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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Notre Dame

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.541
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.529
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40275


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 20 0.487 0.521 0.374 -0.00070
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 20 0.487 0.521 0.374 -0.00070
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 20 0.487 0.521 0.374 -0.00070
Bradley neutral 16 16 0.500 0.474 0.368 -0.00085
Texas Southern neutral 13 20 0.394 0.389 0.294 -0.00265
Incarnate Word neutral 11 31 0.262 0.490 0.254 -0.00363
Gonzaga neutral 25 14 0.641 0.511 0.448 0.00110
Alabama neutral 24 19 0.558 0.563 0.420 0.00042
Bucknell neutral 16 29 0.356 0.420 0.283 -0.00292
Brown neutral 13 24 0.351 0.454 0.289 -0.00277
Niagara neutral 12 26 0.316 0.477 0.277 -0.00307
Louisville Louisville 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541 0.00337
Louisville Louisville 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541 0.00337
Louisville Louisville 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541 0.00337
Toledo Notre Dame 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00414
North Carolina State North Carolina State 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517 0.00279
North Carolina State North Carolina State 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517 0.00279
North Carolina State North Carolina State 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517 0.00279
Illinois-Chicago Notre Dame 16 23 0.410 0.462 0.321 -0.00199
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310 -0.00226
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310 -0.00226
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310 -0.00226
Oregon Notre Dame 18 17 0.514 0.527 0.389 -0.00034
Wake Forest Notre Dame 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00113
Wake Forest Notre Dame 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00113
Wake Forest Notre Dame 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449 0.00113
Michigan Notre Dame 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500 0.00237
Miami, Florida Notre Dame 29 8 0.784 0.595 0.541 0.00337
Chicago State Notre Dame 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218 -0.00451
Valparaiso Notre Dame 19 18 0.514 0.526 0.389 -0.00034
Boston College Notre Dame 21 17 0.553 0.556 0.416 0.00032
Boston College Notre Dame 21 17 0.553 0.556 0.416 0.00032
Boston College Notre Dame 21 17 0.553 0.556 0.416 0.00032
Michigan State Michigan State 28 11 0.718 0.473 0.477 0.00181
Central Michigan Notre Dame 10 31 0.244 0.502 0.247 -0.00380
Florida State Florida State 28 11 0.718 0.623 0.515 0.00274
Florida State Florida State 28 11 0.718 0.623 0.515 0.00274
Florida State Florida State 28 11 0.718 0.623 0.515 0.00274
Indiana neutral 25 16 0.610 0.465 0.421 0.00045
Eastern Michigan Notre Dame 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337 -0.00160
Ohio Notre Dame 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00197

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 110.49 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413
Bowling Green State 136.18 15 26 0.366 0.430 0.290
Butler 127.91 10 29 0.256 0.458 0.242
Central Michigan 149.32 10 31 0.244 0.502 0.247
Chicago State 71.16 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218
Eastern Michigan 138.05 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337
IPFW 70.64 17 22 0.436 0.417 0.322
Illinois-Chicago 74.12 16 23 0.410 0.462 0.321
Michigan 133.64 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500
Michigan State 114.21 28 11 0.718 0.473 0.477
Northern Illinois 132.42 16 25 0.390 0.461 0.310
Northwestern 79.58 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Purdue 94.56 7 33 0.175 0.527 0.219
Toledo 135.97 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233
Valparaiso 44.66 19 18 0.514 0.526 0.389
Western Michigan 51.80 12 25 0.324 0.478 0.281
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 130.20 17 19 0.472 0.474 0.354

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 248.24 0.000
Bradley 188.53 16 16 0.500 0.474 0.368
Cincinnati 198.95 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386
Dayton 172.09 16 28 0.364 0.472 0.300
Eastern Illinois 184.32 5 35 0.125 0.523 0.193
Eastern Kentucky 292.16 19 25 0.432 0.468 0.333
Evansville 266.20 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Illinois 152.08 21 18 0.538 0.523 0.400
Illinois State 165.74 13 28 0.317 0.486 0.280
Indiana 174.74 25 16 0.610 0.465 0.421
Indiana State 165.41 26 16 0.619 0.504 0.435
Iowa 274.84 16 20 0.444 0.575 0.366
Kent State 256.06 31 10 0.756 0.449 0.490
Kentucky 269.55 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451
Louisville 242.44 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541
Miami, Ohio 170.02 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364
Morehead State 283.89 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416
Northern Kentucky 206.39 15 28 0.349 0.462 0.290
Oakland 168.56 16 17 0.485 0.458 0.357
Ohio 271.38 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322
Ohio State 203.92 27 14 0.659 0.463 0.445
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 282.85 8 29 0.216 0.539 0.243
St. Louis 298.89 17 24 0.415 0.433 0.316
Western Illinois 247.05 11 24 0.314 0.488 0.279
Wright State 174.56 30 12 0.714 0.457 0.471
Xavier 198.56 17 26 0.395 0.519 0.327
Youngstown State 285.27 9 27 0.250 0.515 0.254

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation