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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Penn State

Last updated: Mon Jul 25 06:49:30 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.514
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.511
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Monmouth neutral 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 -0.00016
Army neutral 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288 -0.00176
Army neutral 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288 -0.00176
Bryant neutral 47 12 0.797 0.467 0.515 0.00237
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00211
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00211
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00211
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00159
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00159
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472 0.00159
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00090
New York Tech neutral 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298 -0.00158
Princeton neutral 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392 0.00013
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 -0.00003
Niagara Penn State 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00218
Niagara Penn State 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00218
Niagara Penn State 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00218
West Virginia Penn State 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439 0.00099
Rhode Island Penn State 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00017
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00046
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00046
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00046
Youngstown State Penn State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00229
Binghamton Penn State 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395 0.00019
Purdue Penn State 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00296
Purdue Penn State 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00296
Purdue Penn State 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00296
Pittsburgh Penn State 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00007
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278 -0.00194
Michigan State Penn State 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00108
Michigan State Penn State 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00108
Michigan State Penn State 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00108
Bucknell Penn State 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290 -0.00172
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00223
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00223
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00223
Bucknell Penn State 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290 -0.00172
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00188
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00016
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00016
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 -0.00016
Kent State Penn State 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00188
Maryland Penn State 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00035
Maryland Penn State 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00035
Maryland Penn State 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 0.00035
Texas Christian Penn State 49 18 0.731 0.564 0.506 0.00220
Texas Christian Penn State 49 18 0.731 0.564 0.506 0.00220
Texas Christian Penn State 49 18 0.731 0.564 0.506 0.00220
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00007
Nebraska Nebraska 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00106
Nebraska Nebraska 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00106
Nebraska Nebraska 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00106
Iowa Penn State 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00019
Iowa Penn State 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00019
Iowa Penn State 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395 0.00019

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 131.53 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395
Bucknell 51.12 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290
Coppin State 129.46 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Cornell 133.17 14 22 0.389 0.445 0.306
Delaware 136.46 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
George Mason 139.54 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 141.21 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 128.57 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Lafayette 136.89 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278
Lehigh 131.64 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332
Maryland 134.83 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 123.75 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Mount St. Mary's 82.78 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 145.22 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Pittsburgh 113.70 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
St. Bonaventure 93.50 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373
St. Joseph's 148.31 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408
Temple 146.50 0.000
Towson 117.82 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Villanova 142.89 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314
West Virginia 138.18 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.80 0.000
Albany 244.42 23 30 0.434 0.460 0.332
Army 206.84 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288
Buffalo 158.15 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314
Canisius 154.59 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379
Central Connecticut State 271.44 23 34 0.404 0.505 0.328
Columbia 205.83 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331
Connecticut 298.28 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430
Delaware State 165.98 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
Fairfield 240.81 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Fairleigh Dickinson 199.95 28 28 0.500 0.418 0.354
Fordham 207.53 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362
Hartford 275.25 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457
Hofstra 222.68 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266
Iona 213.53 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225
James Madison 172.27 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Kent State 183.41 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
LIU Brooklyn 202.87 19 35 0.352 0.455 0.290
LaSalle 151.78 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253
Liberty 249.35 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 244.86 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Manhattan 206.82 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333
Marist 212.90 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Marshall 263.25 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Maryland-Eastern Shore 213.60 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Massachusetts 295.49 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313
Monmouth 205.14 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376
New Jersey Tech 192.78 16 36 0.308 0.476 0.273
New York Tech 222.26 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298
Niagara 169.16 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265
Norfolk State 287.06 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
Ohio 247.39 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 277.71 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Old Dominion 283.85 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Pennsylvania 152.25 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340
Princeton 171.19 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392
Quinnipiac 261.60 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316
Radford 292.03 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 224.04 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Rider 167.13 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289
Rutgers 179.73 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Sacred Heart 244.52 30 28 0.517 0.460 0.373
Seton Hall 188.67 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438
Siena 249.08 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325
St. John's 212.55 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382
St. Peter's 196.72 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202
Stony Brook 247.22 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369
VMI 225.26 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 194.38 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 224.86 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
Virginia Tech 284.08 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wagner 198.02 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296
William and Mary 250.69 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Yale 257.18 18 28 0.391 0.484 0.317
Youngstown State 153.89 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation