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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Alabama State

Last updated: Mon May 23 07:00:07 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.404
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.454
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3155


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northwestern State Northwestern State 33 22 0.600 0.546 0.436 0.00232
Northwestern State Northwestern State 33 22 0.600 0.546 0.436 0.00232
Northwestern State Northwestern State 33 22 0.600 0.546 0.436 0.00232
South Alabama South Alabama 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469 0.00295
Winthrop Alabama State 28 25 0.528 0.478 0.384 0.00132
Winthrop Alabama State 28 25 0.528 0.478 0.384 0.00132
Winthrop Alabama State 28 25 0.528 0.478 0.384 0.00132
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00209
Jackson State Alabama State 25 26 0.490 0.366 0.337 0.00041
Jackson State Alabama State 25 26 0.490 0.366 0.337 0.00041
Jackson State Alabama State 25 26 0.490 0.366 0.337 0.00041
Bowling Green State neutral 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00089
Bowling Green State neutral 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00089
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306 -0.00018
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306 -0.00018
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306 -0.00018
Northern Kentucky Alabama State 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306 -0.00018
Samford Alabama State 32 24 0.571 0.495 0.409 0.00180
Florida A&M Alabama State 31 19 0.620 0.476 0.429 0.00218
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 34 0.105 0.417 0.157 -0.00305
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 34 0.105 0.417 0.157 -0.00305
Mississippi Valley State Alabama State 4 34 0.105 0.417 0.157 -0.00305
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.576 0.349 0.00064
Alcorn State Alabama State 13 36 0.265 0.418 0.237 -0.00151
Alcorn State Alabama State 13 36 0.265 0.418 0.237 -0.00151
Alcorn State Alabama State 13 36 0.265 0.418 0.237 -0.00151
Troy Troy 32 24 0.571 0.529 0.418 0.00197
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00209
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208 -0.00207
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208 -0.00207
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208 -0.00207
South Alabama Alabama State 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469 0.00295
Jackson State Jackson State 25 26 0.490 0.366 0.337 0.00041
Jackson State Jackson State 25 26 0.490 0.366 0.337 0.00041
Jackson State Jackson State 25 26 0.490 0.366 0.337 0.00041
Samford Samford 32 24 0.571 0.495 0.409 0.00180
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.576 0.349 0.00064
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 34 0.105 0.417 0.157 -0.00305
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 34 0.105 0.417 0.157 -0.00305
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 4 34 0.105 0.417 0.157 -0.00305
Jacksonville State Alabama State 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00209
Tennessee Tennessee 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397 0.00157
Alcorn State Alcorn State 13 36 0.265 0.418 0.237 -0.00151
Alcorn State Alcorn State 13 36 0.265 0.418 0.237 -0.00151
Alcorn State Alcorn State 13 36 0.265 0.418 0.237 -0.00151
Troy Alabama State 32 24 0.571 0.529 0.418 0.00197
Alabama A&M neutral 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208 -0.00207
Alabama A&M Alabama State 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208 -0.00207
Alabama A&M Alabama State 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208 -0.00207
Southern neutral 10 31 0.244 0.422 0.227 -0.00170
Alcorn State neutral 13 36 0.265 0.418 0.237 -0.00151
Southern neutral 10 31 0.244 0.422 0.227 -0.00170
Texas Southern neutral 19 23 0.452 0.400 0.326 0.00020

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 93.17 31 24 0.564 0.549 0.419
Alabama-Birmingham 84.90 21 34 0.382 0.560 0.331
Auburn 49.34 23 33 0.411 0.576 0.349
Georgia State 148.14 23 30 0.434 0.485 0.338
Georgia Tech 146.95 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463
Jacksonville State 105.40 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424
Samford 81.68 32 24 0.571 0.495 0.409
Troy 43.50 32 24 0.571 0.529 0.418

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 168.05 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Alcorn State 285.74 13 36 0.265 0.418 0.237
Austin Peay State 294.90 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426
Belmont 262.87 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Clemson 254.71 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485
Florida 299.00 44 11 0.800 0.601 0.550
Florida A&M 178.51 31 19 0.620 0.476 0.429
Florida State 176.89 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470
Furman 283.21 27 28 0.491 0.527 0.377
Georgia 200.50 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398
Georgia Southern 262.95 33 23 0.589 0.503 0.420
Jackson State 228.48 25 26 0.490 0.366 0.337
Kennesaw State 151.95 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392
Lipscomb 260.16 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Memphis 282.03 19 37 0.339 0.504 0.295
Mercer 156.73 35 21 0.625 0.490 0.435
Middle Tennessee State 241.19 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
Mississippi 232.57 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503
Mississippi State 164.10 40 14 0.741 0.570 0.513
New Orleans 274.37 30 24 0.556 0.539 0.413
Presbyterian 293.50 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363
South Alabama 160.56 38 18 0.679 0.516 0.469
Southeastern Louisiana 277.75 36 18 0.667 0.514 0.462
Southern Mississippi 192.59 36 18 0.667 0.551 0.471
Tennessee 282.21 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
Tennessee Tech 267.38 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Tulane 281.13 37 17 0.685 0.530 0.475
Vanderbilt 263.02 41 15 0.732 0.568 0.508
Western Carolina 270.28 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation