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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Richmond

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.482
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.472
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.359


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
St. John's neutral 21 16 0.568 0.432 0.392 0.00087
Western Carolina neutral 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390 0.00082
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501 0.00374
St. Peter's Richmond 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190 -0.00445
Maryland-Eastern Shore Richmond 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256 -0.00271
St. Peter's Richmond 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190 -0.00445
Maryland-Eastern Shore Richmond 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256 -0.00271
VMI Richmond 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322 -0.00097
St. Peter's neutral 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190 -0.00445
Harvard neutral 16 21 0.432 0.454 0.330 -0.00076
Towson neutral 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296 -0.00166
Wake Forest Wake Forest 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449 0.00237
College of Charleston College of Charleston 22 17 0.564 0.579 0.427 0.00179
The Citadel The Citadel 15 27 0.357 0.505 0.305 -0.00142
New York Tech Richmond 17 21 0.447 0.400 0.324 -0.00092
Penn State Richmond 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413 0.00142
Princeton Richmond 19 17 0.528 0.521 0.394 0.00092
Maryland-Baltimore County Richmond 19 18 0.514 0.435 0.366 0.00018
Miami, Ohio Richmond 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 0.00024
Miami, Ohio Richmond 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 0.00024
William and Mary William and Mary 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373 0.00037
St. Joseph's Richmond 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412 0.00139
St. Joseph's Richmond 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412 0.00139
St. Joseph's Richmond 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412 0.00139
James Madison Richmond 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333 -0.00068
Fordham Fordham 22 21 0.512 0.449 0.368 0.00024
Fordham Fordham 22 21 0.512 0.449 0.368 0.00024
Fordham Fordham 22 21 0.512 0.449 0.368 0.00024
St. Louis Richmond 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308 -0.00134
St. Louis Richmond 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308 -0.00134
St. Louis Richmond 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308 -0.00134
Davidson Richmond 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377 0.00047
Davidson Richmond 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377 0.00047
Davidson Richmond 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377 0.00047
Liberty Richmond 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380 0.00055
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00255
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00255
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456 0.00255
George Mason George Mason 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271 -0.00232

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 117.63 9 31 0.225 0.352 0.201
Duke 134.04 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428
East Carolina 137.51 26 15 0.634 0.575 0.461
Elon 148.81 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364
George Mason 87.62 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271
George Washington 91.06 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343
Georgetown 102.56 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347
James Madison 94.24 17 24 0.415 0.501 0.333
Liberty 91.23 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Longwood 50.89 24 18 0.571 0.479 0.405
Maryland 102.71 22 18 0.550 0.569 0.417
Maryland-Baltimore County 123.97 19 18 0.514 0.435 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 110.21 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256
Mount St. Mary's 145.47 9 27 0.250 0.366 0.216
Navy 112.60 34 11 0.756 0.418 0.482
Norfolk State 86.66 20 17 0.541 0.360 0.361
North Carolina 142.38 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474
North Carolina Central 132.39 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329
North Carolina State 138.94 29 11 0.725 0.602 0.513
Old Dominion 83.07 25 16 0.610 0.543 0.441
Towson 135.13 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296
VMI 104.87 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Virginia 62.14 27 17 0.614 0.595 0.456
Virginia Commonwealth 4.27 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456
William and Mary 48.64 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 248.07 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Bucknell 235.65 16 29 0.356 0.420 0.283
Campbell 163.85 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382
Coastal Carolina 277.62 31 11 0.738 0.589 0.516
Columbia 299.08 14 23 0.378 0.480 0.309
Davidson 232.59 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377
Delaware 173.53 24 16 0.600 0.451 0.413
Delaware State 154.86 10 30 0.250 0.437 0.234
East Tennessee State 280.34 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Fairleigh Dickinson 296.68 19 21 0.475 0.437 0.347
Fordham 299.60 22 21 0.512 0.449 0.368
Gardner-Webb 280.53 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453
High Point 175.28 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448
LIU Brooklyn 287.51 11 26 0.297 0.450 0.261
LaSalle 212.99 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256
Lafayette 250.73 13 26 0.333 0.468 0.284
Lehigh 238.30 19 26 0.422 0.434 0.320
Marshall 228.70 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Monmouth 266.05 20 20 0.500 0.463 0.366
New Jersey Tech 283.73 15 23 0.395 0.443 0.308
North Carolina A&T 161.31 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236
North Carolina-Charlotte 237.04 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349
North Carolina-Greensboro 163.40 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495
North Carolina-Wilmington 232.66 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501
Ohio 274.97 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Penn State 224.04 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413
Pennsylvania 206.62 18 19 0.486 0.429 0.350
Pittsburgh 236.98 21 14 0.600 0.554 0.439
Princeton 246.39 19 17 0.528 0.521 0.394
Radford 167.44 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
Rider 239.65 13 25 0.342 0.489 0.293
Rutgers 262.89 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396
Seton Hall 280.81 30 12 0.714 0.438 0.466
St. John's 295.85 21 16 0.568 0.432 0.392
St. Joseph's 207.76 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412
St. Peter's 285.25 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190
Temple 218.71 0.000
Villanova 213.50 15 25 0.375 0.483 0.308
Virginia Tech 160.17 14 28 0.333 0.538 0.301
Wagner 281.72 11 26 0.297 0.454 0.262
Wake Forest 180.22 27 17 0.614 0.566 0.449
West Virginia 194.68 21 18 0.538 0.501 0.394
Winthrop 265.72 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation