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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for California

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.582
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.536
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Texas California 34 15 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00156
Texas California 34 15 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00156
Texas California 34 15 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00156
Texas California 34 15 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00156
East Tennessee State neutral 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 -0.00102
Auburn Auburn 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 -0.00040
Arkansas-Pine Bluff neutral 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328 -0.00226
Baylor neutral 22 27 0.449 0.569 0.367 -0.00135
Baylor neutral 22 27 0.449 0.569 0.367 -0.00135
San Diego San Diego 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450 0.00058
Stanford California 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411 -0.00033
Tulane California 21 25 0.457 0.531 0.361 -0.00149
San Francisco California 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360 -0.00151
Arkansas California 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00026
Arkansas California 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436 0.00026
UCLA California 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00098
UCLA California 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00098
UCLA California 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00098
Fresno State Fresno State 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391 -0.00079
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00240
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00240
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00240
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00240
Utah California 14 28 0.333 0.553 0.305 -0.00279
Utah California 14 28 0.333 0.553 0.305 -0.00279
Utah California 14 28 0.333 0.553 0.305 -0.00279
Washington State Washington State 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00137
Washington State Washington State 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00137
Washington State Washington State 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00137
Arizona State Arizona State 24 20 0.545 0.573 0.416 -0.00021
Arizona State Arizona State 24 20 0.545 0.573 0.416 -0.00021
Arizona State Arizona State 24 20 0.545 0.573 0.416 -0.00021
Washington California 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00174
Washington California 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00174
Washington California 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00174
Fresno State Fresno State 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391 -0.00079
Stanford Stanford 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411 -0.00033
Stanford Stanford 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411 -0.00033
Stanford Stanford 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411 -0.00033
San Francisco California 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360 -0.00151
Oregon State California 35 8 0.814 0.527 0.539 0.00265
Oregon State California 35 8 0.814 0.527 0.539 0.00265
Oregon State California 35 8 0.814 0.527 0.539 0.00265

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 65.81 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428
Pacific 52.16 23 22 0.511 0.529 0.388
San Francisco 11.94 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360
San Jose State 43.79 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300
Santa Clara 40.30 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357
St. Mary's 8.47 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269
Stanford 30.75 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411
UC Davis 53.97 19 25 0.432 0.496 0.340

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 246.99 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324
Cal Poly 197.99 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528
Fresno State 155.87 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391
Nevada 175.80 25 20 0.556 0.467 0.395
UC Santa Barbara 273.71 27 14 0.659 0.502 0.455

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation