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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Greensboro

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.505
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Duke North Carolina-Greensboro 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00145
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Greensboro 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00274
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00148
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00148
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00148
Wake Forest North Carolina-Greensboro 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00060
High Point North Carolina-Greensboro 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00121
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00129
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00129
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00129
East Carolina North Carolina-Greensboro 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00093
Maryland-Baltimore County neutral 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295 -0.00202
Minnesota neutral 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00019
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00064
East Carolina East Carolina 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00093
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 0.00031
Princeton North Carolina-Greensboro 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00190
Princeton North Carolina-Greensboro 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00190
Princeton North Carolina-Greensboro 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00190
Maryland-Eastern Shore North Carolina-Greensboro 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255 -0.00298
Furman North Carolina-Greensboro 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00131
Furman North Carolina-Greensboro 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00131
Furman North Carolina-Greensboro 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00131
North Carolina A&T North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00240
Appalachian State Appalachian State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00167
Appalachian State Appalachian State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00167
North Carolina A&T North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00240
Western Carolina North Carolina-Greensboro 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00210
Western Carolina North Carolina-Greensboro 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00210
Western Carolina North Carolina-Greensboro 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00210
Wake Forest Wake Forest 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00060
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00114
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00114
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00114
Davidson Davidson 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00167
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00145
Elon North Carolina-Greensboro 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00064
Elon North Carolina-Greensboro 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00064
Elon North Carolina-Greensboro 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00064
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00117
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00117
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00117

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 105.34 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Campbell 75.59 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Davidson 69.52 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 48.82 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 140.87 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
East Tennessee State 143.21 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Elon 17.32 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Gardner-Webb 118.71 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
High Point 12.00 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Liberty 95.54 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 115.52 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
North Carolina 44.49 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 2.20 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 51.10 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 66.35 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Charlotte 73.81 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
Radford 84.16 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
South Carolina-Upstate 141.77 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
VMI 120.95 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia Tech 86.41 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 24.85 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Winthrop 102.95 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 141.58 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 213.58 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Clemson 196.07 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Coastal Carolina 171.07 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 226.12 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Coppin State 272.39 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Eastern Kentucky 273.35 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Furman 167.73 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
George Mason 235.13 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 243.04 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 251.40 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Georgia 249.64 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 275.31 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
James Madison 172.30 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Kentucky 291.65 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Marshall 186.48 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland 255.86 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 277.82 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 271.32 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Morehead State 247.28 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Mount St. Mary's 283.48 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 271.51 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 204.52 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 157.50 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Wilmington 168.14 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Ohio 257.64 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Old Dominion 202.69 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Presbyterian 160.27 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Richmond 163.40 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Savannah State 288.32 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 159.75 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
Tennessee 230.16 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
The Citadel 226.55 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Towson 288.80 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Virginia 154.34 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 166.42 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
West Virginia 247.77 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 196.24 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
William and Mary 190.45 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation