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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina

Last updated: Sat Jul 30 06:40:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.558
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.527
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41075


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Longwood East Carolina 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00036
Longwood East Carolina 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00036
Longwood East Carolina 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00036
North Carolina A&T East Carolina 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00291
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00082
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00082
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00082
Elon East Carolina 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00093
Southeastern Louisiana East Carolina 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00077
Tennessee East Carolina 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00034
Maryland East Carolina 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 -0.00011
George Mason East Carolina 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00198
George Mason East Carolina 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00198
Rice Rice 38 24 0.613 0.577 0.451 0.00066
Rice Rice 38 24 0.613 0.577 0.451 0.00066
Rice Rice 38 24 0.613 0.577 0.451 0.00066
North Carolina East Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00074
Monmouth East Carolina 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 -0.00057
Monmouth East Carolina 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 -0.00057
Monmouth East Carolina 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 -0.00057
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00038
Jacksonville East Carolina 33 22 0.600 0.504 0.426 0.00025
Jacksonville East Carolina 33 22 0.600 0.504 0.426 0.00025
Jacksonville East Carolina 33 22 0.600 0.504 0.426 0.00025
North Carolina-Wilmington East Carolina 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00100
Houston East Carolina 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00046
Houston East Carolina 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00046
Houston East Carolina 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00046
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00093
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00087
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00087
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00087
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00170
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00170
Memphis Memphis 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00170
North Carolina State East Carolina 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00099
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00005
Connecticut East Carolina 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00032
Connecticut East Carolina 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00032
Connecticut East Carolina 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00032
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00099
Cincinnati East Carolina 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00072
Cincinnati East Carolina 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00072
Connecticut Connecticut 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00032
Connecticut Connecticut 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00032
Connecticut Connecticut 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00032
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00074
South Florida East Carolina 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00113
South Florida East Carolina 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00113
South Florida East Carolina 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00113
Central Florida Central Florida 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00091
Central Florida Central Florida 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00091
Central Florida Central Florida 26 33 0.441 0.536 0.355 -0.00091
South Florida neutral 24 33 0.421 0.527 0.342 -0.00113
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00170
Bryant neutral 47 12 0.797 0.467 0.515 0.00171
Virginia neutral 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00082
William and Mary neutral 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00042
Texas Tech neutral 47 20 0.701 0.569 0.493 0.00135
Texas Tech neutral 47 20 0.701 0.569 0.493 0.00135
Texas Tech neutral 47 20 0.701 0.569 0.493 0.00135

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 77.98 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Duke 92.65 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
Elon 125.00 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
High Point 149.62 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Longwood 130.65 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Norfolk State 106.24 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina 96.40 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 139.07 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 90.54 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 74.82 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Greensboro 140.87 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 98.97 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Old Dominion 106.90 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Richmond 137.51 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Virginia Commonwealth 136.80 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
William and Mary 122.40 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 245.79 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Charleston Southern 237.18 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Coastal Carolina 155.99 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521
College of Charleston 241.53 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
Coppin State 248.57 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Davidson 195.35 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Delaware 294.83 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
Delaware State 267.49 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
East Tennessee State 283.78 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Furman 290.02 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 243.39 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
George Mason 223.98 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 225.55 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 237.82 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
James Madison 214.00 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Liberty 157.90 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Maryland 235.80 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.23 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 203.36 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Mount St. Mary's 282.26 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 239.29 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
North Carolina-Asheville 292.24 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 190.75 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
Presbyterian 266.12 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 206.17 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
South Carolina 236.26 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 262.68 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
The Citadel 243.83 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
Towson 265.88 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
VMI 190.42 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 180.92 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Tech 203.66 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 165.70 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Winthrop 210.75 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 261.09 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation