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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Kentucky

Last updated: Tue May 24 06:53:49 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.555
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.537
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41175


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wofford Wofford 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 -0.00044
George Mason neutral 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00216
Dayton neutral 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00208
UC Santa Barbara neutral 35 16 0.686 0.548 0.480 0.00122
San Diego State San Diego State 19 36 0.345 0.548 0.309 -0.00183
Bryant neutral 44 10 0.815 0.463 0.523 0.00199
Austin Peay State Kentucky 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426 0.00025
Buffalo Kentucky 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00173
Buffalo Kentucky 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00173
Buffalo Kentucky 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00173
Cincinnati Kentucky 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376 -0.00064
Murray State Kentucky 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357 -0.00098
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332 -0.00142
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332 -0.00142
South Carolina-Upstate Kentucky 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332 -0.00142
Western Kentucky Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357 -0.00098
Georgia Georgia 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398 -0.00025
Georgia Georgia 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398 -0.00025
Georgia Georgia 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398 -0.00025
Morehead State Kentucky 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398 -0.00025
Florida Kentucky 44 11 0.800 0.601 0.550 0.00247
Florida Kentucky 44 11 0.800 0.601 0.550 0.00247
Florida Kentucky 44 11 0.800 0.601 0.550 0.00247
Northern Kentucky Kentucky 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306 -0.00189
Xavier Kentucky 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 -0.00060
Tennessee Tennessee 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397 -0.00026
Tennessee Tennessee 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397 -0.00026
Tennessee Tennessee 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397 -0.00026
Alabama Kentucky 31 24 0.564 0.549 0.419 0.00013
Alabama Kentucky 31 24 0.564 0.549 0.419 0.00013
Alabama Kentucky 31 24 0.564 0.549 0.419 0.00013
Louisville Kentucky 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00258
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508 0.00172
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508 0.00172
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508 0.00172
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00258
Arkansas Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.553 0.375 -0.00066
Arkansas Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.553 0.375 -0.00066
Arkansas Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.553 0.375 -0.00066
Dayton Kentucky 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00208
Miami, Ohio Kentucky 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 -0.00085
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.576 0.349 -0.00112
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.576 0.349 -0.00112
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.576 0.349 -0.00112
Eastern Kentucky Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00132
South Carolina Kentucky 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523 0.00199
South Carolina Kentucky 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523 0.00199
South Carolina Kentucky 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523 0.00199
Indiana Indiana 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00009
Mississippi Mississippi 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503 0.00163
Mississippi Mississippi 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503 0.00163
Mississippi Mississippi 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503 0.00163
Murray State neutral 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357 -0.00098
Missouri Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373 -0.00069
Missouri Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373 -0.00069
Missouri Kentucky 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373 -0.00069

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 76.14 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Dayton 119.00 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295
Eastern Kentucky 22.87 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Indiana 134.88 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Louisville 69.79 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Miami, Ohio 103.41 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Morehead State 59.42 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Northern Kentucky 69.15 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Tennessee 146.99 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
Tennessee Tech 139.53 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Western Kentucky 129.51 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357
Wright State 123.83 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Xavier 77.58 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.82 0.000
Alabama A&M 252.36 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Appalachian State 199.06 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Austin Peay State 187.80 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426
Ball State 159.20 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Belmont 181.11 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Bowling Green State 236.24 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Butler 154.34 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Clemson 248.92 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485
Davidson 267.13 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376
East Tennessee State 167.00 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Eastern Illinois 222.27 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Eastern Michigan 295.68 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
Evansville 165.25 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
Furman 243.10 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
Gardner-Webb 248.18 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436
Georgia 289.20 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398
Georgia Tech 293.74 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463
High Point 286.05 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422
IPFW 215.99 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Illinois 245.94 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 295.75 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291
Indiana State 186.43 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Jacksonville State 299.03 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424
Kennesaw State 275.99 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392
Kent State 272.69 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
Liberty 294.44 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386
Lipscomb 183.78 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Marshall 157.63 32 19 0.627 0.522 0.444
Michigan 295.67 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Middle Tennessee State 182.35 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
Murray State 231.15 25 28 0.472 0.485 0.357
North Carolina A&T 293.03 13 41 0.241 0.461 0.236
North Carolina-Asheville 197.74 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 280.52 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351
North Carolina-Greensboro 291.65 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
Notre Dame 269.55 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Ohio 156.98 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 158.12 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467
Pittsburgh 294.44 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Presbyterian 286.75 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363
Purdue 211.69 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Radford 225.33 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
South Carolina-Upstate 251.67 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
Southeast Missouri State 279.88 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 258.52 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Tennessee-Martin 267.32 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293
Toledo 254.23 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293
VMI 276.20 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Valparaiso 272.70 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Vanderbilt 182.06 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508
Virginia Tech 229.87 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Wake Forest 268.26 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431
West Virginia 267.50 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Carolina 202.03 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
Western Michigan 299.85 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298
Winthrop 287.53 28 25 0.528 0.479 0.384
Wofford 255.48 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387
Youngstown State 297.08 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation