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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Davidson

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.486
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.489
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36525


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Marist Davidson 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00045
Buffalo Davidson 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00095
Air Force Davidson 29 27 0.518 0.458 0.373 0.00014
Wake Forest Wake Forest 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00109
Georgetown Davidson 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00028
Georgetown Davidson 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00028
Georgetown Davidson 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00028
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00127
Lafayette Davidson 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278 -0.00162
Lafayette Davidson 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278 -0.00162
Lafayette Davidson 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278 -0.00162
James Madison Davidson 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00037
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 0.00014
Indiana State neutral 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00138
Rhode Island neutral 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00053
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00251
Furman Davidson 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00024
Furman Davidson 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00024
Furman Davidson 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00024
Iona Davidson 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00260
Iona Davidson 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00260
Massachusetts Davidson 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313 -0.00097
Massachusetts Davidson 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313 -0.00097
Massachusetts Davidson 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313 -0.00097
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00168
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00079
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00079
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00079
Wake Forest Davidson 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00109
George Washington Davidson 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00058
George Washington Davidson 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00058
George Washington Davidson 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00058
Duke Davidson 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00127
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00033
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00033
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00033
Winthrop Winthrop 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 0.00016
Fordham Davidson 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 -0.00006
Fordham Davidson 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 -0.00006
Fordham Davidson 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 -0.00006
Winthrop Davidson 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 0.00016
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00063
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00063
St. Louis St. Louis 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00063
High Point Davidson 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00090
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00134
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00134
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00134
Virginia Commonwealth Davidson 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00168
St. Joseph's neutral 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00079
Virginia Commonwealth neutral 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00168
St. Joseph's neutral 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00079
Rhode Island neutral 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00053
Rhode Island neutral 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00053

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 68.31 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Campbell 118.66 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Clemson 127.02 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Duke 111.70 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Tennessee State 101.81 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Elon 85.60 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Furman 98.94 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 50.00 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 57.52 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
North Carolina 104.63 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 71.67 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 114.04 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 122.94 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Asheville 97.51 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 14.71 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 69.52 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Presbyterian 92.40 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 114.09 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
South Carolina 105.50 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 72.46 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Virginia Tech 120.70 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 54.40 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Western Carolina 132.51 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Winthrop 39.84 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 72.12 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 179.68 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Coastal Carolina 166.47 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521
College of Charleston 194.68 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
East Carolina 195.35 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Eastern Kentucky 246.09 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Georgia 180.15 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 219.14 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
Georgia State 232.32 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 234.56 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
James Madison 230.44 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Kennesaw State 235.32 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Kentucky 267.13 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Liberty 157.66 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 183.77 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Marshall 201.27 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Mercer 244.97 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
Morehead State 234.38 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Norfolk State 271.64 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Wilmington 190.14 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Ohio 272.98 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Old Dominion 270.05 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Richmond 232.59 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Savannah State 240.66 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
Tennessee 175.92 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 265.77 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
The Citadel 194.10 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
VMI 176.15 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 217.77 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 235.70 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
West Virginia 290.33 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
William and Mary 259.63 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation