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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Southern California

Last updated: Mon Jul 25 06:49:30 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.552
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.535
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Dakota Southern California 7 37 0.159 0.447 0.191 -0.00391
North Dakota Southern California 7 37 0.159 0.447 0.191 -0.00391
North Dakota Southern California 7 37 0.159 0.447 0.191 -0.00391
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 26 27 0.491 0.507 0.372 -0.00067
Wake Forest Southern California 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00025
Wake Forest Southern California 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00025
Wake Forest Southern California 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00025
Long Beach State Long Beach State 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00074
Oklahoma Southern California 30 27 0.526 0.547 0.400 -0.00017
Mississippi State Southern California 44 18 0.710 0.570 0.497 0.00156
UCLA neutral 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364 -0.00082
Texas Christian Texas Christian 49 18 0.731 0.564 0.506 0.00172
Texas Christian Texas Christian 49 18 0.731 0.564 0.506 0.00172
Texas Christian Texas Christian 49 18 0.731 0.564 0.506 0.00172
Connecticut Southern California 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430 0.00036
California Southern California 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00033
California Southern California 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00033
California Southern California 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00033
Cal State Fullerton Southern California 36 23 0.610 0.543 0.441 0.00056
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00125
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00125
UC Santa Barbara Southern California 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00125
Loyola Marymount Southern California 26 27 0.491 0.507 0.372 -0.00067
Stanford Stanford 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416 0.00011
Stanford Stanford 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416 0.00011
Stanford Stanford 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416 0.00011
Pepperdine Southern California 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 -0.00005
Utah Southern California 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00064
Utah Southern California 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00064
Utah Southern California 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374 -0.00064
Pepperdine Pepperdine 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 -0.00005
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 -0.00021
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 -0.00021
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 -0.00021
Long Beach State Southern California 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451 0.00074
Washington State Washington State 19 35 0.352 0.548 0.313 -0.00173
Washington State Washington State 19 35 0.352 0.548 0.313 -0.00173
Washington State Washington State 19 35 0.352 0.548 0.313 -0.00173
UC Irvine Southern California 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00017
Arizona Southern California 49 24 0.671 0.575 0.479 0.00124
Arizona Southern California 49 24 0.671 0.575 0.479 0.00124
Arizona Southern California 49 24 0.671 0.575 0.479 0.00124
Washington Southern California 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00034
Washington Southern California 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00034
Washington Southern California 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00034
UCLA UCLA 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364 -0.00082
UCLA UCLA 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364 -0.00082
UCLA UCLA 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364 -0.00082
UC Irvine UC Irvine 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00017
Oregon State Southern California 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00074
Oregon State Southern California 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00074
Oregon State Southern California 35 19 0.648 0.508 0.451 0.00074
Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton 36 23 0.610 0.543 0.441 0.00056
Arizona State Arizona State 36 23 0.610 0.547 0.442 0.00058
Arizona State Arizona State 36 23 0.610 0.547 0.442 0.00058
Arizona State Arizona State 36 23 0.610 0.547 0.442 0.00058

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 102.53 19 37 0.339 0.493 0.293
Cal State Fullerton 25.04 36 23 0.610 0.543 0.441
Cal State Northridge 20.39 33 22 0.600 0.451 0.413
Long Beach State 19.09 38 22 0.633 0.537 0.451
Loyola Marymount 8.75 26 27 0.491 0.507 0.372
Pepperdine 24.14 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407
San Diego 107.29 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371
San Diego State 111.07 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312
UC Irvine 36.15 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400
UC Riverside 51.98 26 29 0.473 0.501 0.362
UC Santa Barbara 93.35 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480
UCLA 10.01 25 31 0.446 0.563 0.364

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal Poly 161.50 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403
Fresno State 209.65 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433
Nevada-Las Vegas 228.82 24 32 0.429 0.538 0.349

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation