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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Buffalo

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.440
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.462
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3355


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Air Force neutral 19 17 0.528 0.447 0.376 0.00109
Davidson Davidson 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369 0.00091
Marist neutral 18 20 0.474 0.446 0.348 0.00034
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00128
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00128
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00128
Kentucky Kentucky 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451 0.00312
Kentucky Kentucky 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451 0.00312
Kentucky Kentucky 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451 0.00312
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224 -0.00301
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224 -0.00301
Navy Navy 34 11 0.756 0.419 0.483 0.00399
Northeastern Northeastern 20 19 0.513 0.452 0.369 0.00091
Northeastern Northeastern 20 19 0.513 0.452 0.369 0.00091
Northeastern Northeastern 20 19 0.513 0.452 0.369 0.00091
Canisius Canisius 24 18 0.571 0.428 0.392 0.00153
Toledo Toledo 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00277
Toledo Toledo 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00277
Toledo Toledo 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00277
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 18 17 0.514 0.386 0.354 0.00050
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 18 17 0.514 0.386 0.354 0.00050
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337 0.00004
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337 0.00004
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337 0.00004
Ohio Ohio 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00036
Ohio Ohio 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00036
Ohio Ohio 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00036
Canisius Canisius 24 18 0.571 0.428 0.392 0.00153
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364 0.00077
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364 0.00077
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364 0.00077
Canisius Buffalo 24 18 0.571 0.428 0.392 0.00153
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 16 25 0.390 0.461 0.310 -0.00069
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 16 25 0.390 0.461 0.310 -0.00069
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 16 25 0.390 0.461 0.310 -0.00069
St. Bonaventure Buffalo 18 17 0.514 0.386 0.354 0.00050
Ball State Buffalo 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413 0.00209
Ball State Buffalo 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413 0.00209
Ball State Buffalo 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413 0.00209

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Canisius 6.33 24 18 0.571 0.428 0.392
Cornell 122.84 13 21 0.382 0.443 0.302
Niagara 14.32 12 26 0.316 0.477 0.277
St. Bonaventure 64.98 18 17 0.514 0.386 0.354

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 192.97 0.000
Albany 252.06 16 20 0.444 0.471 0.340
Army 270.65 15 28 0.349 0.499 0.299
Binghamton 155.82 17 20 0.459 0.494 0.353
Bowling Green State 272.02 15 26 0.366 0.430 0.290
Bucknell 171.27 16 29 0.356 0.420 0.283
Columbia 289.82 16 23 0.410 0.485 0.326
Coppin State 286.34 10 31 0.244 0.348 0.209
Delaware 278.77 24 17 0.585 0.454 0.406
Eastern Michigan 252.60 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337
Fairleigh Dickinson 283.80 19 23 0.452 0.431 0.334
Fordham 291.70 22 22 0.500 0.451 0.363
George Mason 297.37 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282
George Washington 299.36 19 24 0.442 0.476 0.340
Georgetown 286.73 19 24 0.442 0.490 0.344
Iona 294.89 8 28 0.222 0.487 0.233
Kent State 183.68 31 10 0.756 0.449 0.490
LIU Brooklyn 293.87 12 27 0.308 0.441 0.264
LaSalle 277.45 13 30 0.302 0.449 0.263
Lafayette 239.83 13 26 0.333 0.461 0.282
Lehigh 242.59 19 26 0.422 0.433 0.319
Manhattan 290.10 14 25 0.359 0.506 0.306
Marist 262.67 18 20 0.474 0.446 0.348
Maryland 292.81 23 18 0.561 0.567 0.422
Maryland-Baltimore County 280.28 19 18 0.514 0.438 0.366
Michigan 257.10 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500
Michigan State 289.56 28 11 0.718 0.473 0.477
Mount St. Mary's 240.90 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224
New Jersey Tech 283.58 15 25 0.375 0.448 0.299
Oakland 225.53 16 17 0.485 0.458 0.357
Penn State 158.15 24 19 0.558 0.507 0.406
Pennsylvania 280.87 18 21 0.462 0.425 0.337
Pittsburgh 186.44 21 14 0.600 0.555 0.439
Princeton 280.95 21 17 0.553 0.515 0.405
Rider 280.17 13 26 0.333 0.481 0.287
Rutgers 281.08 22 20 0.524 0.566 0.403
Seton Hall 280.38 31 12 0.721 0.447 0.472
Siena 255.52 14 26 0.350 0.447 0.287
St. Joseph's 276.38 21 16 0.568 0.486 0.405
St. Peter's 287.54 7 31 0.184 0.432 0.200
Temple 269.23 0.000
Toledo 263.05 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233
Towson 273.04 16 27 0.372 0.475 0.305
Villanova 268.18 15 26 0.366 0.486 0.304
Wagner 291.52 13 26 0.333 0.461 0.282
West Virginia 239.31 22 18 0.550 0.501 0.400
Youngstown State 159.04 9 27 0.250 0.515 0.254

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation