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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for South Alabama

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:12 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.525
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.516
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3915


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Evansville South Alabama 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 -0.00018
Evansville South Alabama 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 -0.00018
Evansville South Alabama 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380 -0.00018
Alabama State South Alabama 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00088
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00002
Western Kentucky neutral 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355 -0.00057
Cincinnati neutral 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00038
Southern Mississippi South Alabama 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474 0.00129
Southern Mississippi neutral 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474 0.00129
Middle Tennessee State South Alabama 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317 -0.00116
Middle Tennessee State South Alabama 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317 -0.00116
Middle Tennessee State South Alabama 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317 -0.00116
Mississippi State Mississippi State 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497 0.00165
Arkansas-Little Rock South Alabama 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00030
Arkansas-Little Rock South Alabama 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00030
Arkansas-Little Rock South Alabama 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00030
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00104
Texas-Arlington South Alabama 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00001
Texas-Arlington South Alabama 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00001
Texas-Arlington South Alabama 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00001
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00023
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00012
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00012
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.487 0.384 -0.00012
Nicholls State neutral 26 30 0.464 0.487 0.354 -0.00059
Louisiana-Monroe South Alabama 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00113
Louisiana-Monroe South Alabama 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00113
Louisiana-Monroe South Alabama 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00113
Alabama State Alabama State 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00088
New Orleans South Alabama 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00023
Arkansas State South Alabama 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 -0.00016
Arkansas State South Alabama 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 -0.00016
Arkansas State South Alabama 29 29 0.500 0.525 0.381 -0.00016
Southeastern Louisiana South Alabama 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00104
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00159
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00159
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00159
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00034
Southern South Alabama 10 31 0.244 0.416 0.226 -0.00259
Southern South Alabama 10 31 0.244 0.416 0.226 -0.00259
Southern South Alabama 10 31 0.244 0.416 0.226 -0.00259
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00071
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00085
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00085
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337 -0.00085
Jacksonville State South Alabama 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00046
Jacksonville State South Alabama 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00046
Georgia Southern South Alabama 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00054
Georgia Southern South Alabama 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00054
Georgia Southern South Alabama 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00054
Louisiana-Lafayette South Alabama 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00135
Louisiana-Lafayette South Alabama 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00135
Louisiana-Lafayette South Alabama 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478 0.00135
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00024
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00024
Troy Troy 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407 0.00024
Texas-Arlington neutral 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00001
Arkansas-Little Rock neutral 26 28 0.481 0.527 0.372 -0.00030
Texas-Arlington neutral 30 28 0.517 0.533 0.392 0.00001
Georgia Southern neutral 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426 0.00054
Southern Mississippi neutral 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474 0.00129
Alabama State neutral 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00088
Florida State neutral 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00132
Southern Mississippi neutral 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474 0.00129

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
New Orleans 120.08 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406
Southeastern Louisiana 136.54 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458
Southern Mississippi 81.47 41 20 0.672 0.553 0.474
Tulane 126.15 41 21 0.661 0.532 0.464

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 177.77 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413
Alabama A&M 297.57 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Alabama State 160.56 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448
Alabama-Birmingham 210.55 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329
Alcorn State 192.60 13 36 0.265 0.413 0.236
Auburn 206.16 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346
Florida A&M 232.40 31 21 0.596 0.476 0.417
Florida State 231.50 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476
Grambling State 294.85 17 27 0.386 0.392 0.291
Jackson State 162.52 25 26 0.490 0.361 0.335
Jacksonville State 258.20 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
Louisiana State 179.74 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491
Louisiana Tech 291.90 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467
Louisiana-Lafayette 232.08 43 21 0.672 0.568 0.478
Louisiana-Monroe 261.28 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319
Mississippi 265.43 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492
Mississippi State 194.79 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497
Nicholls State 168.31 26 30 0.464 0.487 0.354
Northwestern State 299.08 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425
Samford 208.05 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410
Southern 178.75 10 31 0.244 0.416 0.226
Troy 152.40 32 26 0.552 0.522 0.407

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation