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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:11 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.522 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.506 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.3875 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Canisius | neutral | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 | -0.00015 |
Canisius | neutral | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 | -0.00015 |
Canisius | neutral | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 | -0.00015 |
Canisius | neutral | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 | -0.00015 |
St. Joseph's | neutral | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 | 0.00036 |
Cal Poly | Cal Poly | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.491 | 0.403 | 0.00027 |
Santa Clara | Santa Clara | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.496 | 0.345 | -0.00075 |
California | California | 32 | 21 | 0.604 | 0.506 | 0.428 | 0.00071 |
San Jose State | San Jose State | 17 | 39 | 0.304 | 0.512 | 0.280 | -0.00189 |
UC Davis | UC Davis | 17 | 36 | 0.321 | 0.520 | 0.290 | -0.00171 |
Hawaii | Hawaii | 22 | 29 | 0.431 | 0.531 | 0.348 | -0.00069 |
Hawaii | Hawaii | 22 | 29 | 0.431 | 0.531 | 0.348 | -0.00069 |
Hawaii | Hawaii | 22 | 29 | 0.431 | 0.531 | 0.348 | -0.00069 |
Hawaii | Hawaii | 22 | 29 | 0.431 | 0.531 | 0.348 | -0.00069 |
Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | 43 | 22 | 0.662 | 0.550 | 0.469 | 0.00143 |
Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | 43 | 22 | 0.662 | 0.550 | 0.469 | 0.00143 |
Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | 43 | 22 | 0.662 | 0.550 | 0.469 | 0.00143 |
Illinois-Chicago | Michigan | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 | -0.00082 |
Illinois-Chicago | Michigan | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 | -0.00082 |
Illinois-Chicago | Michigan | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 | -0.00082 |
Illinois-Chicago | Michigan | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 | -0.00082 |
Central Michigan | Michigan | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 | -0.00131 |
Northwestern | Northwestern | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00220 |
Northwestern | Northwestern | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00220 |
Northwestern | Northwestern | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00220 |
Notre Dame | Notre Dame | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 | -0.00004 |
Bowling Green State | Michigan | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 | -0.00208 |
Minnesota | Michigan | 34 | 22 | 0.607 | 0.522 | 0.434 | 0.00082 |
Minnesota | Michigan | 34 | 22 | 0.607 | 0.522 | 0.434 | 0.00082 |
Michigan State | Michigan State | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00099 |
Eastern Michigan | Michigan | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 | -0.00117 |
Nebraska | Michigan | 37 | 22 | 0.627 | 0.517 | 0.443 | 0.00097 |
Nebraska | Michigan | 37 | 22 | 0.627 | 0.517 | 0.443 | 0.00097 |
Nebraska | Michigan | 37 | 22 | 0.627 | 0.517 | 0.443 | 0.00097 |
Toledo | Michigan | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 | -0.00168 |
Iowa | Iowa | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 | 0.00013 |
Iowa | Iowa | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 | 0.00013 |
Iowa | Iowa | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 | 0.00013 |
Michigan State | Michigan | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00099 |
Michigan State | Michigan State | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00099 |
Michigan State | Michigan | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00099 |
Eastern Michigan | Michigan | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 | -0.00117 |
Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 | -0.00117 |
Rutgers | Michigan | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 | -0.00020 |
Rutgers | Michigan | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 | -0.00020 |
Rutgers | Michigan | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 | -0.00020 |
Central Michigan | Central Michigan | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 | -0.00131 |
Ohio State | Ohio State | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00146 |
Ohio State | Ohio State | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00146 |
Ohio State | Ohio State | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00146 |
Oakland | Michigan | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 | -0.00085 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00039 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00039 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00039 |
Ohio State | neutral | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00146 |
Minnesota | neutral | 34 | 22 | 0.607 | 0.522 | 0.434 | 0.00082 |
Ohio State | neutral | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00146 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Akron | 141.64 | 0.000 | ||||
Bowling Green State | 61.57 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 |
Central Michigan | 104.55 | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 |
Eastern Michigan | 4.84 | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 |
IPFW | 105.99 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.413 | 0.367 |
Kent State | 146.41 | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 |
Michigan State | 49.74 | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 |
Notre Dame | 133.64 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 |
Oakland | 38.97 | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 |
Toledo | 43.95 | 19 | 38 | 0.333 | 0.502 | 0.292 |
Western Michigan | 95.13 | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Ball State | 166.35 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Buffalo | 257.10 | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.449 | 0.314 |
Butler | 209.68 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 |
Canisius | 252.55 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 |
Chicago State | 202.10 | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 |
Cincinnati | 220.56 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 |
Dayton | 176.67 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 |
Illinois | 277.32 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 |
Illinois State | 298.13 | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 |
Illinois-Chicago | 202.28 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 |
Indiana | 258.29 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 |
Indiana State | 271.93 | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 |
Kentucky | 295.67 | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 |
Marshall | 292.82 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Miami, Ohio | 197.24 | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 |
Morehead State | 282.02 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Niagara | 246.36 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 |
Northern Illinois | 259.22 | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 |
Northern Kentucky | 227.02 | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 |
Northwestern | 202.74 | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 |
Ohio | 220.56 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Ohio State | 160.42 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 |
Pittsburgh | 232.79 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
Purdue | 208.59 | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 |
St. Bonaventure | 269.40 | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 |
Valparaiso | 178.25 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 |
West Virginia | 266.63 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 220.24 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 |
Wright State | 172.27 | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 |
Xavier | 218.80 | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 |
Youngstown State | 170.20 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |