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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Louis

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:58 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.434
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.491
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.33975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Pittsburgh neutral 22 30 0.423 0.502 0.337 -0.00005
Iowa neutral 28 23 0.549 0.492 0.398 0.00106
Ohio State neutral 30 28 0.517 0.509 0.386 0.00084
Kansas State neutral 25 30 0.455 0.550 0.365 0.00046
Troy neutral 25 32 0.439 0.497 0.344 0.00008
Southern Mississippi neutral 35 25 0.583 0.515 0.420 0.00146
North Florida neutral 22 31 0.415 0.505 0.334 -0.00010
Memphis Memphis 30 29 0.508 0.523 0.385 0.00082
Memphis Memphis 30 29 0.508 0.523 0.385 0.00082
Memphis Memphis 30 29 0.508 0.523 0.385 0.00082

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 145.77 22 27 0.449 0.504 0.351
Eastern Illinois 124.40 21 33 0.389 0.531 0.327
Illinois 147.03 32 21 0.604 0.512 0.430
Illinois State 145.51 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409
Missouri 115.48 20 33 0.377 0.555 0.327
Southeast Missouri State 98.78 36 20 0.643 0.471 0.439
Southern Illinois 84.43 26 31 0.456 0.464 0.344
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 16.04 20 32 0.385 0.469 0.310
Western Illinois 129.34 20 31 0.392 0.477 0.315

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Arkansas 280.98 40 25 0.615 0.556 0.447
Arkansas State 194.41 32 26 0.552 0.536 0.410
Arkansas-Little Rock 293.86 25 29 0.463 0.516 0.361
Austin Peay State 213.86 23 33 0.411 0.473 0.324
Ball State 278.88 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455
Belmont 255.72 24 30 0.444 0.506 0.349
Butler 232.87 16 30 0.348 0.482 0.294
Central Arkansas 274.61 32 22 0.593 0.488 0.418
Chicago State 253.89 15 37 0.288 0.423 0.250
Evansville 153.08 33 20 0.623 0.491 0.434
Illinois-Chicago 261.40 24 27 0.471 0.412 0.338
Indiana 203.02 44 15 0.746 0.549 0.510
Indiana State 161.80 35 18 0.660 0.516 0.459
Iowa 220.52 28 23 0.549 0.492 0.398
Kansas 271.39 35 26 0.574 0.540 0.422
Lipscomb 257.03 33 28 0.541 0.490 0.393
Louisville 243.58 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507
Memphis 244.64 30 29 0.508 0.523 0.385
Middle Tennessee State 286.53 31 27 0.534 0.535 0.401
Mississippi 297.75 48 21 0.696 0.587 0.495
Missouri State 193.13 26 31 0.456 0.536 0.362
Murray State 173.93 22 28 0.440 0.469 0.337
Northern Illinois 240.51 17 36 0.321 0.517 0.290
Northwestern 272.21 17 33 0.340 0.497 0.294
Notre Dame 298.89 21 31 0.404 0.507 0.329
Purdue 214.94 13 37 0.260 0.548 0.267
Tennessee-Martin 175.01 9 42 0.176 0.477 0.207
Valparaiso 258.23 24 27 0.471 0.446 0.347
Vanderbilt 254.72 51 21 0.708 0.599 0.504
Western Kentucky 235.18 29 28 0.509 0.505 0.381

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation