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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina Central

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:46 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.400
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.471
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.31775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Morehead State North Carolina Central 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00149
Morehead State North Carolina Central 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00149
Morehead State North Carolina Central 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398 0.00149
Niagara North Carolina Central 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00098
Niagara North Carolina Central 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00098
Niagara North Carolina Central 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00098
Niagara North Carolina Central 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00098
Appalachian State North Carolina Central 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00048
Norfolk State Norfolk State 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383 0.00121
New Jersey Tech North Carolina Central 16 36 0.308 0.480 0.274 -0.00081
New Jersey Tech North Carolina Central 16 36 0.308 0.480 0.274 -0.00081
New Jersey Tech North Carolina Central 16 36 0.308 0.480 0.274 -0.00081
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 19 33 0.365 0.493 0.306 -0.00022
Norfolk State North Carolina Central 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383 0.00121
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235 -0.00153
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235 -0.00153
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235 -0.00153
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 29 0.482 0.474 0.359 0.00076
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00130
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00130
Bethune-Cookman North Carolina Central 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00130
Campbell North Carolina Central 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374 0.00104
Savannah State North Carolina Central 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00166
Savannah State North Carolina Central 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00166
Savannah State North Carolina Central 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00166
High Point North Carolina Central 31 23 0.574 0.517 0.416 0.00182
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00048
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00186
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00186
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00186
Longwood Longwood 31 25 0.554 0.468 0.394 0.00141
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.444 0.259 -0.00109
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.444 0.259 -0.00109
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.444 0.259 -0.00109
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.585 0.446 0.00238
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235 -0.00153
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235 -0.00153
North Carolina A&T North Carolina Central 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235 -0.00153
Longwood North Carolina Central 31 25 0.554 0.468 0.394 0.00141
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00130
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00130
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 29 25 0.537 0.479 0.388 0.00130
Elon Elon 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363 0.00084
Duke North Carolina Central 33 22 0.600 0.585 0.446 0.00238
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00166
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00166
Savannah State Savannah State 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228 -0.00166
Florida A&M North Carolina Central 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00186
Florida A&M North Carolina Central 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00186
Florida A&M North Carolina Central 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00186
Charleston Southern North Carolina Central 19 33 0.365 0.493 0.306 -0.00022
Delaware State neutral 13 37 0.260 0.446 0.241 -0.00142
Coppin State neutral 14 38 0.269 0.370 0.227 -0.00168
Florida A&M neutral 31 21 0.596 0.481 0.418 0.00186

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 41.99 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Davidson 114.04 25 24 0.510 0.481 0.375
Duke 2.36 33 22 0.600 0.585 0.446
East Carolina 90.54 34 19 0.642 0.561 0.461
Elon 34.57 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
High Point 61.13 31 23 0.574 0.517 0.416
Liberty 94.59 29 27 0.518 0.524 0.390
Longwood 93.49 31 25 0.554 0.468 0.394
North Carolina 10.33 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina A&T 49.15 13 41 0.241 0.460 0.235
North Carolina State 19.46 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
North Carolina-Charlotte 113.72 23 30 0.434 0.537 0.351
North Carolina-Greensboro 51.10 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
North Carolina-Wilmington 136.09 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Radford 119.96 17 38 0.309 0.540 0.289
Richmond 132.39 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
VMI 127.15 21 35 0.375 0.478 0.307
Virginia 142.77 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
Virginia Commonwealth 134.49 36 17 0.679 0.493 0.463
Virginia Tech 119.04 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wake Forest 75.88 33 23 0.589 0.563 0.435
William and Mary 149.56 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367
Winthrop 139.69 28 26 0.519 0.479 0.379

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 156.43 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292
Charleston Southern 218.91 19 33 0.365 0.493 0.306
Clemson 240.48 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
Coastal Carolina 158.31 41 15 0.732 0.557 0.505
College of Charleston 228.81 29 24 0.547 0.560 0.414
Coppin State 248.43 14 38 0.269 0.370 0.227
Delaware State 286.46 13 37 0.260 0.446 0.241
East Tennessee State 194.27 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Furman 212.75 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
Gardner-Webb 164.00 37 19 0.661 0.434 0.439
George Mason 214.10 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291
George Washington 220.14 23 31 0.426 0.494 0.337
Georgetown 230.19 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Georgia 290.77 27 30 0.474 0.628 0.394
Georgia Southern 296.62 33 23 0.589 0.502 0.420
James Madison 168.88 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Marshall 220.73 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Maryland 232.59 28 25 0.528 0.567 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 254.45 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 233.87 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Morehead State 291.57 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398
Mount St. Mary's 267.79 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 244.75 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477
Norfolk State 157.89 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina-Asheville 207.23 16 38 0.296 0.444 0.259
Ohio 288.79 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Old Dominion 156.46 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Presbyterian 198.17 27 29 0.482 0.474 0.359
South Carolina 184.65 42 13 0.764 0.562 0.522
South Carolina-Upstate 185.83 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
Tennessee 281.07 29 28 0.509 0.554 0.393
The Citadel 229.99 17 40 0.298 0.502 0.274
Towson 265.65 20 35 0.364 0.496 0.306
West Virginia 258.88 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Carolina 245.03 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
Wofford 185.02 30 26 0.536 0.475 0.387

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation