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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Wilmington

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.574
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.511
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
VMI North Carolina-Wilmington 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399 -0.00034
Kentucky North Carolina-Wilmington 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00081
Virginia North Carolina-Wilmington 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00279
Liberty North Carolina-Wilmington 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00220
Ohio North Carolina-Wilmington 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00393
Liberty North Carolina-Wilmington 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00220
Ohio North Carolina-Wilmington 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234 -0.00393
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 -0.00017
San Diego San Diego 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450 0.00077
Baylor neutral 22 27 0.449 0.569 0.367 -0.00104
Pepperdine Pepperdine 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482 0.00146
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina-Wilmington 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00122
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina-Wilmington 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00122
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina-Wilmington 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00122
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Wilmington 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00084
Indiana State North Carolina-Wilmington 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478 0.00138
Indiana State North Carolina-Wilmington 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478 0.00138
Indiana State North Carolina-Wilmington 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478 0.00138
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00134
West Virginia North Carolina-Wilmington 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446 0.00068
West Virginia North Carolina-Wilmington 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446 0.00068
West Virginia North Carolina-Wilmington 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446 0.00068
North Carolina State North Carolina-Wilmington 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00031
James Madison James Madison 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00226
James Madison James Madison 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00226
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00051
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00134
William and Mary William and Mary 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460 0.00098
William and Mary William and Mary 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460 0.00098
William and Mary William and Mary 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460 0.00098
Campbell North Carolina-Wilmington 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00083
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00286
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339 -0.00165
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339 -0.00165
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339 -0.00165
East Carolina East Carolina 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00009
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362 -0.00115
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362 -0.00115
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 -0.00017
North Carolina State North Carolina State 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429 0.00031
Delaware Delaware 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00069
Delaware Delaware 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00069
Delaware Delaware 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00069
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00098
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00098
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00098

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 95.58 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Coastal Carolina 67.85 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
Duke 136.76 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 98.97 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
North Carolina 133.84 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina Central 136.09 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 117.35 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 255.68 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Charleston Southern 152.53 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Clemson 285.21 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
College of Charleston 152.90 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Davidson 190.14 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
East Tennessee State 291.50 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Elon 159.69 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Furman 264.39 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 226.79 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
Georgia Southern 257.35 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
High Point 170.46 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
James Madison 297.19 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Liberty 228.42 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 214.23 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Norfolk State 202.65 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina A&T 167.43 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina-Asheville 283.00 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.12 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 168.14 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Old Dominion 203.82 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Presbyterian 228.28 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Radford 250.88 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Richmond 232.66 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Savannah State 239.14 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 182.09 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 239.14 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
The Citadel 155.72 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
VMI 261.74 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 266.59 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 232.57 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
Virginia Tech 251.62 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 188.20 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
William and Mary 221.37 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Winthrop 185.79 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 236.35 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation