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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Connecticut

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:10 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.514
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.516
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.386


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 17 34 0.333 0.549 0.304 -0.00146
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 17 34 0.333 0.549 0.304 -0.00146
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 17 34 0.333 0.549 0.304 -0.00146
Missouri State neutral 35 19 0.648 0.476 0.443 0.00102
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 33 21 0.611 0.497 0.430 0.00079
Alcorn State neutral 13 36 0.265 0.420 0.237 -0.00266
Liberty Liberty 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395 0.00016
Liberty Liberty 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395 0.00016
Liberty Liberty 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395 0.00016
Yale Connecticut 18 28 0.391 0.489 0.318 -0.00121
William and Mary neutral 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367 -0.00034
William and Mary neutral 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367 -0.00034
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 32 20 0.615 0.450 0.420 0.00061
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 32 20 0.615 0.450 0.420 0.00061
Southern California Southern California 26 27 0.491 0.553 0.384 -0.00004
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 36 16 0.692 0.551 0.484 0.00175
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 36 16 0.692 0.551 0.484 0.00175
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 36 16 0.692 0.551 0.484 0.00175
Central Connecticut State Connecticut 23 32 0.418 0.507 0.336 -0.00089
Columbia Columbia 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333 -0.00095
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333 -0.00095
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333 -0.00095
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.541 0.439 0.00095
Tulane Connecticut 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00162
Tulane Connecticut 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00162
Hartford Hartford 36 16 0.692 0.486 0.467 0.00145
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367 -0.00034
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367 -0.00034
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367 -0.00034
Fairfield Connecticut 30 24 0.556 0.431 0.386 0.00000
Bryant Connecticut 44 10 0.815 0.464 0.523 0.00245
Houston Connecticut 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00089
Houston Connecticut 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00089
Houston Connecticut 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00089
Massachusetts Massachusetts 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313 -0.00130
Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell 20 32 0.385 0.496 0.317 -0.00123
East Carolina East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00121
East Carolina East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00121
East Carolina East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00121
Holy Cross Holy Cross 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 -0.00021
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00166
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00166
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00166
East Carolina Connecticut 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00121
East Carolina Connecticut 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00121
East Carolina Connecticut 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00121
Massachusetts Connecticut 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313 -0.00130
Northeastern Northeastern 30 26 0.536 0.454 0.382 -0.00007
Central Florida Connecticut 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00046
Central Florida Connecticut 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00046
Central Florida Connecticut 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00046
Rhode Island Connecticut 27 25 0.519 0.497 0.384 -0.00004
South Florida South Florida 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00063
South Florida South Florida 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00063
South Florida South Florida 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00063
Memphis neutral 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00166
South Florida neutral 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00063

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 100.56 22 28 0.440 0.467 0.337
Army 92.14 16 32 0.333 0.491 0.289
Boston College 67.11 31 20 0.608 0.541 0.439
Brown 44.47 15 24 0.385 0.465 0.309
Bryant 37.87 44 10 0.815 0.464 0.523
Central Connecticut State 26.92 23 32 0.418 0.507 0.336
Columbia 107.24 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333
Dartmouth 131.39 18 25 0.419 0.460 0.325
Fairfield 68.00 30 24 0.556 0.431 0.386
Fairleigh Dickinson 110.87 26 26 0.500 0.412 0.353
Fordham 106.40 29 27 0.518 0.450 0.371
Hartford 23.62 36 16 0.692 0.486 0.467
Harvard 69.85 17 24 0.415 0.449 0.320
Hofstra 102.09 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266
Holy Cross 38.09 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Iona 99.42 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226
LIU Brooklyn 117.80 19 35 0.352 0.465 0.292
Manhattan 105.82 23 30 0.434 0.464 0.333
Marist 86.63 24 26 0.480 0.425 0.346
Massachusetts 43.20 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313
Massachusetts-Lowell 76.04 20 32 0.385 0.496 0.317
Monmouth 139.32 29 26 0.527 0.457 0.378
New Jersey Tech 123.12 16 36 0.308 0.480 0.274
New York Tech 97.79 17 26 0.395 0.406 0.299
Northeastern 69.37 30 26 0.536 0.454 0.382
Quinnipiac 41.99 21 31 0.404 0.459 0.317
Rhode Island 43.03 27 25 0.519 0.497 0.384
Rutgers 143.76 27 28 0.491 0.533 0.379
Sacred Heart 64.86 29 26 0.527 0.453 0.377
Seton Hall 126.65 38 18 0.679 0.436 0.449
Siena 99.28 23 30 0.434 0.418 0.322
St. John's 109.05 27 24 0.529 0.487 0.386
St. Peter's 120.89 10 42 0.192 0.427 0.203
Stony Brook 75.40 25 25 0.500 0.474 0.368
Wagner 123.73 19 33 0.365 0.463 0.298
Yale 49.69 18 28 0.391 0.489 0.318

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 192.11 27 23 0.540 0.476 0.389
Bucknell 247.30 18 34 0.346 0.474 0.291
Coppin State 297.18 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Cornell 220.94 14 22 0.389 0.450 0.307
Delaware 234.93 31 22 0.585 0.477 0.412
Delaware State 250.04 13 37 0.260 0.445 0.241
LaSalle 194.17 15 39 0.278 0.460 0.254
Lafayette 171.31 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279
Lehigh 181.83 23 29 0.442 0.446 0.333
Maine 280.10 17 34 0.333 0.501 0.292
Maryland-Baltimore County 292.68 28 23 0.549 0.453 0.388
Navy 295.80 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477
Penn State 298.28 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385
Pennsylvania 199.97 19 22 0.463 0.438 0.341
Princeton 160.01 24 19 0.558 0.499 0.404
Rider 166.83 18 33 0.353 0.455 0.290
St. Joseph's 199.75 29 22 0.569 0.483 0.405
Temple 190.45 0.000
Towson 282.53 20 35 0.364 0.495 0.306
Villanova 196.09 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation