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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas State

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:57 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.536
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.513
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Illinois State Arkansas State 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409 0.00022
Illinois State Arkansas State 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409 0.00022
Illinois State Arkansas State 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409 0.00022
Louisville neutral 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507 0.00191
Louisville neutral 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507 0.00191
Louisville neutral 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507 0.00191
Mississippi Mississippi 48 21 0.696 0.587 0.495 0.00170
Houston Baptist Houston Baptist 23 28 0.451 0.481 0.346 -0.00087
Houston Baptist Houston Baptist 23 28 0.451 0.481 0.346 -0.00087
Houston Baptist Houston Baptist 23 28 0.451 0.481 0.346 -0.00087

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 121.26 25 29 0.463 0.516 0.361
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 135.15 20 26 0.435 0.398 0.317
Central Arkansas 113.66 32 22 0.593 0.488 0.418
Memphis 66.06 30 29 0.508 0.523 0.385
Mississippi 120.88 48 21 0.696 0.587 0.495
Murray State 141.68 22 28 0.440 0.469 0.337
Southeast Missouri State 119.45 36 20 0.643 0.471 0.439
Tennessee-Martin 106.14 9 42 0.176 0.477 0.207

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 254.82 37 24 0.607 0.576 0.448
Alabama A&M 241.94 20 31 0.392 0.412 0.299
Alabama-Birmingham 272.04 35 21 0.625 0.485 0.434
Alcorn State 275.42 11 41 0.212 0.449 0.218
Arkansas 197.02 40 25 0.615 0.556 0.447
Austin Peay State 190.84 23 33 0.411 0.473 0.324
Belmont 218.17 24 30 0.444 0.506 0.349
Eastern Illinois 285.66 21 33 0.389 0.531 0.327
Evansville 227.41 33 20 0.623 0.491 0.434
Grambling State 257.17 16 32 0.333 0.389 0.264
Jackson State 246.47 27 25 0.519 0.408 0.361
Lipscomb 217.10 33 28 0.541 0.490 0.393
Louisiana Tech 255.38 15 35 0.300 0.512 0.278
Louisiana-Monroe 242.21 23 36 0.390 0.553 0.333
Middle Tennessee State 240.93 31 27 0.534 0.535 0.401
Mississippi State 195.90 39 24 0.619 0.564 0.451
Missouri 232.54 20 33 0.377 0.555 0.327
Missouri State 173.09 26 31 0.456 0.536 0.362
Oral Roberts 295.66 30 26 0.536 0.524 0.399
Samford 274.65 35 25 0.583 0.522 0.422
Southern Illinois 151.54 26 31 0.456 0.464 0.344
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 207.34 20 32 0.385 0.469 0.310
St. Louis 194.41 34 21 0.618 0.434 0.417
Tennessee Tech 289.01 39 19 0.672 0.441 0.446
Vanderbilt 216.80 51 21 0.708 0.599 0.504
Western Kentucky 246.84 29 28 0.509 0.505 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation