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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina A&T

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.457
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.471
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Navy North Carolina A&T 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477 0.00242
Navy North Carolina A&T 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477 0.00242
Navy North Carolina A&T 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477 0.00242
East Carolina East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00200
Albany North Carolina A&T 22 28 0.440 0.467 0.337 -0.00017
Albany North Carolina A&T 22 28 0.440 0.467 0.337 -0.00017
Albany North Carolina A&T 22 28 0.440 0.467 0.337 -0.00017
Gardner-Webb North Carolina A&T 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434 0.00162
Iona North Carolina A&T 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00223
Iona North Carolina A&T 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00223
Iona North Carolina A&T 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00223
East Tennessee State North Carolina A&T 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344 -0.00004
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434 0.00162
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00045
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00045
North Carolina Central North Carolina A&T 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00045
Appalachian State North Carolina A&T 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291 -0.00102
Winthrop North Carolina A&T 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374 0.00051
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 0.00051
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 0.00051
Campbell Campbell 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374 0.00051
North Carolina-Greensboro neutral 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450 0.00192
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00077
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00077
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00077
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450 0.00192
Winthrop Winthrop 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374 0.00051
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00219
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00219
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00219
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344 -0.00004
Elon North Carolina A&T 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354 0.00014
Florida A&M North Carolina A&T 31 21 0.596 0.482 0.418 0.00133
Florida A&M North Carolina A&T 31 21 0.596 0.482 0.418 0.00133
Florida A&M North Carolina A&T 31 21 0.596 0.482 0.418 0.00133
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348 0.00003
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00045
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00045
North Carolina Central North Carolina Central 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322 -0.00045
Presbyterian North Carolina A&T 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354 0.00014
North Carolina State North Carolina A&T 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00237
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474 0.00237
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354 0.00014
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00077
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00077
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina A&T 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00077
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291 -0.00102
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354 0.00014
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00219
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00219
Savannah State North Carolina A&T 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00219
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.482 0.418 0.00133
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.482 0.418 0.00133
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.482 0.418 0.00133

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 107.28 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Campbell 74.48 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Davidson 71.67 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381
Duke 46.89 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446
East Carolina 139.07 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454
East Tennessee State 145.12 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344
Elon 15.18 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354
Gardner-Webb 120.90 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434
High Point 14.17 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420
Liberty 94.04 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395
Longwood 113.54 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389
North Carolina 42.75 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460
North Carolina Central 49.15 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 64.65 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474
North Carolina-Charlotte 75.84 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348
North Carolina-Greensboro 2.20 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450
Radford 84.43 18 38 0.321 0.540 0.295
South Carolina-Upstate 143.94 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
VMI 119.80 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Virginia Tech 86.47 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wake Forest 26.74 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431
Winthrop 104.93 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374
Wofford 143.75 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 214.56 19 33 0.365 0.491 0.305
Clemson 198.25 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
Coastal Carolina 171.24 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508
College of Charleston 227.01 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418
Coppin State 270.50 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Eastern Kentucky 274.81 24 31 0.436 0.477 0.337
Furman 169.92 28 28 0.500 0.525 0.381
George Mason 233.29 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291
George Washington 241.16 24 32 0.429 0.496 0.339
Georgetown 249.56 24 29 0.453 0.501 0.352
Georgia 251.79 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393
Georgia Southern 276.92 34 23 0.596 0.502 0.423
James Madison 170.92 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353
Kentucky 293.03 32 25 0.561 0.553 0.419
Marshall 186.86 33 19 0.635 0.521 0.448
Maryland 253.98 29 25 0.537 0.569 0.411
Maryland-Baltimore County 275.94 28 23 0.549 0.453 0.388
Maryland-Eastern Shore 269.18 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Morehead State 248.40 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403
Mount St. Mary's 281.81 11 37 0.229 0.438 0.224
Navy 269.55 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477
Norfolk State 202.34 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina-Asheville 159.66 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
North Carolina-Wilmington 167.43 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Ohio 257.89 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Old Dominion 200.51 32 23 0.582 0.526 0.422
Presbyterian 162.32 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354
Richmond 161.31 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
Savannah State 289.64 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228
South Carolina 161.40 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516
Tennessee 232.21 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
The Citadel 227.46 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272
Towson 286.93 20 35 0.364 0.495 0.306
Virginia 152.67 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479
Virginia Commonwealth 164.32 37 17 0.685 0.491 0.465
West Virginia 247.02 34 21 0.618 0.511 0.437
Western Carolina 198.42 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370
William and Mary 188.26 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation