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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Arkansas State
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.525 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.514 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.391 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Alabama-Birmingham | Alabama-Birmingham | 21 | 34 | 0.382 | 0.550 | 0.329 | -0.00107 |
Alabama-Birmingham | Alabama-Birmingham | 21 | 34 | 0.382 | 0.550 | 0.329 | -0.00107 |
Alabama-Birmingham | Alabama-Birmingham | 21 | 34 | 0.382 | 0.550 | 0.329 | -0.00107 |
Mississippi | Mississippi | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 | 0.00174 |
Morehead State | neutral | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 | 0.00003 |
St. Louis | neutral | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00103 |
St. Louis | neutral | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00103 |
Nebraska-Omaha | neutral | 28 | 28 | 0.500 | 0.465 | 0.366 | -0.00043 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Arkansas State | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | -0.00016 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Arkansas State | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | -0.00016 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Arkansas State | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | -0.00016 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Arkansas State | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 | -0.00016 |
Texas-Arlington | Texas-Arlington | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.533 | 0.392 | 0.00002 |
Texas-Arlington | Texas-Arlington | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.533 | 0.392 | 0.00002 |
Texas-Arlington | Texas-Arlington | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.533 | 0.392 | 0.00002 |
Southern Illinois | Arkansas State | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00022 |
Georgia State | Georgia State | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.478 | 0.337 | -0.00093 |
Georgia State | Georgia State | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.478 | 0.337 | -0.00093 |
Georgia State | Georgia State | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.478 | 0.337 | -0.00093 |
Missouri State | Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 | 0.00091 |
Georgia Southern | Arkansas State | 36 | 24 | 0.600 | 0.506 | 0.426 | 0.00060 |
Georgia Southern | Arkansas State | 36 | 24 | 0.600 | 0.506 | 0.426 | 0.00060 |
Georgia Southern | Arkansas State | 36 | 24 | 0.600 | 0.506 | 0.426 | 0.00060 |
Memphis | Memphis | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00145 |
Louisiana-Lafayette | Arkansas State | 43 | 21 | 0.672 | 0.568 | 0.478 | 0.00150 |
Louisiana-Lafayette | Arkansas State | 43 | 21 | 0.672 | 0.568 | 0.478 | 0.00150 |
Louisiana-Lafayette | Arkansas State | 43 | 21 | 0.672 | 0.568 | 0.478 | 0.00150 |
Southeast Missouri State | Southeast Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 | 0.00100 |
South Alabama | South Alabama | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 | 0.00117 |
South Alabama | South Alabama | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 | 0.00117 |
South Alabama | South Alabama | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 | 0.00117 |
Southeast Missouri State | Arkansas State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 | 0.00100 |
Troy | Arkansas State | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00028 |
Troy | Arkansas State | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00028 |
Troy | Arkansas State | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00028 |
Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00022 |
Louisiana-Monroe | Arkansas State | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.549 | 0.319 | -0.00124 |
Louisiana-Monroe | Arkansas State | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.549 | 0.319 | -0.00124 |
Louisiana-Monroe | Arkansas State | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.549 | 0.319 | -0.00124 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Arkansas State | 22 | 25 | 0.468 | 0.398 | 0.334 | -0.00098 |
Appalachian State | Appalachian State | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00174 |
Appalachian State | Appalachian State | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00174 |
Appalachian State | Appalachian State | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00174 |
Northwestern State | Arkansas State | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 | 0.00059 |
Northwestern State | Arkansas State | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 | 0.00059 |
Northwestern State | Arkansas State | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 | 0.00059 |
Memphis | Arkansas State | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00145 |
Texas State | Arkansas State | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.487 | 0.384 | -0.00012 |
Texas State | Arkansas State | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.487 | 0.384 | -0.00012 |
Texas State | Arkansas State | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.487 | 0.384 | -0.00012 |
Mississippi | Arkansas State | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 | 0.00174 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | Arkansas-Little Rock | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 | -0.00033 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | Arkansas-Little Rock | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 | -0.00033 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | Arkansas-Little Rock | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 | -0.00033 |
Louisiana-Lafayette | neutral | 43 | 21 | 0.672 | 0.568 | 0.478 | 0.00150 |
Troy | neutral | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 | 0.00028 |
Texas State | neutral | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.487 | 0.384 | -0.00012 |
Louisiana-Lafayette | neutral | 43 | 21 | 0.672 | 0.568 | 0.478 | 0.00150 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Arkansas-Little Rock | 121.26 | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 135.15 | 22 | 25 | 0.468 | 0.398 | 0.334 |
Central Arkansas | 113.66 | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.525 | 0.390 |
Memphis | 66.06 | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 |
Mississippi | 120.88 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 |
Murray State | 141.68 | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 |
Southeast Missouri State | 119.45 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 |
Tennessee-Martin | 106.14 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.477 | 0.292 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Alabama | 254.82 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.547 | 0.413 |
Alabama A&M | 241.94 | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 |
Alabama-Birmingham | 272.04 | 21 | 34 | 0.382 | 0.550 | 0.329 |
Alcorn State | 275.42 | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 |
Arkansas | 197.02 | 26 | 29 | 0.473 | 0.542 | 0.372 |
Austin Peay State | 190.84 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Belmont | 218.17 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Eastern Illinois | 285.66 | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 |
Evansville | 227.41 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 |
Grambling State | 257.17 | 17 | 27 | 0.386 | 0.392 | 0.291 |
Jackson State | 246.47 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 |
Lipscomb | 217.10 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Louisiana Tech | 255.38 | 42 | 20 | 0.677 | 0.514 | 0.467 |
Louisiana-Monroe | 242.21 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.549 | 0.319 |
Middle Tennessee State | 240.93 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.539 | 0.317 |
Mississippi State | 195.90 | 44 | 18 | 0.710 | 0.570 | 0.497 |
Missouri | 232.54 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 |
Missouri State | 173.09 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 |
Oral Roberts | 295.66 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.501 | 0.447 |
Samford | 274.65 | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 |
Southern Illinois | 151.54 | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 207.34 | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 |
St. Louis | 194.41 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 |
Tennessee Tech | 289.01 | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 0.439 | 0.392 |
Vanderbilt | 216.80 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Western Kentucky | 246.84 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |