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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Duke

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.564
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.526
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4135


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
California California 24 14 0.632 0.518 0.446 0.00079
California California 24 14 0.632 0.518 0.446 0.00079
California California 24 14 0.632 0.518 0.446 0.00079
Hartford Duke 14 22 0.389 0.430 0.302 -0.00272
Delaware State Duke 9 25 0.265 0.403 0.233 -0.00440
Iona Duke 12 26 0.316 0.420 0.263 -0.00367
North Carolina Central Duke 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324 -0.00218
Rider Duke 16 17 0.485 0.484 0.363 -0.00123
Rider Duke 16 17 0.485 0.484 0.363 -0.00123
Rider Duke 16 17 0.485 0.484 0.363 -0.00123
Liberty Duke 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449 0.00087
North Carolina North Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465 0.00126
North Carolina North Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465 0.00126
North Carolina North Carolina 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465 0.00126
Yale Duke 12 22 0.353 0.429 0.284 -0.00316
Bryant Duke 16 16 0.500 0.431 0.358 -0.00135
Georgia Tech Duke 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00091
Georgia Tech Duke 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00091
Georgia Tech Duke 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00091
Columbia Duke 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444 0.00074
Columbia Duke 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444 0.00074
Pittsburgh Duke 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00221
Pittsburgh Duke 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00221
Pittsburgh Duke 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00221
Liberty Liberty 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449 0.00087
Boston College neutral 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 -0.00011
Boston College neutral 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 -0.00011
Boston College neutral 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 -0.00011
Campbell Duke 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00035
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00223
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00223
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00223
Davidson Duke 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389 -0.00060
Richmond Duke 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411 -0.00006
Louisville Duke 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00250
Louisville Duke 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00250
Louisville Duke 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00250
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00030
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00030
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00101
Virginia Tech Duke 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00104
Virginia Tech Duke 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00104
Virginia Tech Duke 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00104

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 42.19 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Davidson 111.70 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
East Carolina 92.65 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
Elon 32.39 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
High Point 58.80 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Liberty 94.63 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 94.59 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
North Carolina 8.39 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 46.89 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 2.36 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 20.75 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Charlotte 111.44 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 48.82 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.76 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Radford 118.49 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Richmond 134.04 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
VMI 127.02 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia 143.53 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 136.19 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
Virginia Tech 117.70 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 73.62 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Winthrop 137.49 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 154.16 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Charleston Southern 217.83 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Clemson 238.17 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Coastal Carolina 157.95 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 227.85 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Coppin State 249.88 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
Delaware State 288.23 9 25 0.265 0.403 0.233
East Tennessee State 192.01 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Furman 210.42 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 161.66 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
George Mason 215.40 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 221.53 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 231.52 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
Georgia 288.53 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 294.98 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
James Madison 169.31 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Marshall 219.48 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Maryland 234.00 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.88 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.87 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Morehead State 289.82 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Mount St. Mary's 268.90 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 246.32 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
Norfolk State 160.20 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina-Asheville 204.87 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
Ohio 287.73 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Old Dominion 158.75 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Presbyterian 195.98 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
South Carolina 182.82 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
South Carolina-Upstate 183.51 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Tennessee 278.74 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
The Citadel 228.99 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
Towson 267.08 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
West Virginia 258.76 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Carolina 242.67 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
William and Mary 151.66 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361
Wofford 182.72 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation