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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina

Last updated: Tue Jun 28 06:47:37 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.588
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.545
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.43025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
UCLA UCLA 25 31 0.446 0.564 0.364 -0.00120
UCLA UCLA 25 31 0.446 0.564 0.364 -0.00120
UCLA UCLA 25 31 0.446 0.564 0.364 -0.00120
Oklahoma State North Carolina 43 22 0.662 0.550 0.469 0.00070
Oklahoma State North Carolina 43 22 0.662 0.550 0.469 0.00070
Oklahoma State North Carolina 43 22 0.662 0.550 0.469 0.00070
Winthrop North Carolina 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 -0.00102
Fairfield North Carolina 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00080
Fairfield North Carolina 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00080
Fairfield North Carolina 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00080
Gardner-Webb North Carolina 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 -0.00004
Pittsburgh North Carolina 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00090
Pittsburgh North Carolina 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00090
Pittsburgh North Carolina 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00090
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00038
Elon North Carolina 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00139
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00007
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00007
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00007
Western Carolina North Carolina 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00086
Georgia Tech North Carolina 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00030
Georgia Tech North Carolina 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00030
Georgia Tech North Carolina 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00030
Davidson North Carolina 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 -0.00090
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00192
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00192
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00192
High Point North Carolina 32 24 0.571 0.514 0.414 -0.00030
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00313
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00233
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00233
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00233
South Carolina neutral 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00129
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00056
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00056
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00056
Coastal Carolina North Carolina 53 17 0.757 0.575 0.522 0.00167
William and Mary North Carolina 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00082
Wake Forest Wake Forest 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 -0.00011
Wake Forest Wake Forest 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 -0.00011
Wake Forest Wake Forest 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 -0.00011
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00076
Campbell North Carolina 26 27 0.491 0.511 0.373 -0.00104
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00047
Louisville North Carolina 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00190
Louisville North Carolina 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00190
Louisville North Carolina 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00190
East Carolina North Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00038
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00076
Notre Dame North Carolina 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00082
Notre Dame North Carolina 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00082
Notre Dame North Carolina 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00082
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.620 0.472 0.00076
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.620 0.472 0.00076
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.620 0.472 0.00076

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 149.50 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Campbell 38.34 26 27 0.491 0.511 0.373
Davidson 104.63 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 8.39 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Carolina 96.40 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Elon 29.48 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
High Point 53.48 32 24 0.571 0.514 0.414
Liberty 100.31 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 102.37 32 27 0.542 0.474 0.390
North Carolina A&T 42.75 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 10.33 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 21.97 38 22 0.633 0.620 0.472
North Carolina-Charlotte 103.82 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 44.49 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 133.84 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Radford 118.90 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 142.38 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
VMI 132.17 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia Commonwealth 144.55 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
Virginia Tech 118.71 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 69.30 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Winthrop 129.50 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 210.19 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Clemson 230.74 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Coastal Carolina 151.88 53 17 0.757 0.575 0.522
College of Charleston 220.42 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
Coppin State 258.07 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Delaware State 296.61 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
East Tennessee State 187.46 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Furman 203.13 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 154.51 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
George Mason 223.42 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 229.65 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 239.56 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Georgia 280.68 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 286.66 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
James Madison 175.81 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Marshall 220.69 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Maryland 242.15 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 264.05 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 244.20 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Morehead State 288.71 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Mount St. Mary's 276.64 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 254.61 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 167.76 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 198.75 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Ohio 289.68 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Old Dominion 166.38 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Presbyterian 187.96 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Savannah State 292.09 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Carolina 174.43 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 176.12 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Tennessee 273.36 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
The Citadel 221.51 17 42 0.288 0.501 0.269
Towson 275.24 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Virginia 150.71 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
West Virginia 263.81 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 236.16 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
William and Mary 159.88 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Wofford 175.24 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation