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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Central Arkansas
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.525 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.499 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.38725 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Missouri State | Central Arkansas | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 | 0.00101 |
Missouri State | Central Arkansas | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 | 0.00101 |
Missouri State | Central Arkansas | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 | 0.00101 |
Tennessee Tech | Central Arkansas | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 0.439 | 0.392 | 0.00008 |
Eastern Illinois | Central Arkansas | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 | -0.00268 |
Eastern Illinois | Central Arkansas | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 | -0.00268 |
Eastern Illinois | Central Arkansas | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 | -0.00268 |
Eastern Illinois | Central Arkansas | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 | -0.00268 |
Oklahoma | Oklahoma | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.547 | 0.400 | 0.00023 |
Southeast Missouri State | Southeast Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 | 0.00110 |
Southeast Missouri State | Southeast Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 | 0.00110 |
Southeast Missouri State | Southeast Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 | 0.00110 |
Stephen F. Austin State | Central Arkansas | 30 | 30 | 0.500 | 0.524 | 0.381 | -0.00011 |
Stephen F. Austin State | Central Arkansas | 30 | 30 | 0.500 | 0.524 | 0.381 | -0.00011 |
Stephen F. Austin State | Central Arkansas | 30 | 30 | 0.500 | 0.524 | 0.381 | -0.00011 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | Arkansas-Little Rock | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 | -0.00027 |
Lamar | Lamar | 35 | 19 | 0.648 | 0.504 | 0.450 | 0.00112 |
Lamar | Lamar | 35 | 19 | 0.648 | 0.504 | 0.450 | 0.00112 |
Lamar | Lamar | 35 | 19 | 0.648 | 0.504 | 0.450 | 0.00112 |
Houston Baptist | Central Arkansas | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.481 | 0.347 | -0.00072 |
Houston Baptist | Central Arkansas | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.481 | 0.347 | -0.00072 |
Houston Baptist | Central Arkansas | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.481 | 0.347 | -0.00072 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Central Arkansas | 22 | 25 | 0.468 | 0.398 | 0.334 | -0.00095 |
Sam Houston State | Sam Houston State | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.513 | 0.456 | 0.00123 |
Sam Houston State | Sam Houston State | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.513 | 0.456 | 0.00123 |
Sam Houston State | Sam Houston State | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.513 | 0.456 | 0.00123 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Central Arkansas | 22 | 25 | 0.468 | 0.398 | 0.334 | -0.00095 |
Oregon State | Oregon State | 35 | 19 | 0.648 | 0.508 | 0.451 | 0.00114 |
Oregon State | neutral | 35 | 19 | 0.648 | 0.508 | 0.451 | 0.00114 |
Oregon State | Oregon State | 35 | 19 | 0.648 | 0.508 | 0.451 | 0.00114 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | Central Arkansas | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 | -0.00027 |
Nicholls State | Nicholls State | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.487 | 0.354 | -0.00059 |
Nicholls State | Nicholls State | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.487 | 0.354 | -0.00059 |
Nicholls State | Nicholls State | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.487 | 0.354 | -0.00059 |
Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 | 0.00180 |
Northwestern State | Central Arkansas | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 | 0.00067 |
Northwestern State | Central Arkansas | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 | 0.00067 |
Northwestern State | Central Arkansas | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 | 0.00067 |
New Orleans | New Orleans | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.534 | 0.406 | 0.00033 |
New Orleans | New Orleans | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.534 | 0.406 | 0.00033 |
New Orleans | New Orleans | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.534 | 0.406 | 0.00033 |
Incarnate Word | Central Arkansas | 13 | 38 | 0.255 | 0.484 | 0.248 | -0.00249 |
Incarnate Word | Central Arkansas | 13 | 38 | 0.255 | 0.484 | 0.248 | -0.00249 |
Incarnate Word | Central Arkansas | 13 | 38 | 0.255 | 0.484 | 0.248 | -0.00249 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 22 | 25 | 0.468 | 0.398 | 0.334 | -0.00095 |
Mississippi Valley State | Central Arkansas | 4 | 34 | 0.105 | 0.411 | 0.155 | -0.00415 |
McNeese State | McNeese State | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.502 | 0.403 | 0.00028 |
McNeese State | McNeese State | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.502 | 0.403 | 0.00028 |
McNeese State | McNeese State | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.502 | 0.403 | 0.00028 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | neutral | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 | -0.00027 |
Southeastern Louisiana | Central Arkansas | 40 | 21 | 0.656 | 0.518 | 0.458 | 0.00126 |
Southeastern Louisiana | Central Arkansas | 40 | 21 | 0.656 | 0.518 | 0.458 | 0.00126 |
Southeastern Louisiana | Central Arkansas | 40 | 21 | 0.656 | 0.518 | 0.458 | 0.00126 |
Lamar | neutral | 35 | 19 | 0.648 | 0.504 | 0.450 | 0.00112 |
Sam Houston State | neutral | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.513 | 0.456 | 0.00123 |
Stephen F. Austin State | neutral | 30 | 30 | 0.500 | 0.524 | 0.381 | -0.00011 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Arkansas | 117.64 | 26 | 29 | 0.473 | 0.542 | 0.372 |
Arkansas State | 113.66 | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.525 | 0.381 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | 25.54 | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 65.70 | 22 | 25 | 0.468 | 0.398 | 0.334 |
Memphis | 143.28 | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Alcorn State | 234.36 | 13 | 36 | 0.265 | 0.413 | 0.236 |
Grambling State | 177.31 | 17 | 27 | 0.386 | 0.392 | 0.291 |
Jackson State | 232.23 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.361 | 0.335 |
Louisiana Tech | 176.74 | 42 | 20 | 0.677 | 0.514 | 0.467 |
Louisiana-Monroe | 177.71 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.549 | 0.319 |
Mississippi | 173.74 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 |
Mississippi State | 237.33 | 44 | 18 | 0.710 | 0.570 | 0.497 |
Missouri | 266.28 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 |
Missouri State | 154.00 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 |
Murray State | 255.20 | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 |
Northwestern State | 233.38 | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.542 | 0.425 |
Oklahoma | 281.80 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.547 | 0.400 |
Oklahoma State | 268.47 | 43 | 22 | 0.662 | 0.550 | 0.469 |
Oral Roberts | 207.11 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.501 | 0.447 |
Southeast Missouri State | 224.28 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 |
Southern Illinois | 255.42 | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 289.94 | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 |
St. Louis | 274.61 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 |
Stephen F. Austin State | 270.56 | 30 | 30 | 0.500 | 0.524 | 0.381 |
Tennessee-Martin | 219.33 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.477 | 0.292 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |