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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. Mary's

Last updated: Tue May 3 06:55:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.544
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.520
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.402


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Seattle St. Mary's 28 15 0.651 0.472 0.444 0.00102
Seattle St. Mary's 28 15 0.651 0.472 0.444 0.00102
Seattle St. Mary's 28 15 0.651 0.472 0.444 0.00102
Seattle St. Mary's 28 15 0.651 0.472 0.444 0.00102
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara 29 10 0.744 0.559 0.512 0.00268
Central Michigan neutral 11 32 0.256 0.497 0.252 -0.00366
Tennessee neutral 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405 0.00007
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 21 20 0.512 0.478 0.376 -0.00063
Stanford Stanford 20 18 0.526 0.540 0.398 -0.00010
CSU Bakersfield neutral 9 33 0.214 0.545 0.243 -0.00388
Northwestern State neutral 25 18 0.581 0.562 0.431 0.00071
CSU Bakersfield neutral 9 33 0.214 0.545 0.243 -0.00388
Arizona Arizona 28 16 0.636 0.550 0.456 0.00132
Utah St. Mary's 16 23 0.410 0.560 0.345 -0.00139
Nevada St. Mary's 23 20 0.535 0.481 0.388 -0.00034
San Diego San Diego 23 24 0.489 0.535 0.378 -0.00059
San Diego San Diego 23 24 0.489 0.535 0.378 -0.00059
San Diego San Diego 23 24 0.489 0.535 0.378 -0.00059
Fresno State St. Mary's 29 16 0.644 0.506 0.449 0.00115
Gonzaga St. Mary's 25 15 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00093
Gonzaga St. Mary's 25 15 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00093
Gonzaga St. Mary's 25 15 0.625 0.509 0.440 0.00093
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 22 0.463 0.513 0.360 -0.00102
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 22 0.463 0.513 0.360 -0.00102
Santa Clara Santa Clara 19 22 0.463 0.513 0.360 -0.00102
Nevada Nevada 23 20 0.535 0.481 0.388 -0.00034
Pacific Pacific 17 24 0.415 0.469 0.325 -0.00188
Pacific Pacific 17 24 0.415 0.469 0.325 -0.00188
Pacific Pacific 17 24 0.415 0.469 0.325 -0.00188
Brigham Young St. Mary's 30 10 0.750 0.522 0.506 0.00254
Brigham Young St. Mary's 30 10 0.750 0.522 0.506 0.00254
Brigham Young St. Mary's 30 10 0.750 0.522 0.506 0.00254
UC Davis St. Mary's 12 25 0.324 0.493 0.285 -0.00285
Washington Washington 25 15 0.625 0.572 0.456 0.00132
Washington Washington 25 15 0.625 0.572 0.456 0.00132
Washington Washington 25 15 0.625 0.572 0.456 0.00132
Washington Washington 25 15 0.625 0.572 0.456 0.00132
UC Santa Barbara St. Mary's 29 10 0.744 0.559 0.512 0.00268
San Francisco St. Mary's 17 28 0.378 0.535 0.323 -0.00193
San Francisco St. Mary's 17 28 0.378 0.535 0.323 -0.00193
San Francisco St. Mary's 17 28 0.378 0.535 0.323 -0.00193

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 62.03 0.000
California 8.47 24 16 0.600 0.547 0.437
Fresno State 147.66 29 16 0.644 0.506 0.449
Pacific 44.41 17 24 0.415 0.469 0.325
San Francisco 18.84 17 28 0.378 0.535 0.323
San Jose State 38.42 14 29 0.326 0.527 0.295
Santa Clara 35.40 19 22 0.463 0.513 0.360
Stanford 28.34 20 18 0.526 0.540 0.398
UC Davis 52.14 12 25 0.324 0.493 0.285

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 239.73 9 33 0.214 0.545 0.243
Cal Poly 192.58 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426
Nevada 171.16 23 20 0.535 0.481 0.388
UC Santa Barbara 267.93 29 10 0.744 0.559 0.512

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation