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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cincinnati
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.538 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.519 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.39875 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Louisiana State | Louisiana State | 45 | 21 | 0.682 | 0.599 | 0.491 | 0.00165 |
Louisiana State | Louisiana State | 45 | 21 | 0.682 | 0.599 | 0.491 | 0.00165 |
Louisiana State | Louisiana State | 45 | 21 | 0.682 | 0.599 | 0.491 | 0.00165 |
Western Kentucky | neutral | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 | -0.00078 |
Georgia | Georgia | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 | -0.00016 |
South Alabama | neutral | 42 | 22 | 0.656 | 0.525 | 0.459 | 0.00108 |
Tennessee | Tennessee | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 | -0.00016 |
Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 | 0.00218 |
Ball State | neutral | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | -0.00023 |
Ball State | neutral | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | -0.00023 |
Mississippi | neutral | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 | 0.00167 |
Kentucky | Kentucky | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 | 0.00031 |
Canisius | Cincinnati | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 | -0.00035 |
Canisius | Cincinnati | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 | -0.00035 |
Canisius | Cincinnati | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 | -0.00035 |
Canisius | Cincinnati | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 | -0.00035 |
Miami, Ohio | Cincinnati | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 | -0.00075 |
Northwestern | Cincinnati | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00244 |
Northwestern | Cincinnati | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00244 |
Northwestern | Cincinnati | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00244 |
Xavier | Cincinnati | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | -0.00010 |
Xavier | Cincinnati | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | -0.00010 |
Xavier | Xavier | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | -0.00010 |
Indiana | Indiana | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00018 |
South Florida | Cincinnati | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.527 | 0.342 | -0.00101 |
South Florida | Cincinnati | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.527 | 0.342 | -0.00101 |
South Florida | Cincinnati | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.527 | 0.342 | -0.00101 |
Wright State | Cincinnati | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00152 |
Indiana | Cincinnati | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00018 |
Connecticut | Cincinnati | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 | 0.00056 |
Connecticut | Cincinnati | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 | 0.00056 |
Connecticut | Cincinnati | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 | 0.00056 |
Wright State | neutral | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00152 |
Xavier | neutral | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | -0.00010 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00117 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00117 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00117 |
Ohio State | Ohio State | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00129 |
Memphis | Cincinnati | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00164 |
Memphis | Cincinnati | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00164 |
Memphis | Cincinnati | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00164 |
East Carolina | East Carolina | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00093 |
East Carolina | East Carolina | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00093 |
Louisville | Louisville | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00243 |
Central Florida | Central Florida | 26 | 33 | 0.441 | 0.536 | 0.355 | -0.00078 |
Central Florida | Central Florida | 26 | 33 | 0.441 | 0.536 | 0.355 | -0.00078 |
Central Florida | Central Florida | 26 | 33 | 0.441 | 0.536 | 0.355 | -0.00078 |
Houston | Cincinnati | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00072 |
Houston | Cincinnati | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00072 |
Houston | Cincinnati | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00072 |
Western Carolina | Cincinnati | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 | -0.00028 |
Memphis | Memphis | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00164 |
Memphis | Memphis | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00164 |
Memphis | Memphis | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 | -0.00164 |
Houston | neutral | 36 | 23 | 0.610 | 0.534 | 0.439 | 0.00072 |
Central Florida | neutral | 26 | 33 | 0.441 | 0.536 | 0.355 | -0.00078 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Ball State | 89.35 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Butler | 101.12 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 |
Dayton | 44.96 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 |
Eastern Kentucky | 96.98 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 |
IPFW | 140.92 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.413 | 0.367 |
Indiana | 107.44 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 |
Kentucky | 76.14 | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 |
Louisville | 92.81 | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 |
Miami, Ohio | 28.97 | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 |
Morehead State | 87.34 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Northern Kentucky | 7.48 | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 |
Ohio | 129.40 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Ohio State | 99.88 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 |
Wright State | 51.68 | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 |
Xavier | 2.44 | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Akron | 207.87 | 0.000 | ||||
Appalachian State | 253.81 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Austin Peay State | 236.90 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Belmont | 240.79 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Bowling Green State | 162.38 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 |
Bradley | 290.11 | 25 | 21 | 0.543 | 0.486 | 0.393 |
Chicago State | 241.65 | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 |
East Tennessee State | 227.46 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Eastern Illinois | 197.54 | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 |
Eastern Michigan | 220.81 | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 |
Evansville | 181.58 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 |
Illinois | 208.76 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 |
Illinois State | 256.55 | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 |
Illinois-Chicago | 250.70 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 |
Indiana State | 157.03 | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 |
Kent State | 217.42 | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 |
Lipscomb | 243.68 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Marshall | 164.75 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Michigan | 220.56 | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 |
Michigan State | 248.90 | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 |
Middle Tennessee State | 248.24 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.539 | 0.317 |
Murray State | 270.19 | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 265.07 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
Northern Illinois | 296.20 | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 |
Northwestern | 262.70 | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 |
Notre Dame | 198.95 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 |
Oakland | 254.12 | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 |
Pittsburgh | 257.93 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
Purdue | 157.43 | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 |
Radford | 256.09 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Southern Illinois | 273.16 | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 296.58 | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 |
Tennessee | 222.05 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
Tennessee Tech | 211.17 | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 0.439 | 0.392 |
Toledo | 180.14 | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 |
VMI | 289.57 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Valparaiso | 208.69 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 |
Vanderbilt | 241.50 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Virginia Tech | 258.38 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
West Virginia | 244.45 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Western Carolina | 274.48 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
Western Kentucky | 182.24 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
Western Michigan | 225.33 | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 |
Youngstown State | 245.32 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |