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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal Poly

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:41 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.497
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.511
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Pacific Cal Poly 22 30 0.423 0.469 0.329 -0.00084
Pacific Cal Poly 22 30 0.423 0.469 0.329 -0.00084
Pacific Cal Poly 22 30 0.423 0.469 0.329 -0.00084
Pacific Cal Poly 22 30 0.423 0.469 0.329 -0.00084
UCLA Cal Poly 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372 -0.00008
Michigan Cal Poly 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452 0.00135
UCLA Cal Poly 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372 -0.00008
UCLA Cal Poly 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372 -0.00008
Pepperdine Cal Poly 29 24 0.547 0.539 0.408 0.00057
San Francisco Cal Poly 22 34 0.393 0.526 0.328 -0.00086
San Francisco Cal Poly 22 34 0.393 0.526 0.328 -0.00086
San Francisco Cal Poly 22 34 0.393 0.526 0.328 -0.00086
Pepperdine Pepperdine 29 24 0.547 0.539 0.408 0.00057
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.472 0.354 -0.00040
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.472 0.354 -0.00040
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.472 0.354 -0.00040
Sacramento State Sacramento State 29 28 0.509 0.476 0.373 -0.00006
Sacramento State Sacramento State 29 28 0.509 0.476 0.373 -0.00006
Sacramento State Sacramento State 29 28 0.509 0.476 0.373 -0.00006
Wichita State Wichita State 21 37 0.362 0.554 0.320 -0.00100
Wichita State Wichita State 21 37 0.362 0.554 0.320 -0.00100
Wichita State Wichita State 21 37 0.362 0.554 0.320 -0.00100
CSU Bakersfield Cal Poly 19 37 0.339 0.496 0.293 -0.00149
San Jose State Cal Poly 17 39 0.304 0.514 0.280 -0.00172
San Jose State Cal Poly 17 39 0.304 0.514 0.280 -0.00172
San Jose State Cal Poly 17 39 0.304 0.514 0.280 -0.00172
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347 -0.00052
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 34 21 0.618 0.537 0.443 0.00119
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 34 21 0.618 0.537 0.443 0.00119
Cal State Fullerton Cal Poly 34 21 0.618 0.537 0.443 0.00119
California Cal Poly 30 21 0.588 0.514 0.422 0.00082
Hawaii Hawaii 22 27 0.449 0.529 0.357 -0.00034
Hawaii Hawaii 22 27 0.449 0.529 0.357 -0.00034
Hawaii Hawaii 22 27 0.449 0.529 0.357 -0.00034
Fresno State Cal Poly 36 22 0.621 0.493 0.434 0.00103
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 37 17 0.685 0.544 0.479 0.00183
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 37 17 0.685 0.544 0.479 0.00183
UC Santa Barbara Cal Poly 37 17 0.685 0.544 0.479 0.00183
California California 30 21 0.588 0.514 0.422 0.00082
Long Beach State Long Beach State 36 19 0.655 0.528 0.460 0.00150
Long Beach State Long Beach State 36 19 0.655 0.528 0.460 0.00150
Long Beach State Long Beach State 36 19 0.655 0.528 0.460 0.00150
Santa Clara Cal Poly 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347 -0.00052
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 21 0.611 0.451 0.418 0.00075
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 21 0.611 0.451 0.418 0.00075
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 21 0.611 0.451 0.418 0.00075
Fresno State Fresno State 36 22 0.621 0.493 0.434 0.00103
UC Irvine Cal Poly 30 25 0.545 0.493 0.396 0.00035
UC Irvine Cal Poly 30 25 0.545 0.493 0.396 0.00035
UC Irvine Cal Poly 30 25 0.545 0.493 0.396 0.00035
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.496 0.293 -0.00149
UC Riverside UC Riverside 25 29 0.463 0.502 0.357 -0.00034
UC Riverside UC Riverside 25 29 0.463 0.502 0.357 -0.00034
UC Riverside UC Riverside 25 29 0.463 0.502 0.357 -0.00034
UC Davis Cal Poly 17 35 0.327 0.525 0.295 -0.00145
UC Davis Cal Poly 17 35 0.327 0.525 0.295 -0.00145
UC Davis Cal Poly 17 35 0.327 0.525 0.295 -0.00145

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 87.89 19 37 0.339 0.496 0.293
Cal State Northridge 141.86 33 21 0.611 0.451 0.418
Fresno State 115.81 36 22 0.621 0.493 0.434
Pepperdine 141.38 29 24 0.547 0.539 0.408
UC Santa Barbara 76.74 37 17 0.685 0.544 0.479

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 186.08 34 21 0.618 0.537 0.443
Cal State Sacramento 228.54 0.000
California 197.99 30 21 0.588 0.514 0.422
Long Beach State 178.45 36 19 0.655 0.528 0.460
Loyola Marymount 157.41 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373
Nevada 296.75 36 23 0.610 0.490 0.427
Pacific 187.86 22 30 0.423 0.469 0.329
San Diego 265.17 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372
San Diego State 269.77 21 38 0.356 0.540 0.313
San Francisco 197.23 22 34 0.393 0.526 0.328
San Jose State 154.28 17 39 0.304 0.514 0.280
Santa Clara 157.69 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347
Southern California 161.50 26 28 0.481 0.554 0.379
St. Mary's 192.58 32 23 0.582 0.534 0.424
Stanford 168.69 30 23 0.566 0.517 0.412
UC Davis 231.49 17 35 0.327 0.525 0.295
UC Irvine 197.08 30 25 0.545 0.493 0.396
UC Riverside 207.99 25 29 0.463 0.502 0.357
UCLA 152.13 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation