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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Tennessee

Last updated: Tue Jul 26 06:47:59 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.543
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.535
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40525


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00172
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00172
Memphis neutral 22 39 0.361 0.505 0.307 -0.00172
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 25 28 0.472 0.468 0.353 -0.00092
St. Mary's neutral 33 25 0.569 0.539 0.419 0.00024
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00162
Cincinnati Tennessee 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00067
Maryland neutral 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404 -0.00002
East Carolina East Carolina 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00080
Southeastern Louisiana neutral 40 21 0.656 0.518 0.458 0.00093
Western Kentucky Tennessee 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355 -0.00088
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00107
UC Irvine Tennessee 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00009
UC Irvine Tennessee 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00009
UC Irvine Tennessee 31 25 0.554 0.492 0.400 -0.00009
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00258
Mississippi Tennessee 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00152
Mississippi Tennessee 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00152
Mississippi Tennessee 43 19 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00152
Tennessee Tech Tennessee 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392 -0.00023
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00014
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00014
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413 0.00014
Middle Tennessee State Tennessee 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317 -0.00155
North Carolina-Asheville Tennessee 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00258
Kentucky Tennessee 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00019
Kentucky Tennessee 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00019
Kentucky Tennessee 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416 0.00019
Morehead State Tennessee 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393 -0.00021
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00168
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00168
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00168
Appalachian State Tennessee 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00202
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00104
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00104
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346 -0.00104
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317 -0.00155
Vanderbilt Tennessee 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00145
Vanderbilt Tennessee 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00145
Vanderbilt Tennessee 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00145
Eastern Kentucky Tennessee 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336 -0.00121
Alabama State Tennessee 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00075
Missouri Missouri 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00069
Missouri Missouri 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00069
Missouri Missouri 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 -0.00069
Florida Tennessee 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00226
Florida Tennessee 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00226
Florida Tennessee 52 16 0.765 0.606 0.534 0.00226
Belmont Tennessee 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388 -0.00030
Louisiana State Tennessee 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00150
Louisiana State Tennessee 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00150
Louisiana State Tennessee 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00150
East Tennessee State Tennessee 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00107
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00027
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00027
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 -0.00027
Louisiana State neutral 45 21 0.682 0.599 0.491 0.00150

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 126.18 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Clemson 106.86 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
East Tennessee State 90.83 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Kentucky 125.14 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Furman 109.76 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 136.01 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia 142.21 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Kennesaw State 137.41 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Kentucky 146.99 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Middle Tennessee State 136.56 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
North Carolina-Asheville 79.54 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
South Carolina-Upstate 128.13 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Tennessee Tech 89.87 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
Western Carolina 61.42 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wofford 131.63 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 279.43 32 26 0.552 0.547 0.413
Alabama A&M 169.69 12 44 0.214 0.400 0.207
Alabama State 282.21 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448
Alabama-Birmingham 235.01 21 34 0.382 0.550 0.329
Auburn 247.96 23 33 0.411 0.561 0.346
Austin Peay State 195.21 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 159.99 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Butler 295.54 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Campbell 293.81 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Cincinnati 222.05 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Davidson 175.92 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Dayton 261.96 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Duke 278.74 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
Elon 247.30 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Evansville 243.26 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Georgia Southern 272.40 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
Georgia State 157.51 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 152.39 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
High Point 219.99 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Indiana 264.22 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Jacksonville State 180.27 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
Liberty 280.52 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Lipscomb 160.70 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Louisville 185.77 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Marshall 208.78 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Mercer 216.21 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
Miami, Ohio 250.11 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 157.50 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Murray State 248.76 25 28 0.472 0.479 0.356
North Carolina 273.36 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 232.21 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 281.07 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 294.12 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Charlotte 184.56 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 230.16 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Northern Kentucky 214.74 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Ohio 253.57 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 284.81 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Presbyterian 155.41 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 205.29 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Samford 236.67 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410
South Carolina 212.36 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
Tennessee-Martin 277.01 18 34 0.346 0.477 0.292
VMI 278.86 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Vanderbilt 161.36 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Virginia Tech 213.32 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 205.81 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Western Kentucky 157.77 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Winthrop 177.88 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wright State 265.10 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 223.19 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation