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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas-Little Rock

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:41 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.532
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.502
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3915


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Indiana State Arkansas-Little Rock 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00092
Kansas Arkansas-Little Rock 17 35 0.327 0.534 0.297 -0.00175
Indiana State Arkansas-Little Rock 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00092
IPFW Arkansas-Little Rock 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375 -0.00031
IPFW Arkansas-Little Rock 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375 -0.00031
IPFW Arkansas-Little Rock 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375 -0.00031
IPFW Arkansas-Little Rock 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375 -0.00031
Mississippi Valley State Arkansas-Little Rock 4 34 0.105 0.415 0.156 -0.00436
Oral Roberts Oral Roberts 36 19 0.655 0.493 0.451 0.00110
Oral Roberts Oral Roberts 36 19 0.655 0.493 0.451 0.00110
Oral Roberts Oral Roberts 36 19 0.655 0.493 0.451 0.00110
Oral Roberts Oral Roberts 36 19 0.655 0.493 0.451 0.00110
South Alabama South Alabama 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468 0.00142
South Alabama South Alabama 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468 0.00142
South Alabama South Alabama 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468 0.00142
Central Arkansas Arkansas-Little Rock 29 27 0.518 0.529 0.391 -0.00001
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 39 19 0.672 0.569 0.478 0.00160
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 39 19 0.672 0.569 0.478 0.00160
Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Lafayette 39 19 0.672 0.569 0.478 0.00160
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas-Little Rock 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00106
Troy Arkansas-Little Rock 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408 0.00031
Troy Arkansas-Little Rock 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408 0.00031
Troy Arkansas-Little Rock 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408 0.00031
Oklahoma Arkansas-Little Rock 30 26 0.536 0.549 0.405 0.00025
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00186
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00186
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291 -0.00186
Louisiana Tech Arkansas-Little Rock 39 17 0.696 0.504 0.474 0.00153
Georgia State Arkansas-Little Rock 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337 -0.00101
Georgia State Arkansas-Little Rock 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337 -0.00101
Georgia State Arkansas-Little Rock 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337 -0.00101
Central Arkansas Central Arkansas 29 27 0.518 0.529 0.391 -0.00001
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.491 0.385 -0.00012
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.491 0.385 -0.00012
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.491 0.385 -0.00012
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00066
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00066
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00066
Tennessee Tech Arkansas-Little Rock 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392 0.00001
Tennessee Tech Arkansas-Little Rock 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392 0.00001
Tennessee Tech Arkansas-Little Rock 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392 0.00001
Stephen F. Austin State Stephen F. Austin State 29 29 0.500 0.522 0.381 -0.00019
Texas-Arlington Arkansas-Little Rock 30 28 0.517 0.537 0.393 0.00003
Texas-Arlington Arkansas-Little Rock 30 28 0.517 0.537 0.393 0.00003
Texas-Arlington Arkansas-Little Rock 30 28 0.517 0.537 0.393 0.00003
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320 -0.00132
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320 -0.00132
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320 -0.00132
Central Arkansas neutral 29 27 0.518 0.529 0.391 -0.00001
Arkansas State Arkansas-Little Rock 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 -0.00010
Arkansas State Arkansas-Little Rock 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 -0.00010
Arkansas State Arkansas-Little Rock 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 -0.00010
Georgia Southern neutral 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427 0.00066
South Alabama neutral 40 19 0.678 0.516 0.468 0.00142

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 138.65 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374
Arkansas State 121.26 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 40.49 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
Central Arkansas 25.54 29 27 0.518 0.529 0.391
Memphis 138.65 21 38 0.356 0.506 0.304

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 294.03 32 26 0.552 0.554 0.415
Alcorn State 208.85 13 36 0.265 0.419 0.237
Dallas Baptist 299.59 40 17 0.702 0.532 0.484
Grambling State 153.82 17 27 0.386 0.396 0.292
Jackson State 208.07 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Louisiana Tech 153.06 39 17 0.696 0.504 0.474
Louisiana-Monroe 152.56 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320
Mississippi 161.42 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510
Mississippi State 220.41 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503
Missouri 290.66 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Missouri State 179.54 37 20 0.649 0.482 0.445
Murray State 260.45 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357
Northwestern State 210.71 33 24 0.579 0.547 0.426
Oklahoma 291.41 30 26 0.536 0.549 0.405
Oklahoma State 283.44 36 20 0.643 0.531 0.454
Oral Roberts 223.28 36 19 0.655 0.493 0.451
Southeast Missouri State 237.15 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453
Southern 298.31 10 31 0.244 0.421 0.227
Southern Illinois 268.86 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405
Southern Mississippi 291.66 38 18 0.679 0.551 0.477
St. Louis 293.86 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332
Stephen F. Austin State 253.36 29 29 0.500 0.522 0.381
Tennessee-Martin 224.16 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation