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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Toledo
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:13 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.502 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.491 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.37375 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Ohio State | neutral | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00171 |
Niagara | neutral | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 | -0.00191 |
Pittsburgh | neutral | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 | 0.00013 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | North Carolina-Charlotte | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 | -0.00054 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | North Carolina-Charlotte | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 | -0.00054 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | North Carolina-Charlotte | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 | -0.00054 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | North Carolina-Charlotte | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 | -0.00054 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00106 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00106 |
Duke | Duke | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 | 0.00106 |
Florida A&M | Florida A&M | 31 | 21 | 0.596 | 0.476 | 0.417 | 0.00076 |
Florida State | Florida State | 41 | 22 | 0.651 | 0.602 | 0.476 | 0.00179 |
Jacksonville | Jacksonville | 33 | 22 | 0.600 | 0.504 | 0.426 | 0.00092 |
Jacksonville | Jacksonville | 33 | 22 | 0.600 | 0.504 | 0.426 | 0.00092 |
Jacksonville | Jacksonville | 33 | 22 | 0.600 | 0.504 | 0.426 | 0.00092 |
Notre Dame | Notre Dame | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 | 0.00020 |
Indiana | Indiana | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00062 |
Indiana | Indiana | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00062 |
Indiana | Indiana | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00062 |
Indiana | Indiana | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 | 0.00062 |
Dayton | Dayton | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00142 |
Buffalo | Toledo | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.449 | 0.314 | -0.00105 |
Buffalo | Toledo | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.449 | 0.314 | -0.00105 |
Buffalo | Toledo | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.449 | 0.314 | -0.00105 |
Ohio State | Ohio State | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 | 0.00171 |
Bowling Green State | Bowling Green State | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 | -0.00184 |
Bowling Green State | Bowling Green State | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 | -0.00184 |
Bowling Green State | Bowling Green State | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 | -0.00184 |
Youngstown State | Youngstown State | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 | -0.00201 |
Kent State | Kent State | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 | 0.00200 |
Kent State | Kent State | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 | 0.00200 |
Kent State | Kent State | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 | 0.00200 |
Wright State | Wright State | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00193 |
Wright State | Wright State | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00193 |
Wright State | Toledo | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00193 |
Dayton | Toledo | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00142 |
Michigan | Michigan | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 | 0.00129 |
Central Michigan | Central Michigan | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 | -0.00107 |
Central Michigan | Central Michigan | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 | -0.00107 |
Central Michigan | Central Michigan | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 | -0.00107 |
Michigan State | Michigan State | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00123 |
Western Michigan | Toledo | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 | -0.00103 |
Western Michigan | Toledo | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 | -0.00103 |
Western Michigan | Toledo | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 | -0.00103 |
Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 | -0.00077 |
Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 | -0.00077 |
Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 | -0.00077 |
Wright State | Toledo | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 | 0.00193 |
Ball State | Toledo | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | 0.00021 |
Ball State | Toledo | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | 0.00021 |
Ball State | Toledo | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | 0.00021 |
Eastern Michigan | Toledo | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 | -0.00093 |
Eastern Michigan | Toledo | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 | -0.00093 |
Eastern Michigan | Toledo | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 | -0.00093 |
Northern Illinois | neutral | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 | -0.00077 |
Kent State | neutral | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 | 0.00200 |
Eastern Michigan | neutral | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 | -0.00093 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Akron | 114.93 | 0.000 | ||||
Ball State | 136.98 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Bowling Green State | 18.08 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.473 | 0.269 |
Central Michigan | 146.66 | 23 | 37 | 0.383 | 0.485 | 0.313 |
Dayton | 135.53 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 |
Eastern Michigan | 42.68 | 23 | 36 | 0.390 | 0.502 | 0.321 |
IPFW | 86.14 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.413 | 0.367 |
Kent State | 121.84 | 43 | 14 | 0.754 | 0.444 | 0.488 |
Michigan | 43.95 | 36 | 21 | 0.632 | 0.522 | 0.447 |
Michigan State | 88.17 | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 |
Notre Dame | 135.97 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.538 | 0.385 |
Oakland | 73.99 | 21 | 27 | 0.438 | 0.481 | 0.339 |
Ohio State | 116.59 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.510 | 0.471 |
Western Michigan | 112.35 | 22 | 34 | 0.393 | 0.472 | 0.315 |
Wright State | 130.41 | 46 | 17 | 0.730 | 0.477 | 0.484 |
Youngstown State | 149.97 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.498 | 0.259 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Buffalo | 263.05 | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.449 | 0.314 |
Butler | 183.09 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 |
Canisius | 257.82 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.430 | 0.379 |
Chicago State | 207.12 | 12 | 41 | 0.226 | 0.431 | 0.221 |
Cincinnati | 180.14 | 26 | 30 | 0.464 | 0.538 | 0.367 |
Eastern Illinois | 283.28 | 12 | 39 | 0.235 | 0.479 | 0.237 |
Eastern Kentucky | 272.41 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 |
Illinois | 264.57 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.542 | 0.410 |
Illinois State | 291.99 | 17 | 37 | 0.315 | 0.510 | 0.285 |
Illinois-Chicago | 209.53 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.476 | 0.341 |
Indiana | 229.41 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.493 | 0.409 |
Indiana State | 250.07 | 35 | 21 | 0.625 | 0.509 | 0.440 |
Kentucky | 254.23 | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 |
Louisville | 263.68 | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 |
Marshall | 250.21 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Miami, Ohio | 158.70 | 27 | 29 | 0.482 | 0.466 | 0.357 |
Morehead State | 238.40 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
Niagara | 254.07 | 16 | 37 | 0.302 | 0.455 | 0.265 |
Northern Illinois | 267.85 | 24 | 32 | 0.429 | 0.463 | 0.330 |
Northern Kentucky | 186.27 | 20 | 34 | 0.370 | 0.464 | 0.301 |
Northwestern | 212.92 | 15 | 38 | 0.283 | 0.484 | 0.262 |
Ohio | 178.08 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.439 | 0.331 |
Pittsburgh | 206.33 | 25 | 26 | 0.490 | 0.545 | 0.381 |
Purdue | 193.20 | 10 | 44 | 0.185 | 0.518 | 0.222 |
St. Bonaventure | 264.56 | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 |
Valparaiso | 178.19 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.489 | 0.377 |
West Virginia | 233.88 | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 243.09 | 29 | 26 | 0.527 | 0.473 | 0.382 |
Xavier | 178.25 | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |