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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.521
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.505
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Canisius neutral 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380 -0.00013
Canisius neutral 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380 -0.00013
Canisius neutral 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380 -0.00013
Canisius neutral 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380 -0.00013
St. Joseph's neutral 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410 0.00043
Cal Poly Cal Poly 30 24 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00036
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347 -0.00074
California California 30 20 0.600 0.516 0.429 0.00078
San Jose State San Jose State 17 38 0.309 0.518 0.284 -0.00190
UC Davis UC Davis 16 34 0.320 0.523 0.291 -0.00177
Hawaii Hawaii 22 26 0.458 0.527 0.361 -0.00048
Hawaii Hawaii 22 26 0.458 0.527 0.361 -0.00048
Hawaii Hawaii 22 26 0.458 0.527 0.361 -0.00048
Hawaii Hawaii 22 26 0.458 0.527 0.361 -0.00048
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 35 18 0.660 0.532 0.463 0.00141
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 35 18 0.660 0.532 0.463 0.00141
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 35 18 0.660 0.532 0.463 0.00141
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345 -0.00077
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345 -0.00077
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345 -0.00077
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345 -0.00077
Central Michigan Michigan 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00153
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.491 0.264 -0.00227
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.491 0.264 -0.00227
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.491 0.264 -0.00227
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00001
Bowling Green State Michigan 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00218
Minnesota Michigan 32 18 0.640 0.514 0.449 0.00115
Minnesota Michigan 32 18 0.640 0.514 0.449 0.00115
Michigan State Michigan State 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00113
Eastern Michigan Michigan 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00142
Nebraska Michigan 37 18 0.673 0.519 0.466 0.00147
Nebraska Michigan 37 18 0.673 0.519 0.466 0.00147
Nebraska Michigan 37 18 0.673 0.519 0.466 0.00147
Toledo Michigan 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00174
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 -0.00003
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 -0.00003
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 -0.00003
Michigan State Michigan 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00113
Michigan State Michigan State 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00113
Michigan State Michigan 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00113
Eastern Michigan Michigan 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00142
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00142
Rutgers Michigan 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 -0.00014
Rutgers Michigan 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 -0.00014
Rutgers Michigan 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 -0.00014
Central Michigan Central Michigan 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00153
Ohio State Ohio State 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00149
Ohio State Ohio State 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00149
Ohio State Ohio State 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00149
Oakland Michigan 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00077
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00047
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00047
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00047

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 141.64 0.000
Bowling Green State 61.57 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Central Michigan 104.55 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304
Eastern Michigan 4.84 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
IPFW 105.99 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Kent State 146.41 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
Michigan State 49.74 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448
Notre Dame 133.64 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Oakland 38.97 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345
Toledo 43.95 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293
Western Michigan 95.13 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 166.35 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Buffalo 257.10 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315
Butler 209.68 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Canisius 252.55 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380
Chicago State 202.10 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Cincinnati 220.56 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Dayton 176.67 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295
Illinois 277.32 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 298.13 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 202.28 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345
Indiana 258.29 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Indiana State 271.93 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Kentucky 295.67 32 24 0.571 0.556 0.424
Marshall 292.82 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Miami, Ohio 197.24 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Morehead State 282.02 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Niagara 246.36 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265
Northern Illinois 259.22 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340
Northern Kentucky 227.02 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Northwestern 202.74 15 38 0.283 0.491 0.264
Ohio 220.56 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 160.42 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467
Pittsburgh 232.79 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Purdue 208.59 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
St. Bonaventure 269.40 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374
Valparaiso 178.25 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
West Virginia 266.63 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 220.24 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388
Wright State 172.27 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Xavier 218.80 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378
Youngstown State 170.20 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation