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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Connecticut

Last updated: Thu Jun 30 06:47:25 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.516
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.519
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 17 34 0.333 0.540 0.301 -0.00138
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 17 34 0.333 0.540 0.301 -0.00138
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 17 34 0.333 0.540 0.301 -0.00138
Missouri State neutral 38 21 0.644 0.486 0.444 0.00089
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422 0.00054
Alcorn State neutral 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236 -0.00241
Liberty Liberty 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 0.00008
Liberty Liberty 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 0.00008
Liberty Liberty 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 0.00008
Yale Connecticut 18 28 0.391 0.484 0.317 -0.00112
William and Mary neutral 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00004
William and Mary neutral 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00004
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00040
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413 0.00040
Southern California Southern California 28 28 0.500 0.553 0.388 0.00000
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00146
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00146
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00146
Central Connecticut State Connecticut 23 34 0.404 0.505 0.328 -0.00095
Columbia Columbia 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331 -0.00090
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331 -0.00090
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331 -0.00090
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00089
Tulane Connecticut 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00121
Tulane Connecticut 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00121
Hartford Hartford 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457 0.00110
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00033
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00033
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00033
Fairfield Connecticut 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00003
Bryant Connecticut 47 12 0.797 0.467 0.515 0.00202
Houston Connecticut 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00081
Houston Connecticut 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00081
Houston Connecticut 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00081
Massachusetts Massachusetts 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313 -0.00119
Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell 20 32 0.385 0.491 0.315 -0.00115
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00100
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00100
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00100
Holy Cross Holy Cross 28 27 0.509 0.472 0.372 -0.00025
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00128
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00128
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00128
East Carolina Connecticut 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00100
East Carolina Connecticut 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00100
East Carolina Connecticut 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00100
Massachusetts Connecticut 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313 -0.00119
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 -0.00012
Central Florida Connecticut 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00052
Central Florida Connecticut 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00052
Central Florida Connecticut 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00052
Rhode Island Connecticut 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00010
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00073
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00073
South Florida South Florida 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00073
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00128
South Florida neutral 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00073
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00128
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00128
Houston neutral 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00081
Georgia Tech neutral 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00094
Florida neutral 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00232
Georgia Tech neutral 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00094

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 100.56 23 30 0.434 0.460 0.332
Army 92.14 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288
Boston College 67.11 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444
Brown 44.47 15 24 0.385 0.461 0.308
Bryant 37.87 47 12 0.797 0.467 0.515
Central Connecticut State 26.92 23 34 0.404 0.505 0.328
Columbia 107.24 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331
Dartmouth 131.39 18 25 0.419 0.456 0.324
Fairfield 68.00 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Fairleigh Dickinson 110.87 28 28 0.500 0.418 0.354
Fordham 106.40 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362
Hartford 23.62 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457
Harvard 69.85 17 24 0.415 0.446 0.319
Hofstra 102.09 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266
Holy Cross 38.09 28 27 0.509 0.472 0.372
Iona 99.42 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225
LIU Brooklyn 117.80 19 35 0.352 0.455 0.290
Manhattan 105.82 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333
Marist 86.63 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Massachusetts 43.20 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313
Massachusetts-Lowell 76.04 20 32 0.385 0.491 0.315
Monmouth 139.32 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376
New Jersey Tech 123.12 16 36 0.308 0.476 0.273
New York Tech 97.79 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298
Northeastern 69.37 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380
Quinnipiac 41.99 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316
Rhode Island 43.03 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394
Rutgers 143.76 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Sacred Heart 64.86 30 28 0.517 0.460 0.373
Seton Hall 126.65 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438
Siena 99.28 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325
St. John's 109.05 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382
St. Peter's 120.89 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202
Stony Brook 75.40 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369
Wagner 123.73 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296
Yale 49.69 18 28 0.391 0.484 0.317

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 192.11 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395
Bucknell 247.30 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290
Coppin State 297.18 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Cornell 220.94 14 22 0.389 0.445 0.306
Delaware 234.93 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
Delaware State 250.04 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
LaSalle 194.17 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253
Lafayette 171.31 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278
Lehigh 181.83 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332
Maine 280.10 17 35 0.327 0.499 0.288
Maryland-Baltimore County 292.68 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Navy 295.80 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Penn State 298.28 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383
Pennsylvania 199.97 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340
Princeton 160.01 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392
Rider 166.83 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289
St. Joseph's 199.75 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408
Temple 190.45 0.000
Towson 282.53 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Villanova 196.09 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation