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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Butler

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:22 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.463
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.490
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.354


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Samford Samford 26 19 0.578 0.548 0.426 0.00185
Samford Samford 26 19 0.578 0.548 0.426 0.00185
Samford Samford 26 19 0.578 0.548 0.426 0.00185
Samford Samford 26 19 0.578 0.548 0.426 0.00185
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 15 26 0.366 0.480 0.303 -0.00131
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 15 26 0.366 0.480 0.303 -0.00131
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 15 26 0.366 0.480 0.303 -0.00131
Northwestern neutral 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245 -0.00279
Indiana neutral 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420 0.00169
Boston College neutral 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420 0.00169
Central Michigan neutral 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243 -0.00285
Michigan State neutral 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482 0.00328
Illinois State neutral 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281 -0.00187
IPFW Butler 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317 -0.00095
St. Louis St. Louis 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312 -0.00108
St. Louis St. Louis 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312 -0.00108
St. Louis St. Louis 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312 -0.00108
Indiana Indiana 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420 0.00169
Western Michigan Butler 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289 -0.00167
Bradley Butler 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377 0.00059
Bradley Butler 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377 0.00059
Western Michigan Butler 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289 -0.00167
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00172
Indiana State Indiana State 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436 0.00210
Indiana State Indiana State 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436 0.00210
Indiana State Butler 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436 0.00210
Dayton Dayton 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298 -0.00144
Villanova Villanova 15 27 0.357 0.491 0.301 -0.00136
Villanova Villanova 15 27 0.357 0.491 0.301 -0.00136
Villanova Villanova 15 27 0.357 0.491 0.301 -0.00136
IPFW IPFW 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317 -0.00095
Creighton Creighton 29 9 0.763 0.522 0.512 0.00405
Creighton Creighton 29 9 0.763 0.522 0.512 0.00405
Creighton Creighton 29 9 0.763 0.522 0.512 0.00405
Miami, Ohio Butler 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371 0.00044
Georgetown Butler 21 24 0.467 0.498 0.358 0.00010
Georgetown Butler 21 24 0.467 0.498 0.358 0.00010
Georgetown Butler 21 24 0.467 0.498 0.358 0.00010
Xavier Butler 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00069
Xavier Butler 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00069
Xavier Butler 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327 -0.00069

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 47.10 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409
Chicago State 149.57 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228
Cincinnati 101.12 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381
Dayton 104.57 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
Eastern Illinois 110.05 5 36 0.122 0.519 0.191
Evansville 148.59 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
IPFW 104.23 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois 110.55 21 18 0.538 0.522 0.400
Indiana 49.84 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420
Indiana State 71.08 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436
Louisville 115.38 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543
Miami, Ohio 79.68 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371
Northern Kentucky 106.97 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
Notre Dame 127.91 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Purdue 57.83 7 33 0.175 0.532 0.221
Valparaiso 120.43 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389
Wright State 112.61 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464
Xavier 102.14 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 259.03 0.000
Austin Peay State 237.51 26 16 0.619 0.531 0.442
Belmont 257.99 24 19 0.558 0.420 0.384
Bowling Green State 170.22 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287
Bradley 189.96 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377
Central Michigan 267.52 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Eastern Kentucky 177.07 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
Eastern Michigan 212.10 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344
Illinois State 156.49 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281
Illinois-Chicago 159.58 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322
Kent State 268.72 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482
Kentucky 154.34 26 17 0.605 0.560 0.443
Lipscomb 260.90 23 21 0.523 0.443 0.372
Marshall 264.59 24 17 0.585 0.523 0.423
Michigan 209.68 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491
Michigan State 217.63 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482
Middle Tennessee State 276.21 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Morehead State 186.24 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411
Murray State 251.35 20 22 0.476 0.482 0.358
Northern Illinois 198.64 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318
Northwestern 172.94 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Oakland 248.47 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366
Ohio 219.07 17 23 0.425 0.440 0.323
Ohio State 166.84 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444
Southeast Missouri State 252.41 30 12 0.714 0.491 0.480
Southern Illinois 221.19 24 18 0.571 0.491 0.408
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 218.16 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
St. Louis 232.87 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312
Tennessee 295.54 24 20 0.545 0.555 0.411
Tennessee Tech 255.93 22 19 0.537 0.418 0.373
Tennessee-Martin 283.16 14 27 0.341 0.474 0.289
Toledo 183.09 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228
Vanderbilt 258.17 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517
Western Illinois 242.51 11 25 0.306 0.486 0.274
Western Kentucky 198.39 24 20 0.545 0.528 0.405
Western Michigan 171.06 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 242.73 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360
Youngstown State 299.57 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation