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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Penn State

Last updated: Fri May 6 06:57:31 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.512
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.510
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3835


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Monmouth neutral 23 20 0.535 0.463 0.383 -0.00001
Army neutral 16 30 0.348 0.489 0.296 -0.00194
Army neutral 16 30 0.348 0.489 0.296 -0.00194
Bryant neutral 33 8 0.805 0.490 0.525 0.00314
South Carolina South Carolina 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542 0.00352
South Carolina South Carolina 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542 0.00352
South Carolina South Carolina 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542 0.00352
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 31 10 0.756 0.515 0.507 0.00274
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 31 10 0.756 0.515 0.507 0.00274
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 31 10 0.756 0.515 0.507 0.00274
Duke Duke 25 20 0.556 0.582 0.423 0.00088
New York Tech neutral 17 24 0.415 0.407 0.309 -0.00166
Princeton neutral 22 18 0.550 0.515 0.404 0.00046
Richmond Richmond 23 19 0.548 0.469 0.391 0.00017
Niagara Penn State 15 26 0.366 0.457 0.297 -0.00192
Niagara Penn State 15 26 0.366 0.457 0.297 -0.00192
Niagara Penn State 15 26 0.366 0.457 0.297 -0.00192
West Virginia Penn State 24 19 0.558 0.498 0.404 0.00046
Rhode Island Penn State 19 22 0.463 0.524 0.363 -0.00046
Illinois Illinois 23 19 0.548 0.532 0.407 0.00052
Illinois Illinois 23 19 0.548 0.532 0.407 0.00052
Illinois Illinois 23 19 0.548 0.532 0.407 0.00052
Youngstown State Penn State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00268
Binghamton Penn State 20 20 0.500 0.488 0.372 -0.00026
Purdue Penn State 7 34 0.171 0.539 0.220 -0.00363
Purdue Penn State 7 34 0.171 0.539 0.220 -0.00363
Purdue Penn State 7 34 0.171 0.539 0.220 -0.00363
Pittsburgh Penn State 22 18 0.550 0.554 0.414 0.00068
Lafayette Lafayette 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279 -0.00232
Michigan State Penn State 30 11 0.732 0.489 0.488 0.00232
Michigan State Penn State 30 11 0.732 0.489 0.488 0.00232
Michigan State Penn State 30 11 0.732 0.489 0.488 0.00232
Bucknell Penn State 17 32 0.347 0.452 0.286 -0.00217
Northwestern Northwestern 10 33 0.233 0.497 0.241 -0.00317
Northwestern Northwestern 10 33 0.233 0.497 0.241 -0.00317
Northwestern Northwestern 10 33 0.233 0.497 0.241 -0.00317
Bucknell Penn State 17 32 0.347 0.452 0.286 -0.00217
Kent State Kent State 32 11 0.744 0.452 0.485 0.00226
Rutgers Rutgers 23 22 0.511 0.560 0.396 0.00028
Rutgers Rutgers 23 22 0.511 0.560 0.396 0.00028
Rutgers Rutgers 23 22 0.511 0.560 0.396 0.00028
Kent State Penn State 32 11 0.744 0.452 0.485 0.00226
Maryland Penn State 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420 0.00081
Maryland Penn State 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420 0.00081
Maryland Penn State 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420 0.00081

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Binghamton 131.53 20 20 0.500 0.488 0.372
Bucknell 51.12 17 32 0.347 0.452 0.286
Coppin State 129.46 11 33 0.250 0.362 0.215
Cornell 133.17 14 22 0.389 0.451 0.307
Delaware 136.46 26 18 0.591 0.457 0.410
George Mason 139.54 15 29 0.341 0.464 0.287
George Washington 141.21 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 128.57 22 24 0.478 0.494 0.362
Lafayette 136.89 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279
Lehigh 131.64 21 27 0.438 0.438 0.329
Maryland 134.83 24 19 0.558 0.564 0.420
Maryland-Baltimore County 123.75 20 20 0.500 0.449 0.362
Mount St. Mary's 82.78 11 29 0.275 0.369 0.230
Navy 145.22 37 12 0.755 0.410 0.480
Pittsburgh 113.70 22 18 0.550 0.554 0.414
St. Bonaventure 93.50 21 18 0.538 0.392 0.367
St. Joseph's 148.31 22 18 0.550 0.486 0.397
Temple 146.50 0.000
Towson 117.82 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
Villanova 142.89 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298
West Virginia 138.18 24 19 0.558 0.498 0.404

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 191.80 0.000
Albany 244.42 17 22 0.436 0.470 0.336
Army 206.84 16 30 0.348 0.489 0.296
Buffalo 158.15 14 26 0.350 0.460 0.290
Canisius 154.59 25 21 0.543 0.417 0.376
Central Connecticut State 271.44 18 24 0.429 0.478 0.334
Columbia 205.83 17 24 0.415 0.486 0.329
Connecticut 298.28 24 19 0.558 0.522 0.410
Delaware State 165.98 11 33 0.250 0.452 0.238
Fairfield 240.81 22 21 0.512 0.418 0.360
Fairleigh Dickinson 199.95 21 23 0.477 0.422 0.344
Fordham 207.53 23 23 0.500 0.440 0.360
Hartford 275.25 28 13 0.683 0.483 0.462
Hofstra 222.68 13 30 0.302 0.503 0.277
Iona 213.53 8 32 0.200 0.470 0.217
James Madison 172.27 18 26 0.409 0.502 0.330
Kent State 183.41 32 11 0.744 0.452 0.485
LIU Brooklyn 202.87 13 28 0.317 0.426 0.265
LaSalle 151.78 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259
Liberty 249.35 22 23 0.489 0.524 0.376
Longwood 244.86 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398
Manhattan 206.82 15 27 0.357 0.500 0.303
Marist 212.90 19 21 0.475 0.430 0.345
Marshall 263.25 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Maryland-Eastern Shore 213.60 15 30 0.333 0.378 0.261
Massachusetts 295.49 13 20 0.394 0.436 0.306
Monmouth 205.14 23 20 0.535 0.463 0.383
New Jersey Tech 192.78 16 26 0.381 0.451 0.303
New York Tech 222.26 17 24 0.415 0.407 0.309
Niagara 169.16 15 26 0.366 0.457 0.297
Norfolk State 287.06 24 18 0.571 0.357 0.375
Ohio 247.39 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346
Ohio State 277.71 29 15 0.659 0.454 0.443
Old Dominion 283.85 27 17 0.614 0.538 0.442
Pennsylvania 152.25 19 22 0.463 0.431 0.339
Princeton 171.19 22 18 0.550 0.515 0.404
Quinnipiac 261.60 17 26 0.395 0.432 0.305
Radford 292.03 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Richmond 224.04 23 19 0.548 0.469 0.391
Rider 167.13 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289
Rutgers 179.73 23 22 0.511 0.560 0.396
Sacred Heart 244.52 22 19 0.537 0.486 0.390
Seton Hall 188.67 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456
Siena 249.08 15 27 0.357 0.447 0.290
St. John's 212.55 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383
St. Peter's 196.72 8 33 0.195 0.438 0.207
Stony Brook 247.22 20 20 0.500 0.481 0.370
VMI 225.26 18 30 0.375 0.478 0.307
Virginia 194.38 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473
Virginia Commonwealth 224.86 30 16 0.652 0.494 0.450
Virginia Tech 284.08 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298
Wagner 198.02 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274
William and Mary 250.69 22 22 0.500 0.532 0.383
Yale 257.18 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312
Youngstown State 153.89 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation