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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Elon

Last updated: Thu Jul 28 06:48:57 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.488
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.499
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wright State Elon 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00213
Wright State Elon 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00213
Wright State Elon 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00213
Wright State Elon 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00213
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00145
LaSalle Elon 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00214
LaSalle Elon 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00214
LaSalle Elon 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00214
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00152
Bowling Green State Elon 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00185
Stony Brook Elon 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369 0.00000
Appalachian State Elon 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00146
Liberty Elon 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 0.00045
The Citadel Elon 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00185
The Citadel Elon 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00185
The Citadel Elon 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00185
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00162
William and Mary Elon 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 0.00030
William and Mary Elon 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 0.00030
William and Mary Elon 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 0.00030
High Point Elon 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00084
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00191
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00191
Wake Forest Elon 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00102
College of Charleston Elon 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411 0.00078
College of Charleston Elon 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411 0.00078
College of Charleston Elon 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411 0.00078
East Carolina Elon 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00152
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00251
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 0.00021
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 0.00021
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 0.00021
North Carolina State Elon 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00189
Towson Elon 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305 -0.00118
Towson Elon 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305 -0.00118
Towson Elon 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305 -0.00118
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00084
North Carolina-Greensboro Elon 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00145
Hofstra Elon 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266 -0.00190
Hofstra Elon 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266 -0.00190
Hofstra Elon 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266 -0.00190
North Carolina Central Elon 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321 -0.00088
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00044
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00044
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00044
North Carolina A&T Elon 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00251
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00078
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00078
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00078
Campbell Elon 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 0.00008
Richmond Elon 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00026
Richmond Elon 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00026
College of Charleston neutral 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411 0.00078
Northeastern neutral 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 0.00021

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 122.12 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Campbell 64.78 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Davidson 85.60 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 32.39 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Carolina 125.00 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Gardner-Webb 135.23 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 28.77 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Liberty 87.95 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 102.46 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
North Carolina 29.48 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 15.18 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 34.57 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 51.36 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Charlotte 88.47 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 17.32 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Radford 91.26 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 148.81 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
VMI 116.42 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 144.65 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Tech 91.99 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 41.58 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Winthrop 116.91 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 218.24 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Clemson 212.52 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Coastal Carolina 169.30 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521
College of Charleston 229.98 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
Coppin State 260.00 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
East Tennessee State 159.85 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Kentucky 287.59 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Furman 184.29 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
George Mason 223.38 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 230.83 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 239.67 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Georgia 265.37 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 285.37 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
James Madison 165.28 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Marshall 193.73 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Maryland 243.60 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 265.60 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 255.72 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Morehead State 259.42 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Mount St. Mary's 273.40 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 258.39 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 187.34 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 174.82 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Wilmington 159.69 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Ohio 263.79 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Old Dominion 185.55 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Presbyterian 174.93 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Savannah State 295.84 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Carolina 170.42 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 158.04 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Tennessee 247.30 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
The Citadel 230.66 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
Towson 276.67 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Virginia Commonwealth 151.65 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
West Virginia 246.16 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 213.49 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
William and Mary 174.04 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Wofford 157.70 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation