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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Mary's

Last updated: Sat Jun 25 06:47:12 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.539
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.509
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Seattle St. Mary's 37 21 0.638 0.464 0.435 0.00066
Seattle St. Mary's 37 21 0.638 0.464 0.435 0.00066
Seattle St. Mary's 37 21 0.638 0.464 0.435 0.00066
Seattle St. Mary's 37 21 0.638 0.464 0.435 0.00066
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00144
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00144
Tennessee neutral 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390 -0.00012
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.468 0.353 -0.00075
Stanford Stanford 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416 0.00033
CSU Bakersfield neutral 19 37 0.339 0.494 0.293 -0.00179
Northwestern State neutral 33 24 0.579 0.542 0.425 0.00049
CSU Bakersfield neutral 19 37 0.339 0.494 0.293 -0.00179
Arizona Arizona 46 22 0.676 0.564 0.479 0.00142
Utah St. Mary's 26 29 0.473 0.551 0.374 -0.00039
Nevada St. Mary's 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00050
San Diego San Diego 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371 -0.00044
San Diego San Diego 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371 -0.00044
San Diego San Diego 27 29 0.482 0.521 0.371 -0.00044
Fresno State St. Mary's 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433 0.00062
Gonzaga St. Mary's 36 21 0.632 0.512 0.444 0.00081
Gonzaga St. Mary's 36 21 0.632 0.512 0.444 0.00081
Gonzaga St. Mary's 36 21 0.632 0.512 0.444 0.00081
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345 -0.00089
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345 -0.00089
Santa Clara Santa Clara 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345 -0.00089
Nevada Nevada 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00050
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00119
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00119
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00119
Brigham Young St. Mary's 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00121
Brigham Young St. Mary's 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00121
Brigham Young St. Mary's 37 17 0.685 0.499 0.467 0.00121
UC Davis St. Mary's 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290 -0.00184
Washington Washington 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00056
Washington Washington 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00056
Washington Washington 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00056
Washington Washington 33 23 0.589 0.538 0.429 0.00056
UC Santa Barbara St. Mary's 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480 0.00144
San Francisco St. Mary's 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00119
San Francisco St. Mary's 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00119
San Francisco St. Mary's 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328 -0.00119
Fresno State Fresno State 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433 0.00062
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 26 27 0.491 0.509 0.373 -0.00041
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 26 27 0.491 0.509 0.373 -0.00041
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 26 27 0.491 0.509 0.373 -0.00041
San Jose State St. Mary's 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280 -0.00201
Pepperdine St. Mary's 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00018
Pepperdine St. Mary's 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00018
Pepperdine St. Mary's 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00018
Portland Portland 17 37 0.315 0.508 0.284 -0.00194
Portland Portland 17 37 0.315 0.508 0.284 -0.00194
Portland Portland 17 37 0.315 0.508 0.284 -0.00194
Oregon Oregon 29 26 0.527 0.536 0.398 0.00002
Pepperdine neutral 29 24 0.547 0.534 0.407 0.00018
Gonzaga neutral 36 21 0.632 0.512 0.444 0.00081
Gonzaga neutral 36 21 0.632 0.512 0.444 0.00081
Coastal Carolina neutral 51 17 0.750 0.570 0.517 0.00207
Navy neutral 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468 0.00123

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 62.03 0.000
California 8.47 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428
Fresno State 147.66 36 22 0.621 0.489 0.433
Pacific 44.41 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328
San Francisco 18.84 22 34 0.393 0.524 0.328
San Jose State 38.42 17 39 0.304 0.512 0.280
Santa Clara 35.40 23 29 0.442 0.496 0.345
Stanford 28.34 31 23 0.574 0.515 0.416
UC Davis 52.14 17 36 0.321 0.520 0.290

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 239.73 19 37 0.339 0.494 0.293
Cal Poly 192.58 32 25 0.561 0.491 0.403
Nevada 171.16 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426
UC Santa Barbara 267.93 43 20 0.683 0.554 0.480

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation