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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Penn State

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.454
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.501
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00049
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00049
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00049
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00076
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00076
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00076
Hofstra neutral 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339 -0.00031
Hofstra neutral 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339 -0.00031
Hofstra neutral 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339 -0.00031
St. Mary's St. Mary's 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00194
St. Mary's St. Mary's 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00194
St. Mary's St. Mary's 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269 -0.00194
Fresno State Fresno State 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391 0.00090
Fresno State Fresno State 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391 0.00090
Santa Clara Santa Clara 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357 0.00011
Santa Clara Santa Clara 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357 0.00011
Santa Clara Santa Clara 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357 0.00011
New York Tech Penn State 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161 -0.00445
New York Tech Penn State 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161 -0.00445
Bucknell Penn State 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416 0.00148
Bucknell Penn State 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416 0.00148
Bucknell Bucknell 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416 0.00148
Bucknell Bucknell 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416 0.00148
Northwestern Penn State 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00196
Northwestern Penn State 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00196
Youngstown State Penn State 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00263
Purdue Purdue 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00175
Purdue Purdue 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00175
Purdue Purdue 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00175
West Virginia Penn State 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446 0.00218
Ohio State Ohio State 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00130
Ohio State Ohio State 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00130
Ohio State Ohio State 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408 0.00130
Illinois Penn State 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00190
Illinois Penn State 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00190
Illinois Penn State 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00190
Kent State Kent State 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420 0.00158
Minnesota Minnesota 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00083
Minnesota Minnesota 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00083
Minnesota Minnesota 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00083
Nebraska Nebraska 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00248
Nebraska Nebraska 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00248
Nebraska Nebraska 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00248

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 131.53 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361
Bucknell 51.12 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416
Coppin State 129.46 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Cornell 133.17 18 21 0.462 0.442 0.342
Delaware 136.46 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
George Mason 139.54 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 141.21 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 128.57 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Lafayette 136.89 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 131.64 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Maryland 134.83 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 123.75 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Mount St. Mary's 82.78 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 145.22 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Pittsburgh 113.70 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
St. Bonaventure 93.50 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262
St. Joseph's 148.31 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
Temple 146.50 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Towson 117.82 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Villanova 142.89 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281
West Virginia 138.18 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.80 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Albany 244.42 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235
Army 206.84 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443
Buffalo 158.15 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395
Canisius 154.59 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457
Central Connecticut State 271.44 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391
Columbia 205.83 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Connecticut 298.28 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371
Delaware State 165.98 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
Fairfield 240.81 26 19 0.578 0.451 0.402
Fairleigh Dickinson 199.95 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Fordham 207.53 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341
Hartford 275.25 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
Hofstra 222.68 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339
Iona 213.53 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257
James Madison 172.27 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Kent State 183.41 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
LIU Brooklyn 202.87 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372
LaSalle 151.78 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Liberty 249.35 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 244.86 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Manhattan 206.82 13 29 0.310 0.458 0.270
Marist 212.90 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259
Marshall 263.25 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland-Eastern Shore 213.60 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Massachusetts 295.49 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264
Monmouth 205.14 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350
New Jersey Tech 192.78 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
New York Tech 222.26 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161
Niagara 169.16 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288
Norfolk State 287.06 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
Ohio 247.39 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 277.71 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Old Dominion 283.85 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Pennsylvania 152.25 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Princeton 171.19 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Quinnipiac 261.60 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305
Radford 292.03 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Richmond 224.04 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Rider 167.13 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
Rutgers 179.73 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
Sacred Heart 244.52 22 22 0.500 0.513 0.378
Seton Hall 188.67 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
Siena 249.08 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300
St. John's 212.55 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
St. Peter's 196.72 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Stony Brook 247.22 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434
VMI 225.26 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 194.38 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 224.86 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
Virginia Tech 284.08 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wagner 198.02 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291
William and Mary 250.69 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Yale 257.18 18 22 0.450 0.446 0.337
Youngstown State 153.89 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation