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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Appalachian State

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.496
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.506
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3745


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00271
Virginia neutral 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00160
Old Dominion neutral 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 0.00075
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00234
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00108
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00108
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00108
Quinnipiac Appalachian State 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316 -0.00108
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321 -0.00099
Stony Brook neutral 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369 -0.00010
Bowling Green State neutral 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00195
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00038
North Carolina-Asheville neutral 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00216
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00095
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00095
Georgia Southern Appalachian State 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00095
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00262
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 0.00018
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 0.00018
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 0.00018
North Carolina-Asheville Appalachian State 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00216
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00103
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00103
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00103
North Carolina Central Appalachian State 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321 -0.00099
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00005
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00005
Arkansas-Little Rock Appalachian State 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00005
Campbell neutral 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 -0.00003
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00060
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00060
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00060
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 0.00029
South Alabama Appalachian State 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00156
South Alabama Appalachian State 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00156
South Alabama Appalachian State 42 22 0.656 0.525 0.459 0.00156
Wake Forest Appalachian State 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00092
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00069
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00069
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00069
Wake Forest neutral 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00092
Arkansas State Appalachian State 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 0.00012
Arkansas State Appalachian State 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 0.00012
Arkansas State Appalachian State 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 0.00012
North Carolina A&T Appalachian State 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00262
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00192
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00192
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00192
Texas-Arlington Appalachian State 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00032
Texas-Arlington Appalachian State 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00032
Texas-Arlington Appalachian State 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00032
Longwood Appalachian State 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00027
Longwood Appalachian State 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00027
Longwood Appalachian State 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00027

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Clemson 124.30 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Davidson 68.31 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
East Tennessee State 38.00 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Elon 122.12 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Furman 98.59 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 66.90 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 96.18 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Marshall 147.72 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
North Carolina 149.50 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 107.28 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina-Asheville 64.01 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 82.21 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 105.34 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Presbyterian 121.28 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 90.44 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
South Carolina-Upstate 84.87 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Tennessee 126.18 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Virginia Tech 98.89 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 80.57 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Western Carolina 104.48 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Winthrop 95.31 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 87.56 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 292.02 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Belmont 283.89 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Campbell 174.69 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Charleston Southern 241.46 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Cincinnati 253.81 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Coastal Carolina 234.77 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521
College of Charleston 257.10 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
Dayton 279.14 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Duke 154.16 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Carolina 245.79 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Eastern Kentucky 178.33 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Georgia 183.62 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 261.36 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
Georgia State 227.70 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 227.29 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
Jacksonville State 283.81 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
James Madison 218.61 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Kennesaw State 222.00 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Kentucky 199.06 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Liberty 159.87 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Lipscomb 284.91 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Longwood 197.21 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Louisville 262.87 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Mercer 259.01 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
Miami, Ohio 281.96 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Middle Tennessee State 262.28 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Morehead State 166.84 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
North Carolina Central 156.43 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 170.98 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Wilmington 255.68 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Northern Kentucky 246.72 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Ohio 216.27 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 272.21 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Richmond 248.07 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Savannah State 291.40 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Carolina 158.10 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
Tennessee Tech 213.02 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
The Citadel 256.09 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
VMI 165.47 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Vanderbilt 285.27 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Virginia 216.15 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 251.87 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
West Virginia 255.20 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Kentucky 269.77 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
William and Mary 284.48 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Wright State 278.16 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 253.73 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation