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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Duke

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:57 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.523
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.519
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39125


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
California California 26 27 0.491 0.566 0.387 -0.00007
California California 26 27 0.491 0.566 0.387 -0.00007
California California 26 27 0.491 0.566 0.387 -0.00007
Hartford Duke 31 23 0.574 0.476 0.406 0.00025
Delaware State Duke 30 17 0.638 0.359 0.409 0.00031
Iona Duke 13 31 0.295 0.446 0.259 -0.00228
North Carolina Central Duke 17 33 0.340 0.425 0.276 -0.00199
Rider Duke 16 33 0.327 0.430 0.271 -0.00207
Rider Duke 16 33 0.327 0.430 0.271 -0.00207
Rider Duke 16 33 0.327 0.430 0.271 -0.00207

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 42.19 41 21 0.661 0.494 0.454
Davidson 111.70 29 19 0.604 0.494 0.425
East Carolina 92.65 33 26 0.559 0.529 0.412
Elon 32.39 27 26 0.509 0.510 0.382
High Point 58.80 33 22 0.600 0.526 0.431
Liberty 94.63 41 18 0.695 0.509 0.475
Longwood 94.59 22 33 0.400 0.481 0.320
North Carolina 8.39 35 27 0.565 0.565 0.424
North Carolina A&T 46.89 17 32 0.347 0.450 0.286
North Carolina Central 2.36 17 33 0.340 0.425 0.276
North Carolina State 20.75 32 23 0.582 0.533 0.424
North Carolina-Charlotte 111.44 19 31 0.380 0.539 0.325
North Carolina-Greensboro 48.82 21 28 0.429 0.490 0.337
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.76 30 27 0.526 0.535 0.397
Radford 118.49 33 23 0.589 0.500 0.419
Richmond 134.04 24 28 0.462 0.509 0.358
VMI 127.02 25 23 0.521 0.521 0.391
Virginia 143.53 53 16 0.768 0.576 0.528
Virginia Commonwealth 136.19 37 20 0.649 0.473 0.443
Virginia Tech 117.70 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341
Wake Forest 73.62 30 26 0.536 0.533 0.401
Winthrop 137.49 27 33 0.450 0.474 0.344

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 154.16 21 34 0.382 0.521 0.321
Charleston Southern 217.83 30 26 0.536 0.438 0.378
Clemson 238.17 36 25 0.590 0.540 0.430
Coastal Carolina 157.95 24 33 0.421 0.509 0.338
College of Charleston 227.85 44 19 0.698 0.501 0.474
Coppin State 249.88 12 34 0.261 0.442 0.241
Delaware State 288.23 30 17 0.638 0.359 0.409
East Tennessee State 192.01 27 30 0.474 0.502 0.362
Furman 210.42 26 33 0.441 0.502 0.346
Gardner-Webb 161.66 23 31 0.426 0.483 0.334
George Mason 215.40 34 22 0.607 0.486 0.425
George Washington 221.53 20 30 0.400 0.447 0.312
Georgetown 231.52 19 29 0.396 0.483 0.319
Georgia 288.53 26 29 0.473 0.590 0.384
Georgia Southern 294.98 40 23 0.635 0.486 0.439
James Madison 169.31 17 36 0.321 0.534 0.294
Marshall 219.48 16 31 0.340 0.488 0.292
Maryland 234.00 40 23 0.635 0.557 0.457
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.88 17 29 0.370 0.451 0.298
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.87 13 35 0.271 0.419 0.240
Morehead State 289.82 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361
Mount St. Mary's 268.90 17 24 0.415 0.452 0.321
Navy 246.32 22 28 0.440 0.443 0.331
Norfolk State 160.20 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
North Carolina-Asheville 204.87 13 40 0.245 0.486 0.244
Ohio 287.73 11 39 0.220 0.456 0.224
Old Dominion 158.75 36 26 0.581 0.564 0.431
Presbyterian 195.98 19 34 0.358 0.484 0.300
South Carolina 182.82 44 18 0.710 0.553 0.493
South Carolina-Upstate 183.51 17 38 0.309 0.480 0.274
Tennessee 278.74 31 23 0.574 0.541 0.422
The Citadel 228.99 24 34 0.414 0.524 0.338
Towson 267.08 22 25 0.468 0.516 0.363
West Virginia 258.76 28 26 0.519 0.551 0.397
Western Carolina 242.67 37 18 0.673 0.493 0.460
William and Mary 151.66 34 22 0.607 0.512 0.431
Wofford 182.72 32 28 0.533 0.469 0.384

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation