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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for East Carolina

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:10 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.557
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.526
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Longwood East Carolina 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389 -0.00039
Longwood East Carolina 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389 -0.00039
Longwood East Carolina 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389 -0.00039
North Carolina A&T East Carolina 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235 -0.00324
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00128
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00128
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00128
Elon East Carolina 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354 -0.00104
Southeastern Louisiana East Carolina 37 18 0.673 0.513 0.465 0.00102
Tennessee East Carolina 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393 -0.00031
Maryland East Carolina 29 25 0.537 0.569 0.411 0.00002
George Mason East Carolina 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291 -0.00220
George Mason East Carolina 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291 -0.00220
Rice Rice 33 20 0.623 0.562 0.452 0.00078
Rice Rice 33 20 0.623 0.562 0.452 0.00078
Rice Rice 33 20 0.623 0.562 0.452 0.00078
North Carolina East Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00093
Monmouth East Carolina 29 26 0.527 0.457 0.378 -0.00059
Monmouth East Carolina 29 26 0.527 0.457 0.378 -0.00059
Monmouth East Carolina 29 26 0.527 0.457 0.378 -0.00059
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00067
Jacksonville East Carolina 33 21 0.611 0.511 0.433 0.00043
Jacksonville East Carolina 33 21 0.611 0.511 0.433 0.00043
Jacksonville East Carolina 33 21 0.611 0.511 0.433 0.00043
North Carolina-Wilmington East Carolina 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00139
Houston East Carolina 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00048
Houston East Carolina 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00048
Houston East Carolina 34 22 0.607 0.532 0.436 0.00048
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354 -0.00104
Tulane Tulane 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00124
Tulane Tulane 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00124
Tulane Tulane 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00124
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00217
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00217
Memphis Memphis 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00217
North Carolina State East Carolina 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00119
High Point High Point 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420 0.00019
Connecticut East Carolina 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00041
Connecticut East Carolina 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00041
Connecticut East Carolina 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00041
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00119
Cincinnati East Carolina 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367 -0.00080
Cincinnati East Carolina 26 30 0.464 0.541 0.367 -0.00080
Connecticut Connecticut 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00041
Connecticut Connecticut 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00041
Connecticut Connecticut 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00041
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00093
South Florida East Carolina 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00109
South Florida East Carolina 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00109
South Florida East Carolina 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00109
Central Florida Central Florida 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00093
Central Florida Central Florida 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00093
Central Florida Central Florida 26 32 0.448 0.543 0.360 -0.00093
South Florida neutral 24 31 0.436 0.532 0.351 -0.00109
Memphis neutral 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00217

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 77.98 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Duke 92.65 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446
Elon 125.00 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354
High Point 149.62 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420
Longwood 130.65 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389
Norfolk State 106.24 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina 96.40 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460
North Carolina A&T 139.07 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235
North Carolina Central 90.54 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 74.82 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474
North Carolina-Greensboro 140.87 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450
North Carolina-Wilmington 98.97 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Old Dominion 106.90 32 23 0.582 0.526 0.422
Richmond 137.51 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
Virginia Commonwealth 136.80 37 17 0.685 0.491 0.465
William and Mary 122.40 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 245.79 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Charleston Southern 237.18 19 33 0.365 0.491 0.305
Coastal Carolina 155.99 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508
College of Charleston 241.53 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418
Coppin State 248.57 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Davidson 195.35 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381
Delaware 294.83 31 22 0.585 0.477 0.412
Delaware State 267.49 13 37 0.260 0.445 0.241
East Tennessee State 283.78 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344
Furman 290.02 28 28 0.500 0.525 0.381
Gardner-Webb 243.39 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434
George Mason 223.98 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291
George Washington 225.55 24 32 0.429 0.496 0.339
Georgetown 237.82 24 29 0.453 0.501 0.352
James Madison 214.00 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353
Liberty 157.90 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395
Maryland 235.80 29 25 0.537 0.569 0.411
Maryland-Baltimore County 255.23 28 23 0.549 0.453 0.388
Maryland-Eastern Shore 203.36 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Mount St. Mary's 282.26 11 37 0.229 0.438 0.224
Navy 239.29 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477
North Carolina-Asheville 292.24 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 190.75 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348
Presbyterian 266.12 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354
Radford 206.17 18 38 0.321 0.540 0.295
South Carolina 236.26 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516
South Carolina-Upstate 262.68 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
The Citadel 243.83 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272
Towson 265.88 20 35 0.364 0.495 0.306
VMI 190.42 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Virginia 180.92 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479
Virginia Tech 203.66 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wake Forest 165.70 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431
Winthrop 210.75 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374
Wofford 261.09 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation