228.48 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 |
Kennesaw State | 151.95 | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.487 | 0.381 |
Lipscomb | 260.16 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Memphis | 282.03 | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 |
Mercer | 156.73 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.484 | 0.432 |
Middle Tennessee State | 241.19 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.539 | 0.317 |
Mississippi | 232.57 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 |
Mississippi State | 164.10 | 44 | 18 | 0.710 | 0.570 | 0.497 |
New Orleans | 274.37 | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.534 | 0.406 |
Presbyterian | 293.50 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 |
South Alabama | 160.56 | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 |
Southeastern Louisiana | 277.75 | 40 | 21 | 0.656 | 0.518 | 0.458 |
Southern Mississippi | 192.59 | 41 | 20 | 0.672 | 0.553 | 0.474 |
Tennessee | 282.21 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
Tennessee Tech | 267.38 | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 0.439 | 0.392 |
Tulane | 281.13 | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 |
Vanderbilt | 263.02 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Western Carolina | 270.28 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |