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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Belmont

Last updated: Tue Jun 28 06:47:35 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.451
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3485


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Illinois State Belmont 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00106
Illinois State Belmont 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00106
Illinois State Belmont 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00106
Western Michigan Belmont 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00056
Miami, Ohio Belmont 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00014
Army Belmont 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288 -0.00101
Western Kentucky Belmont 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355 0.00011
Evansville Belmont 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 0.00052
Youngstown State Belmont 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00149
Youngstown State Belmont 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00149
Youngstown State Belmont 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00149
Southern Illinois Belmont 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00092
Northern Illinois Belmont 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00031
Northern Illinois Belmont 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00031
Northern Illinois Belmont 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00031
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317 -0.00053
Eastern Kentucky Belmont 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00021
Eastern Kentucky Belmont 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00021
Eastern Kentucky Belmont 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00021
Lipscomb Belmont 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382 0.00056
Morehead State Morehead State 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 0.00074
Morehead State Morehead State 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 0.00074
Morehead State Morehead State 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 0.00074
Vanderbilt neutral 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00232
Tennessee-Martin Belmont 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00094
Tennessee-Martin Belmont 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00094
Tennessee-Martin Belmont 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00094
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00092
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00223
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00223
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215 -0.00223
Lipscomb Lipscomb 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382 0.00056
Austin Peay State Belmont 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00122
Austin Peay State Belmont 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00122
Austin Peay State Belmont 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00122
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355 0.00011
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00186
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00186
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00186
Memphis Belmont 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00069
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00069
Jacksonville State Belmont 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00121
Jacksonville State Belmont 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00121
Jacksonville State Belmont 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00121
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 0.00052
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 0.00012
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 0.00012
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356 0.00012
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 0.00069
Tennessee Tech Belmont 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 0.00072
Tennessee Tech Belmont 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 0.00072
Tennessee Tech Belmont 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 0.00072
Middle Tennessee State Belmont 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317 -0.00053
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00167
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00167
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00167
Austin Peay State neutral 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00122
Tennessee Tech neutral 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 0.00072
Morehead State neutral 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 0.00074
Austin Peay State neutral 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00122

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 94.82 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Austin Peay State 41.92 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Evansville 133.19 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Lipscomb 2.96 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Middle Tennessee State 30.84 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
Murray State 91.56 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
Tennessee Tech 70.87 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Tennessee-Martin 117.14 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292
Vanderbilt 1.38 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Western Kentucky 60.73 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 207.49 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413
Alabama State 262.87 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448
Alabama-Birmingham 182.08 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329
Appalachian State 283.89 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Arkansas State 218.17 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381
Auburn 255.66 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346
Ball State 291.05 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Butler 257.99 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Cincinnati 240.79 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Clemson 243.54 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Dayton 285.16 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
East Tennessee State 246.55 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Illinois 242.72 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Kentucky 175.79 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Furman 258.22 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 293.58 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia 245.35 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia State 221.14 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 212.19 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
Illinois 284.25 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Indiana 210.09 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 233.02 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Jacksonville State 170.02 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
Kennesaw State 191.67 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Kentucky 181.11 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 153.17 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Memphis 190.58 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307
Mercer 290.19 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
Miami, Ohio 258.29 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Mississippi 197.85 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Mississippi State 217.52 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497
Morehead State 232.83 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
North Carolina-Asheville 238.60 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Northern Kentucky 236.27 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Purdue 296.84 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Samford 185.17 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410
South Carolina-Upstate 281.67 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Southeast Missouri State 172.56 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 172.52 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 255.18 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 255.72 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Tennessee 159.99 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Western Carolina 210.26 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wofford 284.72 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377
Wright State 292.41 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 243.05 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation