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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.593
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.544
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
UCLA UCLA 19 20 0.487 0.571 0.386 -0.00108
UCLA UCLA 19 20 0.487 0.571 0.386 -0.00108
UCLA UCLA 19 20 0.487 0.571 0.386 -0.00108
Oklahoma State North Carolina 25 15 0.625 0.574 0.456 0.00055
Oklahoma State North Carolina 25 15 0.625 0.574 0.456 0.00055
Oklahoma State North Carolina 25 15 0.625 0.574 0.456 0.00055
Winthrop North Carolina 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381 -0.00120
Fairfield North Carolina 21 19 0.525 0.423 0.368 -0.00150
Fairfield North Carolina 21 19 0.525 0.423 0.368 -0.00150
Fairfield North Carolina 21 19 0.525 0.423 0.368 -0.00150
Gardner-Webb North Carolina 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444 0.00027
Pittsburgh North Carolina 21 14 0.600 0.555 0.439 0.00015
Pittsburgh North Carolina 21 14 0.600 0.555 0.439 0.00015
Pittsburgh North Carolina 21 14 0.600 0.555 0.439 0.00015
East Carolina East Carolina 26 16 0.619 0.574 0.453 0.00048
Elon North Carolina 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359 -0.00171
Duke Duke 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422 -0.00024
Duke Duke 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422 -0.00024
Duke Duke 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422 -0.00024
Western Carolina North Carolina 22 19 0.537 0.510 0.396 -0.00085
Georgia Tech North Carolina 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476 0.00101
Georgia Tech North Carolina 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476 0.00101
Georgia Tech North Carolina 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476 0.00101
Davidson North Carolina 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369 -0.00148
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 8 0.784 0.595 0.541 0.00252
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 8 0.784 0.595 0.541 0.00252
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 8 0.784 0.595 0.541 0.00252
High Point North Carolina 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448 0.00036
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276 -0.00364
Virginia Tech North Carolina 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310 -0.00285
Virginia Tech North Carolina 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310 -0.00285
Virginia Tech North Carolina 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310 -0.00285
South Carolina neutral 33 9 0.786 0.579 0.538 0.00245
Virginia Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456 0.00055
Virginia Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456 0.00055
Virginia Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456 0.00055
Coastal Carolina North Carolina 31 12 0.721 0.589 0.508 0.00176
William and Mary North Carolina 21 21 0.500 0.522 0.381 -0.00120
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00038
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00038
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00038
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503 0.00164
Campbell North Carolina 22 21 0.512 0.504 0.382 -0.00117

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 149.50 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265
Campbell 38.34 22 21 0.512 0.504 0.382
Davidson 104.63 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369
Duke 8.39 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422
East Carolina 96.40 26 16 0.619 0.574 0.453
Elon 29.48 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359
High Point 53.48 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448
Liberty 100.31 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380
Longwood 102.37 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410
North Carolina A&T 42.75 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235
North Carolina Central 10.33 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329
North Carolina State 21.97 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517
North Carolina-Charlotte 103.82 19 25 0.432 0.544 0.352
North Carolina-Greensboro 44.49 33 11 0.750 0.490 0.497
North Carolina-Wilmington 133.84 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503
Radford 118.90 13 29 0.310 0.547 0.292
Richmond 142.38 22 17 0.564 0.478 0.401
VMI 132.17 18 28 0.391 0.485 0.317
Virginia Commonwealth 144.55 29 14 0.674 0.493 0.460
Virginia Tech 118.71 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310
Wake Forest 69.30 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
Winthrop 129.50 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 210.19 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304
Clemson 230.74 26 14 0.650 0.587 0.472
Coastal Carolina 151.88 31 12 0.721 0.589 0.508
College of Charleston 220.42 22 18 0.550 0.567 0.417
Coppin State 258.07 10 31 0.244 0.348 0.209
Delaware State 296.61 10 30 0.250 0.436 0.234
East Tennessee State 187.46 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315
Furman 203.13 17 24 0.415 0.553 0.346
Gardner-Webb 154.51 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
George Mason 223.42 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282
George Washington 229.65 19 24 0.442 0.476 0.340
Georgetown 239.56 19 24 0.442 0.490 0.344
Georgia 280.68 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417
Georgia Southern 286.66 26 18 0.591 0.472 0.413
James Madison 175.81 18 24 0.429 0.499 0.339
Marshall 220.69 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414
Maryland 242.15 23 18 0.561 0.567 0.422
Maryland-Baltimore County 264.05 19 18 0.514 0.438 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 244.20 13 28 0.317 0.369 0.251
Morehead State 288.71 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416
Mount St. Mary's 276.64 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224
Navy 254.61 34 11 0.756 0.419 0.483
Norfolk State 167.76 20 17 0.541 0.365 0.362
North Carolina-Asheville 198.75 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276
Ohio 289.68 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322
Old Dominion 166.38 26 16 0.619 0.544 0.446
Presbyterian 187.96 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365
Savannah State 292.09 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235
South Carolina 174.43 33 9 0.786 0.579 0.538
South Carolina-Upstate 176.12 18 23 0.439 0.447 0.331
Tennessee 273.36 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419
The Citadel 221.51 15 27 0.357 0.501 0.304
Towson 275.24 16 27 0.372 0.475 0.305
Virginia 150.71 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456
West Virginia 263.81 22 18 0.550 0.501 0.400
Western Carolina 236.16 22 19 0.537 0.510 0.396
William and Mary 159.88 21 21 0.500 0.522 0.381
Wofford 175.24 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation