Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal Poly

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.488
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.526
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3755


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kansas State Cal Poly 24 25 0.490 0.538 0.380 0.00009
Kansas State Cal Poly 24 25 0.490 0.538 0.380 0.00009
Kansas State Cal Poly 24 25 0.490 0.538 0.380 0.00009
Santa Clara Santa Clara 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357 -0.00039
UCLA UCLA 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 0.00016
UCLA UCLA 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 0.00016
UCLA UCLA 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 0.00016
San Jose State San Jose State 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00157
Southern California Southern California 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415 0.00082
Southern California Southern California 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415 0.00082
Santa Clara Cal Poly 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357 -0.00039
Seattle Seattle 21 21 0.500 0.433 0.358 -0.00036
Seattle Seattle 21 21 0.500 0.433 0.358 -0.00036
Seattle Seattle 21 21 0.500 0.433 0.358 -0.00036
Northern Illinois Cal Poly 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00178
Northern Illinois Cal Poly 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00178
Northern Illinois Cal Poly 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00178
Wagner Cal Poly 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00176
Wagner Cal Poly 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00176
Wagner Cal Poly 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00176
California Cal Poly 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366 -0.00020
California Cal Poly 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366 -0.00020
California Cal Poly 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366 -0.00020
California Cal Poly 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366 -0.00020
UC Davis Cal Poly 19 25 0.432 0.496 0.340 -0.00074
UC Davis Cal Poly 19 25 0.432 0.496 0.340 -0.00074
UC Davis Cal Poly 19 25 0.432 0.496 0.340 -0.00074
CSU Bakersfield Cal Poly 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00107
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00166
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00166
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455 0.00166
St. Mary's Cal Poly 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00222
Hawaii Hawaii 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00043
Hawaii Hawaii 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00043
Hawaii Hawaii 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00043
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00107
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00064
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00064
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00064
San Jose State Cal Poly 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00157
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 0.00043
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 0.00043
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 0.00043
Pepperdine Pepperdine 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482 0.00222
UC Riverside UC Riverside 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380 0.00009
UC Riverside UC Riverside 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380 0.00009
UC Riverside UC Riverside 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380 0.00009
Pepperdine Cal Poly 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482 0.00222

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 87.89 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324
Cal State Northridge 141.86 17 30 0.362 0.541 0.316
Fresno State 115.81 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391
Pepperdine 141.38 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482
UC Santa Barbara 76.74 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 186.08 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406
Cal State Sacramento 228.54 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428
California 197.99 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366
Long Beach State 178.45 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396
Loyola Marymount 157.41 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413
Nevada 296.75 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395
Pacific 187.86 23 22 0.511 0.529 0.388
San Diego 265.17 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450
San Diego State 269.77 33 16 0.673 0.491 0.459
San Francisco 197.23 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360
San Jose State 154.28 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300
Santa Clara 157.69 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357
Southern California 161.50 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415
St. Mary's 192.58 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269
Stanford 168.69 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411
UC Davis 231.49 19 25 0.432 0.496 0.340
UC Irvine 197.08 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484
UC Riverside 207.99 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380
UCLA 152.13 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation