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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:04 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.491
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.505
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37175


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Virginia East Carolina 12 5 0.706 0.459 0.468 0.00507
Virginia East Carolina 12 5 0.706 0.459 0.468 0.00507
Virginia East Carolina 12 5 0.706 0.459 0.468 0.00507
North Carolina-Greensboro East Carolina 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282 -0.00472
St. John's East Carolina 7 8 0.467 0.556 0.373 0.00007
Liberty East Carolina 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449 0.00407
Albany East Carolina 2 7 0.222 0.499 0.236 -0.00714
Albany East Carolina 2 7 0.222 0.499 0.236 -0.00714
Albany East Carolina 2 7 0.222 0.499 0.236 -0.00714
North Carolina State North Carolina State 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420 0.00254
Old Dominion East Carolina 8 7 0.533 0.373 0.360 -0.00062
Monmouth East Carolina 2 10 0.167 0.705 0.260 -0.00588
Monmouth East Carolina 2 10 0.167 0.705 0.260 -0.00588
Monmouth East Carolina 2 10 0.167 0.705 0.260 -0.00588
Campbell East Carolina 17 2 0.895 0.411 0.550 0.00938
North Carolina-Greensboro East Carolina 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282 -0.00472
Elon Elon 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363 -0.00046
Elon Elon 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363 -0.00046
Elon Elon 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363 -0.00046

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 77.98 17 2 0.895 0.411 0.550
Duke 92.65 14 5 0.737 0.540 0.504
Elon 125.00 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363
High Point 149.62 7 10 0.412 0.570 0.348
Longwood 130.65 6 11 0.353 0.637 0.336
Norfolk State 106.24 4 6 0.400 0.385 0.296
North Carolina 96.40 12 7 0.632 0.557 0.455
North Carolina A&T 139.07 2 12 0.143 0.379 0.166
North Carolina Central 90.54 6 11 0.353 0.374 0.270
North Carolina State 74.82 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
North Carolina-Greensboro 140.87 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282
North Carolina-Wilmington 98.97 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495
Old Dominion 106.90 8 7 0.533 0.373 0.360
Richmond 137.51 6 6 0.500 0.460 0.365
Virginia Commonwealth 136.80 8 8 0.500 0.458 0.364
William and Mary 122.40 10 5 0.667 0.441 0.444

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 245.79 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257
Charleston Southern 237.18 10 6 0.625 0.366 0.404
Coastal Carolina 155.99 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466
College of Charleston 241.53 10 6 0.625 0.627 0.469
Coppin State 248.57 1 9 0.100 0.519 0.180
Davidson 195.35 9 5 0.643 0.540 0.457
Delaware 294.83 6 3 0.667 0.357 0.423
Delaware State 267.49 1 10 0.091 0.546 0.182
East Tennessee State 283.78 10 7 0.588 0.334 0.378
Furman 290.02 9 9 0.500 0.435 0.359
Gardner-Webb 243.39 11 8 0.579 0.468 0.406
George Mason 223.98 6 9 0.400 0.432 0.308
George Washington 225.55 8 6 0.571 0.422 0.391
Georgetown 237.82 6 8 0.429 0.456 0.329
James Madison 214.00 9 7 0.562 0.318 0.361
Liberty 157.90 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449
Maryland 235.80 11 4 0.733 0.478 0.486
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.23 2 6 0.250 0.301 0.200
Maryland-Eastern Shore 203.36 4 10 0.286 0.577 0.287
Mount St. Mary's 282.26 2 8 0.200 0.554 0.239
Navy 239.29 14 5 0.737 0.164 0.409
North Carolina-Asheville 292.24 8 10 0.444 0.522 0.353
North Carolina-Charlotte 190.75 4 9 0.308 0.581 0.299
Presbyterian 266.12 14 5 0.737 0.458 0.483
Radford 206.17 9 9 0.500 0.386 0.347
South Carolina 236.26 17 3 0.850 0.494 0.548
South Carolina-Upstate 262.68 7 11 0.389 0.434 0.303
The Citadel 243.83 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
Towson 265.88 2 12 0.143 0.451 0.184
VMI 190.42 4 6 0.400 0.363 0.291
Virginia 180.92 12 5 0.706 0.459 0.468
Virginia Tech 203.66 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401
Wake Forest 165.70 13 8 0.619 0.522 0.440
Winthrop 210.75 13 5 0.722 0.438 0.470
Wofford 261.09 16 5 0.762 0.421 0.486

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation