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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina State

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:24 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.601
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.531
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.43325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Old Dominion neutral 27 17 0.614 0.539 0.442 0.00021
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 12 0.721 0.586 0.507 0.00176
Kent State neutral 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482 0.00116
Morehead State North Carolina State 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411 -0.00053
Wright State North Carolina State 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464 0.00073
Wright State North Carolina State 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464 0.00073
Wright State North Carolina State 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464 0.00073
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina State 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483 0.00118
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina State 30 10 0.750 0.522 0.506 0.00173
Niagara North Carolina State 14 26 0.350 0.470 0.292 -0.00336
Alabama neutral 25 20 0.556 0.565 0.419 -0.00034
Bucknell North Carolina State 16 31 0.340 0.438 0.280 -0.00365
Fairfield North Carolina State 22 20 0.524 0.419 0.367 -0.00158
Fairfield North Carolina State 22 20 0.524 0.419 0.367 -0.00158
Boston College North Carolina State 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420 -0.00032
Boston College North Carolina State 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420 -0.00032
Boston College North Carolina State 22 17 0.564 0.552 0.420 -0.00032
Indiana State North Carolina State 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436 0.00007
Indiana State North Carolina State 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436 0.00007
Notre Dame North Carolina State 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00016
Notre Dame North Carolina State 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00016
Notre Dame North Carolina State 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00016
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 30 10 0.750 0.522 0.506 0.00173
Florida State Florida State 28 12 0.700 0.617 0.504 0.00168
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 19 26 0.422 0.544 0.347 -0.00205
Virginia Virginia 29 17 0.630 0.600 0.465 0.00076
Virginia Virginia 29 17 0.630 0.600 0.465 0.00076
Virginia Virginia 29 17 0.630 0.600 0.465 0.00076
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina State 19 26 0.422 0.544 0.347 -0.00205
Wake Forest North Carolina State 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00037
Wake Forest North Carolina State 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00037
Wake Forest North Carolina State 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00037
Elon Elon 21 23 0.477 0.503 0.364 -0.00165
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 28 14 0.667 0.565 0.475 0.00099
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 28 14 0.667 0.565 0.475 0.00099
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 28 14 0.667 0.565 0.475 0.00099
East Carolina East Carolina 27 16 0.628 0.575 0.458 0.00059
North Carolina A&T neutral 10 35 0.222 0.477 0.230 -0.00484
North Carolina A&T North Carolina State 10 35 0.222 0.477 0.230 -0.00484
East Carolina North Carolina State 27 16 0.628 0.575 0.458 0.00059
Duke North Carolina State 24 20 0.545 0.578 0.417 -0.00039
Duke North Carolina State 24 20 0.545 0.578 0.417 -0.00039
Duke North Carolina State 24 20 0.545 0.578 0.417 -0.00039

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Campbell 26.20 22 21 0.512 0.500 0.381
Coastal Carolina 143.86 31 12 0.721 0.586 0.507
Davidson 122.94 22 21 0.512 0.477 0.375
Duke 20.75 24 20 0.545 0.578 0.417
East Carolina 74.82 27 16 0.628 0.575 0.458
Elon 51.36 21 23 0.477 0.503 0.364
High Point 74.81 26 16 0.619 0.548 0.447
Liberty 111.76 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380
Longwood 105.29 25 20 0.556 0.483 0.399
North Carolina 21.97 28 15 0.651 0.591 0.473
North Carolina A&T 64.65 10 35 0.222 0.477 0.230
North Carolina Central 19.46 22 24 0.478 0.402 0.340
North Carolina-Charlotte 120.40 19 26 0.422 0.544 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 66.35 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
North Carolina-Wilmington 117.35 30 10 0.750 0.522 0.506
Radford 139.22 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Richmond 138.94 23 18 0.561 0.468 0.398
VMI 144.81 18 29 0.383 0.480 0.311
Virginia Commonwealth 140.53 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456
Virginia Tech 138.44 15 29 0.341 0.538 0.305
Wake Forest 91.08 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
William and Mary 149.86 22 22 0.500 0.533 0.383
Winthrop 144.04 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 170.98 13 31 0.295 0.501 0.273
Charleston Southern 209.24 15 26 0.366 0.480 0.303
Clemson 247.42 27 14 0.659 0.590 0.477
College of Charleston 218.14 23 19 0.548 0.556 0.413
Coppin State 256.31 11 32 0.256 0.349 0.215
Delaware State 290.84 10 32 0.238 0.444 0.230
East Tennessee State 208.97 18 24 0.429 0.424 0.321
Furman 220.30 19 24 0.442 0.549 0.358
Gardner-Webb 172.27 31 16 0.660 0.433 0.438
George Mason 223.48 15 29 0.341 0.464 0.287
George Washington 228.73 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 239.33 21 24 0.467 0.498 0.358
Georgia 295.41 22 22 0.500 0.644 0.411
Georgia Southern 292.01 26 18 0.591 0.469 0.413
James Madison 184.12 18 25 0.419 0.500 0.335
Marshall 240.18 24 17 0.585 0.523 0.423
Maryland 240.90 24 19 0.558 0.566 0.420
Maryland-Baltimore County 262.52 19 20 0.487 0.444 0.354
Maryland-Eastern Shore 235.25 14 29 0.326 0.368 0.255
Mount St. Mary's 278.59 11 29 0.275 0.366 0.229
Navy 251.48 36 11 0.766 0.410 0.485
Norfolk State 153.16 22 17 0.564 0.360 0.372
North Carolina-Asheville 218.62 14 27 0.341 0.430 0.278
Old Dominion 152.14 27 17 0.614 0.539 0.442
Presbyterian 201.91 23 21 0.523 0.467 0.378
Savannah State 293.71 10 34 0.227 0.464 0.230
South Carolina 182.83 34 9 0.791 0.585 0.542
South Carolina-Upstate 193.06 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Tennessee 294.12 24 20 0.545 0.555 0.411
The Citadel 219.55 15 29 0.341 0.496 0.294
Towson 273.72 17 28 0.378 0.483 0.310
Virginia 156.35 29 17 0.630 0.600 0.465
West Virginia 276.34 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Carolina 255.26 22 20 0.524 0.516 0.391
Wofford 191.90 26 20 0.565 0.478 0.402

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation