Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |
NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:09 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.542 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.516 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.4 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00125 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00125 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00125 |
Florida Gulf Coast | Florida Gulf Coast | 27 | 32 | 0.458 | 0.545 | 0.365 | -0.00069 |
Florida Gulf Coast | Florida Gulf Coast | 27 | 32 | 0.458 | 0.545 | 0.365 | -0.00069 |
Florida Gulf Coast | Florida Gulf Coast | 27 | 32 | 0.458 | 0.545 | 0.365 | -0.00069 |
Central Michigan | neutral | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 | -0.00171 |
Stetson | Stetson | 29 | 31 | 0.483 | 0.522 | 0.372 | -0.00055 |
Villanova | neutral | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.484 | 0.314 | -0.00169 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | neutral | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 | 0.00092 |
Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 | 0.00237 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | neutral | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 | 0.00092 |
Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 | 0.00237 |
Northern Illinois | neutral | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 | -0.00137 |
Northern Illinois | neutral | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 | -0.00137 |
Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00008 |
Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00008 |
Illinois State | Illinois State | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 | -0.00225 |
Penn State | Illinois | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.514 | 0.383 | -0.00033 |
Penn State | Illinois | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.514 | 0.383 | -0.00033 |
Penn State | Illinois | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.514 | 0.383 | -0.00033 |
Indiana State | Indiana State | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 | 0.00078 |
Nebraska | Nebraska | 37 | 22 | 0.627 | 0.517 | 0.443 | 0.00084 |
Nebraska | Nebraska | 37 | 22 | 0.627 | 0.517 | 0.443 | 0.00084 |
Nebraska | Nebraska | 37 | 22 | 0.627 | 0.517 | 0.443 | 0.00084 |
Eastern Illinois | Illinois | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 | -0.00320 |
Iowa | Iowa | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 | -0.00010 |
Iowa | Iowa | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 | -0.00010 |
Iowa | Iowa | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 | -0.00010 |
Illinois State | Illinois | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 | -0.00225 |
St. Louis | Illinois | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00135 |
St. Louis | Illinois | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00135 |
St. Louis | Illinois | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 | -0.00135 |
Eastern Illinois | neutral | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 | -0.00320 |
Ohio State | Illinois | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00139 |
Ohio State | Illinois | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00139 |
Ohio State | Illinois | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00139 |
Minnesota | Illinois | 34 | 22 | 0.607 | 0.522 | 0.434 | 0.00067 |
Minnesota | Illinois | 34 | 22 | 0.607 | 0.522 | 0.434 | 0.00067 |
Minnesota | Illinois | 34 | 22 | 0.607 | 0.522 | 0.434 | 0.00067 |
Missouri | neutral | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 | -0.00067 |
Southern Illinois | Illinois | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00008 |
Maryland | Maryland | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | 0.00008 |
Maryland | Maryland | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | 0.00008 |
Maryland | Maryland | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | 0.00008 |
Indiana | Indiana | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00018 |
Indiana | Indiana | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00018 |
Indiana | Indiana | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00018 |
Michigan | Illinois | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 | 0.00092 |
Michigan | Illinois | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 | 0.00092 |
Michigan | Illinois | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 | 0.00092 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Ball State | 148.51 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Bradley | 82.76 | 25 | 21 | 0.543 | 0.486 | 0.393 |
Butler | 110.55 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 |
Chicago State | 116.46 | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 |
Eastern Illinois | 42.82 | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 |
Illinois State | 49.82 | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 |
Illinois-Chicago | 125.88 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 |
Indiana | 111.07 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 |
Indiana State | 60.75 | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 |
Northern Illinois | 130.22 | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 |
Northwestern | 139.02 | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 |
Purdue | 71.86 | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 130.99 | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 |
St. Louis | 147.03 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.452 | 0.331 |
Valparaiso | 113.10 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 |
Western Illinois | 132.09 | 13 | 35 | 0.271 | 0.486 | 0.257 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Austin Peay State | 250.46 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Belmont | 284.25 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Bowling Green State | 256.61 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 |
Central Michigan | 298.82 | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 |
Cincinnati | 208.76 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 |
Dayton | 214.81 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 |
Eastern Kentucky | 266.84 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 |
Eastern Michigan | 281.06 | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 |
Evansville | 151.25 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 |
IPFW | 178.51 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.413 | 0.367 |
Iowa | 204.57 | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 |
Kentucky | 245.94 | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 |
Lipscomb | 286.73 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Louisville | 185.87 | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 |
Miami, Ohio | 189.92 | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 |
Michigan | 277.32 | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 |
Michigan State | 265.87 | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 |
Missouri | 233.22 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 |
Morehead State | 289.00 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Murray State | 240.07 | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 |
Northern Kentucky | 213.66 | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 |
Notre Dame | 152.08 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 |
Ohio State | 275.24 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 |
Southeast Missouri State | 204.85 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 |
Southern Illinois | 173.69 | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 |
Tennessee-Martin | 261.76 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.477 | 0.292 |
Toledo | 264.57 | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 |
Vanderbilt | 283.89 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Western Kentucky | 235.39 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
Western Michigan | 203.68 | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 208.19 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 |
Wright State | 222.58 | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 |
Xavier | 210.13 | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 |
If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me
Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |