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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Wilmington

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.512
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.509
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Western Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 30 29 0.508 0.526 0.386 0.00005
St. John's North Carolina-Wilmington 28 26 0.519 0.492 0.383 -0.00000
Richmond North Carolina-Wilmington 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384 0.00001
South Dakota State North Carolina-Wilmington 19 35 0.352 0.490 0.298 -0.00152
Eastern Kentucky North Carolina-Wilmington 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336 -0.00084
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina-Wilmington 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00130
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00157
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 28 27 0.509 0.519 0.384 0.00001
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 28 27 0.509 0.519 0.384 0.00001
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 28 27 0.509 0.519 0.384 0.00001
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Wilmington 38 21 0.644 0.500 0.447 0.00114
North Florida North Florida 39 19 0.672 0.513 0.464 0.00144
North Florida North Florida 39 19 0.672 0.513 0.464 0.00144
North Florida North Florida 39 19 0.672 0.513 0.464 0.00144
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512 0.00230
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 11 39 0.220 0.462 0.226 -0.00281
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 11 39 0.220 0.462 0.226 -0.00281
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 11 39 0.220 0.462 0.226 -0.00281
North Carolina State North Carolina-Wilmington 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00157
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00052
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00052
East Carolina East Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.549 0.446 0.00112
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.453 0.380 -0.00006
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.453 0.380 -0.00006
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373 -0.00018
William and Mary William and Mary 29 29 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00000
William and Mary William and Mary 29 29 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00000
William and Mary William and Mary 29 29 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00000
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00055
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344 -0.00070
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344 -0.00070
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344 -0.00070
Campbell North Carolina-Wilmington 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373 -0.00018
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 35 0.364 0.493 0.305 -0.00140
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 35 0.364 0.493 0.305 -0.00140
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 35 0.364 0.493 0.305 -0.00140
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458 0.00133
High Point North Carolina-Wilmington 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00055
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266 -0.00209
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266 -0.00209
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 15 37 0.288 0.490 0.266 -0.00209
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 31 26 0.544 0.557 0.411 0.00050
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 31 26 0.544 0.557 0.411 0.00050
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 31 26 0.544 0.557 0.411 0.00050
North Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458 0.00133
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.508 0.345 -0.00068
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.508 0.345 -0.00068
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.508 0.345 -0.00068
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512 0.00230
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413 0.00053
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413 0.00053
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.481 0.413 0.00053
James Madison neutral 24 31 0.436 0.508 0.345 -0.00068
College of Charleston neutral 31 26 0.544 0.557 0.411 0.00050
William and Mary neutral 29 29 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00000
William and Mary neutral 29 29 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00000

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 95.58 26 27 0.491 0.512 0.373
Coastal Carolina 67.85 44 15 0.746 0.556 0.512
Duke 136.76 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445
East Carolina 98.97 34 21 0.618 0.549 0.446
North Carolina 133.84 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458
North Carolina Central 136.09 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina State 117.35 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 255.68 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291
Charleston Southern 152.53 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Clemson 285.21 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496
College of Charleston 152.90 31 26 0.544 0.557 0.411
Davidson 190.14 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382
East Tennessee State 291.50 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344
Elon 159.69 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Furman 264.39 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378
Gardner-Webb 226.79 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia Southern 257.35 36 24 0.600 0.508 0.427
High Point 170.46 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414
James Madison 297.19 24 31 0.436 0.508 0.345
Liberty 228.42 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Longwood 214.23 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Norfolk State 202.65 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina A&T 167.43 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina-Asheville 283.00 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.12 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 168.14 38 21 0.644 0.500 0.447
Old Dominion 203.82 32 24 0.571 0.522 0.416
Presbyterian 228.28 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 250.88 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 232.66 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384
Savannah State 239.14 12 40 0.231 0.449 0.228
South Carolina 182.09 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510
South Carolina-Upstate 239.14 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
The Citadel 155.72 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270
VMI 261.74 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Virginia 266.59 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470
Virginia Commonwealth 232.57 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
Virginia Tech 251.62 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Wake Forest 188.20 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430
William and Mary 221.37 29 29 0.500 0.531 0.383
Winthrop 185.79 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 236.35 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation