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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Wilmington

Last updated: Thu May 5 06:58:17 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.517
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.506
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.385


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Western Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 22 21 0.512 0.522 0.387 0.00005
St. John's North Carolina-Wilmington 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383 -0.00005
Richmond North Carolina-Wilmington 23 18 0.561 0.465 0.397 0.00029
South Dakota State North Carolina-Wilmington 14 26 0.350 0.479 0.295 -0.00220
Eastern Kentucky North Carolina-Wilmington 21 25 0.457 0.466 0.345 -0.00098
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina-Wilmington 30 16 0.652 0.494 0.450 0.00159
North Carolina State North Carolina State 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00307
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 25 20 0.556 0.512 0.406 0.00051
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 25 20 0.556 0.512 0.406 0.00051
Penn State North Carolina-Wilmington 25 20 0.556 0.512 0.406 0.00051
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Wilmington 33 13 0.717 0.498 0.483 0.00239
North Florida North Florida 28 15 0.651 0.538 0.460 0.00183
North Florida North Florida 28 15 0.651 0.538 0.460 0.00183
North Florida North Florida 28 15 0.651 0.538 0.460 0.00183
Coastal Carolina North Carolina-Wilmington 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00261
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 8 32 0.200 0.470 0.217 -0.00410
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 8 32 0.200 0.470 0.217 -0.00410
Iona North Carolina-Wilmington 8 32 0.200 0.470 0.217 -0.00410
North Carolina State North Carolina-Wilmington 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00307
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 22 23 0.489 0.500 0.369 -0.00039
Elon North Carolina-Wilmington 22 23 0.489 0.500 0.369 -0.00039
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.573 0.457 0.00176
Northeastern Northeastern 23 19 0.548 0.458 0.389 0.00010
Northeastern Northeastern 23 19 0.548 0.458 0.389 0.00010
Campbell Campbell 22 21 0.512 0.499 0.381 -0.00010
William and Mary William and Mary 22 22 0.500 0.532 0.383 -0.00005
William and Mary William and Mary 22 22 0.500 0.532 0.383 -0.00005
William and Mary William and Mary 22 22 0.500 0.532 0.383 -0.00005
High Point High Point 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446 0.00149
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00141
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00141
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Wilmington 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00141
Campbell North Carolina-Wilmington 22 21 0.512 0.499 0.381 -0.00010
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 17 28 0.378 0.484 0.310 -0.00183
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 17 28 0.378 0.484 0.310 -0.00183
Towson North Carolina-Wilmington 17 28 0.378 0.484 0.310 -0.00183
North Carolina North Carolina 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478 0.00227
High Point North Carolina-Wilmington 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446 0.00149
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 13 30 0.302 0.502 0.276 -0.00266
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 13 30 0.302 0.502 0.276 -0.00266
Hofstra North Carolina-Wilmington 13 30 0.302 0.502 0.276 -0.00266

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 95.58 22 21 0.512 0.499 0.381
Coastal Carolina 67.85 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
Duke 136.76 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423
East Carolina 98.97 27 16 0.628 0.573 0.457
North Carolina 133.84 29 15 0.659 0.595 0.478
North Carolina Central 136.09 22 25 0.468 0.399 0.334
North Carolina State 117.35 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 255.68 14 31 0.311 0.496 0.279
Charleston Southern 152.53 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302
Clemson 285.21 28 15 0.651 0.599 0.475
College of Charleston 152.90 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412
Davidson 190.14 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
East Tennessee State 291.50 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Elon 159.69 22 23 0.489 0.500 0.369
Furman 264.39 20 24 0.455 0.546 0.364
Gardner-Webb 226.79 31 16 0.660 0.430 0.438
Georgia Southern 257.35 27 18 0.600 0.470 0.417
High Point 170.46 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
James Madison 297.19 18 26 0.409 0.501 0.330
Liberty 228.42 22 23 0.489 0.523 0.375
Longwood 214.23 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398
Norfolk State 202.65 23 18 0.561 0.350 0.368
North Carolina A&T 167.43 10 37 0.213 0.470 0.224
North Carolina-Asheville 283.00 14 27 0.341 0.432 0.279
North Carolina-Charlotte 179.12 19 26 0.422 0.541 0.346
North Carolina-Greensboro 168.14 33 13 0.717 0.498 0.483
Old Dominion 203.82 27 17 0.614 0.538 0.442
Presbyterian 228.28 23 21 0.523 0.463 0.377
Radford 250.88 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Richmond 232.66 23 18 0.561 0.465 0.397
Savannah State 239.14 11 34 0.244 0.461 0.237
South Carolina 182.09 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541
South Carolina-Upstate 239.14 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
The Citadel 155.72 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290
VMI 261.74 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307
Virginia 266.59 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473
Virginia Commonwealth 232.57 30 16 0.652 0.494 0.450
Virginia Tech 251.62 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298
Wake Forest 188.20 27 17 0.614 0.564 0.448
William and Mary 221.37 22 22 0.500 0.532 0.383
Winthrop 185.79 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 236.35 26 20 0.565 0.480 0.402

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation