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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal Poly

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:15 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.507
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.525
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Pacific Cal Poly 17 25 0.405 0.469 0.320 -0.00151
Pacific Cal Poly 17 25 0.405 0.469 0.320 -0.00151
Pacific Cal Poly 17 25 0.405 0.469 0.320 -0.00151
Pacific Cal Poly 17 25 0.405 0.469 0.320 -0.00151
UCLA Cal Poly 21 21 0.500 0.562 0.391 0.00015
Michigan Cal Poly 30 12 0.714 0.521 0.487 0.00238
UCLA Cal Poly 21 21 0.500 0.562 0.391 0.00015
UCLA Cal Poly 21 21 0.500 0.562 0.391 0.00015
Pepperdine Cal Poly 20 19 0.513 0.538 0.391 0.00015
San Francisco Cal Poly 17 29 0.370 0.533 0.318 -0.00155
San Francisco Cal Poly 17 29 0.370 0.533 0.318 -0.00155
San Francisco Cal Poly 17 29 0.370 0.533 0.318 -0.00155
Pepperdine Pepperdine 20 19 0.513 0.538 0.391 0.00015
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 22 20 0.524 0.473 0.380 -0.00011
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 22 20 0.524 0.473 0.380 -0.00011
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 22 20 0.524 0.473 0.380 -0.00011
Sacramento State Sacramento State 24 19 0.558 0.449 0.391 0.00015
Sacramento State Sacramento State 24 19 0.558 0.449 0.391 0.00015
Sacramento State Sacramento State 24 19 0.558 0.449 0.391 0.00015
Wichita State Wichita State 16 28 0.364 0.567 0.324 -0.00141
Wichita State Wichita State 16 28 0.364 0.567 0.324 -0.00141
Wichita State Wichita State 16 28 0.364 0.567 0.324 -0.00141
CSU Bakersfield Cal Poly 9 33 0.214 0.544 0.243 -0.00330
San Jose State Cal Poly 14 30 0.318 0.530 0.291 -0.00218
San Jose State Cal Poly 14 30 0.318 0.530 0.291 -0.00218
San Jose State Cal Poly 14 30 0.318 0.530 0.291 -0.00218
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 23 0.452 0.512 0.354 -0.00072
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 27 16 0.628 0.541 0.449 0.00149
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 27 16 0.628 0.541 0.449 0.00149
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 27 16 0.628 0.541 0.449 0.00149
California Cal Poly 24 16 0.600 0.551 0.438 0.00124
Hawaii Hawaii 17 22 0.436 0.531 0.351 -0.00078
Hawaii Hawaii 17 22 0.436 0.531 0.351 -0.00078
Hawaii Hawaii 17 22 0.436 0.531 0.351 -0.00078
Fresno State Cal Poly 30 16 0.652 0.509 0.453 0.00159
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 30 10 0.750 0.555 0.514 0.00301
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 30 10 0.750 0.555 0.514 0.00301
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 30 10 0.750 0.555 0.514 0.00301
California California 24 16 0.600 0.551 0.438 0.00124
Long Beach State Long Beach State 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445 0.00140
Long Beach State Long Beach State 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445 0.00140
Long Beach State Long Beach State 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445 0.00140
Santa Clara Cal Poly 19 23 0.452 0.512 0.354 -0.00072

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 87.89 9 33 0.214 0.544 0.243
Cal State Northridge 141.86 25 16 0.610 0.473 0.423
Fresno State 115.81 30 16 0.652 0.509 0.453
Pepperdine 141.38 20 19 0.513 0.538 0.391
UC Santa Barbara 76.74 30 10 0.750 0.555 0.514

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 186.08 27 16 0.628 0.541 0.449
Cal State Sacramento 228.54 0.000
California 197.99 24 16 0.600 0.551 0.438
Long Beach State 178.45 26 17 0.605 0.569 0.445
Loyola Marymount 157.41 24 21 0.533 0.490 0.389
Nevada 296.75 24 20 0.545 0.484 0.394
Pacific 187.86 17 25 0.405 0.469 0.320
San Diego 265.17 23 25 0.479 0.531 0.372
San Diego State 269.77 13 30 0.302 0.559 0.291
San Francisco 197.23 17 29 0.370 0.533 0.318
San Jose State 154.28 14 30 0.318 0.530 0.291
Santa Clara 157.69 19 23 0.452 0.512 0.354
Southern California 161.50 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374
St. Mary's 192.58 24 18 0.571 0.542 0.421
Stanford 168.69 21 18 0.538 0.537 0.403
UC Davis 231.49 13 25 0.342 0.491 0.294
UC Irvine 197.08 25 17 0.595 0.466 0.414
UC Riverside 207.99 20 21 0.488 0.482 0.364
UCLA 152.13 21 21 0.500 0.562 0.391

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation