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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fresno State

Last updated: Tue May 3 06:55:24 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.506
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.511
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38075


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Creighton Fresno State 30 9 0.769 0.515 0.513 0.00294
Creighton Fresno State 30 9 0.769 0.515 0.513 0.00294
Creighton Fresno State 30 9 0.769 0.515 0.513 0.00294
Oakland Fresno State 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367 -0.00031
Youngstown State Fresno State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00262
Youngstown State Fresno State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00262
Youngstown State Fresno State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00262
Youngstown State Fresno State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00262
CSU Bakersfield Fresno State 9 33 0.214 0.545 0.243 -0.00306
San Diego State San Diego State 12 30 0.286 0.553 0.281 -0.00222
San Diego State San Diego State 12 30 0.286 0.553 0.281 -0.00222
San Diego State San Diego State 12 30 0.286 0.553 0.281 -0.00222
Long Beach State Long Beach State 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452 0.00158
Texas A&M Texas A&M 35 9 0.795 0.552 0.536 0.00345
Texas A&M Texas A&M 35 9 0.795 0.552 0.536 0.00345
Texas A&M Texas A&M 35 9 0.795 0.552 0.536 0.00345
Oklahoma Fresno State 21 22 0.488 0.514 0.372 -0.00019
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 19 24 0.442 0.522 0.352 -0.00064
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 19 24 0.442 0.522 0.352 -0.00064
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 19 24 0.442 0.522 0.352 -0.00064
St. Mary's St. Mary's 24 17 0.585 0.544 0.428 0.00105
San Jose State San Jose State 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295 -0.00191
San Jose State San Jose State 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295 -0.00191
San Jose State San Jose State 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295 -0.00191
Long Beach State Fresno State 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452 0.00158
Air Force Fresno State 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00044
Air Force Fresno State 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00044
Air Force Fresno State 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00044
Pacific Pacific 17 24 0.415 0.469 0.325 -0.00124
Sacramento State Fresno State 24 18 0.571 0.452 0.398 0.00038
New Mexico New Mexico 30 16 0.652 0.494 0.450 0.00154
New Mexico New Mexico 30 16 0.652 0.494 0.450 0.00154
New Mexico New Mexico 30 16 0.652 0.494 0.450 0.00154
Pacific Fresno State 17 24 0.415 0.469 0.325 -0.00124
Nevada Fresno State 23 20 0.535 0.481 0.388 0.00016
Nevada Fresno State 23 20 0.535 0.481 0.388 0.00016
Nevada Fresno State 23 20 0.535 0.481 0.388 0.00016
Cal Poly Cal Poly 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426 0.00101
San Jose State Fresno State 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295 -0.00191
San Jose State Fresno State 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295 -0.00191
San Jose State Fresno State 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295 -0.00191
Sacramento State neutral 24 18 0.571 0.452 0.398 0.00038
Air Force Air Force 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00044
Air Force Air Force 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00044
Air Force Air Force 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361 -0.00044

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 107.59 9 33 0.214 0.545 0.243
Cal Poly 115.81 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426
Pacific 117.40 17 24 0.415 0.469 0.325
San Jose State 121.32 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295
Santa Clara 125.53 19 22 0.463 0.513 0.360
St. Mary's 147.66 24 17 0.585 0.544 0.428
Stanford 139.11 20 18 0.526 0.540 0.398

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 228.02 27 15 0.643 0.545 0.458
Cal State Northridge 190.46 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423
Cal State Sacramento 151.27 0.000
California 155.87 24 16 0.600 0.547 0.437
Long Beach State 228.69 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452
Loyola Marymount 210.44 24 21 0.533 0.497 0.391
Nevada 189.00 23 20 0.535 0.481 0.388
Nevada-Las Vegas 260.57 19 24 0.442 0.522 0.352
Pepperdine 200.39 20 18 0.526 0.534 0.397
San Francisco 162.25 17 28 0.378 0.535 0.323
Southern California 209.65 20 22 0.476 0.543 0.374
UC Davis 162.00 12 25 0.324 0.493 0.285
UC Irvine 243.55 25 16 0.610 0.469 0.422
UC Riverside 237.28 20 21 0.488 0.483 0.365
UC Santa Barbara 165.52 29 10 0.744 0.559 0.512
UCLA 203.81 20 21 0.488 0.557 0.383

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation