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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Southern California

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.559
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.540
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4145


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Towson Southern California 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00356
Towson Southern California 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00356
Towson Southern California 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00356
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413 -0.00004
Kentucky Southern California 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00069
Oakland Southern California 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00414
Oakland Southern California 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00414
Oakland Southern California 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00414
Fresno State Fresno State 21 21 0.500 0.595 0.399 -0.00039
Fordham Southern California 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331 -0.00209
Fordham Southern California 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331 -0.00209
Fordham Southern California 16 24 0.400 0.524 0.331 -0.00209
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00269
Texas Christian Southern California 31 8 0.795 0.519 0.527 0.00281
Vanderbilt Southern California 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499 0.00211
UCLA neutral 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00299
UC Irvine UC Irvine 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434 0.00049
Washington State Southern California 22 18 0.550 0.512 0.403 -0.00029
Washington State Southern California 22 18 0.550 0.512 0.403 -0.00029
Washington State Southern California 22 18 0.550 0.512 0.403 -0.00029
Fresno State Southern California 21 21 0.500 0.595 0.399 -0.00039
Cal Poly Cal Poly 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365 -0.00124
Cal Poly Cal Poly 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365 -0.00124
Cal Poly Cal Poly 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365 -0.00124
Pepperdine Southern California 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384 -0.00076
Washington Washington 23 16 0.590 0.539 0.430 0.00039
Washington Washington 23 16 0.590 0.539 0.430 0.00039
Washington Washington 23 16 0.590 0.539 0.430 0.00039
Arizona Arizona 24 15 0.615 0.495 0.431 0.00041
Arizona Arizona 24 15 0.615 0.495 0.431 0.00041
Arizona Arizona 24 15 0.615 0.495 0.431 0.00041
UC Santa Barbara Southern California 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522 0.00269
UCLA Southern California 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00299
UCLA Southern California 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00299
UCLA Southern California 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00299
Pepperdine Pepperdine 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384 -0.00076
Oregon Southern California 23 19 0.548 0.523 0.405 -0.00024
Oregon Southern California 23 19 0.548 0.523 0.405 -0.00024
Oregon Southern California 23 19 0.548 0.523 0.405 -0.00024
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00116
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00116
Oregon State Oregon State 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00116

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 102.53 24 15 0.615 0.465 0.424
Cal State Fullerton 25.04 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413
Cal State Northridge 20.39 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451
Long Beach State 19.09 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424
Loyola Marymount 8.75 26 16 0.619 0.486 0.431
Pepperdine 24.14 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384
San Diego 107.29 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
San Diego State 111.07 27 16 0.628 0.511 0.442
UC Irvine 36.15 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434
UC Riverside 51.98 12 27 0.308 0.514 0.282
UC Santa Barbara 93.35 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522
UCLA 10.01 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal Poly 161.50 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365
Fresno State 209.65 21 21 0.500 0.595 0.399
Nevada-Las Vegas 228.82 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation