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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Kentucky

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:19 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.572
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.528
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.418


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wofford Wofford 25 18 0.581 0.495 0.414 -0.00010
George Mason neutral 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271 -0.00359
Dayton neutral 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00327
UC Santa Barbara neutral 26 10 0.722 0.567 0.503 0.00207
San Diego State San Diego State 12 26 0.316 0.567 0.300 -0.00288
Bryant neutral 30 7 0.811 0.475 0.524 0.00259
Austin Peay State Kentucky 25 14 0.641 0.530 0.453 0.00085
Buffalo Kentucky 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275 -0.00349
Buffalo Kentucky 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275 -0.00349
Buffalo Kentucky 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275 -0.00349
Cincinnati Kentucky 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380 -0.00093
Murray State Kentucky 19 20 0.487 0.456 0.357 -0.00149
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00210
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00210
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00210
Western Kentucky Kentucky 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 -0.00007
Georgia Georgia 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423 0.00012
Georgia Georgia 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423 0.00012
Georgia Georgia 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423 0.00012
Morehead State Kentucky 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404 -0.00034
Florida Kentucky 36 6 0.857 0.622 0.584 0.00405
Florida Kentucky 36 6 0.857 0.622 0.584 0.00405
Florida Kentucky 36 6 0.857 0.622 0.584 0.00405
Northern Kentucky Kentucky 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293 -0.00305
Xavier Kentucky 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321 -0.00237
Tennessee Tennessee 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425 0.00017
Tennessee Tennessee 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425 0.00017
Tennessee Tennessee 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425 0.00017
Alabama Kentucky 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426 0.00020
Alabama Kentucky 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426 0.00020
Alabama Kentucky 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426 0.00020
Louisville Kentucky 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535 0.00285
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00229
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00229
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00229
Louisville Louisville 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535 0.00285
Arkansas Kentucky 25 16 0.610 0.518 0.434 0.00039
Arkansas Kentucky 25 16 0.610 0.518 0.434 0.00039
Arkansas Kentucky 25 16 0.610 0.518 0.434 0.00039
Dayton Kentucky 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284 -0.00327
Miami, Ohio Kentucky 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 -0.00122

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 76.14 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380
Dayton 119.00 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Eastern Kentucky 22.87 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324
Indiana 134.88 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Louisville 69.79 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 103.41 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Morehead State 59.42 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Northern Kentucky 69.15 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Tennessee 146.99 24 18 0.571 0.560 0.425
Tennessee Tech 139.53 21 18 0.538 0.412 0.372
Western Kentucky 129.51 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415
Wright State 123.83 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Xavier 77.58 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.82 0.000
Alabama A&M 252.36 11 34 0.244 0.365 0.213
Appalachian State 199.06 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Austin Peay State 187.80 25 14 0.641 0.530 0.453
Ball State 159.20 25 17 0.595 0.440 0.407
Belmont 181.11 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393
Bowling Green State 236.24 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294
Butler 154.34 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Clemson 248.92 26 14 0.650 0.589 0.472
Davidson 267.13 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377
East Tennessee State 167.00 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Eastern Illinois 222.27 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Eastern Michigan 295.68 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330
Evansville 165.25 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424
Furman 243.10 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347
Gardner-Webb 248.18 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453
Georgia 289.20 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Georgia Tech 293.74 27 14 0.659 0.566 0.471
High Point 286.05 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448
IPFW 215.99 16 21 0.432 0.415 0.320
Illinois 245.94 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400
Illinois State 295.75 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274
Indiana State 186.43 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424
Jacksonville State 299.03 26 14 0.650 0.521 0.455
Kennesaw State 275.99 20 23 0.465 0.500 0.358
Kent State 272.69 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486
Liberty 294.44 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Lipscomb 183.78 20 21 0.488 0.446 0.355
Marshall 157.63 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Michigan 295.67 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496
Middle Tennessee State 182.35 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343
Murray State 231.15 19 20 0.487 0.456 0.357
North Carolina A&T 293.03 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236
North Carolina-Asheville 197.74 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
North Carolina-Charlotte 280.52 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349
North Carolina-Greensboro 291.65 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495
Notre Dame 269.55 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435
Ohio 156.98 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Ohio State 158.12 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Pittsburgh 294.44 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Presbyterian 286.75 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371
Purdue 211.69 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222
Radford 225.33 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
South Carolina-Upstate 251.67 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Southeast Missouri State 279.88 28 11 0.718 0.485 0.480
Southern Illinois 258.52 23 17 0.575 0.506 0.414
Tennessee-Martin 267.32 12 26 0.316 0.488 0.280
Toledo 254.23 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236
VMI 276.20 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Valparaiso 272.70 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383
Vanderbilt 182.06 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Virginia Tech 229.87 14 28 0.333 0.539 0.301
Wake Forest 268.26 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
West Virginia 267.50 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Western Carolina 202.03 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
Western Michigan 299.85 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274
Winthrop 287.53 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 255.48 25 18 0.581 0.495 0.414
Youngstown State 297.08 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation