Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.551
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Tulane Tulane 37 17 0.685 0.529 0.475 0.00139
Tulane Tulane 37 17 0.685 0.529 0.475 0.00139
Tulane Tulane 37 17 0.685 0.529 0.475 0.00139
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 24 30 0.444 0.550 0.360 -0.00087
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 24 30 0.444 0.550 0.360 -0.00087
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 24 30 0.444 0.550 0.360 -0.00087
Central Michigan neutral 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00197
Stetson Stetson 25 29 0.463 0.514 0.360 -0.00087
Villanova neutral 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314 -0.00177
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00101
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504 0.00196
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00101
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504 0.00196
Northern Illinois neutral 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340 -0.00126
Northern Illinois neutral 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340 -0.00126
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00011
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00011
Illinois State Illinois State 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291 -0.00222
Penn State Illinois 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385 -0.00038
Penn State Illinois 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385 -0.00038
Penn State Illinois 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385 -0.00038
Indiana State Indiana State 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00088
Nebraska Nebraska 37 18 0.673 0.519 0.466 0.00121
Nebraska Nebraska 37 18 0.673 0.519 0.466 0.00121
Nebraska Nebraska 37 18 0.673 0.519 0.466 0.00121
Eastern Illinois Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00326
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 -0.00038
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 -0.00038
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 -0.00038
Illinois State Illinois 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291 -0.00222
St. Louis Illinois 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00124
St. Louis Illinois 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00124
St. Louis Illinois 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00124
Eastern Illinois neutral 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00326
Ohio State Illinois 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00123
Ohio State Illinois 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00123
Ohio State Illinois 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00123
Minnesota Illinois 32 18 0.640 0.514 0.449 0.00088
Minnesota Illinois 32 18 0.640 0.514 0.449 0.00088
Minnesota Illinois 32 18 0.640 0.514 0.449 0.00088
Missouri neutral 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373 -0.00061
Southern Illinois Illinois 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00011
Maryland Maryland 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406 0.00003
Maryland Maryland 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406 0.00003
Maryland Maryland 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406 0.00003
Indiana Indiana 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00025
Indiana Indiana 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00025
Indiana Indiana 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00025
Michigan Illinois 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454 0.00098
Michigan Illinois 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454 0.00098
Michigan Illinois 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454 0.00098

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 148.51 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Bradley 82.76 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394
Butler 110.55 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Chicago State 116.46 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Eastern Illinois 42.82 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Illinois State 49.82 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 125.88 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345
Indiana 111.07 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Indiana State 60.75 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Northern Illinois 130.22 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340
Northwestern 139.02 15 38 0.283 0.491 0.264
Purdue 71.86 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.99 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 147.03 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341
Valparaiso 113.10 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Western Illinois 132.09 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 250.46 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426
Belmont 284.25 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Bowling Green State 256.61 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Central Michigan 298.82 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304
Cincinnati 208.76 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Dayton 214.81 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295
Eastern Kentucky 266.84 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Eastern Michigan 281.06 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
Evansville 151.25 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
IPFW 178.51 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Iowa 204.57 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385
Kentucky 245.94 32 24 0.571 0.556 0.424
Lipscomb 286.73 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Louisville 185.87 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Miami, Ohio 189.92 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Michigan 277.32 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Michigan State 265.87 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448
Missouri 233.22 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373
Morehead State 289.00 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Murray State 240.07 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357
Northern Kentucky 213.66 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Notre Dame 152.08 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Ohio State 275.24 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467
Southeast Missouri State 204.85 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 173.69 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Tennessee-Martin 261.76 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293
Toledo 264.57 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293
Vanderbilt 283.89 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508
Western Kentucky 235.39 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357
Western Michigan 203.68 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 208.19 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388
Wright State 222.58 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Xavier 210.13 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation