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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Illinois

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.521
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.477
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Minnesota neutral 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00018
Minnesota neutral 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00018
Minnesota neutral 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00018
Missouri State neutral 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00061
New Mexico New Mexico 33 16 0.673 0.492 0.460 0.00171
Missouri State neutral 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00061
Southern Illinois neutral 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00063
Southern Illinois neutral 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00063
Southern Illinois neutral 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350 -0.00063
Oregon State Oregon State 35 8 0.814 0.527 0.539 0.00339
Oregon State Oregon State 35 8 0.814 0.527 0.539 0.00339
Oregon State Oregon State 35 8 0.814 0.527 0.539 0.00339
Oregon State Oregon State 35 8 0.814 0.527 0.539 0.00339
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00315
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00315
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00315
Bradley Bradley 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 -0.00053
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 -0.00010
Buffalo neutral 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395 0.00032
Buffalo Northern Illinois 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395 0.00032
Buffalo Northern Illinois 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395 0.00032
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 -0.00021
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 -0.00021
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370 -0.00021
Valparaiso Valparaiso 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324 -0.00119
Toledo Northern Illinois 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00097
Toledo Northern Illinois 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00097
Toledo Northern Illinois 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00097
Illinois State Northern Illinois 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00132
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northern Illinois 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296 -0.00178
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00234
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00234
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00234
Bradley Bradley 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 -0.00053
Bradley Bradley 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 -0.00053
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00054
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00054
Central Michigan Northern Illinois 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00054
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northern Illinois 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296 -0.00178
Western Michigan neutral 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00106
Western Michigan neutral 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00106
Western Michigan neutral 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00106
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 -0.00010
Northwestern neutral 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00238
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00086
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00086
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00086

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 96.10 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Chicago State 62.24 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Illinois 130.22 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 98.78 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 58.36 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Iowa 144.18 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420
Northwestern 56.57 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Notre Dame 132.42 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Purdue 140.87 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Valparaiso 95.92 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Western Illinois 141.53 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 91.52 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 211.36 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bowling Green State 268.60 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Butler 198.64 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Central Michigan 232.43 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Cincinnati 296.20 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 283.42 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Illinois 172.63 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Michigan 263.96 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 281.42 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
IPFW 198.34 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Indiana 224.54 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 184.16 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Miami, Ohio 269.98 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Michigan 259.22 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 225.95 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Missouri 279.18 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353
Oakland 289.03 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Southern Illinois 293.26 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 226.32 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 240.51 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Toledo 267.85 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Western Michigan 164.60 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Wright State 288.44 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 296.71 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation