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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Belmont

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.448
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.495
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Illinois State Belmont 17 35 0.327 0.513 0.292 -0.00100
Illinois State Belmont 17 35 0.327 0.513 0.292 -0.00100
Illinois State Belmont 17 35 0.327 0.513 0.292 -0.00100
Western Michigan Belmont 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298 -0.00089
Miami, Ohio Belmont 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 0.00029
Army Belmont 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00105
Western Kentucky Belmont 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357 0.00017
Evansville Belmont 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 0.00061
Youngstown State Belmont 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00157
Youngstown State Belmont 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00157
Youngstown State Belmont 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00157
Southern Illinois Belmont 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00111
Northern Illinois Belmont 24 30 0.444 0.469 0.339 -0.00016
Northern Illinois Belmont 24 30 0.444 0.469 0.339 -0.00016
Northern Illinois Belmont 24 30 0.444 0.469 0.339 -0.00016
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 20 35 0.364 0.550 0.320 -0.00050
Eastern Kentucky Belmont 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00017
Eastern Kentucky Belmont 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00017
Eastern Kentucky Belmont 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00017
Lipscomb Belmont 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386 0.00068
Morehead State Morehead State 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00090
Morehead State Morehead State 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00090
Morehead State Morehead State 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00090
Vanderbilt neutral 42 15 0.737 0.564 0.509 0.00288
Tennessee-Martin Belmont 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293 -0.00098
Tennessee-Martin Belmont 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293 -0.00098
Tennessee-Martin Belmont 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293 -0.00098
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00111
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00235
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00235
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00235
Lipscomb Lipscomb 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386 0.00068
Austin Peay State Belmont 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425 0.00138
Austin Peay State Belmont 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425 0.00138
Austin Peay State Belmont 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425 0.00138
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357 0.00017
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00196
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00196
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00196
Memphis Belmont 19 37 0.339 0.503 0.295 -0.00094
Memphis Memphis 19 37 0.339 0.503 0.295 -0.00094
Jacksonville State Belmont 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00136
Jacksonville State Belmont 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00136
Jacksonville State Belmont 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424 0.00136
Evansville Evansville 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 0.00061
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357 0.00017
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357 0.00017
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357 0.00017
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.554 0.393 0.00081
Tennessee Tech Belmont 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00099
Tennessee Tech Belmont 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00099
Tennessee Tech Belmont 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403 0.00099
Middle Tennessee State Belmont 20 35 0.364 0.550 0.320 -0.00050
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00184
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00184
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00184
Austin Peay State neutral 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425 0.00138

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 94.82 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Austin Peay State 41.92 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425
Evansville 133.19 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
Lipscomb 2.96 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Middle Tennessee State 30.84 20 35 0.364 0.550 0.320
Murray State 91.56 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357
Tennessee Tech 70.87 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Tennessee-Martin 117.14 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293
Vanderbilt 1.38 42 15 0.737 0.564 0.509
Western Kentucky 60.73 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 207.49 32 24 0.571 0.549 0.423
Alabama State 262.87 38 15 0.717 0.404 0.460
Alabama-Birmingham 182.08 21 34 0.382 0.561 0.331
Appalachian State 283.89 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292
Arkansas State 218.17 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382
Auburn 255.66 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349
Ball State 291.05 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Butler 257.99 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240
Cincinnati 240.79 26 29 0.473 0.543 0.372
Clemson 243.54 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
Dayton 285.16 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294
East Tennessee State 246.55 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Eastern Illinois 242.72 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Eastern Kentucky 175.79 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Furman 258.22 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
Gardner-Webb 293.58 37 19 0.661 0.434 0.439
Georgia 245.35 27 30 0.474 0.628 0.394
Georgia State 221.14 23 30 0.434 0.486 0.339
Georgia Tech 212.19 36 20 0.643 0.579 0.466
Illinois 284.25 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Indiana 210.09 31 22 0.585 0.496 0.416
Indiana State 233.02 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Jacksonville State 170.02 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424
Kennesaw State 191.67 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392
Kentucky 181.11 32 25 0.561 0.555 0.419
Louisville 153.17 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Memphis 190.58 19 37 0.339 0.503 0.295
Mercer 290.19 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434
Miami, Ohio 258.29 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Mississippi 197.85 41 16 0.719 0.582 0.505
Mississippi State 217.52 40 14 0.741 0.570 0.513
Morehead State 232.83 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398
North Carolina-Asheville 238.60 16 38 0.296 0.444 0.259
Northern Kentucky 236.27 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Purdue 296.84 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Samford 185.17 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
South Carolina-Upstate 281.67 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
Southeast Missouri State 172.56 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 172.52 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 255.18 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 255.72 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341
Tennessee 159.99 29 28 0.509 0.554 0.393
Western Carolina 210.26 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
Wofford 284.72 30 26 0.536 0.475 0.387
Wright State 292.41 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482
Xavier 243.05 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation