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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan State

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.482
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.519
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37075


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Presbyterian neutral 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363 -0.00015
Furman Furman 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377 0.00012
Fordham neutral 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367 -0.00007
Texas State neutral 30 26 0.536 0.485 0.389 0.00035
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 18 31 0.367 0.482 0.304 -0.00128
Central Florida neutral 25 31 0.446 0.540 0.358 -0.00025
Southern Mississippi neutral 36 18 0.667 0.551 0.471 0.00193
Auburn neutral 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349 -0.00042
Troy neutral 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00091
Illinois State neutral 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291 -0.00153
Florida Gulf Coast neutral 24 30 0.444 0.550 0.360 -0.00021
Butler neutral 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00251
St. Joseph's neutral 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410 0.00075
North Dakota State neutral 24 25 0.490 0.471 0.363 -0.00015
South Florida South Florida 23 31 0.426 0.530 0.346 -0.00048
South Florida South Florida 23 31 0.426 0.530 0.346 -0.00048
South Florida South Florida 23 31 0.426 0.530 0.346 -0.00048
Central Michigan Michigan State 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00128
Rutgers Michigan State 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 0.00016
Rutgers Michigan State 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 0.00016
Rutgers Michigan State 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 0.00016
Oakland Michigan State 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00050
Oregon Michigan State 29 23 0.558 0.538 0.414 0.00083
Eastern Michigan Michigan State 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00117
Penn State Penn State 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385 0.00027
Penn State Penn State 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385 0.00027
Penn State Penn State 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385 0.00027
Michigan Michigan State 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454 0.00160
Central Michigan neutral 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00128
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225 -0.00280
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225 -0.00280
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225 -0.00280
Notre Dame Michigan State 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 0.00029
Western Michigan Michigan State 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298 -0.00140
Indiana Michigan State 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00089
Indiana Michigan State 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00089
Indiana Michigan State 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00089
Toledo Michigan State 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293 -0.00150
Michigan Michigan 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454 0.00160
Michigan Michigan State 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454 0.00160
Michigan Michigan 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454 0.00160
Nebraska Michigan State 37 18 0.673 0.519 0.466 0.00183
Nebraska Michigan State 37 18 0.673 0.519 0.466 0.00183
Nebraska Michigan State 37 18 0.673 0.519 0.466 0.00183
Eastern Michigan neutral 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00117
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 0.00027
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 0.00027
Iowa Iowa 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 0.00027
Central Michigan Central Michigan 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00128
Maryland Michigan State 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406 0.00068
Maryland Michigan State 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406 0.00068
Maryland Michigan State 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406 0.00068

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 103.25 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Central Michigan 60.17 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304
Eastern Michigan 53.90 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
IPFW 115.86 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Michigan 49.74 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Notre Dame 114.21 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Oakland 64.98 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345
Toledo 88.17 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293
Western Michigan 64.63 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.20 0.000
Ball State 180.30 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Bradley 298.92 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394
Buffalo 289.56 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315
Butler 217.63 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Canisius 285.66 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380
Chicago State 174.32 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Cincinnati 248.90 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Dayton 207.63 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295
Eastern Illinois 295.71 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Illinois 265.87 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 278.75 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 172.23 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345
Indiana 267.46 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Indiana State 271.53 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Kent State 195.69 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
Miami, Ohio 222.77 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Niagara 277.58 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265
Northern Illinois 225.95 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340
Northern Kentucky 255.91 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Northwestern 169.77 15 38 0.283 0.491 0.264
Ohio 266.07 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 202.81 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467
Pittsburgh 282.04 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Purdue 202.95 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Valparaiso 157.25 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 175.89 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388
Wright State 204.89 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Xavier 247.47 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378
Youngstown State 218.40 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation