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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Greensboro

Last updated: Fri Jun 24 06:43:18 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.498
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.495
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37275


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00070
High Point North Carolina-Greensboro 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00070
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00070
Elon North Carolina-Greensboro 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00032
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395 0.00038
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395 0.00038
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395 0.00038
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00167
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288 -0.00144
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288 -0.00144
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288 -0.00144
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.520 0.472 0.00168
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.541 0.410 0.00063
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 50 17 0.746 0.568 0.515 0.00241
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.541 0.410 0.00063
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 50 17 0.746 0.568 0.515 0.00241
Maryland-Eastern Shore North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259 -0.00193
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00054
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00054
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341 -0.00054
North Carolina A&T neutral 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00237
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00039
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00039
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00039
North Carolina A&T North Carolina-Greensboro 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00237
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 0.00000
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00113
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00113
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00113
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00104
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00176
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00176
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00176
Wake Forest Wake Forest 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00087
Wake Forest North Carolina-Greensboro 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00087
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00009
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00009
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00009
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00032
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00049
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00049
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00049
Campbell North Carolina-Greensboro 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 0.00000
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00063
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00063
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00063
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00007
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00007
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00007
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00194
Western Carolina Western Carolina 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00017
Western Carolina Western Carolina 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00017
Western Carolina Western Carolina 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00017
Mercer North Carolina-Greensboro 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00100
Mercer North Carolina-Greensboro 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00100
Mercer North Carolina-Greensboro 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00100
Samford neutral 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00063
Wofford neutral 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00007
Furman neutral 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00009

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 105.34 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Campbell 75.59 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Davidson 69.52 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 48.82 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Carolina 140.87 38 23 0.623 0.559 0.451
East Tennessee State 143.21 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Elon 17.32 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Gardner-Webb 118.71 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428
High Point 12.00 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Liberty 95.54 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 115.52 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
North Carolina 44.49 34 21 0.618 0.589 0.456
North Carolina A&T 2.20 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 51.10 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 66.35 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Charlotte 73.81 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
Radford 84.16 19 39 0.328 0.536 0.298
South Carolina-Upstate 141.77 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
VMI 120.95 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia Tech 86.41 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 24.85 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Winthrop 102.95 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 141.58 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 213.58 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Clemson 196.07 44 20 0.688 0.580 0.489
Coastal Carolina 171.07 50 17 0.746 0.568 0.515
College of Charleston 226.12 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411
Coppin State 272.39 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Eastern Kentucky 273.35 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Furman 167.73 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
George Mason 235.13 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 243.04 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 251.40 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Georgia 249.64 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 275.31 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
James Madison 172.30 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Kentucky 291.65 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Marshall 186.48 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Maryland 255.86 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 277.82 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 271.32 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Morehead State 247.28 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Mount St. Mary's 283.48 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 271.51 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 204.52 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 157.50 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Wilmington 168.14 41 19 0.683 0.520 0.472
Ohio 257.64 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Old Dominion 202.69 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Presbyterian 160.27 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Richmond 163.40 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Savannah State 288.32 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Carolina 159.75 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
Tennessee 230.16 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
The Citadel 226.55 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
Towson 288.80 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Virginia 154.34 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 166.42 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
West Virginia 247.77 36 22 0.621 0.519 0.440
Western Carolina 196.24 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
William and Mary 190.45 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation