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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina Central
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:12 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.396 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.469 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.31525 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Morehead State | North Carolina Central | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 | 0.00144 |
Morehead State | North Carolina Central | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 | 0.00144 |
Morehead State | North Carolina Central | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 | 0.00144 |
Niagara | North Carolina Central | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 | -0.00093 |
Niagara | North Carolina Central | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 | -0.00093 |
Niagara | North Carolina Central | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 | -0.00093 |
Niagara | North Carolina Central | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 | -0.00093 |
Appalachian State | North Carolina Central | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00047 |
Norfolk State | Norfolk State | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 | 0.00124 |
New Jersey Tech | North Carolina Central | 16 | 36 | 0.308 | 0.476 | 0.273 | -0.00078 |
New Jersey Tech | North Carolina Central | 16 | 36 | 0.308 | 0.476 | 0.273 | -0.00078 |
New Jersey Tech | North Carolina Central | 16 | 36 | 0.308 | 0.476 | 0.273 | -0.00078 |
Charleston Southern | Charleston Southern | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 | -0.00021 |
Norfolk State | North Carolina Central | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 | 0.00124 |
North Carolina A&T | North Carolina A&T | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 | -0.00152 |
North Carolina A&T | North Carolina A&T | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 | -0.00152 |
North Carolina A&T | North Carolina A&T | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 | -0.00152 |
Presbyterian | Presbyterian | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | 0.00072 |
Bethune-Cookman | North Carolina Central | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.484 | 0.380 | 0.00120 |
Bethune-Cookman | North Carolina Central | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.484 | 0.380 | 0.00120 |
Bethune-Cookman | North Carolina Central | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.484 | 0.380 | 0.00120 |
Campbell | North Carolina Central | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 | 0.00107 |
Savannah State | North Carolina Central | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 | -0.00163 |
Savannah State | North Carolina Central | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 | -0.00163 |
Savannah State | North Carolina Central | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 | -0.00163 |
High Point | North Carolina Central | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 | 0.00183 |
Appalachian State | Appalachian State | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 | -0.00047 |
Florida A&M | Florida A&M | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 | 0.00188 |
Florida A&M | Florida A&M | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 | 0.00188 |
Florida A&M | Florida A&M | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 | 0.00188 |
Longwood | Longwood | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 | 0.00137 |
North Carolina-Asheville | North Carolina-Asheville | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 | -0.00106 |
North Carolina-Asheville | North Carolina-Asheville | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 | -0.00106 |
North Carolina-Asheville | North Carolina-Asheville | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 | -0.00106 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00220 |
North Carolina A&T | North Carolina Central | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 | -0.00152 |
North Carolina A&T | North Carolina Central | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 | -0.00152 |
North Carolina A&T | North Carolina Central | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 | -0.00152 |
Longwood | North Carolina Central | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 | 0.00137 |
Bethune-Cookman | Bethune-Cookman | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.484 | 0.380 | 0.00120 |
Bethune-Cookman | Bethune-Cookman | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.484 | 0.380 | 0.00120 |
Bethune-Cookman | Bethune-Cookman | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.484 | 0.380 | 0.00120 |
Elon | Elon | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 | 0.00072 |
Duke | North Carolina Central | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00220 |
Savannah State | Savannah State | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 | -0.00163 |
Savannah State | Savannah State | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 | -0.00163 |
Savannah State | Savannah State | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 | -0.00163 |
Florida A&M | North Carolina Central | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 | 0.00188 |
Florida A&M | North Carolina Central | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 | 0.00188 |
Florida A&M | North Carolina Central | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 | 0.00188 |
Charleston Southern | North Carolina Central | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 | -0.00021 |
Delaware State | neutral | 13 | 37 | 0.260 | 0.442 | 0.240 | -0.00139 |
Coppin State | neutral | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 | -0.00163 |
Florida A&M | neutral | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 | 0.00188 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Campbell | 41.99 | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 |
Davidson | 114.04 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 |
Duke | 2.36 | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 |
East Carolina | 90.54 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 |
Elon | 34.57 | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 |
High Point | 61.13 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 |
Liberty | 94.59 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Longwood | 93.49 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 |
North Carolina | 10.33 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 |
North Carolina A&T | 49.15 | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 |
North Carolina State | 19.46 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 113.72 | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 51.10 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | 136.09 | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 |
Radford | 119.96 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Richmond | 132.39 | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 |
VMI | 127.15 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Virginia | 142.77 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 |
Virginia Commonwealth | 134.49 | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 |
Virginia Tech | 119.04 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
Wake Forest | 75.88 | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 |
William and Mary | 149.56 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 |
Winthrop | 139.69 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Appalachian State | 156.43 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Charleston Southern | 218.91 | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 |
Clemson | 240.48 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 |
Coastal Carolina | 158.31 | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 |
College of Charleston | 228.81 | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 |
Coppin State | 248.43 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 |
Delaware State | 286.46 | 13 | 37 | 0.260 | 0.442 | 0.240 |
East Tennessee State | 194.27 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Furman | 212.75 | 29 | 30 | 0.492 | 0.526 | 0.378 |
Gardner-Webb | 164.00 | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 |
George Mason | 214.10 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 |
George Washington | 220.14 | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 |
Georgetown | 230.19 | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 |
Georgia | 290.77 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 |
Georgia Southern | 296.62 | 36 | 24 | 0.600 | 0.506 | 0.426 |
James Madison | 168.88 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 |
Marshall | 220.73 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Maryland | 232.59 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 254.45 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 233.87 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 0.259 |
Morehead State | 291.57 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Mount St. Mary's | 267.79 | 11 | 37 | 0.229 | 0.434 | 0.223 |
Navy | 244.75 | 42 | 16 | 0.724 | 0.424 | 0.468 |
Norfolk State | 157.89 | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 207.23 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
Ohio | 288.79 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Old Dominion | 156.46 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 |
Presbyterian | 198.17 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 |
South Carolina | 184.65 | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 |
South Carolina-Upstate | 185.83 | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 |
Tennessee | 281.07 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
The Citadel | 229.99 | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 |
Towson | 265.65 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 |
West Virginia | 258.88 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Western Carolina | 245.03 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
Wofford | 185.02 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |