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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Central Arkansas

Last updated: Sat May 28 06:48:16 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.527
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.500
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3885


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Missouri State Central Arkansas 35 20 0.636 0.478 0.438 0.00090
Missouri State Central Arkansas 35 20 0.636 0.478 0.438 0.00090
Missouri State Central Arkansas 35 20 0.636 0.478 0.438 0.00090
Tennessee Tech Central Arkansas 31 24 0.564 0.444 0.393 0.00008
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00274
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00274
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00274
Eastern Illinois Central Arkansas 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00274
Oklahoma Oklahoma 29 26 0.527 0.548 0.401 0.00023
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.492 0.450 0.00112
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.492 0.450 0.00112
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.492 0.450 0.00112
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 28 29 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00023
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 28 29 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00023
Stephen F. Austin State Central Arkansas 28 29 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00023
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.533 0.374 -0.00026
Lamar Lamar 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00114
Lamar Lamar 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00114
Lamar Lamar 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00114
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 24 29 0.453 0.484 0.348 -0.00074
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 24 29 0.453 0.484 0.348 -0.00074
Houston Baptist Central Arkansas 24 29 0.453 0.484 0.348 -0.00074
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Central Arkansas 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00099
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 39 19 0.672 0.507 0.463 0.00135
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 39 19 0.672 0.507 0.463 0.00135
Sam Houston State Sam Houston State 39 19 0.672 0.507 0.463 0.00135
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Central Arkansas 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00099
Oregon State Oregon State 32 19 0.627 0.513 0.442 0.00097
Oregon State neutral 32 19 0.627 0.513 0.442 0.00097
Oregon State Oregon State 32 19 0.627 0.513 0.442 0.00097
Arkansas-Little Rock Central Arkansas 26 28 0.481 0.533 0.374 -0.00026
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 30 0.464 0.495 0.356 -0.00059
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 30 0.464 0.495 0.356 -0.00059
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 30 0.464 0.495 0.356 -0.00059
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 16 0.729 0.570 0.507 0.00215
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 33 24 0.579 0.546 0.426 0.00068
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 33 24 0.579 0.546 0.426 0.00068
Northwestern State Central Arkansas 33 24 0.579 0.546 0.426 0.00068
New Orleans New Orleans 31 25 0.554 0.540 0.412 0.00043
New Orleans New Orleans 31 25 0.554 0.540 0.412 0.00043
New Orleans New Orleans 31 25 0.554 0.540 0.412 0.00043
Incarnate Word Central Arkansas 13 38 0.255 0.489 0.250 -0.00252
Incarnate Word Central Arkansas 13 38 0.255 0.489 0.250 -0.00252
Incarnate Word Central Arkansas 13 38 0.255 0.489 0.250 -0.00252
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Arkansas-Pine Bluff 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00099
Mississippi Valley State Central Arkansas 4 34 0.105 0.417 0.157 -0.00421
McNeese State McNeese State 30 24 0.556 0.503 0.404 0.00028
McNeese State McNeese State 30 24 0.556 0.503 0.404 0.00028
McNeese State McNeese State 30 24 0.556 0.503 0.404 0.00028
Arkansas-Little Rock neutral 26 28 0.481 0.533 0.374 -0.00026
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 38 18 0.679 0.513 0.468 0.00145
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 38 18 0.679 0.513 0.468 0.00145
Southeastern Louisiana Central Arkansas 38 18 0.679 0.513 0.468 0.00145
Lamar neutral 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00114
Sam Houston State neutral 39 19 0.672 0.507 0.463 0.00135
Stephen F. Austin State neutral 28 29 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00023

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 117.64 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374
Arkansas State 113.66 28 28 0.500 0.527 0.382
Arkansas-Little Rock 25.54 26 28 0.481 0.533 0.374
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 65.70 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
Memphis 143.28 20 38 0.345 0.506 0.299

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alcorn State 234.36 13 36 0.265 0.420 0.237
Grambling State 177.31 17 27 0.386 0.396 0.292
Jackson State 232.23 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Louisiana Tech 176.74 38 17 0.691 0.501 0.471
Louisiana-Monroe 177.71 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320
Mississippi 173.74 43 16 0.729 0.585 0.511
Mississippi State 237.33 41 15 0.732 0.570 0.508
Missouri 266.28 26 30 0.464 0.544 0.368
Missouri State 154.00 35 20 0.636 0.478 0.438
Murray State 255.20 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357
Northwestern State 233.38 33 24 0.579 0.546 0.426
Oklahoma 281.80 29 26 0.527 0.548 0.401
Oklahoma State 268.47 36 19 0.655 0.532 0.461
Oral Roberts 207.11 35 19 0.648 0.495 0.448
Southeast Missouri State 224.28 34 18 0.654 0.492 0.450
Southern Illinois 255.42 31 24 0.564 0.511 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 289.94 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 274.61 24 31 0.436 0.455 0.332
Stephen F. Austin State 270.56 28 29 0.491 0.523 0.376
Tennessee-Martin 219.33 18 34 0.346 0.484 0.294

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation