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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Buffalo

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.480
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.470
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Norfolk State Norfolk State 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328 -0.00074
Villanova neutral 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281 -0.00191
Quinnipiac neutral 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305 -0.00131
Maryland-Eastern Shore neutral 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255 -0.00256
VMI VMI 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399 0.00104
VMI VMI 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399 0.00104
Maryland-Eastern Shore neutral 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255 -0.00256
Georgia Georgia 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401 0.00109
Western Carolina neutral 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00276
North Florida neutral 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349 -0.00021
Rutgers neutral 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 0.00086
Lafayette neutral 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00136
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00284
Canisius Canisius 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457 0.00249
Northern Illinois neutral 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00169
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00169
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00169
Canisius Canisius 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457 0.00249
Ball State neutral 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00239
Ball State neutral 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00239
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00239
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00239
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00119
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00119
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00119
Western Michigan Buffalo 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00069
Western Michigan Buffalo 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00069
Western Michigan Buffalo 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00069
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00156
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00156
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00156
Canisius Buffalo 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457 0.00249
Canisius Buffalo 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457 0.00249
Akron Buffalo 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 0.00024
Akron Buffalo 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 0.00024
Akron Buffalo 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367 0.00024
Ohio Ohio 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00309
Ohio Ohio 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00309
Ohio Ohio 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00309
Niagara Buffalo 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00174

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Canisius 6.33 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457
Cornell 122.84 18 21 0.462 0.442 0.342
Niagara 14.32 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288
St. Bonaventure 64.98 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 192.97 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Albany 252.06 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235
Army 270.65 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443
Binghamton 155.82 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361
Bowling Green State 272.02 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Bucknell 171.27 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416
Columbia 289.82 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Coppin State 286.34 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Delaware 278.77 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Eastern Michigan 252.60 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Fairleigh Dickinson 283.80 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Fordham 291.70 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341
George Mason 297.37 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 299.36 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 286.73 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Iona 294.89 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257
Kent State 183.68 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
LIU Brooklyn 293.87 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372
LaSalle 277.45 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Lafayette 239.83 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 242.59 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Manhattan 290.10 13 29 0.310 0.458 0.270
Marist 262.67 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259
Maryland 292.81 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 280.28 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Michigan 257.10 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 289.56 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Mount St. Mary's 240.90 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
New Jersey Tech 283.58 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
Oakland 225.53 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Penn State 158.15 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Pennsylvania 280.87 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Pittsburgh 186.44 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Princeton 280.95 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Rider 280.17 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
Rutgers 281.08 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
Seton Hall 280.38 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
Siena 255.52 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300
St. Joseph's 276.38 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
St. Peter's 287.54 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Temple 269.23 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Toledo 263.05 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Towson 273.04 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Villanova 268.18 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281
Wagner 291.52 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291
West Virginia 239.31 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Youngstown State 159.04 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation