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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Chicago State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.434
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.461
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.33225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
McNeese State McNeese State 26 21 0.553 0.491 0.399 0.00148
Southern Mississippi neutral 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00191
Missouri neutral 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 0.00046
Savannah State Savannah State 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00056
Savannah State Savannah State 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00056
Savannah State Savannah State 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307 -0.00056
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 23 19 0.548 0.446 0.386 0.00119
St. Bonaventure neutral 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00156
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 23 19 0.548 0.446 0.386 0.00119
Lehigh neutral 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364 0.00071
Northwestern State Northwestern State 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401 0.00153
Northwestern State Northwestern State 26 21 0.553 0.496 0.401 0.00153
McNeese State neutral 26 21 0.553 0.491 0.399 0.00148
Valparaiso Chicago State 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324 -0.00018
Illinois-Chicago Chicago State 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 0.00095
South Dakota State Chicago State 20 23 0.465 0.439 0.342 0.00022
South Dakota State Chicago State 20 23 0.465 0.439 0.342 0.00022
South Dakota State Chicago State 20 23 0.465 0.439 0.342 0.00022
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 20 0.556 0.470 0.396 0.00142
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 20 0.556 0.470 0.396 0.00142
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 20 0.556 0.470 0.396 0.00142
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Chicago State 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296 -0.00081
Utah Valley Chicago State 22 24 0.478 0.450 0.351 0.00042
Utah Valley Chicago State 22 24 0.478 0.450 0.351 0.00042
Utah Valley Chicago State 22 24 0.478 0.450 0.351 0.00042
Notre Dame Chicago State 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00072
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 0.00095
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00018
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00018
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00018
Northwestern Chicago State 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00143
Northwestern Chicago State 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00143
North Dakota Chicago State 9 23 0.281 0.444 0.252 -0.00178
North Dakota Chicago State 9 23 0.281 0.444 0.252 -0.00178
North Dakota Chicago State 9 23 0.281 0.444 0.252 -0.00178
Northwestern Northwestern 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00143
Texas-Pan American Chicago State 19 27 0.413 0.495 0.330 -0.00005
Texas-Pan American Chicago State 19 27 0.413 0.495 0.330 -0.00005
Texas-Pan American Chicago State 19 27 0.413 0.495 0.330 -0.00005
Valparaiso Valparaiso 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324 -0.00018
Cal State Sacramento Cal State Sacramento 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428 0.00213
Cal State Sacramento Cal State Sacramento 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428 0.00213
Cal State Sacramento Cal State Sacramento 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428 0.00213
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296 -0.00081
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296 -0.00081

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 125.51 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Butler 149.57 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
IPFW 136.14 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Illinois 116.46 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 110.14 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 10.56 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Northern Illinois 62.24 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northwestern 24.73 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Notre Dame 71.16 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Purdue 94.87 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Valparaiso 34.55 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Western Michigan 110.17 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 97.16 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 154.00 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bowling Green State 207.01 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Central Michigan 192.81 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Cincinnati 241.65 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 224.72 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Illinois 157.48 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Michigan 206.71 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 258.43 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Indiana 184.54 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 154.89 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Iowa 203.69 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420
Louisville 261.45 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 214.21 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Michigan 202.10 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 174.32 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Northern Kentucky 248.65 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Oakland 234.53 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Ohio State 266.82 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Southern Illinois 290.10 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 238.27 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 253.89 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Toledo 207.12 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Western Illinois 181.86 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330
Wright State 229.15 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 241.89 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation