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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Penn State

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:46 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.521
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.512
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3885


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Monmouth neutral 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383 -0.00010
Army neutral 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00181
Army neutral 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289 -0.00181
Bryant neutral 44 10 0.815 0.463 0.523 0.00245
South Carolina South Carolina 42 13 0.764 0.562 0.522 0.00243
South Carolina South Carolina 42 13 0.764 0.562 0.522 0.00243
South Carolina South Carolina 42 13 0.764 0.562 0.522 0.00243
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00175
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00175
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00175
Duke Duke 33 22 0.600 0.585 0.446 0.00105
New York Tech neutral 17 26 0.395 0.403 0.298 -0.00165
Princeton neutral 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404 0.00028
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385 -0.00006
Niagara Penn State 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00225
Niagara Penn State 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00225
Niagara Penn State 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00225
West Virginia Penn State 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433 0.00081
Rhode Island Penn State 27 25 0.519 0.496 0.384 -0.00008
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00043
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00043
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00043
Youngstown State Penn State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00234
Binghamton Penn State 27 23 0.540 0.476 0.389 0.00001
Purdue Penn State 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225 -0.00297
Purdue Penn State 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225 -0.00297
Purdue Penn State 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225 -0.00297
Pittsburgh Penn State 25 26 0.490 0.551 0.383 -0.00010
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279 -0.00199
Michigan State Penn State 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00108
Michigan State Penn State 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00108
Michigan State Penn State 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00108
Bucknell Penn State 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00177
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.490 0.264 -0.00226
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.490 0.264 -0.00226
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.490 0.264 -0.00226
Bucknell Penn State 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291 -0.00177
Kent State Kent State 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00195
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 -0.00017
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 -0.00017
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379 -0.00017
Kent State Penn State 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00195
Maryland Penn State 28 25 0.528 0.567 0.406 0.00032
Maryland Penn State 28 25 0.528 0.567 0.406 0.00032
Maryland Penn State 28 25 0.528 0.567 0.406 0.00032
Texas Christian Penn State 38 14 0.731 0.539 0.500 0.00203
Texas Christian Penn State 38 14 0.731 0.539 0.500 0.00203
Texas Christian Penn State 38 14 0.731 0.539 0.500 0.00203
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.551 0.383 -0.00010
Nebraska Nebraska 37 18 0.673 0.520 0.467 0.00143
Nebraska Nebraska 37 18 0.673 0.520 0.467 0.00143
Nebraska Nebraska 37 18 0.673 0.520 0.467 0.00143
Iowa Penn State 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 -0.00006
Iowa Penn State 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 -0.00006
Iowa Penn State 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385 -0.00006

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 131.53 27 23 0.540 0.476 0.389
Bucknell 51.12 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291
Coppin State 129.46 14 38 0.269 0.370 0.227
Cornell 133.17 14 22 0.389 0.449 0.307
Delaware 136.46 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411
George Mason 139.54 19 35 0.352 0.459 0.291
George Washington 141.21 23 31 0.426 0.494 0.337
Georgetown 128.57 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Lafayette 136.89 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279
Lehigh 131.64 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Maryland 134.83 28 25 0.528 0.567 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 123.75 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Mount St. Mary's 82.78 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 145.22 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477
Pittsburgh 113.70 25 26 0.490 0.551 0.383
St. Bonaventure 93.50 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374
St. Joseph's 148.31 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410
Temple 146.50 0.000
Towson 117.82 20 35 0.364 0.496 0.306
Villanova 142.89 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314
West Virginia 138.18 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.80 0.000
Albany 244.42 21 28 0.429 0.465 0.331
Army 206.84 16 32 0.333 0.492 0.289
Buffalo 158.15 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315
Canisius 154.59 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380
Central Connecticut State 271.44 23 32 0.418 0.507 0.336
Columbia 205.83 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333
Connecticut 298.28 33 22 0.600 0.517 0.429
Delaware State 165.98 13 37 0.260 0.446 0.241
Fairfield 240.81 29 24 0.547 0.430 0.381
Fairleigh Dickinson 199.95 26 26 0.500 0.412 0.353
Fordham 207.53 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367
Hartford 275.25 36 16 0.692 0.484 0.467
Hofstra 222.68 15 37 0.288 0.491 0.267
Iona 213.53 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226
James Madison 172.27 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Kent State 183.41 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
LIU Brooklyn 202.87 19 35 0.352 0.464 0.292
LaSalle 151.78 15 39 0.278 0.461 0.254
Liberty 249.35 29 27 0.518 0.524 0.390
Longwood 244.86 31 25 0.554 0.468 0.394
Manhattan 206.82 22 29 0.431 0.461 0.331
Marist 212.90 24 25 0.490 0.422 0.350
Marshall 263.25 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Maryland-Eastern Shore 213.60 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Massachusetts 295.49 18 27 0.400 0.452 0.313
Monmouth 205.14 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383
New Jersey Tech 192.78 16 36 0.308 0.480 0.274
New York Tech 222.26 17 26 0.395 0.403 0.298
Niagara 169.16 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265
Norfolk State 287.06 29 21 0.580 0.371 0.383
Ohio 247.39 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 277.71 38 17 0.691 0.489 0.468
Old Dominion 283.85 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Pennsylvania 152.25 19 22 0.463 0.437 0.341
Princeton 171.19 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404
Quinnipiac 261.60 21 31 0.404 0.459 0.317
Radford 292.03 17 38 0.309 0.540 0.289
Richmond 224.04 28 24 0.538 0.462 0.385
Rider 167.13 18 33 0.353 0.456 0.290
Rutgers 179.73 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379
Sacred Heart 244.52 29 26 0.527 0.453 0.377
Seton Hall 188.67 38 18 0.679 0.437 0.449
Siena 249.08 23 30 0.434 0.418 0.322
St. John's 212.55 27 24 0.529 0.486 0.386
St. Peter's 196.72 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Stony Brook 247.22 24 25 0.490 0.478 0.364
VMI 225.26 21 35 0.375 0.478 0.307
Virginia 194.38 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
Virginia Commonwealth 224.86 36 17 0.679 0.493 0.463
Virginia Tech 284.08 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Wagner 198.02 19 33 0.365 0.464 0.298
William and Mary 250.69 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367
Yale 257.18 18 28 0.391 0.489 0.318
Youngstown State 153.89 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation