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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Dayton

Last updated: Sun Jun 26 06:49:04 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.484
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.477
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36125


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Stony Brook neutral 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369 0.00014
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331 -0.00055
Kentucky neutral 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00100
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00030
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00030
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00030
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00096
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00096
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00096
Miami, Ohio Dayton 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00008
Wright State Dayton 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00223
Oakland Dayton 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00040
Oakland Dayton 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00040
Eastern Michigan Dayton 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00073
Ball State Ball State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00045
Ball State Ball State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00045
Ball State Ball State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00045
Ball State Ball State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00045
Toledo Dayton 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00126
St. Louis Dayton 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00055
St. Louis Dayton 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00055
St. Louis Dayton 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00055
Eastern Kentucky Dayton 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00046
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00008
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00172
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00172
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00172
Butler Dayton 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00222
George Mason George Mason 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00130
George Mason George Mason 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00130
George Mason George Mason 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00130
Ohio Dayton 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331 -0.00055
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00168
St. Bonaventure Dayton 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00021
St. Bonaventure Dayton 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00021
St. Bonaventure Dayton 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00021
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00126
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00110
George Washington Dayton 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00050
George Washington Dayton 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00050
George Washington Dayton 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00050
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00100
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00029
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00029
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00029
Rhode Island Rhode Island 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00060
Rhode Island Rhode Island 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00060
Rhode Island Rhode Island 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00060
Davidson Dayton 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00036
Davidson Dayton 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00036
Davidson Dayton 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00036
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00223
Fordham Fordham 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 0.00001
Fordham Fordham 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 0.00001
Fordham Fordham 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 0.00001

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 72.63 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Bowling Green State 117.66 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Butler 104.57 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Cincinnati 44.96 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Eastern Kentucky 138.19 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
IPFW 106.71 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Indiana 129.35 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Kentucky 119.00 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 134.81 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 32.08 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 114.39 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Northern Kentucky 50.78 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Ohio 115.14 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 65.26 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Toledo 135.53 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Wright State 8.99 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 42.93 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 169.16 0.000
Appalachian State 279.14 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Austin Peay State 279.52 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 285.16 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bradley 292.11 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Central Michigan 267.11 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Chicago State 224.72 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
East Tennessee State 256.89 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Illinois 212.47 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 176.70 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 216.47 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Illinois 214.81 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 259.05 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 232.68 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana State 171.93 35 21 0.625 0.510 0.440
James Madison 299.12 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Kent State 178.91 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Lipscomb 288.06 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Marshall 168.24 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Michigan 176.67 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 207.63 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Middle Tennessee State 293.14 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
North Carolina-Asheville 298.14 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Northern Illinois 283.42 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 243.27 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Notre Dame 172.09 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Oakland 209.50 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Pittsburgh 229.25 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Purdue 152.68 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Radford 267.39 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Tennessee 261.96 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 255.92 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
VMI 289.52 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Valparaiso 190.39 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Vanderbilt 285.83 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Virginia Tech 268.31 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
West Virginia 224.30 36 22 0.621 0.516 0.440
Western Kentucky 226.03 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Western Michigan 190.70 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Youngstown State 208.19 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation