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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Morehead State

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.505
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.485
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322 -0.00089
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322 -0.00089
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322 -0.00089
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00168
Arkansas State neutral 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 0.00014
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.469 0.367 -0.00012
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 28 0.500 0.469 0.367 -0.00012
St. Louis neutral 24 31 0.436 0.453 0.331 -0.00074
Louisville Louisville 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544 0.00294
Siena Morehead State 25 32 0.439 0.424 0.326 -0.00082
Siena Morehead State 25 32 0.439 0.424 0.326 -0.00082
Longwood Morehead State 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00026
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392 0.00031
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392 0.00031
Tennessee Tech Morehead State 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392 0.00031
Marshall Marshall 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440 0.00114
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459 0.00147
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459 0.00147
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459 0.00147
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418 0.00076
Belmont Morehead State 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388 0.00025
Belmont Morehead State 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388 0.00025
Belmont Morehead State 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388 0.00025
Miami, Ohio Morehead State 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358 -0.00027
Marshall Morehead State 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440 0.00114
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336 -0.00065
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336 -0.00065
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336 -0.00065
Tennessee Tennessee 29 28 0.509 0.550 0.392 0.00031
Xavier Xavier 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392 0.00031
Xavier Xavier 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392 0.00031
Xavier Xavier 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392 0.00031
Ohio State Ohio State 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478 0.00180
Ohio State Ohio State 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478 0.00180
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293 -0.00139
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293 -0.00139
Tennessee-Martin Morehead State 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293 -0.00139
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00074
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216 -0.00272
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216 -0.00272
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216 -0.00272
Austin Peay State Morehead State 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423 0.00085
Austin Peay State Morehead State 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423 0.00085
Austin Peay State Morehead State 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423 0.00085
Ohio Morehead State 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331 -0.00074
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00234
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00234
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00234
Jacksonville State Morehead State 34 24 0.586 0.519 0.423 0.00085
Jacksonville State Morehead State 34 24 0.586 0.519 0.423 0.00085
Jacksonville State Morehead State 34 24 0.586 0.519 0.423 0.00085
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501 0.00219
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356 -0.00031
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356 -0.00031
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356 -0.00031
Tennessee Tech neutral 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392 0.00031
Belmont neutral 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388 0.00025
Southeast Missouri State neutral 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459 0.00147

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cincinnati 87.34 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 114.39 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
East Tennessee State 142.61 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344
Eastern Kentucky 57.15 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336
Kentucky 59.42 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Louisville 126.86 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544
Marshall 98.29 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Miami, Ohio 115.15 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358
Northern Kentucky 80.47 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Ohio 105.57 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Ohio State 127.31 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478
Wright State 114.94 44 15 0.746 0.466 0.489
Xavier 87.10 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 223.57 0.000
Alabama A&M 293.64 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208
Appalachian State 166.84 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291
Austin Peay State 244.23 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423
Ball State 176.00 32 26 0.552 0.443 0.387
Belmont 232.83 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Bowling Green State 220.50 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Butler 186.24 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239
Clemson 244.94 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496
Davidson 234.38 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382
Duke 289.82 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445
Eastern Illinois 270.84 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Eastern Michigan 281.06 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321
Elon 259.42 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Evansville 223.85 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380
Furman 232.54 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378
Gardner-Webb 225.82 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia 293.82 27 30 0.474 0.620 0.392
High Point 243.36 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414
IPFW 220.94 29 26 0.527 0.417 0.368
Illinois 289.00 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411
Indiana 180.06 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Indiana State 232.36 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440
James Madison 247.22 24 31 0.436 0.508 0.345
Kennesaw State 294.54 29 27 0.518 0.489 0.381
Kent State 231.57 43 14 0.754 0.446 0.488
Liberty 238.99 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Lipscomb 235.29 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Longwood 281.70 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Michigan 282.02 36 21 0.632 0.524 0.447
Middle Tennessee State 229.09 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318
Murray State 289.50 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356
North Carolina 288.71 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458
North Carolina A&T 248.40 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina Central 291.57 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina-Asheville 184.14 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 248.70 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 247.28 38 21 0.644 0.500 0.447
Notre Dame 283.89 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386
Pittsburgh 241.65 25 26 0.490 0.549 0.382
Presbyterian 272.05 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Purdue 243.61 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223
Radford 173.92 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
South Carolina-Upstate 234.67 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Tennessee 157.50 29 28 0.509 0.550 0.392
Tennessee Tech 180.54 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392
Toledo 238.40 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
VMI 218.78 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Valparaiso 295.89 29 28 0.509 0.492 0.378
Vanderbilt 233.92 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
Virginia 267.17 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470
Virginia Tech 177.38 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Wake Forest 225.51 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430
West Virginia 210.58 36 22 0.621 0.516 0.440
Western Carolina 200.28 30 29 0.508 0.526 0.386
Western Kentucky 185.99 24 30 0.444 0.533 0.355
Winthrop 261.09 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 238.33 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377
Youngstown State 252.65 14 38 0.269 0.500 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation