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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:58 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.565
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.534
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.416


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Seton Hall North Carolina 39 15 0.722 0.419 0.466 0.00081
Seton Hall North Carolina 39 15 0.722 0.419 0.466 0.00081
Seton Hall North Carolina 39 15 0.722 0.419 0.466 0.00081
UCLA neutral 25 30 0.455 0.552 0.366 -0.00081
UCLA neutral 25 30 0.455 0.552 0.366 -0.00081
UCLA neutral 25 30 0.455 0.552 0.366 -0.00081
Rhode Island neutral 13 40 0.245 0.496 0.246 -0.00274
Rhode Island neutral 13 40 0.245 0.496 0.246 -0.00274
Rhode Island neutral 13 40 0.245 0.496 0.246 -0.00274

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 149.50 21 34 0.382 0.521 0.321
Campbell 38.34 41 21 0.661 0.494 0.454
Davidson 104.63 29 19 0.604 0.494 0.425
Duke 8.39 33 25 0.569 0.523 0.415
East Carolina 96.40 33 26 0.559 0.529 0.412
Elon 29.48 27 26 0.509 0.510 0.382
High Point 53.48 33 22 0.600 0.526 0.431
Liberty 100.31 41 18 0.695 0.509 0.475
Longwood 102.37 22 33 0.400 0.481 0.320
North Carolina A&T 42.75 17 32 0.347 0.450 0.286
North Carolina Central 10.33 17 33 0.340 0.425 0.276
North Carolina State 21.97 32 23 0.582 0.533 0.424
North Carolina-Charlotte 103.82 19 31 0.380 0.539 0.325
North Carolina-Greensboro 44.49 21 28 0.429 0.490 0.337
North Carolina-Wilmington 133.84 30 27 0.526 0.535 0.397
Radford 118.90 33 23 0.589 0.500 0.419
Richmond 142.38 24 28 0.462 0.509 0.358
VMI 132.17 25 23 0.521 0.521 0.391
Virginia Commonwealth 144.55 37 20 0.649 0.473 0.443
Virginia Tech 118.71 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341
Wake Forest 69.30 30 26 0.536 0.533 0.401
Winthrop 129.50 27 33 0.450 0.474 0.344

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 210.19 30 26 0.536 0.438 0.378
Clemson 230.74 36 25 0.590 0.540 0.430
Coastal Carolina 151.88 24 33 0.421 0.509 0.338
College of Charleston 220.42 44 19 0.698 0.501 0.474
Coppin State 258.07 12 34 0.261 0.442 0.241
Delaware State 296.61 30 17 0.638 0.359 0.409
East Tennessee State 187.46 27 30 0.474 0.502 0.362
Furman 203.13 26 33 0.441 0.502 0.346
Gardner-Webb 154.51 23 31 0.426 0.483 0.334
George Mason 223.42 34 22 0.607 0.486 0.425
George Washington 229.65 20 30 0.400 0.447 0.312
Georgetown 239.56 19 29 0.396 0.483 0.319
Georgia 280.68 26 29 0.473 0.590 0.384
Georgia Southern 286.66 40 23 0.635 0.486 0.439
James Madison 175.81 17 36 0.321 0.534 0.294
Marshall 220.69 16 31 0.340 0.488 0.292
Maryland 242.15 40 23 0.635 0.557 0.457
Maryland-Baltimore County 264.05 17 29 0.370 0.451 0.298
Maryland-Eastern Shore 244.20 13 35 0.271 0.419 0.240
Morehead State 288.71 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361
Mount St. Mary's 276.64 17 24 0.415 0.452 0.321
Navy 254.61 22 28 0.440 0.443 0.331
Norfolk State 167.76 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
North Carolina-Asheville 198.75 13 40 0.245 0.486 0.244
Ohio 289.68 11 39 0.220 0.456 0.224
Old Dominion 166.38 36 26 0.581 0.564 0.431
Presbyterian 187.96 19 34 0.358 0.484 0.300
Savannah State 292.09 22 31 0.415 0.432 0.316
South Carolina 174.43 44 18 0.710 0.553 0.493
South Carolina-Upstate 176.12 17 38 0.309 0.480 0.274
Tennessee 273.36 31 23 0.574 0.541 0.422
The Citadel 221.51 24 34 0.414 0.524 0.338
Towson 275.24 22 25 0.468 0.516 0.363
Virginia 150.71 53 16 0.768 0.576 0.528
West Virginia 263.81 28 26 0.519 0.551 0.397
Western Carolina 236.16 37 18 0.673 0.493 0.460
William and Mary 159.88 34 22 0.607 0.512 0.431
Wofford 175.24 32 28 0.533 0.469 0.384

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation