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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois

Last updated: Sat Jul 23 06:48:58 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.542
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.516
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00125
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00125
Tulane Tulane 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464 0.00125
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 27 32 0.458 0.545 0.365 -0.00069
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 27 32 0.458 0.545 0.365 -0.00069
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 27 32 0.458 0.545 0.365 -0.00069
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00171
Stetson Stetson 29 31 0.483 0.522 0.372 -0.00055
Villanova neutral 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314 -0.00169
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00092
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00237
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00092
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00237
Northern Illinois neutral 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00137
Northern Illinois neutral 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00137
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00008
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00008
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00225
Penn State Illinois 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 -0.00033
Penn State Illinois 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 -0.00033
Penn State Illinois 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 -0.00033
Indiana State Indiana State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00078
Nebraska Nebraska 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00084
Nebraska Nebraska 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00084
Nebraska Nebraska 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00084
Eastern Illinois Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00320
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 -0.00010
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 -0.00010
Iowa Iowa 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 -0.00010
Illinois State Illinois 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00225
St. Louis Illinois 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00135
St. Louis Illinois 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00135
St. Louis Illinois 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331 -0.00135
Eastern Illinois neutral 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237 -0.00320
Ohio State Illinois 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00139
Ohio State Illinois 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00139
Ohio State Illinois 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00139
Minnesota Illinois 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00067
Minnesota Illinois 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00067
Minnesota Illinois 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00067
Missouri neutral 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00067
Southern Illinois Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404 0.00008
Maryland Maryland 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00008
Maryland Maryland 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00008
Maryland Maryland 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00008
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00018
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00018
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00018
Michigan Illinois 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00092
Michigan Illinois 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00092
Michigan Illinois 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00092

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 148.51 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Bradley 82.76 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Butler 110.55 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Chicago State 116.46 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Eastern Illinois 42.82 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Illinois State 49.82 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 125.88 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana 111.07 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 60.75 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Northern Illinois 130.22 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 139.02 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Purdue 71.86 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.99 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 147.03 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Valparaiso 113.10 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Western Illinois 132.09 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 250.46 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 284.25 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bowling Green State 256.61 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Central Michigan 298.82 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Cincinnati 208.76 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 214.81 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Kentucky 266.84 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Eastern Michigan 281.06 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 151.25 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
IPFW 178.51 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Iowa 204.57 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395
Kentucky 245.94 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Lipscomb 286.73 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Louisville 185.87 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 189.92 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Michigan 277.32 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 265.87 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Missouri 233.22 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366
Morehead State 289.00 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Murray State 240.07 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
Northern Kentucky 213.66 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Notre Dame 152.08 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Ohio State 275.24 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Southeast Missouri State 204.85 38 21 0.644 0.506 0.449
Southern Illinois 173.69 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Tennessee-Martin 261.76 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292
Toledo 264.57 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Vanderbilt 283.89 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Western Kentucky 235.39 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Western Michigan 203.68 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 208.19 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382
Wright State 222.58 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 210.13 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation