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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Duke

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:10 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.584
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.537
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.42625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
California Duke 30 20 0.600 0.516 0.429 0.00005
California Duke 30 20 0.600 0.516 0.429 0.00005
California Duke 30 20 0.600 0.516 0.429 0.00005
Campbell Duke 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 -0.00095
Ohio State neutral 39 17 0.696 0.493 0.471 0.00081
Liberty neutral 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395 -0.00057
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508 0.00149
Davidson Duke 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381 -0.00082
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 -0.00095
Toledo Duke 19 36 0.345 0.501 0.298 -0.00233
Toledo Duke 19 36 0.345 0.501 0.298 -0.00233
Toledo Duke 19 36 0.345 0.501 0.298 -0.00233
Penn State Duke 28 27 0.509 0.522 0.385 -0.00075
Virginia Duke 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00096
Virginia Duke 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00096
Virginia Duke 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00096
Maryland-Eastern Shore Duke 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260 -0.00302
North Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00061
North Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00061
North Carolina Duke 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00061
East Carolina Duke 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00050
Wake Forest Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 0.00009
Wake Forest Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 0.00009
Wake Forest Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 0.00009
Liberty Duke 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395 -0.00057
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462 0.00065
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462 0.00065
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462 0.00065
North Carolina-Greensboro Duke 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450 0.00043
Clemson Duke 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00107
Clemson Duke 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00107
Clemson Duke 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00107
Davidson Davidson 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381 -0.00082
North Carolina Central Duke 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00190
Miami, Florida Duke 42 10 0.808 0.600 0.554 0.00232
Miami, Florida Duke 42 10 0.808 0.600 0.554 0.00232
Miami, Florida Duke 42 10 0.808 0.600 0.554 0.00232
Liberty Liberty 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395 -0.00057
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304 -0.00222
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304 -0.00222
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304 -0.00222
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00190
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00087
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00087
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00087
Gardner-Webb Duke 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434 0.00014
Gardner-Webb Duke 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434 0.00014
Longwood Duke 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389 -0.00068
Norfolk State Duke 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383 -0.00079
Florida State Duke 35 19 0.648 0.594 0.473 0.00085
Florida State Duke 35 19 0.648 0.594 0.473 0.00085
Florida State Duke 35 19 0.648 0.594 0.473 0.00085
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00079
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00079
Wake Forest neutral 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 0.00009

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 42.19 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Davidson 111.70 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381
East Carolina 92.65 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454
Elon 32.39 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354
High Point 58.80 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420
Liberty 94.63 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395
Longwood 94.59 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389
North Carolina 8.39 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460
North Carolina A&T 46.89 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235
North Carolina Central 2.36 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 20.75 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474
North Carolina-Charlotte 111.44 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348
North Carolina-Greensboro 48.82 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.76 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Radford 118.49 18 38 0.321 0.540 0.295
Richmond 134.04 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
VMI 127.02 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Virginia 143.53 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479
Virginia Commonwealth 136.19 37 17 0.685 0.491 0.465
Virginia Tech 117.70 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wake Forest 73.62 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431
Winthrop 137.49 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 154.16 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Charleston Southern 217.83 19 33 0.365 0.491 0.305
Clemson 238.17 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
Coastal Carolina 157.95 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508
College of Charleston 227.85 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418
Coppin State 249.88 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Delaware State 288.23 13 37 0.260 0.445 0.241
East Tennessee State 192.01 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344
Furman 210.42 28 28 0.500 0.525 0.381
Gardner-Webb 161.66 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434
George Mason 215.40 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291
George Washington 221.53 24 32 0.429 0.496 0.339
Georgetown 231.52 24 29 0.453 0.501 0.352
Georgia 288.53 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393
Georgia Southern 294.98 34 23 0.596 0.502 0.423
James Madison 169.31 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353
Marshall 219.48 33 19 0.635 0.521 0.448
Maryland 234.00 29 25 0.537 0.569 0.411
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.88 28 23 0.549 0.453 0.388
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.87 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Morehead State 289.82 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403
Mount St. Mary's 268.90 11 37 0.229 0.438 0.224
Navy 246.32 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477
Norfolk State 160.20 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina-Asheville 204.87 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
Ohio 287.73 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Old Dominion 158.75 32 23 0.582 0.526 0.422
Presbyterian 195.98 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354
South Carolina 182.82 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516
South Carolina-Upstate 183.51 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Tennessee 278.74 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
The Citadel 228.99 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272
Towson 267.08 20 35 0.364 0.495 0.306
West Virginia 258.76 34 21 0.618 0.511 0.437
Western Carolina 242.67 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370
William and Mary 151.66 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367
Wofford 182.72 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation