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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Auburn

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.571
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.525
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Indiana State neutral 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478 0.00125
Ohio State neutral 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 -0.00018
Connecticut neutral 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371 -0.00093
Alabama State Auburn 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00021
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Auburn 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328 -0.00181
California Auburn 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366 -0.00104
East Tennessee State Auburn 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 -0.00073
Alabama A&M Auburn 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00230
Presbyterian Auburn 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294 -0.00251
Presbyterian Auburn 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294 -0.00251
Presbyterian Auburn 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294 -0.00251
Alabama neutral 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00086
Mercer Auburn 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508 0.00186
Mercer Auburn 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508 0.00186
Mercer Auburn 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508 0.00186
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415 -0.00004
Alabama State Auburn 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00021
Texas A&M Auburn 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00064
Texas A&M Auburn 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00064
Texas A&M Auburn 30 19 0.612 0.567 0.448 0.00064
Coppin State Auburn 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237 -0.00367
Coppin State Auburn 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237 -0.00367
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 0.00049
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 0.00049
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 0.00049
Kennesaw State Auburn 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415 -0.00004
Missouri Auburn 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00130
Missouri Auburn 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00130
Missouri Auburn 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00130
Samford Auburn 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00025
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00164
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00164
Mississippi Mississippi 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497 0.00164
Troy Auburn 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00146
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00086
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00086
Alabama Alabama 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00086
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00025
South Carolina Auburn 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00178
South Carolina Auburn 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00178
South Carolina Auburn 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00178
South Alabama Auburn 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00126
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00039
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00039
Arkansas Arkansas 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00039
Mississippi State Auburn 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00078
Mississippi State Auburn 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00078
Mississippi State Auburn 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00078
Bethune-Cookman Auburn 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336 -0.00165

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 125.96 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459
Alabama State 49.34 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427
Alabama-Birmingham 98.97 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Georgia State 102.74 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 103.09 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
Jacksonville State 86.22 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Kennesaw State 112.08 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Mercer 107.95 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
Samford 96.33 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
Troy 61.63 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 163.15 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Austin Peay State 291.98 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 255.66 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Clemson 209.05 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Florida 275.69 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493
Florida A&M 166.42 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356
Florida State 164.76 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526
Furman 237.41 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 285.17 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
Georgia 153.08 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 216.42 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
Jackson State 275.43 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338
Jacksonville 276.55 15 28 0.349 0.579 0.319
Lipscomb 253.23 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Middle Tennessee State 230.11 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Mississippi 262.62 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Mississippi State 200.44 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
North Carolina-Asheville 267.10 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Florida 284.41 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349
Presbyterian 245.25 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Savannah State 261.26 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Alabama 206.16 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355
South Carolina 274.07 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 261.56 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Southern Mississippi 241.92 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418
Tennessee 247.96 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 247.17 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Vanderbilt 256.06 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Western Carolina 228.77 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Wofford 261.39 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation