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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Greensboro

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.470
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.517
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
High Point North Carolina-Greensboro 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00080
High Point High Point 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00080
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00245
Liberty neutral 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449 0.00229
St. John's neutral 23 13 0.639 0.486 0.441 0.00207
Elon Elon 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 0.00075
North Carolina-Charlotte neutral 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00098
North Carolina State neutral 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00110
Wake Forest Wake Forest 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00099
Princeton North Carolina-Greensboro 7 30 0.189 0.541 0.230 -0.00363
Princeton North Carolina-Greensboro 7 30 0.189 0.541 0.230 -0.00363
Princeton North Carolina-Greensboro 7 30 0.189 0.541 0.230 -0.00363
Princeton North Carolina-Greensboro 7 30 0.189 0.541 0.230 -0.00363
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00245
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00370
Columbia neutral 24 12 0.667 0.443 0.444 0.00216
North Carolina State North Carolina-Greensboro 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00110
North Carolina State North Carolina State 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00110
Western Carolina North Carolina-Greensboro 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00052
Western Carolina North Carolina-Greensboro 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00052
Western Carolina North Carolina-Greensboro 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00052
North Carolina A&T North Carolina-Greensboro 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202 -0.00439
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00176
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00176
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299 -0.00176
Samford Samford 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00143
Samford Samford 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00143
Samford Samford 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00143
Wake Forest North Carolina-Greensboro 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 0.00099
Furman North Carolina-Greensboro 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00033
Furman North Carolina-Greensboro 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00033
Furman North Carolina-Greensboro 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352 -0.00033
The Citadel North Carolina-Greensboro 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 0.00007
The Citadel North Carolina-Greensboro 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 0.00007
The Citadel North Carolina-Greensboro 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367 0.00007
Elon North Carolina-Greensboro 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 0.00075
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00180
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00180
Mercer Mercer 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431 0.00180

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 105.34 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Campbell 75.59 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Davidson 69.52 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Duke 48.82 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Carolina 140.87 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
East Tennessee State 143.21 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Elon 17.32 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Gardner-Webb 118.71 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
High Point 12.00 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Liberty 95.54 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 115.52 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
North Carolina 44.49 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 2.20 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 51.10 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 66.35 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Charlotte 73.81 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
Radford 84.16 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
South Carolina-Upstate 141.77 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
VMI 120.95 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia Tech 86.41 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 24.85 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Winthrop 102.95 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 141.58 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 213.58 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Clemson 196.07 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Coastal Carolina 171.07 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 226.12 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Coppin State 272.39 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
Eastern Kentucky 273.35 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Furman 167.73 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
George Mason 235.13 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 243.04 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 251.40 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
Georgia 249.64 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 275.31 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
James Madison 172.30 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kentucky 291.65 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Marshall 186.48 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Maryland 255.86 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 277.82 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Maryland-Eastern Shore 271.32 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Morehead State 247.28 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Mount St. Mary's 283.48 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 271.51 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
Norfolk State 204.52 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina-Asheville 157.50 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Wilmington 168.14 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Ohio 257.64 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Old Dominion 202.69 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Presbyterian 160.27 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Richmond 163.40 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
Savannah State 288.32 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Carolina 159.75 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
Tennessee 230.16 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
The Citadel 226.55 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
Towson 288.80 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
Virginia 154.34 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 166.42 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
West Virginia 247.77 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Carolina 196.24 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
William and Mary 190.45 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation