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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:57 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.529
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.522
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.395


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Virginia East Carolina 53 16 0.768 0.576 0.528 0.00225
Virginia East Carolina 53 16 0.768 0.576 0.528 0.00225
Virginia East Carolina 53 16 0.768 0.576 0.528 0.00225
North Carolina-Greensboro East Carolina 21 28 0.429 0.490 0.337 -0.00098
St. John's East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.469 0.432 0.00063
Liberty East Carolina 41 18 0.695 0.509 0.475 0.00136
Albany East Carolina 12 33 0.267 0.479 0.253 -0.00241
Albany East Carolina 12 33 0.267 0.479 0.253 -0.00241
Albany East Carolina 12 33 0.267 0.479 0.253 -0.00241

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 77.98 41 21 0.661 0.494 0.454
Duke 92.65 33 25 0.569 0.523 0.415
Elon 125.00 27 26 0.509 0.510 0.382
High Point 149.62 33 22 0.600 0.526 0.431
Longwood 130.65 22 33 0.400 0.481 0.320
Norfolk State 106.24 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
North Carolina 96.40 35 27 0.565 0.565 0.424
North Carolina A&T 139.07 17 32 0.347 0.450 0.286
North Carolina Central 90.54 17 33 0.340 0.425 0.276
North Carolina State 74.82 32 23 0.582 0.533 0.424
North Carolina-Greensboro 140.87 21 28 0.429 0.490 0.337
North Carolina-Wilmington 98.97 30 27 0.526 0.535 0.397
Old Dominion 106.90 36 26 0.581 0.564 0.431
Richmond 137.51 24 28 0.462 0.509 0.358
Virginia Commonwealth 136.80 37 20 0.649 0.473 0.443
William and Mary 122.40 34 22 0.607 0.512 0.431

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 245.79 21 34 0.382 0.521 0.321
Charleston Southern 237.18 30 26 0.536 0.438 0.378
Coastal Carolina 155.99 24 33 0.421 0.509 0.338
College of Charleston 241.53 44 19 0.698 0.501 0.474
Coppin State 248.57 12 34 0.261 0.442 0.241
Davidson 195.35 29 19 0.604 0.494 0.425
Delaware 294.83 26 26 0.500 0.512 0.378
Delaware State 267.49 30 17 0.638 0.359 0.409
East Tennessee State 283.78 27 30 0.474 0.502 0.362
Furman 290.02 26 33 0.441 0.502 0.346
Gardner-Webb 243.39 23 31 0.426 0.483 0.334
George Mason 223.98 34 22 0.607 0.486 0.425
George Washington 225.55 20 30 0.400 0.447 0.312
Georgetown 237.82 19 29 0.396 0.483 0.319
James Madison 214.00 17 36 0.321 0.534 0.294
Liberty 157.90 41 18 0.695 0.509 0.475
Maryland 235.80 40 23 0.635 0.557 0.457
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.23 17 29 0.370 0.451 0.298
Maryland-Eastern Shore 203.36 13 35 0.271 0.419 0.240
Mount St. Mary's 282.26 17 24 0.415 0.452 0.321
Navy 239.29 22 28 0.440 0.443 0.331
North Carolina-Asheville 292.24 13 40 0.245 0.486 0.244
North Carolina-Charlotte 190.75 19 31 0.380 0.539 0.325
Presbyterian 266.12 19 34 0.358 0.484 0.300
Radford 206.17 33 23 0.589 0.500 0.419
South Carolina 236.26 44 18 0.710 0.553 0.493
South Carolina-Upstate 262.68 17 38 0.309 0.480 0.274
The Citadel 243.83 24 34 0.414 0.524 0.338
Towson 265.88 22 25 0.468 0.516 0.363
VMI 190.42 25 23 0.521 0.521 0.391
Virginia 180.92 53 16 0.768 0.576 0.528
Virginia Tech 203.66 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341
Wake Forest 165.70 30 26 0.536 0.533 0.401
Winthrop 210.75 27 33 0.450 0.474 0.344
Wofford 261.09 32 28 0.533 0.469 0.384

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation