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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for IPFW

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:38 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.425
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.471
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.33025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00060
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00060
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00060
Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00060
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00247
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00247
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00247
Illinois-Chicago neutral 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 0.00102
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 0.00054
Missouri neutral 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 0.00052
Butler Butler 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00071
Butler Butler 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00071
Butler Butler 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00071
Ball State neutral 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00279
Ball State neutral 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00279
Ball State neutral 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00279
Ball State neutral 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00279
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00055
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00055
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00055
Purdue Purdue 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00121
North Dakota State IPFW 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00051
North Dakota State IPFW 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00051
Butler IPFW 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00071
Nebraska-Omaha Nebraska-Omaha 23 19 0.548 0.446 0.386 0.00127
Nebraska-Omaha Nebraska-Omaha 23 19 0.548 0.446 0.386 0.00127
South Dakota State South Dakota State 20 23 0.465 0.439 0.342 0.00027
South Dakota State South Dakota State 20 23 0.465 0.439 0.342 0.00027
Western Illinois IPFW 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00001
Western Illinois IPFW 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00001
Western Illinois IPFW 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00001
Western Illinois IPFW 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00001
South Dakota State IPFW 20 23 0.465 0.439 0.342 0.00027
South Dakota State IPFW 20 23 0.465 0.439 0.342 0.00027
South Dakota State IPFW 20 23 0.465 0.439 0.342 0.00027
South Dakota State IPFW 20 23 0.465 0.439 0.342 0.00027
Western Illinois Western Illinois 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00001
Western Illinois Western Illinois 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00001
Western Illinois Western Illinois 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00001
Western Illinois Western Illinois 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00001
North Dakota State IPFW 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00051
North Dakota State IPFW 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00051
North Dakota State IPFW 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00051
North Dakota State IPFW 15 21 0.417 0.397 0.308 -0.00051

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 64.44 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bowling Green State 78.71 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Butler 104.23 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Chicago State 136.14 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Cincinnati 140.92 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 106.71 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Michigan 108.74 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Illinois-Chicago 141.47 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Miami, Ohio 112.64 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Michigan 105.99 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 115.86 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Northern Kentucky 148.33 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Northwestern 148.99 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Notre Dame 70.64 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Oakland 144.94 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Ohio State 133.28 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Purdue 107.06 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Toledo 86.14 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Valparaiso 102.90 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Western Michigan 84.58 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Wright State 107.58 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 139.97 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 187.05 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Bradley 236.56 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Central Michigan 170.62 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Eastern Illinois 197.83 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Kentucky 237.62 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Evansville 252.78 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Illinois 178.51 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 207.93 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Indiana 153.56 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 166.39 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Kent State 195.73 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Kentucky 215.99 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Louisville 204.30 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Marshall 266.01 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Morehead State 220.94 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Northern Illinois 198.34 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Ohio 200.79 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Pittsburgh 272.72 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
West Virginia 287.77 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Illinois 295.37 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330
Western Kentucky 294.85 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 199.32 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296
Youngstown State 226.24 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation