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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:38 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.513
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.513
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00061
Washington neutral 33 11 0.750 0.501 0.500 0.00240
Air Force neutral 16 30 0.348 0.501 0.299 -0.00179
Houston Houston 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00267
Houston Houston 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00267
Houston Houston 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00267
North Carolina State North Carolina State 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00092
Appalachian State neutral 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00156
Notre Dame neutral 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00177
UCLA neutral 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00004
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 32 17 0.653 0.475 0.445 0.00126
Central Florida Central Florida 29 19 0.604 0.558 0.442 0.00119
Princeton neutral 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00177
Princeton neutral 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00177
Princeton neutral 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00177
Princeton neutral 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00177
Appalachian State neutral 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00156
College of Charleston College of Charleston 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00157
College of Charleston College of Charleston 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00157
Kent State neutral 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00073
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00248
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00248
Indiana Indiana 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504 0.00248
Western Michigan Michigan 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00114
Iowa Michigan 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420 0.00073
Iowa Michigan 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420 0.00073
Iowa Michigan 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420 0.00073
Central Michigan Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00042
Minnesota Michigan 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00007
Minnesota Michigan 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00007
Minnesota Michigan 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00007
Notre Dame Michigan 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00177
Illinois Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00103
Illinois Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00103
Illinois Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00103
Eastern Michigan Michigan 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00239
Purdue Purdue 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00224
Purdue Purdue 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00224
Purdue Purdue 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00224
Bowling Green State Michigan 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 -0.00031
Nebraska Michigan 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00155
Nebraska Michigan 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00155
Nebraska Michigan 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00155
Oakland Michigan 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235 -0.00312
Northwestern Northwestern 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00243
Northwestern Northwestern 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00243
Northwestern Northwestern 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00243
Central Michigan Central Michigan 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00042

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 141.64 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Bowling Green State 61.57 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Central Michigan 104.55 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Eastern Michigan 4.84 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
IPFW 105.99 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Kent State 146.41 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Michigan State 49.74 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Notre Dame 133.64 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Oakland 38.97 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Toledo 43.95 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Western Michigan 95.13 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 166.35 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Buffalo 257.10 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395
Butler 209.68 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Canisius 252.55 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457
Chicago State 202.10 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Cincinnati 220.56 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 176.67 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Illinois 277.32 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 298.13 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 202.28 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana 258.29 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 271.93 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Kentucky 295.67 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Marshall 292.82 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Miami, Ohio 197.24 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Morehead State 282.02 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Niagara 246.36 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288
Northern Illinois 259.22 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northern Kentucky 227.02 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Northwestern 202.74 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Ohio 220.56 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 160.42 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Pittsburgh 232.79 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Purdue 208.59 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
St. Bonaventure 269.40 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262
Valparaiso 178.25 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
West Virginia 266.63 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 220.24 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296
Wright State 172.27 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 218.80 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388
Youngstown State 170.20 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation