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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Louis
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:13 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.452 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.484 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.347 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Brigham Young | neutral | 37 | 17 | 0.685 | 0.499 | 0.467 | 0.00218 |
Brigham Young | neutral | 37 | 17 | 0.685 | 0.499 | 0.467 | 0.00218 |
Brigham Young | neutral | 37 | 17 | 0.685 | 0.499 | 0.467 | 0.00218 |
Brigham Young | neutral | 37 | 17 | 0.685 | 0.499 | 0.467 | 0.00218 |
Nebraska-Omaha | neutral | 28 | 28 | 0.500 | 0.465 | 0.366 | 0.00035 |
Arkansas State | neutral | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.525 | 0.381 | 0.00062 |
Arkansas State | neutral | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.525 | 0.381 | 0.00062 |
Morehead State | neutral | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 | 0.00084 |
Chicago State | St. Louis | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 | -0.00229 |
Chicago State | St. Louis | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 | -0.00229 |
Chicago State | St. Louis | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 | -0.00229 |
Eastern Illinois | St. Louis | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 | -0.00200 |
Purdue | neutral | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 | -0.00227 |
Kansas | Kansas | 17 | 35 | 0.327 | 0.533 | 0.297 | -0.00091 |
North Dakota | neutral | 7 | 37 | 0.159 | 0.447 | 0.191 | -0.00284 |
Illinois State | St. Louis | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 | -0.00113 |
Butler | St. Louis | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 | -0.00196 |
Butler | St. Louis | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 | -0.00196 |
Butler | St. Louis | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 | -0.00196 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 | -0.00240 |
Dayton | Dayton | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00098 |
Dayton | Dayton | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00098 |
Dayton | Dayton | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00098 |
Missouri | neutral | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 | 0.00035 |
George Mason | St. Louis | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00104 |
George Mason | St. Louis | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00104 |
George Mason | St. Louis | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 | -0.00104 |
Missouri State | Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 | 0.00176 |
Richmond | Richmond | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | 0.00065 |
Richmond | Richmond | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | 0.00065 |
Richmond | Richmond | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | 0.00065 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | St. Louis | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 | -0.00240 |
Murray State | St. Louis | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 | 0.00016 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00115 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00115 |
Illinois | Illinois | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 | 0.00115 |
Southeast Missouri State | St. Louis | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 | 0.00185 |
St. Joseph's | St. Louis | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 | 0.00111 |
St. Joseph's | St. Louis | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 | 0.00111 |
St. Joseph's | St. Louis | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 | 0.00111 |
Davidson | St. Louis | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | 0.00062 |
Davidson | St. Louis | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | 0.00062 |
Davidson | St. Louis | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | 0.00062 |
Southeast Missouri State | Southeast Missouri State | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 | 0.00185 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Virginia Commonwealth | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00198 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Virginia Commonwealth | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00198 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Virginia Commonwealth | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 | 0.00198 |
St. Bonaventure | St. Bonaventure | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 | 0.00047 |
St. Bonaventure | St. Bonaventure | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 | 0.00047 |
St. Bonaventure | St. Bonaventure | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 | 0.00047 |
George Washington | St. Louis | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00024 |
George Washington | St. Louis | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00024 |
George Washington | St. Louis | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00024 |
Fordham | neutral | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.450 | 0.362 | 0.00027 |
George Washington | neutral | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 | -0.00024 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Bradley | 145.77 | 25 | 21 | 0.543 | 0.486 | 0.393 |
Eastern Illinois | 124.40 | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 |
Illinois | 147.03 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 |
Illinois State | 145.51 | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 |
Missouri | 115.48 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.535 | 0.366 |
Southeast Missouri State | 98.78 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.506 | 0.449 |
Southern Illinois | 84.43 | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 16.04 | 9 | 40 | 0.184 | 0.493 | 0.215 |
Western Illinois | 129.34 | 13 | 35 | 0.271 | 0.486 | 0.257 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Arkansas | 280.98 | 26 | 29 | 0.473 | 0.542 | 0.372 |
Arkansas State | 194.41 | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.525 | 0.381 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | 293.86 | 26 | 28 | 0.481 | 0.527 | 0.372 |
Austin Peay State | 213.86 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Ball State | 278.88 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Belmont | 255.72 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Butler | 232.87 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 |
Central Arkansas | 274.61 | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.525 | 0.390 |
Chicago State | 253.89 | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 |
Evansville | 153.08 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.502 | 0.380 |
Illinois-Chicago | 261.40 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 |
Indiana | 203.02 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 |
Indiana State | 161.80 | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 |
Iowa | 220.52 | 27 | 26 | 0.509 | 0.560 | 0.395 |
Kansas | 271.39 | 17 | 35 | 0.327 | 0.533 | 0.297 |
Lipscomb | 257.03 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Louisville | 243.58 | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 |
Memphis | 244.64 | 22 | 39 | 0.361 | 0.505 | 0.307 |
Middle Tennessee State | 286.53 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.539 | 0.317 |
Mississippi | 297.75 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.579 | 0.492 |
Missouri State | 193.13 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.486 | 0.444 |
Murray State | 173.93 | 25 | 28 | 0.472 | 0.479 | 0.356 |
Northern Illinois | 240.51 | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 |
Northwestern | 272.21 | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 |
Notre Dame | 298.89 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 |
Purdue | 214.94 | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 |
Tennessee-Martin | 175.01 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.477 | 0.292 |
Valparaiso | 258.23 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 |
Vanderbilt | 254.72 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Western Kentucky | 235.18 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |