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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Greensboro

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.500
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.497
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
High Point High Point 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00085
High Point North Carolina-Greensboro 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00085
High Point High Point 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00085
Elon North Carolina-Greensboro 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363 -0.00020
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 27 23 0.540 0.476 0.389 0.00026
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 27 23 0.540 0.476 0.389 0.00026
Binghamton North Carolina-Greensboro 27 23 0.540 0.476 0.389 0.00026
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00191
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00152
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00152
Army North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00152
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00198
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00067
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504 0.00232
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00067
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504 0.00232
Maryland-Eastern Shore North Carolina-Greensboro 16 32 0.333 0.375 0.260 -0.00204
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351 -0.00042
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351 -0.00042
Marist North Carolina-Greensboro 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351 -0.00042
North Carolina A&T neutral 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235 -0.00249
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00040
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00040
Georgetown North Carolina-Greensboro 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00040
North Carolina A&T North Carolina-Greensboro 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235 -0.00249
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374 -0.00000
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00113
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00113
VMI North Carolina-Greensboro 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00113
Duke Duke 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00139
The Citadel The Citadel 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00188
The Citadel The Citadel 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00188
The Citadel The Citadel 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269 -0.00188
Wake Forest Wake Forest 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431 0.00101
Wake Forest North Carolina-Greensboro 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431 0.00101
Furman Furman 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377 0.00005
Furman Furman 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377 0.00005
Furman Furman 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377 0.00005
Elon Elon 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363 -0.00020
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00047
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00047
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Greensboro 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00047
Campbell North Carolina-Greensboro 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374 -0.00000
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00062
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00062
Samford North Carolina-Greensboro 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00062
Wofford Wofford 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 0.00023
Wofford Wofford 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 0.00023
Wofford Wofford 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387 0.00023
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259 -0.00206
Western Carolina Western Carolina 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366 -0.00015
Western Carolina Western Carolina 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366 -0.00015
Western Carolina Western Carolina 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366 -0.00015
Mercer North Carolina-Greensboro 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434 0.00107
Mercer North Carolina-Greensboro 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434 0.00107
Mercer North Carolina-Greensboro 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434 0.00107

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 105.34 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Campbell 75.59 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Davidson 69.52 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376
Duke 48.82 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452
East Carolina 140.87 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462
East Tennessee State 143.21 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Elon 17.32 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
Gardner-Webb 118.71 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436
High Point 12.00 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422
Liberty 95.54 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386
Longwood 115.52 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390
North Carolina 44.49 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina A&T 2.20 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235
North Carolina Central 51.10 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 66.35 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
North Carolina-Charlotte 73.81 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351
Radford 84.16 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
South Carolina-Upstate 141.77 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
VMI 120.95 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Virginia Tech 86.41 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Wake Forest 24.85 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431
Winthrop 102.95 28 25 0.528 0.479 0.384
Wofford 141.58 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 213.58 19 33 0.365 0.492 0.305
Clemson 196.07 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485
Coastal Carolina 171.07 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504
College of Charleston 226.12 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413
Coppin State 272.39 14 38 0.269 0.372 0.228
Eastern Kentucky 273.35 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Furman 167.73 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
George Mason 235.13 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 243.04 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336
Georgetown 251.40 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Georgia 249.64 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398
Georgia Southern 275.31 33 23 0.589 0.503 0.420
James Madison 172.30 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Kentucky 291.65 32 24 0.571 0.556 0.424
Marshall 186.48 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Maryland 255.86 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 277.82 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 271.32 16 32 0.333 0.375 0.260
Morehead State 247.28 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Mount St. Mary's 283.48 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 271.51 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477
Norfolk State 204.52 29 20 0.592 0.368 0.388
North Carolina-Asheville 157.50 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
North Carolina-Wilmington 168.14 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Ohio 257.64 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Old Dominion 202.69 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Presbyterian 160.27 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363
Richmond 163.40 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384
Savannah State 288.32 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228
South Carolina 159.75 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523
Tennessee 230.16 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
The Citadel 226.55 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269
Towson 288.80 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306
Virginia 154.34 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
Virginia Commonwealth 166.42 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463
West Virginia 247.77 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Carolina 196.24 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
William and Mary 190.45 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation