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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Appalachian State

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:07 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.498
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.508
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.376


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512 0.00252
Virginia neutral 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00174
Old Dominion neutral 32 24 0.571 0.522 0.416 0.00074
South Carolina South Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00248
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316 -0.00111
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316 -0.00111
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316 -0.00111
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 21 31 0.404 0.457 0.316 -0.00111
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322 -0.00100
Stony Brook neutral 27 27 0.500 0.482 0.370 -0.00011
Bowling Green State neutral 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00196
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00041
North Carolina-Asheville neutral 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00219
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 36 24 0.600 0.508 0.427 0.00094
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 36 24 0.600 0.508 0.427 0.00094
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 36 24 0.600 0.508 0.427 0.00094
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234 -0.00263
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.489 0.385 0.00017
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.489 0.385 0.00017
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.489 0.385 0.00017
North Carolina-Asheville Appalachian State 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00219
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00104
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00104
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00104
North Carolina Central Appalachian State 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322 -0.00100
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 26 28 0.481 0.530 0.373 -0.00006
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 26 28 0.481 0.530 0.373 -0.00006
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 26 28 0.481 0.530 0.373 -0.00006
Campbell neutral 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373 -0.00006
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.525 0.407 0.00057
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.525 0.407 0.00057
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.525 0.407 0.00057
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.550 0.392 0.00030
South Alabama Appalachian State 40 20 0.667 0.516 0.463 0.00161
South Alabama Appalachian State 40 20 0.667 0.516 0.463 0.00161
South Alabama Appalachian State 40 20 0.667 0.516 0.463 0.00161
Wake Forest Appalachian State 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430 0.00100
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.480 0.337 -0.00072
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.480 0.337 -0.00072
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.480 0.337 -0.00072
Wake Forest neutral 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430 0.00100
Arkansas State Appalachian State 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 0.00011
Arkansas State Appalachian State 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 0.00011
Arkansas State Appalachian State 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 0.00011
North Carolina A&T Appalachian State 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234 -0.00263
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 41 19 0.683 0.567 0.483 0.00198
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 41 19 0.683 0.567 0.483 0.00198
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 41 19 0.683 0.567 0.483 0.00198
Texas-Arlington Appalachian State 30 28 0.517 0.535 0.392 0.00030
Texas-Arlington Appalachian State 30 28 0.517 0.535 0.392 0.00030
Texas-Arlington Appalachian State 30 28 0.517 0.535 0.392 0.00030
Longwood Appalachian State 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00024
Longwood Appalachian State 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00024
Longwood Appalachian State 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00024

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Clemson 124.30 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496
Davidson 68.31 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382
East Tennessee State 38.00 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344
Elon 122.12 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Furman 98.59 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378
Gardner-Webb 66.90 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 96.18 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414
Marshall 147.72 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
North Carolina 149.50 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458
North Carolina A&T 107.28 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina-Asheville 64.01 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 82.21 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 105.34 38 21 0.644 0.500 0.447
Presbyterian 121.28 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 90.44 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
South Carolina-Upstate 84.87 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Tennessee 126.18 29 28 0.509 0.550 0.392
Virginia Tech 98.89 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Wake Forest 80.57 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430
Western Carolina 104.48 30 29 0.508 0.526 0.386
Winthrop 95.31 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 87.56 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 292.02 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208
Belmont 283.89 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Campbell 174.69 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373
Charleston Southern 241.46 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Cincinnati 253.81 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Coastal Carolina 234.77 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512
College of Charleston 257.10 31 26 0.544 0.557 0.411
Dayton 279.14 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
Duke 154.16 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445
East Carolina 245.79 34 21 0.618 0.549 0.446
Eastern Kentucky 178.33 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336
Georgia 183.62 27 30 0.474 0.620 0.392
Georgia Southern 261.36 36 24 0.600 0.508 0.427
Georgia State 227.70 23 30 0.434 0.480 0.337
Georgia Tech 227.29 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jacksonville State 283.81 34 24 0.586 0.519 0.423
James Madison 218.61 24 31 0.436 0.508 0.345
Kennesaw State 222.00 29 27 0.518 0.489 0.381
Kentucky 199.06 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Liberty 159.87 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Lipscomb 284.91 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Longwood 197.21 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Louisville 262.87 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544
Mercer 259.01 38 23 0.623 0.485 0.433
Miami, Ohio 281.96 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358
Middle Tennessee State 262.28 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318
Morehead State 166.84 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393
North Carolina Central 156.43 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina State 170.98 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471
North Carolina-Wilmington 255.68 39 17 0.696 0.512 0.476
Northern Kentucky 246.72 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Ohio 216.27 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Ohio State 272.21 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478
Richmond 248.07 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384
Savannah State 291.40 12 40 0.231 0.449 0.228
South Carolina 158.10 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510
Tennessee Tech 213.02 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392
The Citadel 256.09 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270
VMI 165.47 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Vanderbilt 285.27 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
Virginia 216.15 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470
Virginia Commonwealth 251.87 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
West Virginia 255.20 36 22 0.621 0.516 0.440
Western Kentucky 269.77 24 30 0.444 0.533 0.355
William and Mary 284.48 29 29 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wright State 278.16 44 15 0.746 0.466 0.489
Xavier 253.73 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation