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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Louis

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:10 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.457
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.487
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Brigham Young neutral 37 15 0.712 0.500 0.481 0.00247
Brigham Young neutral 37 15 0.712 0.500 0.481 0.00247
Brigham Young neutral 37 15 0.712 0.500 0.481 0.00247
Brigham Young neutral 37 15 0.712 0.500 0.481 0.00247
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 28 26 0.519 0.473 0.378 0.00052
Arkansas State neutral 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382 0.00060
Arkansas State neutral 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382 0.00060
Morehead State neutral 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398 0.00090
Chicago State St. Louis 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222 -0.00242
Chicago State St. Louis 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222 -0.00242
Chicago State St. Louis 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222 -0.00242
Eastern Illinois St. Louis 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00212
Purdue neutral 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225 -0.00236
Kansas Kansas 17 35 0.327 0.539 0.298 -0.00099
North Dakota neutral 7 37 0.159 0.450 0.192 -0.00299
Illinois State St. Louis 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291 -0.00112
Butler St. Louis 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00208
Butler St. Louis 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00208
Butler St. Louis 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00208
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00253
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00104
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00104
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00104
Missouri neutral 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373 0.00043
George Mason St. Louis 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00112
George Mason St. Louis 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00112
George Mason St. Louis 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291 -0.00112
Missouri State Missouri State 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440 0.00169
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 0.00064
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 0.00064
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 0.00064
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville St. Louis 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00253
Murray State St. Louis 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357 0.00013
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00117
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00117
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00117
Southeast Missouri State St. Louis 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00190
St. Joseph's St. Louis 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410 0.00113
St. Joseph's St. Louis 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410 0.00113
St. Joseph's St. Louis 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410 0.00113
Davidson St. Louis 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 0.00049
Davidson St. Louis 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 0.00049
Davidson St. Louis 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 0.00049
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451 0.00190
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463 0.00213
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463 0.00213
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463 0.00213
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00045
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00045
St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00045
George Washington St. Louis 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00027
George Washington St. Louis 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00027
George Washington St. Louis 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00027

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 145.77 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394
Eastern Illinois 124.40 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Illinois 147.03 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 145.51 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291
Missouri 115.48 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373
Southeast Missouri State 98.78 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 84.43 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 16.04 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
Western Illinois 129.34 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 280.98 26 29 0.473 0.552 0.374
Arkansas State 194.41 27 27 0.500 0.526 0.382
Arkansas-Little Rock 293.86 26 26 0.500 0.530 0.383
Austin Peay State 213.86 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426
Ball State 278.88 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Belmont 255.72 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Butler 232.87 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Central Arkansas 274.61 28 25 0.528 0.526 0.396
Chicago State 253.89 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Evansville 153.08 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
Illinois-Chicago 261.40 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345
Indiana 203.02 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Indiana State 161.80 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Iowa 220.52 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385
Kansas 271.39 17 35 0.327 0.539 0.298
Lipscomb 257.03 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Louisville 243.58 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Memphis 244.64 19 37 0.339 0.504 0.295
Middle Tennessee State 286.53 20 35 0.364 0.551 0.320
Mississippi 297.75 40 16 0.714 0.584 0.503
Missouri State 193.13 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440
Murray State 173.93 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357
Northern Illinois 240.51 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340
Northwestern 272.21 15 38 0.283 0.491 0.264
Notre Dame 298.89 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Purdue 214.94 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Tennessee-Martin 175.01 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293
Valparaiso 258.23 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Vanderbilt 254.72 41 15 0.732 0.567 0.508
Western Kentucky 235.18 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation