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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.574
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.531
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Longwood East Carolina 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410 -0.00023
Longwood East Carolina 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410 -0.00023
Longwood East Carolina 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410 -0.00023
North Carolina A&T East Carolina 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00440
Virginia Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456 0.00086
Virginia Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456 0.00086
Virginia Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456 0.00086
Elon East Carolina 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359 -0.00145
Southeastern Louisiana East Carolina 29 13 0.690 0.502 0.470 0.00120
Tennessee East Carolina 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419 -0.00002
Maryland East Carolina 23 18 0.561 0.567 0.422 0.00005
George Mason East Carolina 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282 -0.00328
George Mason East Carolina 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282 -0.00328
Rice Rice 26 14 0.650 0.569 0.467 0.00113
Rice Rice 26 14 0.650 0.569 0.467 0.00113
Rice Rice 26 14 0.650 0.569 0.467 0.00113
North Carolina East Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00129
Monmouth East Carolina 20 20 0.500 0.465 0.366 -0.00128
Monmouth East Carolina 20 20 0.500 0.465 0.366 -0.00128
Monmouth East Carolina 20 20 0.500 0.465 0.366 -0.00128
Duke Duke 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422 0.00005
Jacksonville East Carolina 26 14 0.650 0.526 0.457 0.00089
Jacksonville East Carolina 26 14 0.650 0.526 0.457 0.00089
Jacksonville East Carolina 26 14 0.650 0.526 0.457 0.00089
North Carolina-Wilmington East Carolina 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503 0.00198
Houston East Carolina 24 16 0.600 0.542 0.435 0.00036
Houston East Carolina 24 16 0.600 0.542 0.435 0.00036
Houston East Carolina 24 16 0.600 0.542 0.435 0.00036
Elon Elon 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359 -0.00145
Tulane Tulane 27 14 0.659 0.545 0.466 0.00110
Tulane Tulane 27 14 0.659 0.545 0.466 0.00110
Tulane Tulane 27 14 0.659 0.545 0.466 0.00110
Memphis Memphis 14 28 0.333 0.494 0.290 -0.00309
Memphis Memphis 14 28 0.333 0.494 0.290 -0.00309
Memphis Memphis 14 28 0.333 0.494 0.290 -0.00309
North Carolina State East Carolina 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517 0.00232
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448 0.00067
Connecticut East Carolina 22 18 0.550 0.539 0.410 -0.00023
Connecticut East Carolina 22 18 0.550 0.539 0.410 -0.00023
Connecticut East Carolina 22 18 0.550 0.539 0.410 -0.00023
North Carolina State North Carolina State 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517 0.00232
Cincinnati East Carolina 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386 -0.00080
Cincinnati East Carolina 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386 -0.00080

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 77.98 22 21 0.512 0.504 0.382
Duke 92.65 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422
Elon 125.00 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359
High Point 149.62 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448
Longwood 130.65 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410
Norfolk State 106.24 20 17 0.541 0.365 0.362
North Carolina 96.40 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 139.07 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235
North Carolina Central 90.54 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329
North Carolina State 74.82 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517
North Carolina-Greensboro 140.87 33 11 0.750 0.490 0.497
North Carolina-Wilmington 98.97 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503
Old Dominion 106.90 26 16 0.619 0.544 0.446
Richmond 137.51 22 17 0.564 0.478 0.401
Virginia Commonwealth 136.80 29 14 0.674 0.493 0.460
William and Mary 122.40 21 21 0.500 0.522 0.381

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 245.79 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265
Charleston Southern 237.18 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304
Coastal Carolina 155.99 31 12 0.721 0.589 0.508
College of Charleston 241.53 22 18 0.550 0.567 0.417
Coppin State 248.57 10 31 0.244 0.348 0.209
Davidson 195.35 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369
Delaware 294.83 24 17 0.585 0.454 0.406
Delaware State 267.49 10 30 0.250 0.436 0.234
East Tennessee State 283.78 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315
Furman 290.02 17 24 0.415 0.553 0.346
Gardner-Webb 243.39 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
George Mason 223.98 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282
George Washington 225.55 19 24 0.442 0.476 0.340
Georgetown 237.82 19 24 0.442 0.490 0.344
James Madison 214.00 18 24 0.429 0.499 0.339
Liberty 157.90 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380
Maryland 235.80 23 18 0.561 0.567 0.422
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.23 19 18 0.514 0.438 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 203.36 13 28 0.317 0.369 0.251
Mount St. Mary's 282.26 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224
Navy 239.29 34 11 0.756 0.419 0.483
North Carolina-Asheville 292.24 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276
North Carolina-Charlotte 190.75 19 25 0.432 0.544 0.352
Presbyterian 266.12 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365
Radford 206.17 13 29 0.310 0.547 0.292
South Carolina 236.26 33 9 0.786 0.579 0.538
South Carolina-Upstate 262.68 18 23 0.439 0.447 0.331
The Citadel 243.83 15 27 0.357 0.501 0.304
Towson 265.88 16 27 0.372 0.475 0.305
VMI 190.42 18 28 0.391 0.485 0.317
Virginia 180.92 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456
Virginia Tech 203.66 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310
Wake Forest 165.70 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
Winthrop 210.75 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 261.09 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation