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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:43 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.597
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.544
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4345


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
UCLA UCLA 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372 -0.00114
UCLA UCLA 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372 -0.00114
UCLA UCLA 25 29 0.463 0.562 0.372 -0.00114
Oklahoma State North Carolina 36 20 0.643 0.531 0.454 0.00035
Oklahoma State North Carolina 36 20 0.643 0.531 0.454 0.00035
Oklahoma State North Carolina 36 20 0.643 0.531 0.454 0.00035
Winthrop North Carolina 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375 -0.00108
Fairfield North Carolina 31 24 0.564 0.432 0.390 -0.00081
Fairfield North Carolina 31 24 0.564 0.432 0.390 -0.00081
Fairfield North Carolina 31 24 0.564 0.432 0.390 -0.00081
Gardner-Webb North Carolina 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428 -0.00012
Pittsburgh North Carolina 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383 -0.00094
Pittsburgh North Carolina 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383 -0.00094
Pittsburgh North Carolina 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383 -0.00094
East Carolina East Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447 0.00023
Elon North Carolina 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354 -0.00146
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00019
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00019
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445 0.00019
Western Carolina North Carolina 27 28 0.491 0.520 0.376 -0.00106
Georgia Tech North Carolina 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00030
Georgia Tech North Carolina 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00030
Georgia Tech North Carolina 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00030
Davidson North Carolina 28 25 0.528 0.489 0.386 -0.00088
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 43 10 0.811 0.598 0.555 0.00219
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 43 10 0.811 0.598 0.555 0.00219
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 43 10 0.811 0.598 0.555 0.00219
High Point North Carolina 32 24 0.571 0.517 0.415 -0.00035
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259 -0.00319
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304 -0.00237
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304 -0.00237
Virginia Tech North Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304 -0.00237
South Carolina neutral 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00137
Virginia Virginia 36 20 0.643 0.580 0.467 0.00059
Virginia Virginia 36 20 0.643 0.580 0.467 0.00059
Virginia Virginia 36 20 0.643 0.580 0.467 0.00059
Coastal Carolina North Carolina 43 15 0.741 0.557 0.510 0.00137
William and Mary North Carolina 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372 -0.00114
Wake Forest Wake Forest 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434 -0.00001
Wake Forest Wake Forest 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434 -0.00001
Wake Forest Wake Forest 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434 -0.00001
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina 39 15 0.722 0.513 0.489 0.00099
Campbell North Carolina 26 27 0.491 0.513 0.374 -0.00110
Virginia Commonwealth North Carolina 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00039
Louisville North Carolina 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00212
Louisville North Carolina 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00212
Louisville North Carolina 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00212
East Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447 0.00023
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 39 15 0.722 0.513 0.489 0.00099
Notre Dame North Carolina 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386 -0.00088
Notre Dame North Carolina 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386 -0.00088
Notre Dame North Carolina 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386 -0.00088
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00068
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00068
North Carolina State North Carolina State 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472 0.00068

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 149.50 18 36 0.333 0.499 0.291
Campbell 38.34 26 27 0.491 0.513 0.374
Davidson 104.63 28 25 0.528 0.489 0.386
Duke 8.39 33 22 0.600 0.581 0.445
East Carolina 96.40 34 21 0.618 0.551 0.447
Elon 29.48 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
High Point 53.48 32 24 0.571 0.517 0.415
Liberty 100.31 31 27 0.534 0.522 0.398
Longwood 102.37 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
North Carolina A&T 42.75 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina Central 10.33 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina State 21.97 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472
North Carolina-Charlotte 103.82 23 32 0.418 0.541 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 44.49 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 133.84 39 15 0.722 0.513 0.489
Radford 118.90 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299
Richmond 142.38 28 24 0.538 0.459 0.384
VMI 132.17 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Virginia Commonwealth 144.55 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
Virginia Tech 118.71 19 36 0.345 0.525 0.304
Wake Forest 69.30 34 24 0.586 0.566 0.434
Winthrop 129.50 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 210.19 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Clemson 230.74 40 18 0.690 0.584 0.491
Coastal Carolina 151.88 43 15 0.741 0.557 0.510
College of Charleston 220.42 31 26 0.544 0.559 0.412
Coppin State 258.07 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Delaware State 296.61 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241
East Tennessee State 187.46 27 30 0.474 0.432 0.345
Furman 203.13 29 29 0.500 0.529 0.382
Gardner-Webb 154.51 37 21 0.638 0.435 0.428
George Mason 223.42 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 229.65 24 33 0.421 0.495 0.334
Georgetown 239.56 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351
Georgia 280.68 27 30 0.474 0.621 0.392
Georgia Southern 286.66 35 23 0.603 0.502 0.427
James Madison 175.81 24 31 0.436 0.509 0.345
Marshall 220.69 34 20 0.630 0.522 0.446
Maryland 242.15 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410
Maryland-Baltimore County 264.05 28 23 0.549 0.450 0.387
Maryland-Eastern Shore 244.20 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Morehead State 288.71 31 27 0.534 0.506 0.394
Mount St. Mary's 276.64 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
Navy 254.61 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
Norfolk State 167.76 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 198.75 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
Ohio 289.68 23 29 0.442 0.441 0.331
Old Dominion 166.38 32 24 0.571 0.524 0.416
Presbyterian 187.96 27 30 0.474 0.468 0.354
Savannah State 292.09 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228
South Carolina 174.43 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510
South Carolina-Upstate 176.12 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Tennessee 273.36 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
The Citadel 221.51 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270
Towson 275.24 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305
Virginia 150.71 36 20 0.643 0.580 0.467
West Virginia 263.81 35 21 0.625 0.514 0.441
Western Carolina 236.16 27 28 0.491 0.520 0.376
William and Mary 159.88 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372
Wofford 175.24 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation