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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Tennessee

Last updated: Fri Apr 29 07:02:21 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.560
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.528
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.412


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Memphis neutral 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00286
Memphis neutral 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00286
Memphis neutral 14 28 0.333 0.503 0.292 -0.00286
Grand Canyon Grand Canyon 19 19 0.500 0.501 0.375 -0.00088
St. Mary's neutral 22 16 0.579 0.553 0.428 0.00038
Central Michigan neutral 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00381
Cincinnati Tennessee 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380 -0.00076
Maryland neutral 22 18 0.550 0.570 0.417 0.00012
East Carolina East Carolina 26 15 0.634 0.575 0.461 0.00117
Southeastern Louisiana neutral 28 13 0.683 0.504 0.468 0.00133
Western Kentucky Tennessee 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415 0.00007
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306 -0.00252
UC Irvine Tennessee 24 14 0.632 0.447 0.428 0.00038
UC Irvine Tennessee 24 14 0.632 0.447 0.428 0.00038
UC Irvine Tennessee 24 14 0.632 0.447 0.428 0.00038
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277 -0.00321
Mississippi Tennessee 31 11 0.738 0.594 0.517 0.00250
Mississippi Tennessee 31 11 0.738 0.594 0.517 0.00250
Mississippi Tennessee 31 11 0.738 0.594 0.517 0.00250
Tennessee Tech Tennessee 21 18 0.538 0.412 0.372 -0.00095
Alabama Alabama 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426 0.00033
Alabama Alabama 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426 0.00033
Alabama Alabama 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426 0.00033
Middle Tennessee State Tennessee 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343 -0.00164
North Carolina-Asheville Tennessee 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277 -0.00321
Kentucky Tennessee 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460 0.00114
Kentucky Tennessee 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460 0.00114
Kentucky Tennessee 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460 0.00114
Morehead State Tennessee 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404 -0.00019
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00321
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00321
South Carolina South Carolina 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547 0.00321
Appalachian State Tennessee 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261 -0.00360
Auburn Auburn 18 23 0.439 0.593 0.368 -0.00105
Auburn Auburn 18 23 0.439 0.593 0.368 -0.00105
Auburn Auburn 18 23 0.439 0.593 0.368 -0.00105
Middle Tennessee State Middle Tennessee State 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343 -0.00164
Vanderbilt Tennessee 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00238
Vanderbilt Tennessee 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00238
Vanderbilt Tennessee 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512 0.00238
Eastern Kentucky Tennessee 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324 -0.00210
Alabama State Tennessee 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441 0.00069

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 126.18 11 30 0.268 0.506 0.261
Clemson 106.86 26 14 0.650 0.589 0.472
East Tennessee State 90.83 16 24 0.400 0.426 0.306
Eastern Kentucky 125.14 17 25 0.405 0.484 0.324
Furman 109.76 17 24 0.415 0.556 0.347
Gardner-Webb 136.01 30 14 0.682 0.447 0.453
Georgia 142.21 22 20 0.524 0.644 0.423
Kennesaw State 137.41 20 23 0.465 0.500 0.358
Kentucky 146.99 26 15 0.634 0.572 0.460
Middle Tennessee State 136.56 17 25 0.405 0.562 0.343
North Carolina-Asheville 79.54 14 27 0.341 0.424 0.277
South Carolina-Upstate 128.13 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332
Tennessee Tech 89.87 21 18 0.538 0.412 0.372
Western Carolina 61.42 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390
Wofford 131.63 25 18 0.581 0.495 0.414

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 279.43 24 18 0.571 0.564 0.426
Alabama A&M 169.69 11 34 0.244 0.365 0.213
Alabama State 282.21 28 14 0.667 0.431 0.441
Alabama-Birmingham 235.01 17 22 0.436 0.585 0.364
Auburn 247.96 18 23 0.439 0.593 0.368
Austin Peay State 195.21 25 14 0.641 0.530 0.453
Belmont 159.99 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393
Butler 295.54 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Campbell 293.81 22 21 0.512 0.503 0.382
Cincinnati 222.05 20 21 0.488 0.542 0.380
Davidson 175.92 21 20 0.512 0.484 0.377
Dayton 261.96 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Duke 278.74 24 18 0.571 0.569 0.428
Elon 247.30 20 22 0.476 0.505 0.364
Evansville 243.26 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424
Georgia Southern 272.40 25 17 0.595 0.476 0.416
Georgia State 157.51 18 20 0.474 0.448 0.349
Georgia Tech 152.39 27 14 0.659 0.566 0.471
High Point 219.99 26 16 0.619 0.552 0.448
Indiana 264.22 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Jacksonville State 180.27 26 14 0.650 0.521 0.455
Liberty 280.52 22 22 0.500 0.519 0.380
Lipscomb 160.70 20 21 0.488 0.446 0.355
Louisville 185.77 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Marshall 208.78 21 17 0.553 0.528 0.409
Mercer 216.21 26 16 0.619 0.494 0.433
Miami, Ohio 250.11 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Morehead State 157.50 23 18 0.561 0.492 0.404
Murray State 248.76 19 20 0.487 0.456 0.357
North Carolina 273.36 28 15 0.651 0.595 0.474
North Carolina A&T 232.21 10 33 0.233 0.478 0.236
North Carolina Central 281.07 20 24 0.455 0.407 0.329
North Carolina State 294.12 29 11 0.725 0.603 0.513
North Carolina-Charlotte 184.56 18 24 0.429 0.538 0.349
North Carolina-Greensboro 230.16 32 11 0.744 0.491 0.495
Northern Kentucky 214.74 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Ohio 253.57 17 22 0.436 0.436 0.327
Ohio State 284.81 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Presbyterian 155.41 21 20 0.512 0.461 0.371
Radford 205.29 12 29 0.293 0.541 0.282
Samford 236.67 24 18 0.571 0.531 0.418
South Carolina 212.36 33 8 0.805 0.577 0.547
Tennessee-Martin 277.01 12 26 0.316 0.488 0.280
VMI 278.86 18 27 0.400 0.487 0.322
Vanderbilt 161.36 31 10 0.756 0.537 0.512
Virginia Tech 213.32 14 28 0.333 0.539 0.301
Wake Forest 205.81 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
Western Kentucky 157.77 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415
Winthrop 177.88 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wright State 265.10 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Xavier 223.19 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation