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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Penn State
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:12 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.514 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.511 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.38475 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Monmouth | neutral | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 | -0.00016 |
Army | neutral | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.485 | 0.288 | -0.00176 |
Army | neutral | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.485 | 0.288 | -0.00176 |
Bryant | neutral | 47 | 12 | 0.797 | 0.467 | 0.515 | 0.00237 |
South Carolina | South Carolina | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00211 |
South Carolina | South Carolina | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00211 |
South Carolina | South Carolina | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00211 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | North Carolina-Wilmington | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00159 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | North Carolina-Wilmington | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00159 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | North Carolina-Wilmington | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00159 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00090 |
New York Tech | neutral | 17 | 26 | 0.395 | 0.404 | 0.298 | -0.00158 |
Princeton | neutral | 24 | 21 | 0.533 | 0.500 | 0.392 | 0.00013 |
Richmond | Richmond | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | -0.00003 |
Niagara | Penn State | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 | -0.00218 |
Niagara | Penn State | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 | -0.00218 |
Niagara | Penn State | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 | -0.00218 |
West Virginia | Penn State | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 | 0.00099 |
Rhode Island | Penn State | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.507 | 0.394 | 0.00017 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00046 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00046 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00046 |
Youngstown State | Penn State | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 | -0.00229 |
Binghamton | Penn State | 30 | 25 | 0.545 | 0.488 | 0.395 | 0.00019 |
Purdue | Penn State | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 | -0.00296 |
Purdue | Penn State | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 | -0.00296 |
Purdue | Penn State | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 | -0.00296 |
Pittsburgh | Penn State | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 | -0.00007 |
Lafayette | Lafayette | 14 | 29 | 0.326 | 0.460 | 0.278 | -0.00194 |
Michigan State | Penn State | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00108 |
Michigan State | Penn State | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00108 |
Michigan State | Penn State | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00108 |
Bucknell | Penn State | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.468 | 0.290 | -0.00172 |
Northwestern | Northwestern | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00223 |
Northwestern | Northwestern | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00223 |
Northwestern | Northwestern | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 | -0.00223 |
Bucknell | Penn State | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.468 | 0.290 | -0.00172 |
Kent State | Kent State | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 | 0.00188 |
Rutgers | Rutgers | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 | -0.00016 |
Rutgers | Rutgers | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 | -0.00016 |
Rutgers | Rutgers | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 | -0.00016 |
Kent State | Penn State | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 | 0.00188 |
Maryland | Penn State | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | 0.00035 |
Maryland | Penn State | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | 0.00035 |
Maryland | Penn State | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 | 0.00035 |
Texas Christian | Penn State | 49 | 18 | 0.731 | 0.564 | 0.506 | 0.00220 |
Texas Christian | Penn State | 49 | 18 | 0.731 | 0.564 | 0.506 | 0.00220 |
Texas Christian | Penn State | 49 | 18 | 0.731 | 0.564 | 0.506 | 0.00220 |
Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 | -0.00007 |
Nebraska | Nebraska | 37 | 22 | 0.627 | 0.517 | 0.443 | 0.00106 |
Nebraska | Nebraska | 37 | 22 | 0.627 | 0.517 | 0.443 | 0.00106 |
Nebraska | Nebraska | 37 | 22 | 0.627 | 0.517 | 0.443 | 0.00106 |
Iowa | Penn State | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 | 0.00019 |
Iowa | Penn State | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 | 0.00019 |
Iowa | Penn State | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 | 0.00019 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Binghamton | 131.53 | 30 | 25 | 0.545 | 0.488 | 0.395 |
Bucknell | 51.12 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.468 | 0.290 |
Coppin State | 129.46 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 |
Cornell | 133.17 | 14 | 22 | 0.389 | 0.445 | 0.306 |
Delaware | 136.46 | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 0.475 | 0.411 |
George Mason | 139.54 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 |
George Washington | 141.21 | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 |
Georgetown | 128.57 | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 |
Lafayette | 136.89 | 14 | 29 | 0.326 | 0.460 | 0.278 |
Lehigh | 131.64 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.443 | 0.332 |
Maryland | 134.83 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 123.75 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Mount St. Mary's | 82.78 | 11 | 37 | 0.229 | 0.434 | 0.223 |
Navy | 145.22 | 42 | 16 | 0.724 | 0.424 | 0.468 |
Pittsburgh | 113.70 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
St. Bonaventure | 93.50 | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 |
St. Joseph's | 148.31 | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 |
Temple | 146.50 | 0.000 | ||||
Towson | 117.82 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 |
Villanova | 142.89 | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.484 | 0.314 |
West Virginia | 138.18 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Akron | 191.80 | 0.000 | ||||
Albany | 244.42 | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.460 | 0.332 |
Army | 206.84 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.485 | 0.288 |
Buffalo | 158.15 | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.449 | 0.314 |
Canisius | 154.59 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 |
Central Connecticut State | 271.44 | 23 | 34 | 0.404 | 0.505 | 0.328 |
Columbia | 205.83 | 17 | 24 | 0.415 | 0.493 | 0.331 |
Connecticut | 298.28 | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 |
Delaware State | 165.98 | 13 | 37 | 0.260 | 0.442 | 0.240 |
Fairfield | 240.81 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | 199.95 | 28 | 28 | 0.500 | 0.418 | 0.354 |
Fordham | 207.53 | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.450 | 0.362 |
Hartford | 275.25 | 37 | 18 | 0.673 | 0.483 | 0.457 |
Hofstra | 222.68 | 15 | 37 | 0.288 | 0.488 | 0.266 |
Iona | 213.53 | 11 | 39 | 0.220 | 0.460 | 0.225 |
James Madison | 172.27 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.506 | 0.345 |
Kent State | 183.41 | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 |
LIU Brooklyn | 202.87 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.455 | 0.290 |
LaSalle | 151.78 | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 |
Liberty | 249.35 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Longwood | 244.86 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 |
Manhattan | 206.82 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.460 | 0.333 |
Marist | 212.90 | 24 | 27 | 0.471 | 0.424 | 0.341 |
Marshall | 263.25 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 213.60 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 0.259 |
Massachusetts | 295.49 | 18 | 27 | 0.400 | 0.453 | 0.313 |
Monmouth | 205.14 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 |
New Jersey Tech | 192.78 | 16 | 36 | 0.308 | 0.476 | 0.273 |
New York Tech | 222.26 | 17 | 26 | 0.395 | 0.404 | 0.298 |
Niagara | 169.16 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 |
Norfolk State | 287.06 | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 |
Ohio | 247.39 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Ohio State | 277.71 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 |
Old Dominion | 283.85 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 |
Pennsylvania | 152.25 | 19 | 22 | 0.463 | 0.434 | 0.340 |
Princeton | 171.19 | 24 | 21 | 0.533 | 0.500 | 0.392 |
Quinnipiac | 261.60 | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.456 | 0.316 |
Radford | 292.03 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Richmond | 224.04 | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 |
Rider | 167.13 | 18 | 33 | 0.353 | 0.450 | 0.289 |
Rutgers | 179.73 | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 |
Sacred Heart | 244.52 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.460 | 0.373 |
Seton Hall | 188.67 | 38 | 20 | 0.655 | 0.440 | 0.438 |
Siena | 249.08 | 25 | 32 | 0.439 | 0.422 | 0.325 |
St. John's | 212.55 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.490 | 0.382 |
St. Peter's | 196.72 | 10 | 42 | 0.192 | 0.424 | 0.202 |
Stony Brook | 247.22 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.478 | 0.369 |
VMI | 225.26 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Virginia | 194.38 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.576 | 0.461 |
Virginia Commonwealth | 224.86 | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 |
Virginia Tech | 284.08 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
Wagner | 198.02 | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 |
William and Mary | 250.69 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 |
Yale | 257.18 | 18 | 28 | 0.391 | 0.484 | 0.317 |
Youngstown State | 153.89 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |