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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Greensboro

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:58 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.490
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.504
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.371


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
High Point North Carolina-Greensboro 33 22 0.600 0.526 0.431 0.00122
High Point High Point 33 22 0.600 0.526 0.431 0.00122
East Carolina East Carolina 33 26 0.559 0.529 0.412 0.00084
Liberty neutral 41 18 0.695 0.509 0.475 0.00212
St. John's neutral 34 20 0.630 0.469 0.432 0.00124
Elon Elon 27 26 0.509 0.510 0.382 0.00022
North Carolina-Charlotte neutral 19 31 0.380 0.539 0.325 -0.00094
North Carolina State neutral 32 23 0.582 0.533 0.424 0.00108

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 105.34 21 34 0.382 0.521 0.321
Campbell 75.59 41 21 0.661 0.494 0.454
Davidson 69.52 29 19 0.604 0.494 0.425
Duke 48.82 33 25 0.569 0.523 0.415
East Carolina 140.87 33 26 0.559 0.529 0.412
East Tennessee State 143.21 27 30 0.474 0.502 0.362
Elon 17.32 27 26 0.509 0.510 0.382
Gardner-Webb 118.71 23 31 0.426 0.483 0.334
High Point 12.00 33 22 0.600 0.526 0.431
Liberty 95.54 41 18 0.695 0.509 0.475
Longwood 115.52 22 33 0.400 0.481 0.320
North Carolina 44.49 35 27 0.565 0.565 0.424
North Carolina A&T 2.20 17 32 0.347 0.450 0.286
North Carolina Central 51.10 17 33 0.340 0.425 0.276
North Carolina State 66.35 32 23 0.582 0.533 0.424
North Carolina-Charlotte 73.81 19 31 0.380 0.539 0.325
Radford 84.16 33 23 0.589 0.500 0.419
South Carolina-Upstate 141.77 17 38 0.309 0.480 0.274
VMI 120.95 25 23 0.521 0.521 0.391
Virginia Tech 86.41 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341
Wake Forest 24.85 30 26 0.536 0.533 0.401
Winthrop 102.95 27 33 0.450 0.474 0.344
Wofford 141.58 32 28 0.533 0.469 0.384

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 213.58 30 26 0.536 0.438 0.378
Clemson 196.07 36 25 0.590 0.540 0.430
Coastal Carolina 171.07 24 33 0.421 0.509 0.338
College of Charleston 226.12 44 19 0.698 0.501 0.474
Coppin State 272.39 12 34 0.261 0.442 0.241
Eastern Kentucky 273.35 24 31 0.436 0.464 0.334
Furman 167.73 26 33 0.441 0.502 0.346
George Mason 235.13 34 22 0.607 0.486 0.425
George Washington 243.04 20 30 0.400 0.447 0.312
Georgetown 251.40 19 29 0.396 0.483 0.319
Georgia 249.64 26 29 0.473 0.590 0.384
Georgia Southern 275.31 40 23 0.635 0.486 0.439
James Madison 172.30 17 36 0.321 0.534 0.294
Kentucky 291.65 37 25 0.597 0.586 0.445
Marshall 186.48 16 31 0.340 0.488 0.292
Maryland 255.86 40 23 0.635 0.557 0.457
Maryland-Baltimore County 277.82 17 29 0.370 0.451 0.298
Maryland-Eastern Shore 271.32 13 35 0.271 0.419 0.240
Morehead State 247.28 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361
Mount St. Mary's 283.48 17 24 0.415 0.452 0.321
Navy 271.51 22 28 0.440 0.443 0.331
Norfolk State 204.52 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
North Carolina-Asheville 157.50 13 40 0.245 0.486 0.244
North Carolina-Wilmington 168.14 30 27 0.526 0.535 0.397
Ohio 257.64 11 39 0.220 0.456 0.224
Old Dominion 202.69 36 26 0.581 0.564 0.431
Presbyterian 160.27 19 34 0.358 0.484 0.300
Richmond 163.40 24 28 0.462 0.509 0.358
Savannah State 288.32 22 31 0.415 0.432 0.316
South Carolina 159.75 44 18 0.710 0.553 0.493
Tennessee 230.16 31 23 0.574 0.541 0.422
The Citadel 226.55 24 34 0.414 0.524 0.338
Towson 288.80 22 25 0.468 0.516 0.363
Virginia 154.34 53 16 0.768 0.576 0.528
Virginia Commonwealth 166.42 37 20 0.649 0.473 0.443
West Virginia 247.77 28 26 0.519 0.551 0.397
Western Carolina 196.24 37 18 0.673 0.493 0.460
William and Mary 190.45 34 22 0.607 0.512 0.431

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation