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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina State

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.613
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.540
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4415


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Old Dominion neutral 32 23 0.582 0.526 0.422 -0.00037
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508 0.00125
Kent State neutral 41 12 0.774 0.448 0.499 0.00108
Morehead State North Carolina State 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403 -0.00073
Wright State North Carolina State 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482 0.00076
Wright State North Carolina State 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482 0.00076
Wright State North Carolina State 41 15 0.732 0.464 0.482 0.00076
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina State 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450 0.00016
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina State 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00082
Niagara North Carolina State 16 37 0.302 0.458 0.266 -0.00331
Alabama neutral 32 25 0.561 0.551 0.418 -0.00044
Bucknell North Carolina State 18 34 0.346 0.474 0.291 -0.00284
Fairfield North Carolina State 30 24 0.556 0.431 0.386 -0.00105
Fairfield North Carolina State 30 24 0.556 0.431 0.386 -0.00105
Boston College North Carolina State 31 20 0.608 0.541 0.439 -0.00005
Boston College North Carolina State 31 20 0.608 0.541 0.439 -0.00005
Boston College North Carolina State 31 20 0.608 0.541 0.439 -0.00005
Indiana State North Carolina State 34 20 0.630 0.514 0.444 0.00005
Indiana State North Carolina State 34 20 0.630 0.514 0.444 0.00005
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00105
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00105
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00105
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00082
Florida State Florida State 35 19 0.648 0.594 0.473 0.00059
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348 -0.00176
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00071
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00071
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479 0.00071
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina State 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348 -0.00176
Wake Forest North Carolina State 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 -0.00020
Wake Forest North Carolina State 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 -0.00020
Wake Forest North Carolina State 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431 -0.00020
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354 -0.00165
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462 0.00039
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462 0.00039
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462 0.00039
East Carolina East Carolina 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00024
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235 -0.00390
North Carolina A&T North Carolina State 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235 -0.00390
East Carolina North Carolina State 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454 0.00024
Duke North Carolina State 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00008
Duke North Carolina State 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00008
Duke North Carolina State 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446 0.00008
Clemson Clemson 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00082
Clemson Clemson 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00082
Clemson Clemson 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00082
Louisville Louisville 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558 0.00220
Louisville Louisville 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558 0.00220
Louisville Louisville 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558 0.00220
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00035
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00035
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460 0.00035
Florida State neutral 35 19 0.648 0.594 0.473 0.00059
Miami, Florida neutral 42 10 0.808 0.600 0.554 0.00212

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 26.20 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Coastal Carolina 143.86 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508
Davidson 122.94 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381
Duke 20.75 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446
East Carolina 74.82 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454
Elon 51.36 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354
High Point 74.81 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420
Liberty 111.76 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395
Longwood 105.29 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389
North Carolina 21.97 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460
North Carolina A&T 64.65 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235
North Carolina Central 19.46 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina-Charlotte 120.40 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348
North Carolina-Greensboro 66.35 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450
North Carolina-Wilmington 117.35 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Radford 139.22 18 38 0.321 0.540 0.295
Richmond 138.94 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
VMI 144.81 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Virginia Commonwealth 140.53 37 17 0.685 0.491 0.465
Virginia Tech 138.44 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wake Forest 91.08 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431
William and Mary 149.86 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367
Winthrop 144.04 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 170.98 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Charleston Southern 209.24 19 33 0.365 0.491 0.305
Clemson 247.42 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
College of Charleston 218.14 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418
Coppin State 256.31 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Delaware State 290.84 13 37 0.260 0.445 0.241
East Tennessee State 208.97 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344
Furman 220.30 28 28 0.500 0.525 0.381
Gardner-Webb 172.27 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434
George Mason 223.48 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291
George Washington 228.73 24 32 0.429 0.496 0.339
Georgetown 239.33 24 29 0.453 0.501 0.352
Georgia 295.41 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393
Georgia Southern 292.01 34 23 0.596 0.502 0.423
James Madison 184.12 24 29 0.453 0.505 0.353
Marshall 240.18 33 19 0.635 0.521 0.448
Maryland 240.90 29 25 0.537 0.569 0.411
Maryland-Baltimore County 262.52 28 23 0.549 0.453 0.388
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.25 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Mount St. Mary's 278.59 11 37 0.229 0.438 0.224
Navy 251.48 41 14 0.745 0.417 0.477
Norfolk State 153.16 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
North Carolina-Asheville 218.62 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
Old Dominion 152.14 32 23 0.582 0.526 0.422
Presbyterian 201.91 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354
Savannah State 293.71 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228
South Carolina 182.83 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516
South Carolina-Upstate 193.06 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Tennessee 294.12 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
The Citadel 219.55 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272
Towson 273.72 20 35 0.364 0.495 0.306
Virginia 156.35 36 18 0.667 0.582 0.479
West Virginia 276.34 34 21 0.618 0.511 0.437
Western Carolina 255.26 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370
Wofford 191.90 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation