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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Louis

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:04 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.436
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.491
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34075


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Brigham Young neutral 30 10 0.750 0.521 0.505 0.00382
Brigham Young neutral 30 10 0.750 0.521 0.505 0.00382
Brigham Young neutral 30 10 0.750 0.521 0.505 0.00382
Brigham Young neutral 30 10 0.750 0.521 0.505 0.00382
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 22 21 0.512 0.458 0.370 0.00068
Arkansas State neutral 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 0.00052
Arkansas State neutral 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363 0.00052
Morehead State neutral 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412 0.00166
Chicago State St. Louis 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226 -0.00267
Chicago State St. Louis 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226 -0.00267
Chicago State St. Louis 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226 -0.00267
Eastern Illinois St. Louis 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191 -0.00348
Purdue neutral 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221 -0.00278
Kansas Kansas 16 24 0.400 0.517 0.329 -0.00027
North Dakota neutral 6 27 0.182 0.488 0.213 -0.00297
Illinois State St. Louis 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291 -0.00116
Butler St. Louis 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00239
Butler St. Louis 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00239
Butler St. Louis 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00239
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 30 0.231 0.527 0.247 -0.00218
Dayton Dayton 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298 -0.00099
Dayton Dayton 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298 -0.00099
Dayton Dayton 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298 -0.00099
Missouri neutral 24 21 0.533 0.560 0.407 0.00154
George Mason St. Louis 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00125
George Mason St. Louis 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00125
George Mason St. Louis 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00125
Missouri State Missouri State 28 14 0.667 0.460 0.449 0.00252
Richmond Richmond 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397 0.00131
Richmond Richmond 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397 0.00131
Richmond Richmond 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397 0.00131
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville St. Louis 9 30 0.231 0.527 0.247 -0.00218
Murray State St. Louis 20 22 0.476 0.485 0.359 0.00042
Illinois Illinois 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395 0.00126
Illinois Illinois 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395 0.00126
Illinois Illinois 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395 0.00126
Southeast Missouri State St. Louis 30 12 0.714 0.490 0.479 0.00322
St. Joseph's St. Louis 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403 0.00145
St. Joseph's St. Louis 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403 0.00145
St. Joseph's St. Louis 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403 0.00145
Davidson St. Louis 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369 0.00066
Davidson St. Louis 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369 0.00066
Davidson St. Louis 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369 0.00066
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 12 0.714 0.490 0.479 0.00322

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 145.77 17 16 0.515 0.474 0.376
Eastern Illinois 124.40 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191
Illinois 147.03 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395
Illinois State 145.51 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291
Missouri 115.48 24 21 0.533 0.560 0.407
Southeast Missouri State 98.78 30 12 0.714 0.490 0.479
Southern Illinois 84.43 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 16.04 9 30 0.231 0.527 0.247
Western Illinois 129.34 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 280.98 26 18 0.591 0.542 0.431
Arkansas State 194.41 20 23 0.465 0.521 0.363
Arkansas-Little Rock 293.86 21 20 0.512 0.527 0.388
Austin Peay State 213.86 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443
Ball State 278.88 27 18 0.600 0.437 0.409
Belmont 255.72 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391
Butler 232.87 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238
Central Arkansas 274.61 18 23 0.439 0.544 0.356
Chicago State 253.89 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226
Evansville 153.08 23 17 0.575 0.493 0.411
Illinois-Chicago 261.40 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337
Indiana 203.02 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Indiana State 161.80 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442
Iowa 220.52 17 21 0.447 0.565 0.365
Kansas 271.39 16 24 0.400 0.517 0.329
Lipscomb 257.03 23 21 0.523 0.441 0.372
Louisville 243.58 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542
Memphis 244.64 15 30 0.333 0.497 0.291
Middle Tennessee State 286.53 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Mississippi 297.75 33 12 0.733 0.595 0.515
Missouri State 193.13 28 14 0.667 0.460 0.449
Murray State 173.93 20 22 0.476 0.485 0.359
Northern Illinois 240.51 18 25 0.419 0.464 0.326
Northwestern 272.21 10 32 0.238 0.496 0.243
Notre Dame 298.89 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Purdue 214.94 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Tennessee-Martin 175.01 14 27 0.341 0.473 0.289
Valparaiso 258.23 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373
Vanderbilt 254.72 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521
Western Kentucky 235.18 24 20 0.545 0.526 0.404

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation