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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Ball State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.462
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.498
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3555


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kentucky neutral 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00216
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00364
High Point neutral 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00096
Elon neutral 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 0.00091
High Point neutral 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00096
Elon neutral 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 0.00091
Illinois neutral 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00469
Illinois neutral 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00469
West Virginia neutral 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419 0.00159
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00321
Maine neutral 12 20 0.375 0.462 0.303 -0.00131
Northwestern neutral 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00136
Dartmouth neutral 16 19 0.457 0.493 0.352 -0.00009
Indiana neutral 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00204
Miami, Ohio Ball State 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222 -0.00334
Dayton Dayton 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00261
Dayton Dayton 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00261
Dayton Dayton 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00261
Rutgers Ball State 14 26 0.350 0.544 0.311 -0.00111
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313 -0.00106
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313 -0.00106
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313 -0.00106
Purdue Ball State 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00176
Buffalo Ball State 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275 -0.00201
Buffalo Ball State 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275 -0.00201
Buffalo Ball State 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275 -0.00201
Valparaiso Ball State 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314 -0.00104
Indiana State Indiana State 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357 0.00004
Akron Ball State 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358 0.00006
Akron Ball State 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358 0.00006
Akron Ball State 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358 0.00006
Kent State Kent State 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00146
Kent State Kent State 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00146
Kent State Kent State 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00146
Butler Ball State 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276 -0.00199
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335 -0.00051
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335 -0.00051
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335 -0.00051
Purdue Purdue 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00176
Toledo Ball State 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00106
Toledo Ball State 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00106
Toledo Ball State 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00106

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 123.47 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Butler 47.10 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Cincinnati 89.35 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 72.63 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
IPFW 64.44 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Illinois 148.51 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Indiana 92.57 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 117.48 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Louisville 140.21 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 60.86 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Northern Kentucky 96.67 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Notre Dame 110.49 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Ohio State 127.40 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Purdue 81.50 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Toledo 136.98 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Valparaiso 120.27 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Western Michigan 143.12 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Wright State 78.64 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 89.23 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 213.32 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Austin Peay State 275.01 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 291.05 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Bradley 221.94 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Central Michigan 234.40 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442
Chicago State 154.00 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
Eastern Illinois 155.03 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Kentucky 181.73 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Eastern Michigan 168.36 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
Evansville 191.86 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Illinois State 189.47 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Illinois-Chicago 162.58 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Kent State 222.94 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Kentucky 159.20 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Lipscomb 294.00 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Marshall 240.59 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Michigan 166.35 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Michigan State 180.30 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426
Morehead State 176.00 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Murray State 293.66 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
Northern Illinois 211.36 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northwestern 174.08 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Oakland 204.66 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249
Ohio 186.41 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Pittsburgh 287.71 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Southeast Missouri State 298.97 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southern Illinois 267.95 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 263.90 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 278.88 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Tennessee Tech 279.20 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Vanderbilt 291.40 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
West Virginia 290.61 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Illinois 277.78 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270
Western Kentucky 230.40 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 237.57 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413
Youngstown State 253.92 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation