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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:02 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.523
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.502
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.387


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Canisius neutral 25 19 0.568 0.417 0.388 0.00002
Canisius neutral 25 19 0.568 0.417 0.388 0.00002
Canisius neutral 25 19 0.568 0.417 0.388 0.00002
Canisius neutral 25 19 0.568 0.417 0.388 0.00002
St. Joseph's neutral 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403 0.00039
Cal Poly Cal Poly 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426 0.00095
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 22 0.463 0.512 0.360 -0.00066
California California 24 16 0.600 0.548 0.437 0.00122
San Jose State San Jose State 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295 -0.00224
UC Davis UC Davis 12 25 0.324 0.493 0.285 -0.00249
Hawaii Hawaii 17 22 0.436 0.529 0.350 -0.00090
Hawaii Hawaii 17 22 0.436 0.529 0.350 -0.00090
Hawaii Hawaii 17 22 0.436 0.529 0.350 -0.00090
Hawaii Hawaii 17 22 0.436 0.529 0.350 -0.00090
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 28 15 0.651 0.561 0.466 0.00193
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 28 15 0.651 0.561 0.466 0.00193
Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 28 15 0.651 0.561 0.466 0.00193
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337 -0.00122
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337 -0.00122
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337 -0.00122
Illinois-Chicago Michigan 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337 -0.00122
Central Michigan Michigan 11 32 0.256 0.497 0.252 -0.00329
Northwestern Northwestern 10 32 0.238 0.496 0.243 -0.00351
Northwestern Northwestern 10 32 0.238 0.496 0.243 -0.00351
Northwestern Northwestern 10 32 0.238 0.496 0.243 -0.00351
Notre Dame Notre Dame 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 0.00090
Bowling Green State Michigan 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284 -0.00251
Minnesota Michigan 25 13 0.658 0.535 0.463 0.00185
Minnesota Michigan 25 13 0.658 0.535 0.463 0.00185
Michigan State Michigan State 30 11 0.732 0.487 0.488 0.00246
Eastern Michigan Michigan 17 23 0.425 0.494 0.336 -0.00124
Nebraska Michigan 28 16 0.636 0.500 0.443 0.00137
Nebraska Michigan 28 16 0.636 0.500 0.443 0.00137
Nebraska Michigan 28 16 0.636 0.500 0.443 0.00137
Toledo Michigan 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237 -0.00366
Iowa Iowa 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365 -0.00054
Iowa Iowa 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365 -0.00054
Iowa Iowa 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365 -0.00054
Michigan State Michigan 30 11 0.732 0.487 0.488 0.00246
Michigan State Michigan State 30 11 0.732 0.487 0.488 0.00246
Michigan State Michigan 30 11 0.732 0.487 0.488 0.00246
Eastern Michigan Michigan 17 23 0.425 0.494 0.336 -0.00124

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 141.64 0.000
Bowling Green State 61.57 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284
Central Michigan 104.55 11 32 0.256 0.497 0.252
Eastern Michigan 4.84 17 23 0.425 0.494 0.336
IPFW 105.99 17 23 0.425 0.421 0.318
Kent State 146.41 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485
Michigan State 49.74 30 11 0.732 0.487 0.488
Notre Dame 133.64 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Oakland 38.97 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367
Toledo 43.95 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237
Western Michigan 95.13 13 26 0.333 0.464 0.283

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 166.35 27 18 0.600 0.437 0.409
Buffalo 257.10 13 26 0.333 0.459 0.281
Butler 209.68 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238
Canisius 252.55 25 19 0.568 0.417 0.388
Chicago State 202.10 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226
Cincinnati 220.56 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381
Dayton 176.67 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298
Illinois 277.32 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395
Illinois State 298.13 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 202.28 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337
Indiana 258.29 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Indiana State 271.93 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442
Kentucky 295.67 27 17 0.614 0.556 0.446
Marshall 292.82 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Miami, Ohio 197.24 21 22 0.488 0.491 0.367
Morehead State 282.02 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
Niagara 246.36 15 26 0.366 0.461 0.298
Northern Illinois 259.22 18 25 0.419 0.464 0.326
Northern Kentucky 227.02 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Northwestern 202.74 10 32 0.238 0.496 0.243
Ohio 220.56 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Ohio State 160.42 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447
Pittsburgh 232.79 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417
Purdue 208.59 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
St. Bonaventure 269.40 20 17 0.541 0.385 0.367
Valparaiso 178.25 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373
West Virginia 266.63 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 220.24 18 20 0.474 0.470 0.354
Wright State 172.27 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464
Xavier 218.80 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339
Youngstown State 170.20 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation