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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal Poly

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.513
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.521
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Baylor Baylor 16 24 0.400 0.588 0.347 -0.00105
Baylor Baylor 16 24 0.400 0.588 0.347 -0.00105
Baylor Baylor 16 24 0.400 0.588 0.347 -0.00105
Fresno State Fresno State 21 21 0.500 0.595 0.399 0.00032
Grand Canyon Cal Poly 22 18 0.550 0.444 0.386 -0.00002
Grand Canyon Cal Poly 22 18 0.550 0.444 0.386 -0.00002
Grand Canyon Cal Poly 22 18 0.550 0.444 0.386 -0.00002
CSU Bakersfield Cal Poly 24 15 0.615 0.465 0.424 0.00098
Santa Clara Cal Poly 16 24 0.400 0.503 0.326 -0.00160
Pacific Pacific 9 30 0.231 0.512 0.243 -0.00378
Pacific Pacific 9 30 0.231 0.512 0.243 -0.00378
Pacific Pacific 9 30 0.231 0.512 0.243 -0.00378
San Jose State San Jose State 10 32 0.238 0.531 0.252 -0.00355
Cal State Sacramento Cal Poly 21 19 0.525 0.433 0.371 -0.00041
Cal State Sacramento Cal Poly 21 19 0.525 0.433 0.371 -0.00041
Cal State Sacramento Cal Poly 21 19 0.525 0.433 0.371 -0.00041
Cal State Sacramento Cal Poly 21 19 0.525 0.433 0.371 -0.00041
Southern California Cal Poly 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515 0.00337
Southern California Cal Poly 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515 0.00337
Southern California Cal Poly 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515 0.00337
Dartmouth Cal Poly 16 19 0.457 0.493 0.352 -0.00091
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00195
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00195
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00195
Pepperdine Pepperdine 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384 -0.00007
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413 0.00069
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413 0.00069
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413 0.00069
Pepperdine Cal Poly 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384 -0.00007
Hawaii Cal Poly 14 25 0.359 0.504 0.305 -0.00215
Hawaii Cal Poly 14 25 0.359 0.504 0.305 -0.00215
Hawaii Cal Poly 14 25 0.359 0.504 0.305 -0.00215
Fresno State Cal Poly 21 21 0.500 0.595 0.399 0.00032
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00356
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00356
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00356
Santa Clara Santa Clara 16 24 0.400 0.503 0.326 -0.00160
Long Beach State Cal Poly 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424 0.00098
Long Beach State Cal Poly 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424 0.00098
Long Beach State Cal Poly 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424 0.00098

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 87.89 24 15 0.615 0.465 0.424
Cal State Northridge 141.86 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451
Fresno State 115.81 21 21 0.500 0.595 0.399
Pepperdine 141.38 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384
UC Santa Barbara 76.74 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 186.08 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413
Cal State Sacramento 228.54 21 19 0.525 0.433 0.371
California 197.99 24 14 0.632 0.518 0.446
Long Beach State 178.45 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424
Loyola Marymount 157.41 26 16 0.619 0.486 0.431
Nevada 296.75 32 10 0.762 0.452 0.494
Pacific 187.86 9 30 0.231 0.512 0.243
San Diego 265.17 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
San Diego State 269.77 27 16 0.628 0.511 0.442
San Francisco 197.23 22 22 0.500 0.485 0.371
San Jose State 154.28 10 32 0.238 0.531 0.252
Santa Clara 157.69 16 24 0.400 0.503 0.326
Southern California 161.50 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515
St. Mary's 192.58 21 18 0.538 0.432 0.377
Stanford 168.69 18 21 0.462 0.559 0.371
UC Davis 231.49 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408
UC Irvine 197.08 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434
UC Riverside 207.99 12 27 0.308 0.514 0.282
UCLA 152.13 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation