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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Buffalo

Last updated: Sun Jul 24 06:48:52 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.449
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.461
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.33975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Air Force neutral 29 27 0.518 0.458 0.373 0.00064
Davidson Davidson 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00079
Marist neutral 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 0.00002
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00092
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00092
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292 -0.00092
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00147
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00147
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00147
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223 -0.00225
Mount St. Mary's Mount St. Mary's 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223 -0.00225
Navy Navy 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468 0.00247
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 0.00077
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 0.00077
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 0.00077
Canisius Canisius 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 0.00075
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00092
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00092
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00092
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00064
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00064
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00036
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00036
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00036
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00017
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00017
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00017
Canisius Canisius 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 0.00075
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00033
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00033
Miami, Ohio Buffalo 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 0.00033
Canisius Buffalo 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 0.00075
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00019
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00019
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00019
St. Bonaventure Buffalo 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00064
Ball State Buffalo 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00089
Ball State Buffalo 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00089
Ball State Buffalo 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00089
Canisius Buffalo 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379 0.00075
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00285
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00285
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00285
Niagara Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00144
Niagara Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00144
Hofstra neutral 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266 -0.00142
Hofstra neutral 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266 -0.00142
Niagara Niagara 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00144
Niagara Niagara 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00144
Bowling Green State Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00136
Bowling Green State Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00136
Bowling Green State Buffalo 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00136

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Canisius 6.33 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379
Cornell 122.84 14 22 0.389 0.445 0.306
Niagara 14.32 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265
St. Bonaventure 64.98 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 192.97 0.000
Albany 252.06 23 30 0.434 0.460 0.332
Army 270.65 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288
Binghamton 155.82 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395
Bowling Green State 272.02 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Bucknell 171.27 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290
Columbia 289.82 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331
Coppin State 286.34 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Delaware 278.77 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
Eastern Michigan 252.60 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Fairleigh Dickinson 283.80 28 28 0.500 0.418 0.354
Fordham 291.70 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362
George Mason 297.37 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 299.36 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 286.73 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Iona 294.89 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225
Kent State 183.68 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
LIU Brooklyn 293.87 19 35 0.352 0.455 0.290
LaSalle 277.45 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253
Lafayette 239.83 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278
Lehigh 242.59 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332
Manhattan 290.10 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333
Marist 262.67 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Maryland 292.81 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 280.28 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Michigan 257.10 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 289.56 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Mount St. Mary's 240.90 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
New Jersey Tech 283.58 16 36 0.308 0.476 0.273
Oakland 225.53 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Penn State 158.15 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383
Pennsylvania 280.87 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340
Pittsburgh 186.44 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Princeton 280.95 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392
Rider 280.17 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289
Rutgers 281.08 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Seton Hall 280.38 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438
Siena 255.52 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325
St. Joseph's 276.38 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408
St. Peter's 287.54 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202
Temple 269.23 0.000
Toledo 263.05 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Towson 273.04 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Villanova 268.18 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314
Wagner 291.52 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296
West Virginia 239.31 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Youngstown State 159.04 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation