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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for The Citadel

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.530
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.504
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.391


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Virginia Tech The Citadel 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00098
Louisville The Citadel 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524 0.00277
West Virginia The Citadel 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446 0.00115
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00248
Oklahoma neutral 26 23 0.531 0.546 0.402 0.00023
Ohio State neutral 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00035
Central Florida Central Florida 29 19 0.604 0.558 0.442 0.00106
Rhode Island The Citadel 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00290
North Carolina-Charlotte The Citadel 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00181
Nebraska The Citadel 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00142
Nebraska The Citadel 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00142
Nebraska The Citadel 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00142
Toledo The Citadel 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00119
College of Charleston The Citadel 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00144
College of Charleston College of Charleston 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00144
College of Charleston The Citadel 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00144
South Carolina-Upstate The Citadel 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00248
Davidson Davidson 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00123
Davidson Davidson 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00123
Davidson Davidson 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00123
Winthrop Winthrop 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348 -0.00090
Samford The Citadel 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00079
Samford The Citadel 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00079
Samford The Citadel 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00079
Coastal Carolina The Citadel 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00079
Charleston Southern The Citadel 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 -0.00017
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00033
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00033
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00033
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00079
Georgia Southern The Citadel 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00077
Georgia Southern The Citadel 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00077
Georgia Southern The Citadel 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00077
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 -0.00021
Appalachian State Appalachian State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00169
Appalachian State Appalachian State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00169
Appalachian State Appalachian State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00169
South Carolina The Citadel 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00235
Western Carolina Western Carolina 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00160
Western Carolina Western Carolina 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00160
Winthrop The Citadel 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348 -0.00090
Furman The Citadel 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00138
Furman The Citadel 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00138
Furman The Citadel 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00138
Wofford The Citadel 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00050
Wofford The Citadel 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00050
Wofford The Citadel 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00050
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 -0.00017

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 14.65 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Coastal Carolina 88.98 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 3.43 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Georgia Southern 108.84 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
Savannah State 83.43 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 103.53 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 256.09 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Bethune-Cookman 255.11 22 28 0.440 0.465 0.336
Campbell 194.10 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Central Florida 298.05 29 19 0.604 0.558 0.442
Clemson 211.04 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Davidson 194.10 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 228.99 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 243.83 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
East Tennessee State 278.95 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Elon 230.66 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Florida 259.01 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493
Furman 204.79 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 195.67 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
Georgia 212.70 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia State 257.10 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 264.95 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
High Point 220.02 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Jacksonville 194.43 15 28 0.349 0.579 0.319
Kennesaw State 279.95 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Mercer 214.43 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
North Carolina 221.51 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 227.46 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 229.99 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 219.55 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Asheville 245.69 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.54 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 226.55 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 155.72 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
North Florida 196.25 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349
Presbyterian 159.12 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
South Carolina-Upstate 191.46 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Stetson 272.38 20 30 0.400 0.517 0.329
Wake Forest 231.30 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Western Carolina 253.08 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Winthrop 160.79 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 187.66 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation