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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Duke

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:02 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.581
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.542
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.426


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
California Duke 24 16 0.600 0.548 0.437 0.00024
California Duke 24 16 0.600 0.548 0.437 0.00024
California Duke 24 16 0.600 0.548 0.437 0.00024
Campbell Duke 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381 -0.00100
Ohio State neutral 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447 0.00047
Liberty neutral 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380 -0.00102
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00147
Davidson Duke 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369 -0.00127
Campbell Campbell 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381 -0.00100
Toledo Duke 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237 -0.00420
Toledo Duke 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237 -0.00420
Toledo Duke 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237 -0.00420
Penn State Duke 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406 -0.00044
Virginia Duke 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00096
Virginia Duke 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00096
Virginia Duke 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00096
Maryland-Eastern Shore Duke 14 29 0.326 0.368 0.255 -0.00380
North Carolina Duke 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00107
North Carolina Duke 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00107
North Carolina Duke 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00107
East Carolina Duke 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458 0.00071
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448 0.00049
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448 0.00049
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448 0.00049
Liberty Duke 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380 -0.00102
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483 0.00127
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483 0.00127
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483 0.00127
North Carolina-Greensboro Duke 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483 0.00127
Clemson Duke 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475 0.00109
Clemson Duke 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475 0.00109
Clemson Duke 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475 0.00109
Davidson Davidson 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369 -0.00127
North Carolina Central Duke 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00204
Miami, Florida Duke 31 8 0.795 0.594 0.546 0.00267
Miami, Florida Duke 31 8 0.795 0.594 0.546 0.00267
Miami, Florida Duke 31 8 0.795 0.594 0.546 0.00267
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380 -0.00102
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00278
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00278
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00278
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00204
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00189
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00189
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00189

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 42.19 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381
Davidson 111.70 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
East Carolina 92.65 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458
Elon 32.39 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369
High Point 58.80 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Liberty 94.63 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Longwood 94.59 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
North Carolina 8.39 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 46.89 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina Central 2.36 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
North Carolina State 20.75 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Charlotte 111.44 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 48.82 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.76 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507
Radford 118.49 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
Richmond 134.04 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397
VMI 127.02 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Virginia 143.53 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469
Virginia Commonwealth 136.19 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456
Virginia Tech 117.70 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wake Forest 73.62 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448
Winthrop 137.49 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 154.16 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Charleston Southern 217.83 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302
Clemson 238.17 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475
Coastal Carolina 157.95 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
College of Charleston 227.85 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412
Coppin State 249.88 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
Delaware State 288.23 11 33 0.250 0.449 0.237
East Tennessee State 192.01 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Furman 210.42 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364
Gardner-Webb 161.66 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
George Mason 215.40 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
George Washington 221.53 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 231.52 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358
Georgia 288.53 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407
Georgia Southern 294.98 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417
James Madison 169.31 18 26 0.409 0.500 0.330
Marshall 219.48 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Maryland 234.00 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.88 20 20 0.500 0.445 0.361
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.87 14 29 0.326 0.368 0.255
Morehead State 289.82 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
Mount St. Mary's 268.90 11 29 0.275 0.366 0.229
Navy 246.32 37 12 0.755 0.409 0.480
Norfolk State 160.20 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368
North Carolina-Asheville 204.87 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
Ohio 287.73 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Old Dominion 158.75 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441
Presbyterian 195.98 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
South Carolina 182.82 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541
South Carolina-Upstate 183.51 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
Tennessee 278.74 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405
The Citadel 228.99 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290
Towson 267.08 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
West Virginia 258.76 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Carolina 242.67 22 21 0.512 0.520 0.386
William and Mary 151.66 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wofford 182.72 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation