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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Navy

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:17 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.410
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.467
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.32175


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 37 0.213 0.470 0.224 -0.00199
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 37 0.213 0.470 0.224 -0.00199
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 37 0.213 0.470 0.224 -0.00199
Air Force neutral 19 20 0.487 0.477 0.363 0.00084
Air Force neutral 19 20 0.487 0.477 0.363 0.00084
Air Force neutral 19 20 0.487 0.477 0.363 0.00084
Delaware State Navy 11 33 0.250 0.448 0.237 -0.00173
Central Connecticut State Navy 18 24 0.429 0.479 0.334 0.00025
Central Connecticut State Navy 18 24 0.429 0.479 0.334 0.00025
Central Connecticut State Navy 18 24 0.429 0.479 0.334 0.00025
Maryland-Eastern Shore Navy 14 30 0.318 0.373 0.252 -0.00142
Yale Navy 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312 -0.00020
Yale Navy 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312 -0.00020
Yale Navy 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312 -0.00020
Buffalo Navy 14 26 0.350 0.462 0.290 -0.00065
Towson Towson 17 28 0.378 0.484 0.310 -0.00024
Rutgers Navy 23 22 0.511 0.559 0.395 0.00149
New Jersey Tech Navy 16 26 0.381 0.451 0.303 -0.00038
New Jersey Tech Navy 16 26 0.381 0.451 0.303 -0.00038
Maryland-Baltimore County Maryland-Baltimore County 20 20 0.500 0.449 0.362 0.00082
Princeton Navy 22 18 0.550 0.514 0.404 0.00168
Princeton Navy 22 18 0.550 0.514 0.404 0.00168
Princeton Navy 22 18 0.550 0.514 0.404 0.00168
Princeton Navy 22 18 0.550 0.514 0.404 0.00168
Maryland-Eastern Shore Maryland-Eastern Shore 14 30 0.318 0.373 0.252 -0.00142
Holy Cross Navy 25 24 0.510 0.453 0.368 0.00094
Holy Cross Navy 25 24 0.510 0.453 0.368 0.00094
Holy Cross Navy 25 24 0.510 0.453 0.368 0.00094
Holy Cross Navy 25 24 0.510 0.453 0.368 0.00094
Georgetown Georgetown 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358 0.00074
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279 -0.00087
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279 -0.00087
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279 -0.00087
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279 -0.00087
Delaware State Delaware State 11 33 0.250 0.448 0.237 -0.00173
Lehigh Navy 21 27 0.438 0.437 0.328 0.00013
Lehigh Navy 21 27 0.438 0.437 0.328 0.00013
Lehigh Navy 21 27 0.438 0.437 0.328 0.00013
Lehigh Navy 21 27 0.438 0.437 0.328 0.00013
Maryland-Baltimore County Navy 20 20 0.500 0.449 0.362 0.00082
Army Navy 16 30 0.348 0.488 0.296 -0.00053
Army Navy 16 30 0.348 0.488 0.296 -0.00053
Army Navy 16 30 0.348 0.488 0.296 -0.00053
Army Navy 16 30 0.348 0.488 0.296 -0.00053
George Mason George Mason 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00071
Bucknell Bucknell 17 32 0.347 0.451 0.286 -0.00073
Bucknell Bucknell 17 32 0.347 0.451 0.286 -0.00073
Bucknell Bucknell 17 32 0.347 0.451 0.286 -0.00073
Bucknell Bucknell 17 32 0.347 0.451 0.286 -0.00073

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bucknell 137.42 17 32 0.347 0.451 0.286
Coppin State 16.52 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
Delaware 61.50 26 18 0.591 0.458 0.410
Delaware State 52.70 11 33 0.250 0.448 0.237
George Mason 45.46 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
George Washington 34.02 20 25 0.444 0.484 0.343
Georgetown 35.31 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358
James Madison 133.67 18 26 0.409 0.501 0.330
LaSalle 101.90 13 32 0.289 0.456 0.259
Lafayette 138.18 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279
Lehigh 125.75 21 27 0.438 0.437 0.328
Maryland 24.12 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420
Maryland-Baltimore County 21.50 20 20 0.500 0.449 0.362
Maryland-Eastern Shore 69.12 14 30 0.318 0.373 0.252
Mount St. Mary's 65.95 11 29 0.275 0.367 0.229
Norfolk State 148.41 23 18 0.561 0.350 0.368
Old Dominion 145.64 27 17 0.614 0.538 0.442
Penn State 145.22 25 20 0.556 0.512 0.406
Pennsylvania 95.88 19 22 0.463 0.430 0.339
Princeton 135.93 22 18 0.550 0.514 0.404
Richmond 112.60 23 18 0.561 0.465 0.397
Rider 129.11 14 27 0.341 0.475 0.289
St. Joseph's 96.44 22 18 0.550 0.487 0.397
Temple 106.84 0.000
Towson 28.91 17 28 0.378 0.484 0.310
Villanova 101.46 15 28 0.349 0.494 0.298
Virginia 127.02 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473
Virginia Commonwealth 110.96 30 16 0.652 0.494 0.450
William and Mary 117.95 22 22 0.500 0.532 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 290.80 17 22 0.436 0.470 0.336
Army 213.58 16 30 0.348 0.488 0.296
Binghamton 216.45 20 20 0.500 0.488 0.372
Campbell 276.12 22 21 0.512 0.499 0.381
Canisius 298.44 25 20 0.556 0.414 0.382
Central Connecticut State 271.50 18 24 0.429 0.479 0.334
Columbia 188.88 17 24 0.415 0.486 0.329
Connecticut 295.80 24 19 0.558 0.522 0.410
Cornell 238.90 14 22 0.389 0.454 0.308
Duke 246.32 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423
East Carolina 239.29 27 16 0.628 0.573 0.457
Elon 258.39 22 23 0.489 0.500 0.369
Fairfield 227.80 22 21 0.512 0.418 0.360
Fairleigh Dickinson 185.97 21 23 0.477 0.421 0.344
Fordham 189.58 23 23 0.500 0.442 0.360
Hartford 278.28 28 13 0.683 0.483 0.462
High Point 283.02 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Hofstra 194.81 13 30 0.302 0.502 0.276
Iona 196.49 8 32 0.200 0.470 0.217
Kent State 296.18 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485
LIU Brooklyn 178.01 13 28 0.317 0.426 0.265
Liberty 184.38 22 23 0.489 0.523 0.375
Longwood 156.05 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398
Manhattan 190.32 15 27 0.357 0.501 0.304
Marist 231.96 19 21 0.475 0.431 0.345
Marshall 280.17 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Monmouth 159.53 23 20 0.535 0.463 0.383
New Jersey Tech 173.20 16 26 0.381 0.451 0.303
New York Tech 198.42 17 24 0.415 0.408 0.309
North Carolina 254.61 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478
North Carolina A&T 269.55 10 37 0.213 0.470 0.224
North Carolina Central 244.75 22 25 0.468 0.399 0.334
North Carolina State 251.48 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Greensboro 271.51 33 13 0.717 0.498 0.483
Pittsburgh 210.19 22 17 0.564 0.558 0.421
Quinnipiac 253.82 17 26 0.395 0.432 0.305
Radford 254.37 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Rutgers 152.34 23 22 0.511 0.559 0.395
Sacred Heart 230.99 22 19 0.537 0.486 0.390
Seton Hall 170.01 31 14 0.689 0.446 0.456
Siena 295.08 15 27 0.357 0.447 0.290
St. Bonaventure 237.89 20 18 0.526 0.387 0.360
St. John's 186.96 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383
St. Peter's 175.10 8 33 0.195 0.439 0.207
Stony Brook 223.16 20 20 0.500 0.481 0.370
VMI 179.55 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307
Virginia Tech 246.04 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298
Wagner 172.07 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274
Wake Forest 285.08 27 17 0.614 0.564 0.448
West Virginia 192.10 24 19 0.558 0.499 0.404
Yale 246.19 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312
Youngstown State 272.83 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation