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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Buffalo

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:07 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.449
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.463
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Air Force neutral 29 27 0.518 0.461 0.374 0.00065
Davidson Davidson 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382 0.00080
Marist neutral 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 0.00001
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293 -0.00091
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293 -0.00091
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293 -0.00091
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418 0.00150
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418 0.00150
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418 0.00150
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224 -0.00224
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224 -0.00224
Navy Navy 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476 0.00261
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.453 0.380 0.00076
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.453 0.380 0.00076
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.453 0.380 0.00076
Canisius Canisius 32 27 0.542 0.431 0.379 0.00075
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00091
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00091
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00091
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373 0.00063
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373 0.00063
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00037
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00037
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00037
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00018
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00018
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00018
Canisius Canisius 32 27 0.542 0.431 0.379 0.00075
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358 0.00034
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358 0.00034
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358 0.00034
Canisius Buffalo 32 27 0.542 0.431 0.379 0.00075
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331 -0.00018
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331 -0.00018
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331 -0.00018
St. Bonaventure Buffalo 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373 0.00063
Ball State Buffalo 32 26 0.552 0.443 0.387 0.00090
Ball State Buffalo 32 26 0.552 0.443 0.387 0.00090
Ball State Buffalo 32 26 0.552 0.443 0.387 0.00090
Canisius Buffalo 32 27 0.542 0.431 0.379 0.00075
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488 0.00284
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488 0.00284
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488 0.00284
Niagara Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00145
Niagara Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00145
Hofstra neutral 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266 -0.00143
Hofstra neutral 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266 -0.00143
Niagara Niagara 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00145
Niagara Niagara 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00145
Bowling Green State Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00135
Bowling Green State Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00135
Bowling Green State Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270 -0.00135

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Canisius 6.33 32 27 0.542 0.431 0.379
Cornell 122.84 14 22 0.389 0.448 0.306
Niagara 14.32 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265
St. Bonaventure 64.98 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 192.97 0.000
Albany 252.06 23 30 0.434 0.464 0.333
Army 270.65 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288
Binghamton 155.82 30 23 0.566 0.481 0.403
Bowling Green State 272.02 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Bucknell 171.27 18 34 0.346 0.471 0.291
Columbia 289.82 17 24 0.415 0.498 0.332
Coppin State 286.34 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Delaware 278.77 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413
Eastern Michigan 252.60 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321
Fairleigh Dickinson 283.80 28 28 0.500 0.421 0.355
Fordham 291.70 29 29 0.500 0.452 0.363
George Mason 297.37 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 299.36 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 286.73 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351
Iona 294.89 11 39 0.220 0.462 0.226
Kent State 183.68 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488
LIU Brooklyn 293.87 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
LaSalle 277.45 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254
Lafayette 239.83 14 29 0.326 0.462 0.279
Lehigh 242.59 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Manhattan 290.10 24 31 0.436 0.462 0.334
Marist 262.67 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Maryland 292.81 30 27 0.526 0.567 0.405
Maryland-Baltimore County 280.28 28 23 0.549 0.449 0.387
Michigan 257.10 36 21 0.632 0.524 0.447
Michigan State 289.56 36 20 0.643 0.493 0.445
Mount St. Mary's 240.90 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
New Jersey Tech 283.58 16 36 0.308 0.478 0.273
Oakland 225.53 21 27 0.438 0.483 0.340
Penn State 158.15 28 27 0.509 0.519 0.384
Pennsylvania 280.87 19 22 0.463 0.438 0.341
Pittsburgh 186.44 25 26 0.490 0.549 0.382
Princeton 280.95 24 19 0.558 0.496 0.403
Rider 280.17 18 33 0.353 0.452 0.289
Rutgers 281.08 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378
Seton Hall 280.38 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438
Siena 255.52 25 32 0.439 0.424 0.326
St. Joseph's 276.38 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409
St. Peter's 287.54 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Temple 269.23 0.000
Toledo 263.05 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
Towson 273.04 20 35 0.364 0.493 0.305
Villanova 268.18 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314
Wagner 291.52 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297
West Virginia 239.31 36 22 0.621 0.516 0.440
Youngstown State 159.04 14 38 0.269 0.500 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation