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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas-Little Rock

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.521
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.388


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Creighton Arkansas-Little Rock 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00115
Creighton Arkansas-Little Rock 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00115
Creighton Arkansas-Little Rock 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00115
Southeast Missouri State Arkansas-Little Rock 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00109
Bradley Arkansas-Little Rock 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 -0.00070
Bradley Arkansas-Little Rock 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 -0.00070
Bradley Arkansas-Little Rock 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 -0.00070
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303 -0.00181
Illinois-Chicago Arkansas-Little Rock 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 -0.00028
IPFW Arkansas-Little Rock 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288 -0.00213
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00232
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00232
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00232
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas-Little Rock 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328 -0.00128
Arkansas State Arkansas State 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00081
Arkansas State Arkansas State 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00081
Arkansas State Arkansas State 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426 0.00081
Oklahoma Oklahoma 26 23 0.531 0.546 0.402 0.00030
South Alabama Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00070
South Alabama Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00070
South Alabama Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00070
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00111
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00111
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00111
Stephen F. Austin State Arkansas-Little Rock 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316 -0.00153
Central Arkansas Central Arkansas 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390 0.00004
Georgia State Arkansas-Little Rock 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00047
Georgia State Arkansas-Little Rock 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00047
Georgia State Arkansas-Little Rock 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00047
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 35 13 0.729 0.517 0.494 0.00226
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00362
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00362
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00362
Louisiana Tech Arkansas-Little Rock 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303 -0.00181
Troy Arkansas-Little Rock 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00091
Troy Arkansas-Little Rock 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00091
Troy Arkansas-Little Rock 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00091
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas-Pine Bluff 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328 -0.00128
Central Arkansas Arkansas-Little Rock 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390 0.00004
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00043
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00043
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00043
Grambling State Arkansas-Little Rock 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255 -0.00283
Missouri State Arkansas-Little Rock 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00079
Texas-Arlington Arkansas-Little Rock 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00047
Texas-Arlington Arkansas-Little Rock 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00047
Texas-Arlington Arkansas-Little Rock 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00047

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 138.65 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436
Arkansas State 121.26 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 40.49 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328
Central Arkansas 25.54 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390
Memphis 138.65 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 294.03 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459
Alcorn State 208.85 10 39 0.204 0.447 0.214
Dallas Baptist 299.59 31 17 0.646 0.537 0.457
Grambling State 153.82 14 30 0.318 0.384 0.255
Jackson State 208.07 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338
Louisiana Tech 153.06 15 29 0.341 0.529 0.303
Louisiana-Monroe 152.56 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336
Mississippi 161.42 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Mississippi State 220.41 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
Missouri 290.66 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353
Missouri State 179.54 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351
Murray State 260.45 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
Northwestern State 210.71 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401
Oklahoma 291.41 26 23 0.531 0.546 0.402
Oklahoma State 283.44 35 13 0.729 0.517 0.494
Oral Roberts 223.28 26 22 0.542 0.541 0.406
Southeast Missouri State 237.15 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern 298.31 10 25 0.286 0.385 0.239
Southern Illinois 268.86 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Mississippi 291.66 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418
St. Louis 293.86 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Stephen F. Austin State 253.36 17 30 0.362 0.538 0.316
Tennessee-Martin 224.16 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation