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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Kentucky

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:57 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.586
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.542
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4285


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ball State neutral 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455 0.00043
Richmond neutral 24 28 0.462 0.509 0.358 -0.00114
Southern California Southern California 29 24 0.547 0.554 0.412 -0.00027
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 34 17 0.667 0.493 0.457 0.00046
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 34 17 0.667 0.493 0.457 0.00046
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 34 17 0.667 0.493 0.457 0.00046
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 31 20 0.608 0.432 0.412 -0.00027
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 31 20 0.608 0.432 0.412 -0.00027
Northeastern neutral 26 29 0.473 0.459 0.351 -0.00125
Mount St. Mary's neutral 17 24 0.415 0.452 0.321 -0.00173

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 76.14 22 31 0.415 0.518 0.337
Dayton 119.00 23 30 0.434 0.468 0.334
Eastern Kentucky 22.87 24 31 0.436 0.464 0.334
Indiana 134.88 44 15 0.746 0.549 0.510
Louisville 69.79 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507
Miami, Ohio 103.41 30 27 0.526 0.509 0.390
Morehead State 59.42 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361
Northern Kentucky 69.15 14 37 0.275 0.483 0.258
Tennessee 146.99 31 23 0.574 0.541 0.422
Tennessee Tech 139.53 39 19 0.672 0.441 0.446
Western Kentucky 129.51 29 28 0.509 0.505 0.381
Wright State 123.83 35 22 0.614 0.468 0.424
Xavier 77.58 30 29 0.508 0.522 0.385

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.82 28 29 0.491 0.469 0.363
Alabama A&M 252.36 20 31 0.392 0.412 0.299
Appalachian State 199.06 21 34 0.382 0.521 0.321
Austin Peay State 187.80 23 33 0.411 0.473 0.324
Ball State 159.20 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455
Belmont 181.11 24 30 0.444 0.506 0.349
Bowling Green State 236.24 25 27 0.481 0.493 0.364
Butler 154.34 16 30 0.348 0.482 0.294
Clemson 248.92 36 25 0.590 0.540 0.430
Davidson 267.13 29 19 0.604 0.494 0.425
East Tennessee State 167.00 27 30 0.474 0.502 0.362
Eastern Illinois 222.27 21 33 0.389 0.531 0.327
Eastern Michigan 295.68 16 34 0.320 0.441 0.270
Evansville 165.25 33 20 0.623 0.491 0.434
Furman 243.10 26 33 0.441 0.502 0.346
Gardner-Webb 248.18 23 31 0.426 0.483 0.334
Georgia 289.20 26 29 0.473 0.590 0.384
Georgia Tech 293.74 37 27 0.578 0.575 0.433
High Point 286.05 33 22 0.600 0.526 0.431
IPFW 215.99 17 36 0.321 0.451 0.273
Illinois 245.94 32 21 0.604 0.512 0.430
Illinois State 295.75 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409
Indiana State 186.43 35 18 0.660 0.516 0.459
Jacksonville State 299.03 36 27 0.571 0.515 0.414
Kennesaw State 275.99 40 24 0.625 0.525 0.444
Kent State 272.69 35 23 0.603 0.456 0.415
Liberty 294.44 41 18 0.695 0.509 0.475
Lipscomb 183.78 33 28 0.541 0.490 0.393
Marshall 157.63 16 31 0.340 0.488 0.292
Michigan 295.67 30 29 0.508 0.521 0.384
Middle Tennessee State 182.35 31 27 0.534 0.535 0.401
Murray State 231.15 22 28 0.440 0.469 0.337
North Carolina A&T 293.03 17 32 0.347 0.450 0.286
North Carolina-Asheville 197.74 13 40 0.245 0.486 0.244
North Carolina-Charlotte 280.52 19 31 0.380 0.539 0.325
North Carolina-Greensboro 291.65 21 28 0.429 0.490 0.337
Notre Dame 269.55 21 31 0.404 0.507 0.329
Ohio 156.98 11 39 0.220 0.456 0.224
Ohio State 158.12 30 28 0.517 0.509 0.386
Pittsburgh 294.44 22 30 0.423 0.502 0.337
Presbyterian 286.75 19 34 0.358 0.484 0.300
Purdue 211.69 13 37 0.260 0.548 0.267
Radford 225.33 33 23 0.589 0.500 0.419
South Carolina-Upstate 251.67 17 38 0.309 0.480 0.274
Southeast Missouri State 279.88 36 20 0.643 0.471 0.439
Southern Illinois 258.52 26 31 0.456 0.464 0.344
Tennessee-Martin 267.32 9 42 0.176 0.477 0.207
Toledo 254.23 22 32 0.407 0.488 0.326
VMI 276.20 25 23 0.521 0.521 0.391
Valparaiso 272.70 24 27 0.471 0.446 0.347
Vanderbilt 182.06 51 21 0.708 0.599 0.504
Virginia Tech 229.87 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341
Wake Forest 268.26 30 26 0.536 0.533 0.401
West Virginia 267.50 28 26 0.519 0.551 0.397
Western Carolina 202.03 37 18 0.673 0.493 0.460
Western Michigan 299.85 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Winthrop 287.53 27 33 0.450 0.474 0.344
Wofford 255.48 32 28 0.533 0.469 0.384
Youngstown State 297.08 17 38 0.309 0.478 0.274

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation