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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina Central

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.406
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.476
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.322


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Morehead State North Carolina Central 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416 0.00214
Morehead State North Carolina Central 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416 0.00214
Morehead State North Carolina Central 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416 0.00214
Niagara North Carolina Central 12 26 0.316 0.477 0.277 -0.00102
Niagara North Carolina Central 12 26 0.316 0.477 0.277 -0.00102
Niagara North Carolina Central 12 26 0.316 0.477 0.277 -0.00102
Niagara North Carolina Central 12 26 0.316 0.477 0.277 -0.00102
Appalachian State North Carolina Central 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265 -0.00130
Norfolk State Norfolk State 20 17 0.541 0.365 0.362 0.00091
New Jersey Tech North Carolina Central 15 25 0.375 0.448 0.299 -0.00052
New Jersey Tech North Carolina Central 15 25 0.375 0.448 0.299 -0.00052
New Jersey Tech North Carolina Central 15 25 0.375 0.448 0.299 -0.00052
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304 -0.00041
Norfolk State North Carolina Central 20 17 0.541 0.365 0.362 0.00091
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00198
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00198
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00198
Presbyterian Presbyterian 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365 0.00098
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 20 22 0.476 0.497 0.362 0.00091
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 20 22 0.476 0.497 0.362 0.00091
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 20 22 0.476 0.497 0.362 0.00091
Campbell North Carolina Central 22 21 0.512 0.504 0.382 0.00136
Savannah State North Carolina Central 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235 -0.00198
Savannah State North Carolina Central 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235 -0.00198
Savannah State North Carolina Central 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235 -0.00198
High Point North Carolina Central 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448 0.00286
Appalachian State Appalachian State 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265 -0.00130
Florida A&M Florida A&M 24 15 0.615 0.440 0.417 0.00216
Florida A&M Florida A&M 24 15 0.615 0.440 0.417 0.00216
Florida A&M Florida A&M 24 15 0.615 0.440 0.417 0.00216
Longwood Longwood 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410 0.00200
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276 -0.00105
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276 -0.00105
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276 -0.00105
Duke Duke 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422 0.00227
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00198
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00198
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235 -0.00198
Longwood North Carolina Central 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410 0.00200
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 20 22 0.476 0.497 0.362 0.00091
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 20 22 0.476 0.497 0.362 0.00091
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 20 22 0.476 0.497 0.362 0.00091
Elon Elon 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359 0.00084
Duke North Carolina Central 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422 0.00227
Savannah State Savannah State 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235 -0.00198
Savannah State Savannah State 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235 -0.00198

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 41.99 22 21 0.512 0.504 0.382
Davidson 114.04 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369
Duke 2.36 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422
East Carolina 90.54 26 16 0.619 0.574 0.453
Elon 34.57 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359
High Point 61.13 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448
Liberty 94.59 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380
Longwood 93.49 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410
North Carolina 10.33 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 49.15 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235
North Carolina State 19.46 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517
North Carolina-Charlotte 113.72 19 25 0.432 0.544 0.352
North Carolina-Greensboro 51.10 33 11 0.750 0.490 0.497
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.09 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503
Radford 119.96 13 29 0.310 0.547 0.292
Richmond 132.39 22 17 0.564 0.478 0.401
VMI 127.15 18 28 0.391 0.485 0.317
Virginia 142.77 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456
Virginia Commonwealth 134.49 29 14 0.674 0.493 0.460
Virginia Tech 119.04 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310
Wake Forest 75.88 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
William and Mary 149.56 21 21 0.500 0.522 0.381
Winthrop 139.69 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 156.43 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265
Charleston Southern 218.91 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304
Clemson 240.48 26 14 0.650 0.587 0.472
Coastal Carolina 158.31 31 12 0.721 0.589 0.508
College of Charleston 228.81 22 18 0.550 0.567 0.417
Coppin State 248.43 10 31 0.244 0.348 0.209
Delaware State 286.46 10 30 0.250 0.436 0.234
East Tennessee State 194.27 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315
Furman 212.75 17 24 0.415 0.553 0.346
Gardner-Webb 164.00 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
George Mason 214.10 14 28 0.333 0.460 0.282
George Washington 220.14 19 24 0.442 0.476 0.340
Georgetown 230.19 19 24 0.442 0.490 0.344
Georgia 290.77 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417
Georgia Southern 296.62 26 18 0.591 0.472 0.413
James Madison 168.88 18 24 0.429 0.499 0.339
Marshall 220.73 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414
Maryland 232.59 23 18 0.561 0.567 0.422
Maryland-Baltimore County 254.45 19 18 0.514 0.438 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 233.87 13 28 0.317 0.369 0.251
Morehead State 291.57 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416
Mount St. Mary's 267.79 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224
Navy 244.75 34 11 0.756 0.419 0.483
Norfolk State 157.89 20 17 0.541 0.365 0.362
North Carolina-Asheville 207.23 14 27 0.341 0.423 0.276
Ohio 288.79 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322
Old Dominion 156.46 26 16 0.619 0.544 0.446
Presbyterian 198.17 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365
South Carolina 184.65 33 9 0.786 0.579 0.538
South Carolina-Upstate 185.83 18 23 0.439 0.447 0.331
Tennessee 281.07 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419
The Citadel 229.99 15 27 0.357 0.501 0.304
Towson 265.65 16 27 0.372 0.475 0.305
West Virginia 258.88 22 18 0.550 0.501 0.400
Western Carolina 245.03 22 19 0.537 0.510 0.396
Wofford 185.02 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation