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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Connecticut

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:22 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.528
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.517
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 14 27 0.341 0.560 0.310 -0.00198
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 14 27 0.341 0.560 0.310 -0.00198
Texas-San Antonio Texas-San Antonio 14 27 0.341 0.560 0.310 -0.00198
Missouri State neutral 28 13 0.683 0.453 0.455 0.00147
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 26 16 0.619 0.531 0.442 0.00116
Alcorn State neutral 11 27 0.289 0.417 0.249 -0.00343
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380 -0.00032
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380 -0.00032
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380 -0.00032
Yale Connecticut 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312 -0.00193
William and Mary neutral 22 22 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00024
William and Mary neutral 22 22 0.500 0.533 0.383 -0.00024
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430 0.00088
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430 0.00088
Southern California Southern California 20 22 0.476 0.546 0.374 -0.00046
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 28 10 0.737 0.563 0.509 0.00276
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 28 10 0.737 0.563 0.509 0.00276
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 28 10 0.737 0.563 0.509 0.00276
Central Connecticut State Connecticut 18 24 0.429 0.483 0.335 -0.00139
Columbia Columbia 17 24 0.415 0.490 0.330 -0.00151
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.490 0.330 -0.00151
Columbia Connecticut 17 24 0.415 0.490 0.330 -0.00151
Boston College Boston College 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420 0.00064
Tulane Connecticut 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470 0.00183
Tulane Connecticut 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470 0.00183
Hartford Hartford 28 12 0.700 0.479 0.470 0.00183
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381 -0.00029
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381 -0.00029
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381 -0.00029
Fairfield Connecticut 22 20 0.524 0.419 0.367 -0.00062
Bryant Connecticut 32 8 0.800 0.488 0.522 0.00307
Houston Connecticut 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00083
Houston Connecticut 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00083
Houston Connecticut 24 17 0.585 0.543 0.428 0.00083
Massachusetts Massachusetts 13 20 0.394 0.433 0.305 -0.00210
Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell 17 22 0.436 0.473 0.336 -0.00136
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.575 0.458 0.00154
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.575 0.458 0.00154
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.575 0.458 0.00154
Holy Cross Holy Cross 24 23 0.511 0.460 0.370 -0.00055
Memphis Memphis 14 30 0.318 0.496 0.283 -0.00263
Memphis Memphis 14 30 0.318 0.496 0.283 -0.00263
Memphis Memphis 14 30 0.318 0.496 0.283 -0.00263

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 100.56 16 22 0.421 0.477 0.330
Army 92.14 15 30 0.333 0.490 0.289
Boston College 67.11 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420
Brown 44.47 15 24 0.385 0.456 0.306
Bryant 37.87 32 8 0.800 0.488 0.522
Central Connecticut State 26.92 18 24 0.429 0.483 0.335
Columbia 107.24 17 24 0.415 0.490 0.330
Dartmouth 131.39 17 23 0.425 0.464 0.329
Fairfield 68.00 22 20 0.524 0.419 0.367
Fairleigh Dickinson 110.87 21 23 0.477 0.425 0.345
Fordham 106.40 23 23 0.500 0.443 0.361
Hartford 23.62 28 12 0.700 0.479 0.470
Harvard 69.85 16 23 0.410 0.455 0.319
Hofstra 102.09 13 29 0.310 0.495 0.279
Holy Cross 38.09 24 23 0.511 0.460 0.370
Iona 99.42 8 30 0.211 0.474 0.224
LIU Brooklyn 117.80 13 28 0.317 0.424 0.265
Manhattan 105.82 15 26 0.366 0.505 0.309
Marist 86.63 19 21 0.475 0.430 0.345
Massachusetts 43.20 13 20 0.394 0.433 0.305
Massachusetts-Lowell 76.04 17 22 0.436 0.473 0.336
Monmouth 139.32 23 20 0.535 0.463 0.383
New Jersey Tech 123.12 15 26 0.366 0.453 0.296
New York Tech 97.79 17 23 0.425 0.402 0.313
Northeastern 69.37 22 19 0.537 0.448 0.381
Quinnipiac 41.99 17 26 0.395 0.434 0.306
Rhode Island 43.03 19 21 0.475 0.524 0.368
Rutgers 143.76 22 22 0.500 0.569 0.392
Sacred Heart 64.86 22 18 0.550 0.479 0.395
Seton Hall 126.65 31 14 0.689 0.444 0.455
Siena 99.28 15 27 0.357 0.444 0.289
St. John's 109.05 21 19 0.525 0.460 0.378
St. Peter's 120.89 8 32 0.200 0.435 0.209
Stony Brook 75.40 19 19 0.500 0.484 0.371
Wagner 123.73 13 28 0.317 0.461 0.274
Yale 49.69 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 192.11 19 20 0.487 0.484 0.364
Bucknell 247.30 16 31 0.340 0.438 0.280
Coppin State 297.18 11 32 0.256 0.349 0.215
Cornell 220.94 14 22 0.389 0.450 0.307
Delaware 234.93 25 18 0.581 0.455 0.404
Delaware State 250.04 10 32 0.238 0.444 0.230
LaSalle 194.17 13 32 0.289 0.455 0.258
Lafayette 171.31 13 28 0.317 0.465 0.275
Lehigh 181.83 21 26 0.447 0.439 0.333
Maine 280.10 12 27 0.308 0.499 0.279
Maryland-Baltimore County 292.68 19 20 0.487 0.444 0.354
Navy 295.80 36 11 0.766 0.410 0.485
Penn State 298.28 25 20 0.556 0.509 0.405
Pennsylvania 199.97 19 22 0.463 0.428 0.339
Princeton 160.01 22 18 0.550 0.514 0.404
Rider 166.83 14 27 0.341 0.477 0.290
St. Joseph's 199.75 22 17 0.564 0.485 0.403
Temple 190.45 0.000
Towson 282.53 17 28 0.378 0.483 0.310
Villanova 196.09 15 27 0.357 0.491 0.301

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation