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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for California

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:41 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.514
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.534
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3905


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00107
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00107
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00107
San Francisco California 22 34 0.393 0.526 0.328 -0.00123
Purdue California 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223 -0.00328
Purdue California 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223 -0.00328
Purdue California 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223 -0.00328
Michigan California 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452 0.00121
Texas Texas 24 31 0.436 0.546 0.355 -0.00070
Texas Texas 24 31 0.436 0.546 0.355 -0.00070
Texas Texas 24 31 0.436 0.546 0.355 -0.00070
Texas Texas 24 31 0.436 0.546 0.355 -0.00070
Texas Tech California 41 16 0.719 0.552 0.497 0.00209
Texas Tech California 41 16 0.719 0.552 0.497 0.00209
Southern California Southern California 26 28 0.481 0.554 0.379 -0.00023
Southern California Southern California 26 28 0.481 0.554 0.379 -0.00023
Southern California Southern California 26 28 0.481 0.554 0.379 -0.00023
Oregon State California 33 19 0.635 0.511 0.445 0.00107
Oregon State California 33 19 0.635 0.511 0.445 0.00107
Oregon State California 33 19 0.635 0.511 0.445 0.00107
San Francisco California 22 34 0.393 0.526 0.328 -0.00123
UCLA California 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372 -0.00036
UCLA California 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372 -0.00036
UCLA California 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372 -0.00036
Stanford California 30 23 0.566 0.517 0.412 0.00042
Oregon Oregon 29 25 0.537 0.538 0.403 0.00025
Oregon Oregon 29 25 0.537 0.538 0.403 0.00025
Oregon Oregon 29 25 0.537 0.538 0.403 0.00025
Cal Poly Cal Poly 31 25 0.554 0.497 0.401 0.00021
Arizona State Arizona State 34 19 0.642 0.542 0.457 0.00130
Arizona State Arizona State 34 19 0.642 0.542 0.457 0.00130
Arizona State Arizona State 34 19 0.642 0.542 0.457 0.00130
Stanford California 30 23 0.566 0.517 0.412 0.00042
Arizona California 36 20 0.643 0.549 0.459 0.00134
Arizona California 36 20 0.643 0.549 0.459 0.00134
Arizona California 36 20 0.643 0.549 0.459 0.00134
Cal Poly California 31 25 0.554 0.497 0.401 0.00021
Washington California 32 19 0.627 0.537 0.448 0.00113
Washington California 32 19 0.627 0.537 0.448 0.00113
Washington California 32 19 0.627 0.537 0.448 0.00113
Stanford Stanford 30 23 0.566 0.517 0.412 0.00042
Stanford Stanford 30 23 0.566 0.517 0.412 0.00042
Stanford Stanford 30 23 0.566 0.517 0.412 0.00042
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263 -0.00250
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263 -0.00250
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263 -0.00250
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263 -0.00250
Utah California 23 27 0.460 0.543 0.366 -0.00048
Utah California 23 27 0.460 0.543 0.366 -0.00048
Utah California 23 27 0.460 0.543 0.366 -0.00048
Washington State Washington State 19 33 0.365 0.551 0.320 -0.00138
Washington State Washington State 19 33 0.365 0.551 0.320 -0.00138

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 65.81 0.000
Pacific 52.16 22 30 0.423 0.469 0.329
San Francisco 11.94 22 34 0.393 0.526 0.328
San Jose State 43.79 17 39 0.304 0.514 0.280
Santa Clara 40.30 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347
St. Mary's 8.47 32 23 0.582 0.534 0.424
Stanford 30.75 30 23 0.566 0.517 0.412
UC Davis 53.97 17 35 0.327 0.525 0.295

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 246.99 19 37 0.339 0.496 0.293
Cal Poly 197.99 31 25 0.554 0.497 0.401
Fresno State 155.87 36 22 0.621 0.493 0.434
Nevada 175.80 36 23 0.610 0.490 0.427
UC Santa Barbara 273.71 37 17 0.685 0.544 0.479

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation