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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Kentucky

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.568
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.527
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ball State neutral 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00031
Richmond neutral 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411 -0.00012
Southern California Southern California 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515 0.00248
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00266
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00266
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00266
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 17 20 0.459 0.474 0.348 -0.00169
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 17 20 0.459 0.474 0.348 -0.00169
Northeastern neutral 18 22 0.450 0.464 0.341 -0.00187
Mount St. Mary's neutral 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203 -0.00532
Murray State Kentucky 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274 -0.00354
Murray State Kentucky 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274 -0.00354
Northern Kentucky Kentucky 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286 -0.00324
Northern Kentucky Kentucky 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286 -0.00324
Northern Kentucky Kentucky 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286 -0.00324
Cincinnati Cincinnati 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00299
South Carolina South Carolina 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00058
South Carolina South Carolina 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00058
South Carolina South Carolina 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00058
Ohio Kentucky 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427 0.00028
Mississippi State Kentucky 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00034
Mississippi State Kentucky 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00034
Mississippi State Kentucky 22 20 0.524 0.561 0.402 -0.00034
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 -0.00039
Morehead State Kentucky 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409 -0.00017
Louisiana State Louisiana State 37 6 0.860 0.544 0.566 0.00376
Louisiana State Louisiana State 37 6 0.860 0.544 0.566 0.00376
Louisiana State Louisiana State 37 6 0.860 0.544 0.566 0.00376
Indiana Kentucky 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00053
Texas A&M Kentucky 36 7 0.837 0.543 0.554 0.00346
Texas A&M Kentucky 36 7 0.837 0.543 0.554 0.00346
Arkansas Arkansas 25 17 0.595 0.580 0.443 0.00068
Arkansas Arkansas 25 17 0.595 0.580 0.443 0.00068
Arkansas Arkansas 25 17 0.595 0.580 0.443 0.00068
Western Kentucky Kentucky 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 -0.00039
Tennessee Kentucky 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356 -0.00149
Tennessee Kentucky 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356 -0.00149
Tennessee Kentucky 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356 -0.00149
Xavier Kentucky 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261 -0.00387
Florida Florida 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00248
Florida Florida 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00248
Florida Florida 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00248

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 76.14 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 119.00 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Eastern Kentucky 22.87 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Indiana 134.88 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Louisville 69.79 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 103.41 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Morehead State 59.42 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Northern Kentucky 69.15 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Tennessee 146.99 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 139.53 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Western Kentucky 129.51 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Wright State 123.83 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 77.58 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.82 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Alabama A&M 252.36 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Appalachian State 199.06 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Austin Peay State 187.80 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Ball State 159.20 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Belmont 181.11 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Bowling Green State 236.24 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Butler 154.34 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Clemson 248.92 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Davidson 267.13 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
East Tennessee State 167.00 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Eastern Illinois 222.27 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Michigan 295.68 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
Evansville 165.25 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Furman 243.10 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 248.18 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
Georgia 289.20 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Tech 293.74 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
High Point 286.05 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
IPFW 215.99 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Illinois 245.94 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 295.75 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Indiana State 186.43 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Jacksonville State 299.03 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Kennesaw State 275.99 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Kent State 272.69 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Liberty 294.44 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Lipscomb 183.78 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Marshall 157.63 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Michigan 295.67 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Middle Tennessee State 182.35 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Murray State 231.15 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
North Carolina A&T 293.03 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina-Asheville 197.74 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Charlotte 280.52 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 291.65 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Notre Dame 269.55 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Ohio 156.98 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 158.12 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Pittsburgh 294.44 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Presbyterian 286.75 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Purdue 211.69 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Radford 225.33 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
South Carolina-Upstate 251.67 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
Southeast Missouri State 279.88 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southern Illinois 258.52 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Tennessee-Martin 267.32 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Toledo 254.23 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
VMI 276.20 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Valparaiso 272.70 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Vanderbilt 182.06 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Virginia Tech 229.87 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 268.26 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
West Virginia 267.50 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Carolina 202.03 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Western Michigan 299.85 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Winthrop 287.53 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 255.48 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434
Youngstown State 297.08 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation