Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Ball State

Last updated: Thu Jul 28 06:48:56 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.440
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.491
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34275


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Oregon State neutral 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00187
Utah Valley neutral 37 23 0.617 0.465 0.425 0.00142
Utah neutral 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 0.00054
Utah Valley neutral 37 23 0.617 0.465 0.425 0.00142
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00068
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00068
Kent State neutral 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00250
George Washington neutral 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00015
Mississippi neutral 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00257
Cincinnati neutral 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 0.00042
Cincinnati neutral 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 0.00042
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00307
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227 -0.00200
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227 -0.00200
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00256
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00256
Louisiana State Louisiana State 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00256
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00086
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00086
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00086
Dayton Ball State 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00086
Purdue Ball State 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00208
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00025
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00025
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00025
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00059
Ohio Ball State 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00020
Ohio Ball State 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00020
Ohio Ball State 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00020
Xavier Ball State 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00087
Western Michigan Ball State 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00048
Western Michigan Ball State 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00048
Western Michigan Ball State 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00048
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00114
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00051
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00051
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00051
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00208
Bowling Green State Ball State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00127
Bowling Green State Ball State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00127
Bowling Green State Ball State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00127
Northern Kentucky Ball State 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00072
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00050
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00050
Buffalo Buffalo 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00050
Eastern Michigan Ball State 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00037
Eastern Michigan Ball State 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00037
Eastern Michigan Ball State 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00037
Indiana State Ball State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00168
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00088
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00088
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00088
Butler Butler 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00179
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00022
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00022
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00022
Western Michigan neutral 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00048
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00051

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 123.47 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Butler 47.10 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Cincinnati 89.35 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 72.63 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
IPFW 64.44 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Illinois 148.51 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Indiana 92.57 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 117.48 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Louisville 140.21 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 60.86 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Northern Kentucky 96.67 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Notre Dame 110.49 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Ohio State 127.40 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Purdue 81.50 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Toledo 136.98 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Valparaiso 120.27 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Western Michigan 143.12 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Wright State 78.64 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 89.23 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 213.32 0.000
Austin Peay State 275.01 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 291.05 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bradley 221.94 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Central Michigan 234.40 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Chicago State 154.00 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Eastern Illinois 155.03 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Kentucky 181.73 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Eastern Michigan 168.36 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 191.86 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Illinois State 189.47 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 162.58 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Kent State 222.94 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Kentucky 159.20 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Lipscomb 294.00 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Marshall 240.59 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Michigan 166.35 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 180.30 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Morehead State 176.00 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Murray State 293.66 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
Northern Illinois 211.36 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 174.08 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Oakland 204.66 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Ohio 186.41 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Pittsburgh 287.71 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Southeast Missouri State 298.97 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 267.95 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 263.90 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 278.88 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Tennessee Tech 279.20 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Vanderbilt 291.40 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
West Virginia 290.61 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Illinois 277.78 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257
Western Kentucky 230.40 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 237.57 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382
Youngstown State 253.92 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation