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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.556
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.524
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.409


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
New Mexico neutral 24 17 0.585 0.544 0.428 0.00047
Oregon State neutral 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00130
Northwestern neutral 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00270
Houston Baptist neutral 21 19 0.525 0.474 0.381 -0.00070
Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington 17 23 0.425 0.570 0.355 -0.00135
Southeastern Louisiana neutral 32 12 0.727 0.495 0.487 0.00195
UCLA UCLA 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00313
UCLA UCLA 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00313
UCLA UCLA 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00313
Toledo neutral 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00240
Akron neutral 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358 -0.00128
Maryland-Baltimore County neutral 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379 -0.00075
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00187
Clemson neutral 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 -0.00020
Furman Furman 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00143
Connecticut neutral 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00125
South Carolina-Upstate neutral 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293 -0.00290
Ohio State Ohio State 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00242
Ohio State Ohio State 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00242
Ohio State Ohio State 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00242
Central Michigan Michigan State 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442 0.00082
Oakland Michigan State 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00400
Illinois Michigan State 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00335
Illinois Michigan State 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00335
Illinois Michigan State 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00335
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335 -0.00185
Oregon Oregon 23 19 0.548 0.523 0.405 -0.00010
Oregon Oregon 23 19 0.548 0.523 0.405 -0.00010
Oregon Oregon 23 19 0.548 0.523 0.405 -0.00010
Western Michigan Michigan State 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311 -0.00245
Northwestern Michigan State 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00270
Northwestern Michigan State 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00270
Northwestern Michigan State 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301 -0.00270
Michigan neutral 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430 0.00052
Central Michigan neutral 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442 0.00082
Rutgers Rutgers 14 26 0.350 0.544 0.311 -0.00245
Rutgers Rutgers 14 26 0.350 0.544 0.311 -0.00245
Rutgers Rutgers 14 26 0.350 0.544 0.311 -0.00245
Toledo Michigan State 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00240
Indiana Indiana 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00070
Indiana Indiana 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00070
Indiana Indiana 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00070

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 103.25 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Central Michigan 60.17 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442
Eastern Michigan 53.90 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
IPFW 115.86 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Michigan 49.74 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Notre Dame 114.21 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Oakland 64.98 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249
Toledo 88.17 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Western Michigan 64.63 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.20 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Ball State 180.30 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bradley 298.92 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Buffalo 289.56 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275
Butler 217.63 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Canisius 285.66 19 22 0.463 0.382 0.327
Chicago State 174.32 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
Cincinnati 248.90 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 207.63 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Eastern Illinois 295.71 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Illinois 265.87 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 278.75 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Illinois-Chicago 172.23 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Indiana 267.46 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 271.53 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Kent State 195.69 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Miami, Ohio 222.77 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Niagara 277.58 9 20 0.310 0.395 0.254
Northern Illinois 225.95 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northern Kentucky 255.91 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Northwestern 169.77 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Ohio 266.07 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 202.81 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Pittsburgh 282.04 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Purdue 202.95 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Valparaiso 157.25 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 175.89 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413
Wright State 204.89 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 247.47 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261
Youngstown State 218.40 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation