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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for The Citadel

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.569
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.486
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.406


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Air Force The Citadel 18 20 0.474 0.469 0.354 -0.00130
Air Force The Citadel 18 20 0.474 0.469 0.354 -0.00130
Air Force The Citadel 18 20 0.474 0.469 0.354 -0.00130
North Florida North Florida 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479 0.00183
College of Charleston College of Charleston 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515 0.00273
College of Charleston The Citadel 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515 0.00273
College of Charleston College of Charleston 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515 0.00273
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00053
Alabama State The Citadel 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458 0.00130
Alabama State The Citadel 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458 0.00130
Coastal Carolina The Citadel 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00195
Elon The Citadel 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 -0.00035
Elon The Citadel 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 -0.00035
Elon The Citadel 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 -0.00035
Lafayette The Citadel 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302 -0.00260
Lafayette The Citadel 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302 -0.00260
Lafayette The Citadel 10 19 0.345 0.519 0.302 -0.00260
Georgia Southern The Citadel 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427 0.00053
Winthrop The Citadel 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00140
Maryland-Baltimore County The Citadel 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379 -0.00067
Maryland-Baltimore County The Citadel 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379 -0.00067
Maryland-Baltimore County The Citadel 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379 -0.00067
Winthrop Winthrop 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00140
Western Carolina Western Carolina 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00152
Western Carolina Western Carolina 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00152
Western Carolina Western Carolina 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00152
South Carolina The Citadel 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00083
Mercer The Citadel 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00063
Mercer The Citadel 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00063
Mercer The Citadel 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00063
South Carolina South Carolina 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00083
Wofford The Citadel 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00070
Wofford The Citadel 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00070
Wofford The Citadel 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434 0.00070
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00147
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00147
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00147
Charleston Southern The Citadel 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00097
North Florida The Citadel 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479 0.00183
VMI The Citadel 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310 -0.00240
VMI The Citadel 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310 -0.00240
VMI The Citadel 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310 -0.00240

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 14.65 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Coastal Carolina 88.98 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 3.43 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Georgia Southern 108.84 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
Savannah State 83.43 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Carolina 103.53 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 256.09 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Bethune-Cookman 255.11 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277
Campbell 194.10 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Central Florida 298.05 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441
Clemson 211.04 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Davidson 194.10 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Duke 228.99 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Carolina 243.83 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
East Tennessee State 278.95 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Elon 230.66 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Florida 259.01 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515
Furman 204.79 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 195.67 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
Georgia 212.70 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia State 257.10 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 264.95 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
High Point 220.02 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Jacksonville 194.43 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362
Kennesaw State 279.95 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Mercer 214.43 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
North Carolina 221.51 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 227.46 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 229.99 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 219.55 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Asheville 245.69 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.54 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 226.55 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
North Carolina-Wilmington 155.72 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
North Florida 196.25 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479
Presbyterian 159.12 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
South Carolina-Upstate 191.46 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Stetson 272.38 22 21 0.512 0.530 0.389
Wake Forest 231.30 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Western Carolina 253.08 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Winthrop 160.79 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 187.66 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation