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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Michigan State

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:27 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.465
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Presbyterian neutral 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371 0.00029
Furman Furman 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347 -0.00034
Fordham neutral 22 21 0.512 0.449 0.368 0.00021
Texas State neutral 22 20 0.524 0.487 0.384 0.00063
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 13 25 0.342 0.489 0.293 -0.00176
Central Florida neutral 21 22 0.488 0.537 0.378 0.00047
Southern Mississippi neutral 30 12 0.714 0.544 0.493 0.00350
Auburn neutral 18 23 0.439 0.591 0.367 0.00018
Troy neutral 23 18 0.561 0.536 0.415 0.00145
Illinois State neutral 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274 -0.00226
Florida Gulf Coast neutral 19 21 0.475 0.564 0.378 0.00047
Butler neutral 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246 -0.00300
St. Joseph's neutral 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412 0.00137
North Dakota State neutral 18 18 0.500 0.467 0.367 0.00018
South Florida South Florida 19 22 0.463 0.514 0.360 0.00000
South Florida South Florida 19 22 0.463 0.514 0.360 0.00000
South Florida South Florida 19 22 0.463 0.514 0.360 0.00000
Central Michigan Michigan State 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00284
Rutgers Michigan State 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396 0.00095
Rutgers Michigan State 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396 0.00095
Rutgers Michigan State 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396 0.00095
Oakland Michigan State 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369 0.00024
Oregon Michigan State 18 16 0.529 0.531 0.397 0.00097
Eastern Michigan Michigan State 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330 -0.00079
Penn State Penn State 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413 0.00139
Penn State Penn State 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413 0.00139
Penn State Penn State 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413 0.00139
Michigan Michigan State 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496 0.00358
Central Michigan neutral 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00284
Purdue Purdue 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222 -0.00363
Purdue Purdue 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222 -0.00363
Purdue Purdue 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222 -0.00363
Notre Dame Michigan State 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435 0.00197
Western Michigan Michigan State 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274 -0.00226
Indiana Michigan State 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00142
Indiana Michigan State 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00142
Indiana Michigan State 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00142
Toledo Michigan State 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236 -0.00326
Michigan Michigan 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496 0.00358

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bowling Green State 103.25 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294
Central Michigan 60.17 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252
Eastern Michigan 53.90 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330
IPFW 115.86 16 21 0.432 0.415 0.320
Michigan 49.74 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496
Notre Dame 114.21 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435
Oakland 64.98 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369
Toledo 88.17 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236
Western Michigan 64.63 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.20 0.000
Ball State 180.30 25 17 0.595 0.439 0.407
Bradley 298.92 15 15 0.500 0.464 0.366
Buffalo 289.56 12 24 0.333 0.434 0.275
Butler 217.63 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Canisius 285.66 23 18 0.561 0.430 0.388
Chicago State 174.32 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221
Cincinnati 248.90 20 21 0.488 0.541 0.379
Dayton 207.63 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Eastern Illinois 295.71 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Illinois 265.87 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400
Illinois State 278.75 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274
Illinois-Chicago 172.23 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326
Indiana 267.46 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Indiana State 271.53 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424
Kent State 195.69 30 10 0.750 0.446 0.486
Miami, Ohio 222.77 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Niagara 277.58 12 26 0.316 0.480 0.278
Northern Illinois 225.95 15 25 0.375 0.468 0.304
Northern Kentucky 255.91 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Northwestern 169.77 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250
Ohio 266.07 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Ohio State 202.81 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Pittsburgh 282.04 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Purdue 202.95 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222
Valparaiso 157.25 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 175.89 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347
Wright State 204.89 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Xavier 247.47 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321
Youngstown State 218.40 9 26 0.257 0.516 0.258

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation