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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:23 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.522
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.511
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470 0.00208
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470 0.00208
Tulane Tulane 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470 0.00208
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 20 22 0.476 0.564 0.379 -0.00025
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 20 22 0.476 0.564 0.379 -0.00025
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 20 22 0.476 0.564 0.379 -0.00025
Central Michigan neutral 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243 -0.00374
Stetson Stetson 20 23 0.465 0.526 0.364 -0.00063
Villanova neutral 15 27 0.357 0.491 0.301 -0.00225
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483 0.00242
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 12 0.721 0.586 0.507 0.00303
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483 0.00242
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 12 0.721 0.586 0.507 0.00303
Northern Illinois neutral 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318 -0.00181
Northern Illinois neutral 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318 -0.00181
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 24 18 0.571 0.491 0.408 0.00049
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 24 18 0.571 0.491 0.408 0.00049
Illinois State Illinois State 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281 -0.00276
Penn State Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.509 0.405 0.00042
Penn State Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.509 0.405 0.00042
Penn State Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.509 0.405 0.00042
Indiana State Indiana State 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436 0.00121
Nebraska Nebraska 28 16 0.636 0.501 0.443 0.00139
Nebraska Nebraska 28 16 0.636 0.501 0.443 0.00139
Nebraska Nebraska 28 16 0.636 0.501 0.443 0.00139
Eastern Illinois Illinois 5 36 0.122 0.519 0.191 -0.00507
Iowa Iowa 16 20 0.444 0.572 0.365 -0.00061
Iowa Iowa 16 20 0.444 0.572 0.365 -0.00061
Iowa Iowa 16 20 0.444 0.572 0.365 -0.00061
Illinois State Illinois 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281 -0.00276
St. Louis Illinois 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312 -0.00197
St. Louis Illinois 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312 -0.00197
St. Louis Illinois 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312 -0.00197
Eastern Illinois neutral 5 36 0.122 0.519 0.191 -0.00507
Ohio State Illinois 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444 0.00142
Ohio State Illinois 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444 0.00142
Ohio State Illinois 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444 0.00142
Minnesota Illinois 24 13 0.649 0.537 0.459 0.00180
Minnesota Illinois 24 13 0.649 0.537 0.459 0.00180
Minnesota Illinois 24 13 0.649 0.537 0.459 0.00180

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 148.51 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409
Bradley 82.76 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377
Butler 110.55 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244
Chicago State 116.46 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228
Eastern Illinois 42.82 5 36 0.122 0.519 0.191
Illinois State 49.82 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281
Illinois-Chicago 125.88 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322
Indiana 111.07 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420
Indiana State 60.75 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436
Northern Illinois 130.22 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318
Northwestern 139.02 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Purdue 71.86 7 33 0.175 0.532 0.221
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.99 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
St. Louis 147.03 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312
Valparaiso 113.10 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389
Western Illinois 132.09 11 25 0.306 0.486 0.274

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 250.46 26 16 0.619 0.531 0.442
Belmont 284.25 24 19 0.558 0.420 0.384
Bowling Green State 256.61 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287
Central Michigan 298.82 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Cincinnati 208.76 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381
Dayton 214.81 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 266.84 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
Eastern Michigan 281.06 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344
Evansville 151.25 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
IPFW 178.51 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Iowa 204.57 16 20 0.444 0.572 0.365
Kentucky 245.94 26 17 0.605 0.560 0.443
Lipscomb 286.73 23 21 0.523 0.443 0.372
Louisville 185.87 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543
Miami, Ohio 189.92 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371
Michigan 277.32 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491
Michigan State 265.87 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482
Missouri 233.22 23 21 0.523 0.560 0.402
Morehead State 289.00 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411
Murray State 240.07 20 22 0.476 0.482 0.358
Northern Kentucky 213.66 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
Notre Dame 152.08 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Ohio State 275.24 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444
Southeast Missouri State 204.85 30 12 0.714 0.491 0.480
Southern Illinois 173.69 24 18 0.571 0.491 0.408
Tennessee-Martin 261.76 14 27 0.341 0.474 0.289
Toledo 264.57 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228
Vanderbilt 283.89 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517
Western Kentucky 235.39 24 20 0.545 0.528 0.405
Western Michigan 203.68 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 208.19 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360
Wright State 222.58 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464
Xavier 210.13 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation