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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Central Arkansas

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.525
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.499
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38725


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Missouri State Central Arkansas 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444 0.00101
Missouri State Central Arkansas 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444 0.00101
Missouri State Central Arkansas 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444 0.00101
Tennessee Tech Central Arkansas 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 0.00008
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00268
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00268
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00268
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00268
Oklahoma Oklahoma 30 27 0.526 0.547 0.400 0.00023
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00110
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00110
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00110
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 30 30 0.500 0.524 0.381 -0.00011
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 30 30 0.500 0.524 0.381 -0.00011
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 30 30 0.500 0.524 0.381 -0.00011
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00027
Lamar Lamar 35 19 0.648 0.504 0.450 0.00112
Lamar Lamar 35 19 0.648 0.504 0.450 0.00112
Lamar Lamar 35 19 0.648 0.504 0.450 0.00112
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 24 29 0.453 0.481 0.347 -0.00072
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 24 29 0.453 0.481 0.347 -0.00072
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 24 29 0.453 0.481 0.347 -0.00072
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Central Arkansas 22 25 0.468 0.398 0.334 -0.00095
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 42 22 0.656 0.513 0.456 0.00123
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 42 22 0.656 0.513 0.456 0.00123
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 42 22 0.656 0.513 0.456 0.00123
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Central Arkansas 22 25 0.468 0.398 0.334 -0.00095
Oregon State Oregon State 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00114
Oregon State neutral 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00114
Oregon State Oregon State 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00114
Arkansas-Little Rock Central Arkansas 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00027
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 30 0.464 0.487 0.354 -0.00059
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 30 0.464 0.487 0.354 -0.00059
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 30 0.464 0.487 0.354 -0.00059
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00180
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00067
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00067
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00067
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00033
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00033
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00033
Incarnate Word Central Arkansas 13 38 0.255 0.484 0.248 -0.00249
Incarnate Word Central Arkansas 13 38 0.255 0.484 0.248 -0.00249
Incarnate Word Central Arkansas 13 38 0.255 0.484 0.248 -0.00249
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas-Pine Bluff 22 25 0.468 0.398 0.334 -0.00095
Mississippi Valley State Central Arkansas 4 34 0.105 0.411 0.155 -0.00415
McNeese State McNeese State 31 25 0.554 0.502 0.403 0.00028
McNeese State McNeese State 31 25 0.554 0.502 0.403 0.00028
McNeese State McNeese State 31 25 0.554 0.502 0.403 0.00028
Arkansas-Little Rock neutral 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00027
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00126
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00126
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00126
Lamar neutral 35 19 0.648 0.504 0.450 0.00112
Sam Houston State neutral 42 22 0.656 0.513 0.456 0.00123
Stephen F. Austin State neutral 30 30 0.500 0.524 0.381 -0.00011

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 117.64 26 29 0.473 0.542 0.372
Arkansas State 113.66 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381
Arkansas-Little Rock 25.54 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 65.70 22 25 0.468 0.398 0.334
Memphis 143.28 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 234.36 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236
Grambling State 177.31 17 27 0.386 0.392 0.291
Jackson State 232.23 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335
Louisiana Tech 176.74 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467
Louisiana-Monroe 177.71 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319
Mississippi 173.74 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Mississippi State 237.33 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497
Missouri 266.28 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366
Missouri State 154.00 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444
Murray State 255.20 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
Northwestern State 233.38 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425
Oklahoma 281.80 30 27 0.526 0.547 0.400
Oklahoma State 268.47 43 22 0.662 0.550 0.469
Oral Roberts 207.11 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447
Southeast Missouri State 224.28 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 255.42 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 289.94 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 274.61 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Stephen F. Austin State 270.56 30 30 0.500 0.524 0.381
Tennessee-Martin 219.33 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation