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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:38 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.509
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.514
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.383


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00039
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00039
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00039
George Mason neutral 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00084
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00068
Connecticut neutral 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371 -0.00027
Florida Gulf Coast neutral 32 17 0.653 0.475 0.445 0.00141
Florida Florida 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00250
Florida Gulf Coast neutral 32 17 0.653 0.475 0.445 0.00141
Florida Florida 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493 0.00250
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00057
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00057
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00057
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00075
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00075
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00075
Indiana State Illinois 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478 0.00216
Xavier Illinois 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00011
Xavier Illinois 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00011
Xavier Illinois 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00011
Xavier Illinois 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00011
Illinois State Illinois 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00134
Purdue Illinois 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00241
Purdue Illinois 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00241
Purdue Illinois 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00241
Northwestern Northwestern 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00261
Northwestern Northwestern 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00261
Northwestern Northwestern 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00261
Michigan Illinois 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368 -0.00034
Michigan Illinois 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368 -0.00034
Michigan Illinois 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368 -0.00034
Illinois State Illinois State 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00134
Penn State Penn State 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00164
Penn State Penn State 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00164
Penn State Penn State 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00164
Eastern Illinois Illinois 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00175
Missouri neutral 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00068
Indiana Illinois 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00275
Indiana Illinois 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00275
Indiana Illinois 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00275
Southern Illinois Illinois 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00075
Michigan State Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402 0.00043
Michigan State Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402 0.00043
Michigan State Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402 0.00043

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 148.51 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bradley 82.76 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Butler 110.55 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Chicago State 116.46 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Eastern Illinois 42.82 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Illinois State 49.82 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 125.88 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana 111.07 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 60.75 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Northern Illinois 130.22 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northwestern 139.02 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Purdue 71.86 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.99 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 147.03 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Valparaiso 113.10 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Western Illinois 132.09 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 250.46 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 284.25 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Bowling Green State 256.61 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Central Michigan 298.82 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Cincinnati 208.76 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 214.81 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Kentucky 266.84 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Eastern Michigan 281.06 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 151.25 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
IPFW 178.51 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Iowa 204.57 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420
Kentucky 245.94 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Lipscomb 286.73 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Louisville 185.87 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 189.92 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Michigan 277.32 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 265.87 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Missouri 233.22 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353
Morehead State 289.00 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Murray State 240.07 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
Northern Kentucky 213.66 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Notre Dame 152.08 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Ohio State 275.24 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Southeast Missouri State 204.85 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 173.69 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Tennessee-Martin 261.76 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215
Toledo 264.57 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Vanderbilt 283.89 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Western Kentucky 235.39 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Western Michigan 203.68 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 208.19 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296
Wright State 222.58 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 210.13 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation