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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Morehead State

Last updated: Fri May 6 06:57:31 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.512
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.479
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00093
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00093
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334 -0.00093
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.602 0.511 0.00301
Arkansas State neutral 20 23 0.465 0.526 0.364 -0.00026
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 22 21 0.512 0.456 0.370 -0.00013
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 22 21 0.512 0.456 0.370 -0.00013
St. Louis neutral 19 25 0.432 0.440 0.326 -0.00111
Louisville Louisville 36 9 0.800 0.579 0.545 0.00376
Siena Morehead State 15 27 0.357 0.447 0.290 -0.00191
Siena Morehead State 15 27 0.357 0.447 0.290 -0.00191
Longwood Morehead State 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398 0.00049
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 23 19 0.548 0.416 0.378 0.00005
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 23 19 0.548 0.416 0.378 0.00005
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 23 19 0.548 0.416 0.378 0.00005
Marshall Marshall 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422 0.00103
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 13 0.698 0.483 0.470 0.00209
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 13 0.698 0.483 0.470 0.00209
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 13 0.698 0.483 0.470 0.00209
Kentucky Kentucky 27 18 0.600 0.553 0.438 0.00138
Belmont Morehead State 26 19 0.578 0.429 0.396 0.00045
Belmont Morehead State 26 19 0.578 0.429 0.396 0.00045
Belmont Morehead State 26 19 0.578 0.429 0.396 0.00045
Miami, Ohio Morehead State 21 22 0.488 0.492 0.367 -0.00019
Marshall Morehead State 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422 0.00103
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 21 25 0.457 0.467 0.345 -0.00068
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 21 25 0.457 0.467 0.345 -0.00068
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 21 25 0.457 0.467 0.345 -0.00068
Tennessee Tennessee 24 21 0.533 0.553 0.405 0.00065
Xavier Xavier 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339 -0.00082
Xavier Xavier 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339 -0.00082
Xavier Xavier 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339 -0.00082
Ohio State Ohio State 29 15 0.659 0.454 0.443 0.00149
Ohio State Ohio State 29 15 0.659 0.454 0.443 0.00149
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 14 27 0.341 0.471 0.288 -0.00195
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 14 27 0.341 0.471 0.288 -0.00195
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 14 27 0.341 0.471 0.288 -0.00195
Ohio Ohio 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346 -0.00066
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 30 0.231 0.524 0.246 -0.00288
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 30 0.231 0.524 0.246 -0.00288
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 30 0.231 0.524 0.246 -0.00288
Austin Peay State Morehead State 26 16 0.619 0.529 0.442 0.00147
Austin Peay State Morehead State 26 16 0.619 0.529 0.442 0.00147
Austin Peay State Morehead State 26 16 0.619 0.529 0.442 0.00147
Ohio Morehead State 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346 -0.00066

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 87.34 21 23 0.477 0.549 0.376
Dayton 114.39 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
East Tennessee State 142.61 19 25 0.432 0.426 0.323
Eastern Kentucky 57.15 21 25 0.457 0.467 0.345
Kentucky 59.42 27 18 0.600 0.553 0.438
Louisville 126.86 36 9 0.800 0.579 0.545
Marshall 98.29 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Miami, Ohio 115.15 21 22 0.488 0.492 0.367
Northern Kentucky 80.47 16 29 0.356 0.467 0.295
Ohio 105.57 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346
Ohio State 127.31 29 15 0.659 0.454 0.443
Wright State 114.94 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464
Xavier 87.10 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 223.57 0.000
Alabama A&M 293.64 12 38 0.240 0.372 0.213
Appalachian State 166.84 14 31 0.311 0.498 0.280
Austin Peay State 244.23 26 16 0.619 0.529 0.442
Ball State 176.00 27 18 0.600 0.439 0.410
Belmont 232.83 26 19 0.578 0.429 0.396
Bowling Green State 220.50 15 28 0.349 0.438 0.284
Butler 186.24 10 31 0.244 0.465 0.238
Clemson 244.94 29 15 0.659 0.596 0.479
Davidson 234.38 23 22 0.511 0.479 0.375
Duke 289.82 25 20 0.556 0.582 0.423
Eastern Illinois 270.84 5 36 0.122 0.518 0.191
Eastern Michigan 281.06 17 25 0.405 0.506 0.329
Elon 259.42 23 23 0.500 0.492 0.373
Evansville 223.85 24 18 0.571 0.495 0.409
Furman 232.54 20 25 0.444 0.548 0.359
Gardner-Webb 225.82 31 16 0.660 0.427 0.437
Georgia 293.82 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407
High Point 243.36 26 17 0.605 0.548 0.440
IPFW 220.94 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois 289.00 23 19 0.548 0.532 0.407
Indiana 180.06 26 16 0.619 0.456 0.423
Indiana State 232.36 27 16 0.628 0.514 0.443
James Madison 247.22 18 26 0.409 0.502 0.330
Kennesaw State 294.54 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357
Kent State 231.57 32 11 0.744 0.452 0.485
Liberty 238.99 22 23 0.489 0.524 0.376
Lipscomb 235.29 23 21 0.523 0.440 0.371
Longwood 281.70 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398
Michigan 282.02 31 12 0.721 0.519 0.490
Middle Tennessee State 229.09 17 28 0.378 0.561 0.329
Murray State 289.50 20 23 0.465 0.482 0.353
North Carolina 288.71 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478
North Carolina A&T 248.40 10 38 0.208 0.471 0.222
North Carolina Central 291.57 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
North Carolina-Asheville 184.14 15 27 0.357 0.433 0.287
North Carolina-Charlotte 248.70 19 26 0.422 0.543 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 247.28 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
Notre Dame 283.89 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Pittsburgh 241.65 22 18 0.550 0.554 0.414
Presbyterian 272.05 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
Purdue 243.61 7 34 0.171 0.539 0.220
Radford 173.92 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
South Carolina-Upstate 234.67 18 24 0.429 0.459 0.329
Tennessee 157.50 24 21 0.533 0.553 0.405
Tennessee Tech 180.54 23 19 0.548 0.416 0.378
Toledo 238.40 10 34 0.227 0.494 0.237
VMI 218.78 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307
Valparaiso 295.89 19 21 0.475 0.518 0.367
Vanderbilt 233.92 35 10 0.778 0.538 0.524
Virginia 267.17 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473
Virginia Tech 177.38 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298
Wake Forest 225.51 27 17 0.614 0.565 0.448
West Virginia 210.58 24 19 0.558 0.498 0.404
Western Carolina 200.28 22 21 0.512 0.521 0.386
Western Kentucky 185.99 24 21 0.533 0.531 0.399
Winthrop 261.09 23 20 0.535 0.474 0.386
Wofford 238.33 26 21 0.553 0.477 0.396
Youngstown State 252.65 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation