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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Wilmington

Last updated: Fri Jul 1 06:47:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.520
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.512
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.388


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Western Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00008
St. John's North Carolina-Wilmington 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 -0.00010
Richmond North Carolina-Wilmington 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 -0.00008
South Dakota State North Carolina-Wilmington 19 35 0.352 0.485 0.297 -0.00152
Eastern Kentucky North Carolina-Wilmington 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00087
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina-Wilmington 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00113
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00138
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 -0.00008
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 -0.00008
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 -0.00008
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Wilmington 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00098
North Florida North Florida 39 19 0.672 0.509 0.463 0.00125
North Florida North Florida 39 19 0.672 0.509 0.463 0.00125
North Florida North Florida 39 19 0.672 0.509 0.463 0.00125
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519 0.00218
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00272
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00272
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225 -0.00272
North Carolina State North Carolina-Wilmington 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00138
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00057
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00057
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00105
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 -0.00013
Northeastern Northeastern 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380 -0.00013
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 -0.00025
William and Mary William and Mary 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00005
William and Mary William and Mary 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00005
William and Mary William and Mary 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00005
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00043
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00073
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00073
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00073
Campbell North Carolina-Wilmington 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373 -0.00025
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305 -0.00138
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305 -0.00138
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305 -0.00138
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00113
High Point North Carolina-Wilmington 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00043
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266 -0.00203
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266 -0.00203
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266 -0.00203
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411 0.00038
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411 0.00038
College of Charleston North Carolina-Wilmington 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411 0.00038
North Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00113
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00072
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00072
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00072
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519 0.00218
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00038
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00038
Delaware Delaware 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411 0.00038
James Madison neutral 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00072
College of Charleston neutral 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411 0.00038
William and Mary neutral 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00005
William and Mary neutral 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00005
Duke neutral 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00077
Rhode Island neutral 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00010
South Carolina neutral 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00188
South Carolina neutral 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00188

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 95.58 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Coastal Carolina 67.85 54 18 0.750 0.578 0.519
Duke 136.76 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Carolina 98.97 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
North Carolina 133.84 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina Central 136.09 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 117.35 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 255.68 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Charleston Southern 152.53 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Clemson 285.21 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
College of Charleston 152.90 31 26 0.544 0.554 0.411
Davidson 190.14 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
East Tennessee State 291.50 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Elon 159.69 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Furman 264.39 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 226.79 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia Southern 257.35 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
High Point 170.46 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
James Madison 297.19 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Liberty 228.42 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 214.23 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Norfolk State 202.65 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina A&T 167.43 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina-Asheville 283.00 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.12 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 168.14 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Old Dominion 203.82 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Presbyterian 228.28 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 250.88 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 232.66 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Savannah State 239.14 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Carolina 182.09 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 239.14 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
The Citadel 155.72 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
VMI 261.74 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 266.59 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 232.57 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
Virginia Tech 251.62 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 188.20 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
William and Mary 221.37 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Winthrop 185.79 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 236.35 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation