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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.544
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.525
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Canisius North Carolina State 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457 0.00117
Canisius North Carolina State 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457 0.00117
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00008
North Carolina A&T North Carolina State 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00270
Appalachian State North Carolina State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00203
Appalachian State North Carolina State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00203
Appalachian State North Carolina State 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00203
Davidson North Carolina State 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00102
Michigan North Carolina State 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368 -0.00077
UCLA neutral 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00044
Youngstown State North Carolina State 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00357
North Carolina A&T North Carolina State 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279 -0.00270
Notre Dame North Carolina State 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00224
Notre Dame North Carolina State 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00224
Notre Dame North Carolina State 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00224
Stetson Stetson 20 30 0.400 0.517 0.329 -0.00161
Florida State Florida State 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526 0.00267
Florida State Florida State 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526 0.00267
Florida State Florida State 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526 0.00267
Maryland Maryland 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00080
Maryland Maryland 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00080
Maryland Maryland 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00080
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 -0.00022
Miami, Florida North Carolina State 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00197
Miami, Florida North Carolina State 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00197
Miami, Florida North Carolina State 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00197
Campbell Campbell 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00108
East Carolina North Carolina State 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00034
Clemson Clemson 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00086
Clemson Clemson 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00086
Clemson Clemson 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00086
East Carolina East Carolina 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00034
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00082
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00082
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00082
Boston College North Carolina State 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00146
Boston College North Carolina State 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00146
Boston College North Carolina State 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00146
Campbell North Carolina State 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00108
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina State 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 -0.00022
Georgia Tech North Carolina State 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00084
Georgia Tech North Carolina State 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00084
Georgia Tech North Carolina State 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00084
Coastal Carolina North Carolina State 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00109
Coastal Carolina North Carolina State 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00109
Coastal Carolina North Carolina State 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00109

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 26.20 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Coastal Carolina 143.86 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
Davidson 122.94 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 20.75 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 74.82 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Elon 51.36 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
High Point 74.81 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Liberty 111.76 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 105.29 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
North Carolina 21.97 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 64.65 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 19.46 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina-Charlotte 120.40 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 66.35 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 117.35 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Radford 139.22 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Richmond 138.94 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
VMI 144.81 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia Commonwealth 140.53 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
Virginia Tech 138.44 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 91.08 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
William and Mary 149.86 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Winthrop 144.04 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 170.98 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Charleston Southern 209.24 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Clemson 247.42 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
College of Charleston 218.14 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Coppin State 256.31 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Delaware State 290.84 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
East Tennessee State 208.97 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Furman 220.30 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 172.27 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
George Mason 223.48 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 228.73 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 239.33 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Georgia 295.41 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 292.01 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
James Madison 184.12 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Marshall 240.18 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland 240.90 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 262.52 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.25 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Mount St. Mary's 278.59 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 251.48 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 153.16 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 218.62 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Old Dominion 152.14 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Presbyterian 201.91 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Savannah State 293.71 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 182.83 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 193.06 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 294.12 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
The Citadel 219.55 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Towson 273.72 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Virginia 156.35 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
West Virginia 276.34 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 255.26 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Wofford 191.90 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation