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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Appalachian State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.504
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.499
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Davidson neutral 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 0.00030
Villanova neutral 15 20 0.429 0.419 0.319 -0.00141
Canisius neutral 19 22 0.463 0.382 0.327 -0.00121
Canisius neutral 19 22 0.463 0.382 0.327 -0.00121
Canisius neutral 19 22 0.463 0.382 0.327 -0.00121
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00059
Maryland neutral 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00247
Maryland neutral 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00247
Maryland neutral 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00247
High Point High Point 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00042
North Carolina State North Carolina State 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00069
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00123
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00123
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00123
Georgia Georgia 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383 0.00015
Georgia Georgia 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383 0.00015
Texas State Appalachian State 18 22 0.450 0.513 0.353 -0.00058
Texas State Appalachian State 18 22 0.450 0.513 0.353 -0.00058
Texas State Appalachian State 18 22 0.450 0.513 0.353 -0.00058
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342 -0.00085
Louisiana-Monroe Appalachian State 20 23 0.465 0.451 0.345 -0.00077
Louisiana-Monroe Appalachian State 20 23 0.465 0.451 0.345 -0.00077
Louisiana-Monroe Appalachian State 20 23 0.465 0.451 0.345 -0.00077
North Carolina North Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465 0.00215
Wake Forest Appalachian State 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00059
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319 -0.00141
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319 -0.00141
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319 -0.00141
High Point Appalachian State 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00042
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202 -0.00426
Troy Appalachian State 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 0.00054
Troy Appalachian State 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 0.00054
Troy Appalachian State 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399 0.00054
South Carolina South Carolina 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00152
South Alabama South Alabama 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00137
South Alabama South Alabama 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00137
South Alabama South Alabama 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00137
Georgia State Appalachian State 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430 0.00130
Georgia State Appalachian State 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430 0.00130
Western Carolina Western Carolina 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00077
Western Carolina Appalachian State 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00077
Arkansas State Arkansas State 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00068
Arkansas State Arkansas State 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00068
Arkansas State Arkansas State 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00068

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Clemson 124.30 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Davidson 68.31 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
East Tennessee State 38.00 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Elon 122.12 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Furman 98.59 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 66.90 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
High Point 96.18 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Marshall 147.72 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
North Carolina 149.50 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 107.28 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina-Asheville 64.01 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Charlotte 82.21 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 105.34 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Presbyterian 121.28 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Radford 90.44 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
South Carolina-Upstate 84.87 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Tennessee 126.18 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Virginia Tech 98.89 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 80.57 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Western Carolina 104.48 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Winthrop 95.31 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 87.56 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 292.02 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Belmont 283.89 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Campbell 174.69 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Charleston Southern 241.46 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Cincinnati 253.81 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Coastal Carolina 234.77 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 257.10 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Dayton 279.14 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Duke 154.16 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Carolina 245.79 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
Eastern Kentucky 178.33 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Georgia 183.62 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 261.36 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
Georgia State 227.70 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 227.29 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jacksonville State 283.81 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
James Madison 218.61 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kennesaw State 222.00 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Kentucky 199.06 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Liberty 159.87 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Lipscomb 284.91 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Longwood 197.21 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
Louisville 262.87 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Mercer 259.01 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Miami, Ohio 281.96 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Middle Tennessee State 262.28 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Morehead State 166.84 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
North Carolina Central 156.43 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 170.98 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Wilmington 255.68 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Northern Kentucky 246.72 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Ohio 216.27 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 272.21 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Richmond 248.07 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
Savannah State 291.40 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Carolina 158.10 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
Tennessee Tech 213.02 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
The Citadel 256.09 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
VMI 165.47 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Vanderbilt 285.27 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Virginia 216.15 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 251.87 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
West Virginia 255.20 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Kentucky 269.77 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
William and Mary 284.48 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361
Wright State 278.16 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 253.73 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation