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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal Poly

Last updated: Fri Jul 29 06:49:30 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.491
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.373


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Pacific Cal Poly 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00079
Pacific Cal Poly 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00079
Pacific Cal Poly 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00079
Pacific Cal Poly 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00079
UCLA Cal Poly 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364 -0.00016
Michigan Cal Poly 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00130
UCLA Cal Poly 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364 -0.00016
UCLA Cal Poly 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364 -0.00016
Pepperdine Cal Poly 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00060
San Francisco Cal Poly 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00079
San Francisco Cal Poly 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00079
San Francisco Cal Poly 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00079
Pepperdine Pepperdine 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00060
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.468 0.353 -0.00035
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.468 0.353 -0.00035
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.468 0.353 -0.00035
Sacramento State Sacramento State 29 28 0.509 0.474 0.373 0.00000
Sacramento State Sacramento State 29 28 0.509 0.474 0.373 0.00000
Sacramento State Sacramento State 29 28 0.509 0.474 0.373 0.00000
Wichita State Wichita State 21 37 0.362 0.550 0.319 -0.00095
Wichita State Wichita State 21 37 0.362 0.550 0.319 -0.00095
Wichita State Wichita State 21 37 0.362 0.550 0.319 -0.00095
CSU Bakersfield Cal Poly 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293 -0.00140
San Jose State Cal Poly 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00163
San Jose State Cal Poly 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00163
San Jose State Cal Poly 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00163
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345 -0.00049
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 36 23 0.610 0.543 0.441 0.00119
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 36 23 0.610 0.543 0.441 0.00119
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 36 23 0.610 0.543 0.441 0.00119
California Cal Poly 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00096
Hawaii Hawaii 22 29 0.431 0.531 0.348 -0.00044
Hawaii Hawaii 22 29 0.431 0.531 0.348 -0.00044
Hawaii Hawaii 22 29 0.431 0.531 0.348 -0.00044
Fresno State Cal Poly 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433 0.00105
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00188
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00188
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00188
California California 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00096
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00137
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00137
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00137
Santa Clara Cal Poly 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345 -0.00049
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00070
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00070
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00070
Fresno State Fresno State 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433 0.00105
UC Irvine Cal Poly 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 0.00047
UC Irvine Cal Poly 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 0.00047
UC Irvine Cal Poly 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 0.00047
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293 -0.00140
UC Riverside UC Riverside 26 29 0.473 0.501 0.362 -0.00019
UC Riverside UC Riverside 26 29 0.473 0.501 0.362 -0.00019
UC Riverside UC Riverside 26 29 0.473 0.501 0.362 -0.00019
UC Davis Cal Poly 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00146
UC Davis Cal Poly 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00146
UC Davis Cal Poly 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00146

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 87.89 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293
Cal State Northridge 141.86 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413
Fresno State 115.81 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433
Pepperdine 141.38 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407
UC Santa Barbara 76.74 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 186.08 36 23 0.610 0.543 0.441
Cal State Sacramento 228.54 0.000
California 197.99 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428
Long Beach State 178.45 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451
Loyola Marymount 157.41 26 27 0.491 0.507 0.372
Nevada 296.75 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426
Pacific 187.86 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328
San Diego 265.17 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371
San Diego State 269.77 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312
San Francisco 197.23 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328
San Jose State 154.28 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280
Santa Clara 157.69 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345
Southern California 161.50 28 28 0.500 0.552 0.388
St. Mary's 192.58 33 25 0.569 0.539 0.419
Stanford 168.69 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416
UC Davis 231.49 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290
UC Irvine 197.08 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400
UC Riverside 207.99 26 29 0.473 0.501 0.362
UCLA 152.13 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation