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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Butler

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.498
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Samford Samford 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00075
Samford Samford 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00075
Samford Samford 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00075
Samford Samford 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00075
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.493 0.306 -0.00123
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.493 0.306 -0.00123
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.493 0.306 -0.00123
Northwestern neutral 15 38 0.283 0.490 0.264 -0.00204
Indiana neutral 31 22 0.585 0.496 0.416 0.00088
Boston College neutral 31 20 0.608 0.544 0.440 0.00135
Central Michigan neutral 20 35 0.364 0.486 0.303 -0.00129
Michigan State neutral 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00150
Illinois State neutral 17 35 0.327 0.513 0.292 -0.00150
IPFW Butler 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365 -0.00010
St. Louis St. Louis 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341 -0.00056
St. Louis St. Louis 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341 -0.00056
St. Louis St. Louis 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341 -0.00056
Indiana Indiana 31 22 0.585 0.496 0.416 0.00088
Western Michigan Butler 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298 -0.00138
Bradley Butler 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394 0.00046
Bradley Butler 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394 0.00046
Western Michigan Butler 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298 -0.00138
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306 -0.00123
Indiana State Indiana State 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00152
Indiana State Indiana State 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00152
Indiana State Butler 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00152
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294 -0.00146
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314 -0.00108
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314 -0.00108
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314 -0.00108
IPFW IPFW 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365 -0.00010
Creighton Creighton 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00208
Creighton Creighton 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00208
Creighton Creighton 36 15 0.706 0.499 0.478 0.00208
Miami, Ohio Butler 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 -0.00012
Georgetown Butler 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00035
Georgetown Butler 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00035
Georgetown Butler 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00035
Xavier Butler 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 0.00015
Xavier Butler 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 0.00015
Xavier Butler 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 0.00015
St. John's St. John's 27 24 0.529 0.486 0.386 0.00031
St. John's St. John's 27 24 0.529 0.486 0.386 0.00031
St. John's St. John's 27 24 0.529 0.486 0.386 0.00031
Mercer Butler 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434 0.00123
Mercer Butler 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434 0.00123
Mercer Butler 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434 0.00123
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00254
Ball State Butler 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00050
Seton Hall Butler 38 18 0.679 0.437 0.449 0.00152
Seton Hall Butler 38 18 0.679 0.437 0.449 0.00152
Seton Hall Butler 38 18 0.679 0.437 0.449 0.00152

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 47.10 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Chicago State 149.57 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Cincinnati 101.12 26 29 0.473 0.543 0.372
Dayton 104.57 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294
Eastern Illinois 110.05 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Evansville 148.59 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
IPFW 104.23 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Illinois 110.55 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Indiana 49.84 31 22 0.585 0.496 0.416
Indiana State 71.08 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Louisville 115.38 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Miami, Ohio 79.68 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Northern Kentucky 106.97 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Notre Dame 127.91 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Purdue 57.83 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Valparaiso 120.43 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Wright State 112.61 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482
Xavier 102.14 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 259.03 0.000
Austin Peay State 237.51 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425
Belmont 257.99 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Bowling Green State 170.22 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Bradley 189.96 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394
Central Michigan 267.52 20 35 0.364 0.486 0.303
Eastern Kentucky 177.07 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Eastern Michigan 212.10 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
Illinois State 156.49 17 35 0.327 0.513 0.292
Illinois-Chicago 159.58 23 28 0.451 0.478 0.345
Kent State 268.72 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
Kentucky 154.34 32 25 0.561 0.555 0.419
Lipscomb 260.90 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Marshall 264.59 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Michigan 209.68 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Michigan State 217.63 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448
Middle Tennessee State 276.21 20 35 0.364 0.550 0.320
Morehead State 186.24 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398
Murray State 251.35 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357
Northern Illinois 198.64 24 30 0.444 0.469 0.339
Northwestern 172.94 15 38 0.283 0.490 0.264
Oakland 248.47 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345
Ohio 219.07 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 166.84 38 17 0.691 0.489 0.468
Southeast Missouri State 252.41 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 221.19 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 218.16 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 232.87 24 29 0.453 0.456 0.341
Tennessee 295.54 29 28 0.509 0.554 0.393
Tennessee Tech 255.93 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Tennessee-Martin 283.16 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293
Toledo 183.09 18 36 0.333 0.504 0.292
Vanderbilt 258.17 42 15 0.737 0.564 0.509
Western Illinois 242.51 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259
Western Kentucky 198.39 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357
Western Michigan 171.06 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 242.73 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388
Youngstown State 299.57 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation