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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Elon
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:08 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.488 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.499 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.36875 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Wright State | Elon | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00213 |
Wright State | Elon | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00213 |
Wright State | Elon | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00213 |
Wright State | Elon | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00213 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | North Carolina-Greensboro | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 | 0.00145 |
LaSalle | Elon | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 | -0.00214 |
LaSalle | Elon | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 | -0.00214 |
LaSalle | Elon | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 | -0.00214 |
East Carolina | East Carolina | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00152 |
Bowling Green State | Elon | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 | -0.00185 |
Stony Brook | Elon | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.478 | 0.369 | 0.00000 |
Appalachian State | Elon | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00146 |
Liberty | Elon | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 | 0.00045 |
The Citadel | Elon | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 | -0.00185 |
The Citadel | Elon | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 | -0.00185 |
The Citadel | Elon | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 | -0.00185 |
North Carolina | North Carolina | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 | 0.00162 |
William and Mary | Elon | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 | 0.00030 |
William and Mary | Elon | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 | 0.00030 |
William and Mary | Elon | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 | 0.00030 |
High Point | Elon | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00084 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | North Carolina-Wilmington | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00191 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | North Carolina-Wilmington | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00191 |
Wake Forest | Elon | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 | 0.00102 |
College of Charleston | Elon | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 | 0.00078 |
College of Charleston | Elon | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 | 0.00078 |
College of Charleston | Elon | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 | 0.00078 |
East Carolina | Elon | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 | 0.00152 |
North Carolina A&T | North Carolina A&T | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 | -0.00251 |
Northeastern | Northeastern | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.452 | 0.380 | 0.00021 |
Northeastern | Northeastern | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.452 | 0.380 | 0.00021 |
Northeastern | Northeastern | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.452 | 0.380 | 0.00021 |
North Carolina State | Elon | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 | 0.00189 |
Towson | Elon | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 | -0.00118 |
Towson | Elon | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 | -0.00118 |
Towson | Elon | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 | -0.00118 |
High Point | High Point | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00084 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | Elon | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 | 0.00145 |
Hofstra | Elon | 15 | 37 | 0.288 | 0.488 | 0.266 | -0.00190 |
Hofstra | Elon | 15 | 37 | 0.288 | 0.488 | 0.266 | -0.00190 |
Hofstra | Elon | 15 | 37 | 0.288 | 0.488 | 0.266 | -0.00190 |
North Carolina Central | Elon | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 | -0.00088 |
James Madison | James Madison | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 | -0.00044 |
James Madison | James Madison | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 | -0.00044 |
James Madison | James Madison | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 | -0.00044 |
North Carolina A&T | Elon | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 | -0.00251 |
Delaware | Delaware | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 0.475 | 0.411 | 0.00078 |
Delaware | Delaware | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 0.475 | 0.411 | 0.00078 |
Delaware | Delaware | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 0.475 | 0.411 | 0.00078 |
Campbell | Elon | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 | 0.00008 |
Richmond | Elon | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | 0.00026 |
Richmond | Elon | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | 0.00026 |
College of Charleston | neutral | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 | 0.00078 |
Northeastern | neutral | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.452 | 0.380 | 0.00021 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Appalachian State | 122.12 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Campbell | 64.78 | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 |
Davidson | 85.60 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 |
Duke | 32.39 | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 |
East Carolina | 125.00 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 |
Gardner-Webb | 135.23 | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 |
High Point | 28.77 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 |
Liberty | 87.95 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Longwood | 102.46 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 |
North Carolina | 29.48 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 |
North Carolina A&T | 15.18 | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 |
North Carolina Central | 34.57 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 |
North Carolina State | 51.36 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 88.47 | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 17.32 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 |
Radford | 91.26 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Richmond | 148.81 | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 |
VMI | 116.42 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Virginia | 144.65 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 |
Virginia Tech | 91.99 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
Wake Forest | 41.58 | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 |
Winthrop | 116.91 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Charleston Southern | 218.24 | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 |
Clemson | 212.52 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 |
Coastal Carolina | 169.30 | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 |
College of Charleston | 229.98 | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 |
Coppin State | 260.00 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 |
East Tennessee State | 159.85 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Eastern Kentucky | 287.59 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 |
Furman | 184.29 | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 |
George Mason | 223.38 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 |
George Washington | 230.83 | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 |
Georgetown | 239.67 | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 |
Georgia | 265.37 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 |
Georgia Southern | 285.37 | 36 | 24 | 0.600 | 0.506 | 0.426 |
James Madison | 165.28 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 |
Marshall | 193.73 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Maryland | 243.60 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 265.60 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 255.72 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 0.259 |
Morehead State | 259.42 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Mount St. Mary's | 273.40 | 11 | 37 | 0.229 | 0.434 | 0.223 |
Navy | 258.39 | 42 | 16 | 0.724 | 0.424 | 0.468 |
Norfolk State | 187.34 | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 174.82 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | 159.69 | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 |
Ohio | 263.79 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Old Dominion | 185.55 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 |
Presbyterian | 174.93 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 |
Savannah State | 295.84 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 |
South Carolina | 170.42 | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 |
South Carolina-Upstate | 158.04 | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 |
Tennessee | 247.30 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
The Citadel | 230.66 | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 |
Towson | 276.67 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 |
Virginia Commonwealth | 151.65 | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 |
West Virginia | 246.16 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Western Carolina | 213.49 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
William and Mary | 174.04 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 |
Wofford | 157.70 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |