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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Greensboro

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.491
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.506
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.372


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448 0.00177
High Point North Carolina-Greensboro 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448 0.00177
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448 0.00177
Elon North Carolina-Greensboro 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364 -0.00019
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.501 0.355 -0.00040
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.501 0.355 -0.00040
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.501 0.355 -0.00040
North Carolina State North Carolina State 29 11 0.725 0.602 0.513 0.00328
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298 -0.00172
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298 -0.00172
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298 -0.00172
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501 0.00300
Illinois neutral 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400 0.00065
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 11 0.738 0.589 0.516 0.00335
Illinois neutral 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400 0.00065
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 11 0.738 0.589 0.516 0.00335
Maryland-Eastern Shore North Carolina-Greensboro 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256 -0.00270
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 18 19 0.486 0.452 0.356 -0.00037
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 18 19 0.486 0.452 0.356 -0.00037
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 18 19 0.486 0.452 0.356 -0.00037
North Carolina A&T neutral 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236 -0.00316
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347 -0.00058
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347 -0.00058
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347 -0.00058
North Carolina A&T North Carolina-Greensboro 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236 -0.00316
Campbell Campbell 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382 0.00023
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322 -0.00116
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322 -0.00116
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322 -0.00116
Duke Duke 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428 0.00130
The Citadel The Citadel 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00156
The Citadel The Citadel 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00156
The Citadel The Citadel 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00156
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449 0.00179
Wake Forest North Carolina-Greensboro 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449 0.00179
Furman Furman 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347 -0.00058
Furman Furman 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347 -0.00058
Furman Furman 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347 -0.00058
Elon Elon 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364 -0.00019
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00153
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00153
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00153
Campbell North Carolina-Greensboro 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382 0.00023
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 24 18 0.571 0.531 0.418 0.00107

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 105.34 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Campbell 75.59 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382
Davidson 69.52 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377
Duke 48.82 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428
East Carolina 140.87 26 15 0.634 0.575 0.461
East Tennessee State 143.21 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Elon 17.32 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364
Gardner-Webb 118.71 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453
High Point 12.00 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448
Liberty 95.54 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Longwood 115.52 24 18 0.571 0.479 0.405
North Carolina 44.49 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474
North Carolina A&T 2.20 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236
North Carolina Central 51.10 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329
North Carolina State 66.35 29 11 0.725 0.602 0.513
North Carolina-Charlotte 73.81 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349
Radford 84.16 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
South Carolina-Upstate 141.77 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
VMI 120.95 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Virginia Tech 86.41 14 28 0.333 0.538 0.301
Wake Forest 24.85 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449
Winthrop 102.95 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 141.58 25 18 0.581 0.495 0.414

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 213.58 15 26 0.366 0.485 0.304
Clemson 196.07 26 14 0.650 0.589 0.472
Coastal Carolina 171.07 31 11 0.738 0.589 0.516
College of Charleston 226.12 22 17 0.564 0.579 0.427
Coppin State 272.39 9 31 0.225 0.352 0.201
Eastern Kentucky 273.35 17 25 0.405 0.485 0.324
Furman 167.73 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347
George Mason 235.13 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271
George Washington 243.04 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343
Georgetown 251.40 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347
Georgia 249.64 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Georgia Southern 275.31 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416
James Madison 172.30 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Kentucky 291.65 26 15 0.634 0.571 0.460
Marshall 186.48 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Maryland 255.86 22 18 0.550 0.569 0.417
Maryland-Baltimore County 277.82 19 18 0.514 0.435 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 271.32 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256
Morehead State 247.28 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Mount St. Mary's 283.48 9 27 0.250 0.366 0.216
Navy 271.51 34 11 0.756 0.418 0.482
Norfolk State 204.52 20 17 0.541 0.360 0.361
North Carolina-Asheville 157.50 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
North Carolina-Wilmington 168.14 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501
Ohio 257.64 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Old Dominion 202.69 25 16 0.610 0.543 0.441
Presbyterian 160.27 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371
Richmond 163.40 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410
Savannah State 288.32 10 32 0.238 0.468 0.236
South Carolina 159.75 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547
Tennessee 230.16 24 18 0.571 0.559 0.425
The Citadel 226.55 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305
Towson 288.80 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296
Virginia 154.34 27 17 0.614 0.595 0.456
Virginia Commonwealth 166.42 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456
West Virginia 247.77 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Western Carolina 196.24 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
William and Mary 190.45 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation