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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina A&T

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.406
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.456
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.317


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Navy North Carolina A&T 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410 0.00232
Navy North Carolina A&T 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410 0.00232
Navy North Carolina A&T 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410 0.00232
North Carolina State North Carolina State 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00220
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324 0.00018
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324 0.00018
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 0.00028
Fairleigh Dickinson North Carolina A&T 11 17 0.393 0.389 0.294 -0.00058
Fairleigh Dickinson North Carolina A&T 11 17 0.393 0.389 0.294 -0.00058
Fairleigh Dickinson North Carolina A&T 11 17 0.393 0.389 0.294 -0.00058
Winthrop Winthrop 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00363
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00100
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00100
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00100
High Point High Point 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00193
Longwood North Carolina A&T 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346 0.00072
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00070
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00070
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00070
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 0.00075
North Carolina State North Carolina State 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405 0.00220
Florida A&M Florida A&M 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322 0.00013
Florida A&M Florida A&M 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322 0.00013
Florida A&M Florida A&M 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322 0.00013
Gardner-Webb North Carolina A&T 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 0.00067
Appalachian State North Carolina A&T 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00112
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324 0.00018
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324 0.00018
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324 0.00018
Winthrop North Carolina A&T 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00363
High Point North Carolina A&T 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 0.00193
Longwood Longwood 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346 0.00072
Longwood Longwood 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346 0.00072
Longwood Longwood 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346 0.00072
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00100
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00100
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00100
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 0.00067
Savannah State Savannah State 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00070
Savannah State Savannah State 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00070
Savannah State Savannah State 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289 -0.00070

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 107.28 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Campbell 74.48 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Davidson 71.67 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Duke 46.89 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Carolina 139.07 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
East Tennessee State 145.12 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Elon 15.18 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Gardner-Webb 120.90 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
High Point 14.17 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Liberty 94.04 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 113.54 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
North Carolina 42.75 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina Central 49.15 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 64.65 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Charlotte 75.84 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 2.20 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Radford 84.43 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
South Carolina-Upstate 143.94 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
VMI 119.80 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia Tech 86.47 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Wake Forest 26.74 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401
Winthrop 104.93 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 143.75 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 214.56 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Clemson 198.25 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Coastal Carolina 171.24 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 227.01 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Coppin State 270.50 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
Eastern Kentucky 274.81 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Furman 169.92 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
George Mason 233.29 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 241.16 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 249.56 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
Georgia 251.79 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 276.92 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
James Madison 170.92 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kentucky 293.03 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Marshall 186.86 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Maryland 253.98 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 275.94 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Maryland-Eastern Shore 269.18 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Morehead State 248.40 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Mount St. Mary's 281.81 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 269.55 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
Norfolk State 202.34 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina-Asheville 159.66 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Wilmington 167.43 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Ohio 257.89 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Old Dominion 200.51 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Presbyterian 162.32 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Richmond 161.31 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
Savannah State 289.64 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Carolina 161.40 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
Tennessee 232.21 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
The Citadel 227.46 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
Towson 286.93 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272
Virginia 152.67 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 164.32 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
West Virginia 247.02 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Carolina 198.42 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
William and Mary 188.26 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation