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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Fresno State

Last updated: Sat May 28 06:48:16 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.493
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.512
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3745


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Creighton Fresno State 37 15 0.712 0.498 0.480 0.00185
Creighton Fresno State 37 15 0.712 0.498 0.480 0.00185
Creighton Fresno State 37 15 0.712 0.498 0.480 0.00185
Oakland Fresno State 21 27 0.438 0.485 0.340 -0.00061
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00199
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00199
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00199
Youngstown State Fresno State 14 38 0.269 0.504 0.261 -0.00199
CSU Bakersfield Fresno State 19 36 0.345 0.494 0.296 -0.00138
San Diego State San Diego State 21 37 0.362 0.542 0.317 -0.00101
San Diego State San Diego State 21 37 0.362 0.542 0.317 -0.00101
San Diego State San Diego State 21 37 0.362 0.542 0.317 -0.00101
Long Beach State Long Beach State 35 19 0.648 0.527 0.456 0.00143
Texas A&M Texas A&M 42 14 0.750 0.586 0.521 0.00257
Texas A&M Texas A&M 42 14 0.750 0.586 0.521 0.00257
Texas A&M Texas A&M 42 14 0.750 0.586 0.521 0.00257
Oklahoma Fresno State 29 26 0.527 0.548 0.401 0.00046
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 24 32 0.429 0.544 0.351 -0.00041
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 24 32 0.429 0.544 0.351 -0.00041
Nevada-Las Vegas Fresno State 24 32 0.429 0.544 0.351 -0.00041
St. Mary's St. Mary's 31 23 0.574 0.531 0.420 0.00080
San Jose State San Jose State 17 39 0.304 0.516 0.281 -0.00164
San Jose State San Jose State 17 39 0.304 0.516 0.281 -0.00164
San Jose State San Jose State 17 39 0.304 0.516 0.281 -0.00164
Long Beach State Fresno State 35 19 0.648 0.527 0.456 0.00143
Air Force Fresno State 29 25 0.537 0.455 0.382 0.00013
Air Force Fresno State 29 25 0.537 0.455 0.382 0.00013
Air Force Fresno State 29 25 0.537 0.455 0.382 0.00013
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.470 0.329 -0.00080
Sacramento State Fresno State 29 27 0.518 0.474 0.378 0.00006
New Mexico New Mexico 36 21 0.632 0.511 0.444 0.00122
New Mexico New Mexico 36 21 0.632 0.511 0.444 0.00122
New Mexico New Mexico 36 21 0.632 0.511 0.444 0.00122
Pacific Fresno State 22 30 0.423 0.470 0.329 -0.00080
Nevada Fresno State 34 23 0.596 0.490 0.420 0.00080
Nevada Fresno State 34 23 0.596 0.490 0.420 0.00080
Nevada Fresno State 34 23 0.596 0.490 0.420 0.00080
Cal Poly Cal Poly 31 24 0.564 0.503 0.408 0.00059
San Jose State Fresno State 17 39 0.304 0.516 0.281 -0.00164
San Jose State Fresno State 17 39 0.304 0.516 0.281 -0.00164
San Jose State Fresno State 17 39 0.304 0.516 0.281 -0.00164
Sacramento State Sacramento State 29 27 0.518 0.474 0.378 0.00006
Air Force Air Force 29 25 0.537 0.455 0.382 0.00013
Air Force Air Force 29 25 0.537 0.455 0.382 0.00013
Air Force Air Force 29 25 0.537 0.455 0.382 0.00013
St. Mary's Fresno State 31 23 0.574 0.531 0.420 0.00080
San Diego State Fresno State 21 37 0.362 0.542 0.317 -0.00101
San Diego State Fresno State 21 37 0.362 0.542 0.317 -0.00101
San Diego State Fresno State 21 37 0.362 0.542 0.317 -0.00101
Cal Poly Fresno State 31 24 0.564 0.503 0.408 0.00059
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 24 32 0.429 0.544 0.351 -0.00041
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 24 32 0.429 0.544 0.351 -0.00041
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 24 32 0.429 0.544 0.351 -0.00041
San Francisco Fresno State 22 34 0.393 0.527 0.328 -0.00082
San Francisco Fresno State 22 34 0.393 0.527 0.328 -0.00082
San Francisco Fresno State 22 34 0.393 0.527 0.328 -0.00082
Air Force neutral 29 25 0.537 0.455 0.382 0.00013
Nevada neutral 34 23 0.596 0.490 0.420 0.00080

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 107.59 19 36 0.345 0.494 0.296
Cal Poly 115.81 31 24 0.564 0.503 0.408
Pacific 117.40 22 30 0.423 0.470 0.329
San Jose State 121.32 17 39 0.304 0.516 0.281
Santa Clara 125.53 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347
St. Mary's 147.66 31 23 0.574 0.531 0.420
Stanford 139.11 29 23 0.558 0.516 0.408

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Fullerton 228.02 34 20 0.630 0.537 0.449
Cal State Northridge 190.46 32 21 0.604 0.450 0.414
Cal State Sacramento 151.27 0.000
California 155.87 30 20 0.600 0.517 0.429
Long Beach State 228.69 35 19 0.648 0.527 0.456
Loyola Marymount 210.44 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Nevada 189.00 34 23 0.596 0.490 0.420
Nevada-Las Vegas 260.57 24 32 0.429 0.544 0.351
Pepperdine 200.39 28 23 0.549 0.534 0.408
San Francisco 162.25 22 34 0.393 0.527 0.328
Southern California 209.65 26 27 0.491 0.552 0.384
UC Davis 162.00 16 35 0.314 0.525 0.288
UC Irvine 243.55 30 24 0.556 0.493 0.401
UC Riverside 237.28 25 28 0.472 0.499 0.361
UC Santa Barbara 165.52 36 17 0.679 0.550 0.477
UCLA 203.81 25 28 0.472 0.561 0.376

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation