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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas State

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.527
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.559 0.331 -0.00111
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.559 0.331 -0.00111
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.559 0.331 -0.00111
Mississippi Mississippi 42 16 0.724 0.583 0.508 0.00210
Morehead State neutral 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403 0.00020
St. Louis neutral 24 31 0.436 0.457 0.332 -0.00110
St. Louis neutral 24 31 0.436 0.457 0.332 -0.00110
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 27 0.509 0.474 0.373 -0.00035
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 28 24 0.538 0.475 0.388 -0.00008
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 28 24 0.538 0.475 0.388 -0.00008
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 28 24 0.538 0.475 0.388 -0.00008
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Arkansas State 28 24 0.538 0.475 0.388 -0.00008
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 30 26 0.536 0.533 0.401 0.00016
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 30 26 0.536 0.533 0.401 0.00016
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 30 26 0.536 0.533 0.401 0.00016
Southern Illinois Arkansas State 31 23 0.574 0.507 0.414 0.00040
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.484 0.338 -0.00099
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.484 0.338 -0.00099
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.484 0.338 -0.00099
Missouri State Missouri State 35 19 0.648 0.476 0.443 0.00092
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 34 23 0.596 0.502 0.423 0.00056
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 34 23 0.596 0.502 0.423 0.00056
Georgia Southern Arkansas State 34 23 0.596 0.502 0.423 0.00056
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00180
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 38 19 0.667 0.570 0.476 0.00152
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 38 19 0.667 0.570 0.476 0.00152
Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas State 38 19 0.667 0.570 0.476 0.00152
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.492 0.450 0.00105
South Alabama South Alabama 38 19 0.667 0.515 0.462 0.00127
South Alabama South Alabama 38 19 0.667 0.515 0.462 0.00127
South Alabama South Alabama 38 19 0.667 0.515 0.462 0.00127
Southeast Missouri State Arkansas State 34 18 0.654 0.492 0.450 0.00105
Troy Arkansas State 32 25 0.561 0.529 0.413 0.00038
Troy Arkansas State 32 25 0.561 0.529 0.413 0.00038
Troy Arkansas State 32 25 0.561 0.529 0.413 0.00038
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 23 0.574 0.507 0.414 0.00040
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00131
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00131
Louisiana-Monroe Arkansas State 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00131
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas State 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334 -0.00106
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291 -0.00184
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291 -0.00184
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291 -0.00184
Northwestern State Arkansas State 33 23 0.589 0.546 0.431 0.00070
Northwestern State Arkansas State 33 23 0.589 0.546 0.431 0.00070
Northwestern State Arkansas State 33 23 0.589 0.546 0.431 0.00070
Memphis Arkansas State 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00180
Texas State Arkansas State 31 26 0.544 0.486 0.394 0.00003
Texas State Arkansas State 31 26 0.544 0.486 0.394 0.00003
Texas State Arkansas State 31 26 0.544 0.486 0.394 0.00003
Mississippi Arkansas State 42 16 0.724 0.583 0.508 0.00210
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 27 0.491 0.531 0.378 -0.00026
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 27 0.491 0.531 0.378 -0.00026
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 27 0.491 0.531 0.378 -0.00026
Louisiana-Lafayette neutral 38 19 0.667 0.570 0.476 0.00152
Troy neutral 32 25 0.561 0.529 0.413 0.00038

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas-Little Rock 121.26 26 27 0.491 0.531 0.378
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 135.15 22 25 0.468 0.401 0.334
Central Arkansas 113.66 29 25 0.537 0.528 0.401
Memphis 66.06 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
Mississippi 120.88 42 16 0.724 0.583 0.508
Murray State 141.68 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357
Southeast Missouri State 119.45 34 18 0.654 0.492 0.450
Tennessee-Martin 106.14 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 254.82 32 25 0.561 0.551 0.418
Alabama A&M 241.94 12 44 0.214 0.406 0.209
Alabama-Birmingham 272.04 21 34 0.382 0.559 0.331
Alcorn State 275.42 13 36 0.265 0.420 0.237
Arkansas 197.02 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374
Austin Peay State 190.84 33 21 0.611 0.497 0.430
Belmont 218.17 31 26 0.544 0.450 0.385
Eastern Illinois 285.66 12 39 0.235 0.484 0.238
Evansville 227.41 26 26 0.500 0.505 0.376
Grambling State 257.17 17 27 0.386 0.395 0.292
Jackson State 246.47 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Lipscomb 217.10 31 25 0.554 0.456 0.391
Louisiana Tech 255.38 37 17 0.685 0.503 0.468
Louisiana-Monroe 242.21 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320
Middle Tennessee State 240.93 20 35 0.364 0.548 0.319
Mississippi State 195.90 41 14 0.745 0.569 0.515
Missouri 232.54 26 30 0.464 0.548 0.369
Missouri State 173.09 35 19 0.648 0.476 0.443
Oral Roberts 295.66 35 18 0.660 0.494 0.454
Samford 274.65 33 24 0.579 0.498 0.414
Southern Illinois 151.54 31 23 0.574 0.507 0.414
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 207.34 9 40 0.184 0.497 0.216
St. Louis 194.41 24 31 0.436 0.457 0.332
Tennessee Tech 289.01 31 23 0.574 0.443 0.398
Vanderbilt 216.80 43 15 0.741 0.568 0.512
Western Kentucky 246.84 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation