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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Appalachian State

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:01 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.498
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.500
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.374


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00268
Virginia neutral 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00216
Old Dominion neutral 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441 0.00152
South Carolina South Carolina 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541 0.00380
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 17 26 0.395 0.433 0.306 -0.00155
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 17 26 0.395 0.433 0.306 -0.00155
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 17 26 0.395 0.433 0.306 -0.00155
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 17 26 0.395 0.433 0.306 -0.00155
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00091
Stony Brook neutral 19 20 0.487 0.484 0.364 -0.00023
Bowling Green State neutral 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00205
Elon Elon 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369 -0.00011
North Carolina-Asheville neutral 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278 -0.00218
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417 0.00098
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417 0.00098
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417 0.00098
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227 -0.00334
Texas State Texas State 23 22 0.511 0.492 0.379 0.00011
Texas State Texas State 23 22 0.511 0.492 0.379 0.00011
Texas State Texas State 23 22 0.511 0.492 0.379 0.00011
North Carolina-Asheville Appalachian State 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278 -0.00218
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319 -0.00125
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319 -0.00125
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319 -0.00125
North Carolina Central Appalachian State 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00091
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 21 20 0.512 0.527 0.388 0.00032
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 21 20 0.512 0.527 0.388 0.00032
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 21 20 0.512 0.527 0.388 0.00032
Campbell neutral 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381 0.00016
Troy Troy 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417 0.00098
Troy Troy 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417 0.00098
Troy Troy 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417 0.00098
Tennessee Tennessee 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405 0.00070
South Alabama Appalachian State 33 12 0.733 0.504 0.492 0.00268
South Alabama Appalachian State 33 12 0.733 0.504 0.492 0.00268
South Alabama Appalachian State 33 12 0.733 0.504 0.492 0.00268
Wake Forest Appalachian State 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448 0.00168
Georgia State Georgia State 19 22 0.463 0.475 0.350 -0.00055
Georgia State Georgia State 19 22 0.463 0.475 0.350 -0.00055
Georgia State Georgia State 19 22 0.463 0.475 0.350 -0.00055
Wake Forest neutral 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448 0.00168
Arkansas State Appalachian State 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 -0.00025
Arkansas State Appalachian State 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 -0.00025
Arkansas State Appalachian State 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 -0.00025
North Carolina A&T Appalachian State 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227 -0.00334

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Clemson 124.30 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475
Davidson 68.31 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
East Tennessee State 38.00 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Elon 122.12 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369
Furman 98.59 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364
Gardner-Webb 66.90 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
High Point 96.18 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Marshall 147.72 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
North Carolina 149.50 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 107.28 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina-Asheville 64.01 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
North Carolina-Charlotte 82.21 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 105.34 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
Presbyterian 121.28 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
Radford 90.44 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
South Carolina-Upstate 84.87 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
Tennessee 126.18 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405
Virginia Tech 98.89 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wake Forest 80.57 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448
Western Carolina 104.48 22 21 0.512 0.520 0.386
Winthrop 95.31 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382
Wofford 87.56 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 292.02 12 36 0.250 0.370 0.217
Belmont 283.89 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391
Campbell 174.69 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381
Charleston Southern 241.46 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302
Cincinnati 253.81 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381
Coastal Carolina 234.77 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
College of Charleston 257.10 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412
Dayton 279.14 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298
Duke 154.16 25 20 0.556 0.581 0.423
East Carolina 245.79 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458
Eastern Kentucky 178.33 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
Georgia 183.62 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407
Georgia Southern 261.36 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417
Georgia State 227.70 19 22 0.463 0.475 0.350
Georgia Tech 227.29 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483
Jacksonville State 283.81 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456
James Madison 218.61 18 26 0.409 0.500 0.330
Kennesaw State 222.00 20 23 0.465 0.501 0.358
Kentucky 199.06 27 17 0.614 0.556 0.446
Liberty 159.87 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Lipscomb 284.91 23 21 0.523 0.441 0.372
Longwood 197.21 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
Louisville 262.87 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542
Mercer 259.01 28 17 0.622 0.498 0.435
Miami, Ohio 281.96 21 22 0.488 0.491 0.367
Middle Tennessee State 262.28 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Morehead State 166.84 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
North Carolina Central 156.43 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
North Carolina State 170.98 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Wilmington 255.68 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507
Northern Kentucky 246.72 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Ohio 216.27 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Ohio State 272.21 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447
Richmond 248.07 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397
Savannah State 291.40 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238
South Carolina 158.10 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541
Tennessee Tech 213.02 23 19 0.548 0.420 0.379
The Citadel 256.09 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290
VMI 165.47 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Vanderbilt 285.27 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521
Virginia 216.15 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469
Virginia Commonwealth 251.87 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456
West Virginia 255.20 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Kentucky 269.77 24 20 0.545 0.526 0.404
William and Mary 284.48 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wright State 278.16 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464
Xavier 253.73 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation