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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Ball State

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:47 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.442
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.491
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Oregon State neutral 34 19 0.642 0.510 0.449 0.00181
Utah Valley neutral 37 21 0.638 0.459 0.434 0.00156
Utah neutral 24 27 0.471 0.545 0.372 0.00049
Utah Valley neutral 37 21 0.638 0.459 0.434 0.00156
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.477 0.383 0.00068
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.477 0.383 0.00068
Kent State neutral 43 13 0.768 0.446 0.495 0.00261
George Washington neutral 24 33 0.421 0.493 0.334 -0.00017
Mississippi neutral 43 17 0.717 0.585 0.505 0.00278
Cincinnati neutral 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 0.00042
Cincinnati neutral 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 0.00042
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 44 15 0.746 0.557 0.512 0.00290
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228 -0.00200
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228 -0.00200
Louisiana State Louisiana State 42 18 0.700 0.600 0.500 0.00269
Louisiana State Louisiana State 42 18 0.700 0.600 0.500 0.00269
Louisiana State Louisiana State 42 18 0.700 0.600 0.500 0.00269
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00086
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00086
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00086
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294 -0.00086
Purdue Ball State 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00208
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00023
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00023
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00023
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.493 0.378 0.00059
Ohio Ball State 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00022
Ohio Ball State 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00022
Ohio Ball State 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00022
Xavier Ball State 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00075
Western Michigan Ball State 21 32 0.396 0.456 0.312 -0.00055
Western Michigan Ball State 21 32 0.396 0.456 0.312 -0.00055
Western Michigan Ball State 21 32 0.396 0.456 0.312 -0.00055
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00114
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00053
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00053
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00053
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00208
Bowling Green State Ball State 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00127
Bowling Green State Ball State 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00127
Bowling Green State Ball State 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00127
Northern Kentucky Ball State 20 34 0.370 0.467 0.302 -0.00072
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.450 0.315 -0.00050
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.450 0.315 -0.00050
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.450 0.315 -0.00050
Eastern Michigan Ball State 23 36 0.390 0.507 0.322 -0.00037
Eastern Michigan Ball State 23 36 0.390 0.507 0.322 -0.00037
Eastern Michigan Ball State 23 36 0.390 0.507 0.322 -0.00037
Indiana State Ball State 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440 0.00166
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.506 0.293 -0.00088
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.506 0.293 -0.00088
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.506 0.293 -0.00088
Butler Butler 12 40 0.231 0.497 0.240 -0.00179
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00024
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00024
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00024
Western Michigan neutral 21 32 0.396 0.456 0.312 -0.00055
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313 -0.00053

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 123.47 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Butler 47.10 12 40 0.231 0.497 0.240
Cincinnati 89.35 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 72.63 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
IPFW 64.44 29 26 0.527 0.417 0.368
Illinois 148.51 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411
Indiana 92.57 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410
Indiana State 117.48 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440
Louisville 140.21 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544
Miami, Ohio 60.86 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Northern Kentucky 96.67 20 34 0.370 0.467 0.302
Notre Dame 110.49 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386
Ohio State 127.40 41 18 0.695 0.497 0.472
Purdue 81.50 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223
Toledo 136.98 19 38 0.333 0.506 0.293
Valparaiso 120.27 29 28 0.509 0.493 0.378
Western Michigan 143.12 21 32 0.396 0.456 0.312
Wright State 78.64 44 15 0.746 0.466 0.489
Xavier 89.23 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 213.32 0.000
Austin Peay State 275.01 34 23 0.596 0.501 0.423
Belmont 291.05 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Bradley 221.94 25 21 0.543 0.487 0.393
Central Michigan 234.40 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313
Chicago State 154.00 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221
Eastern Illinois 155.03 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Eastern Kentucky 181.73 24 31 0.436 0.474 0.337
Eastern Michigan 168.36 23 36 0.390 0.507 0.322
Evansville 191.86 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380
Illinois State 189.47 17 37 0.315 0.511 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 162.58 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342
Kent State 222.94 43 13 0.768 0.446 0.495
Kentucky 159.20 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Lipscomb 294.00 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Marshall 240.59 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Michigan 166.35 36 21 0.632 0.525 0.447
Michigan State 180.30 36 19 0.655 0.489 0.450
Morehead State 176.00 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393
Murray State 293.66 25 28 0.472 0.483 0.357
Northern Illinois 211.36 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 174.08 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263
Oakland 204.66 21 27 0.438 0.483 0.340
Ohio 186.41 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Pittsburgh 287.71 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383
Southeast Missouri State 298.97 36 19 0.655 0.496 0.452
Southern Illinois 267.95 31 25 0.554 0.511 0.405
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 263.90 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216
St. Louis 278.88 24 31 0.436 0.453 0.331
Tennessee Tech 279.20 31 24 0.564 0.441 0.392
Vanderbilt 291.40 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
West Virginia 290.61 36 21 0.632 0.512 0.444
Western Illinois 277.78 13 35 0.271 0.490 0.258
Western Kentucky 230.40 24 30 0.444 0.535 0.356
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 237.57 29 26 0.527 0.477 0.383
Youngstown State 253.92 14 38 0.269 0.500 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation