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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina State

Last updated: Tue Jun 28 06:47:37 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.620
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.539
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.44475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Old Dominion neutral 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 -0.00050
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 53 17 0.757 0.575 0.522 0.00129
Kent State neutral 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00072
Morehead State North Carolina State 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 -0.00086
Wright State North Carolina State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00065
Wright State North Carolina State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00065
Wright State North Carolina State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00065
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina State 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00004
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina State 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00045
Niagara North Carolina State 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00300
Alabama neutral 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 -0.00053
Bucknell North Carolina State 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290 -0.00258
Fairfield North Carolina State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00098
Fairfield North Carolina State 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 -0.00098
Boston College North Carolina State 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 -0.00001
Boston College North Carolina State 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 -0.00001
Boston College North Carolina State 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 -0.00001
Indiana State North Carolina State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 -0.00008
Indiana State North Carolina State 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440 -0.00008
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00100
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00100
Notre Dame North Carolina State 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00100
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00045
Florida State Florida State 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00052
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00170
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00027
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00027
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00027
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina State 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00170
Wake Forest North Carolina State 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 -0.00035
Wake Forest North Carolina State 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 -0.00035
Wake Forest North Carolina State 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 -0.00035
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00151
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00004
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00004
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00004
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00010
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00353
North Carolina A&T North Carolina State 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00353
East Carolina North Carolina State 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00010
Duke North Carolina State 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 -0.00018
Duke North Carolina State 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 -0.00018
Duke North Carolina State 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 -0.00018
Clemson Clemson 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00074
Clemson Clemson 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00074
Clemson Clemson 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00074
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00150
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00150
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00150
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00019
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00019
North Carolina North Carolina State 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00019
Florida State neutral 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00052
Miami, Florida neutral 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00152
Georgia Tech neutral 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00004
Navy neutral 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468 0.00039
Coastal Carolina neutral 53 17 0.757 0.575 0.522 0.00129
Navy neutral 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468 0.00039
Coastal Carolina neutral 53 17 0.757 0.575 0.522 0.00129
Coastal Carolina neutral 53 17 0.757 0.575 0.522 0.00129

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 26.20 26 27 0.491 0.511 0.373
Coastal Carolina 143.86 53 17 0.757 0.575 0.522
Davidson 122.94 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 20.75 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Carolina 74.82 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Elon 51.36 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
High Point 74.81 32 24 0.571 0.514 0.414
Liberty 111.76 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 105.29 32 27 0.542 0.474 0.390
North Carolina 21.97 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 64.65 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 19.46 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina-Charlotte 120.40 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 66.35 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 117.35 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Radford 139.22 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 138.94 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
VMI 144.81 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia Commonwealth 140.53 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
Virginia Tech 138.44 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 91.08 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
William and Mary 149.86 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Winthrop 144.04 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 170.98 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Charleston Southern 209.24 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Clemson 247.42 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
College of Charleston 218.14 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
Coppin State 256.31 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Delaware State 290.84 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
East Tennessee State 208.97 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Furman 220.30 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 172.27 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
George Mason 223.48 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 228.73 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 239.33 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Georgia 295.41 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 292.01 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
James Madison 184.12 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Marshall 240.18 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Maryland 240.90 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 262.52 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.25 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Mount St. Mary's 278.59 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 251.48 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 153.16 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 218.62 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Old Dominion 152.14 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Presbyterian 201.91 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Savannah State 293.71 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Carolina 182.83 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 193.06 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Tennessee 294.12 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
The Citadel 219.55 17 42 0.288 0.501 0.269
Towson 273.72 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Virginia 156.35 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
West Virginia 276.34 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 255.26 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wofford 191.90 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation