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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Toledo

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.519
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3825


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wright State neutral 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483 0.00245
Belmont Belmont 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385 0.00006
Wright State neutral 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483 0.00245
Winthrop Winthrop 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00194
Winthrop Winthrop 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00194
Winthrop Winthrop 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462 0.00194
Virginia Tech neutral 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00028
Virginia Tech neutral 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00028
Virginia Tech neutral 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00028
Virginia Tech neutral 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00028
Michigan State neutral 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00106
Michigan neutral 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430 0.00116
Maryland-Baltimore County neutral 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379 -0.00009
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00248
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00289
Cincinnati Cincinnati 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00211
Cincinnati Cincinnati 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00211
Cincinnati Cincinnati 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00211
Youngstown State Toledo 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00260
Dayton Toledo 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00321
Kent State Toledo 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00077
Kent State Toledo 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00077
Kent State Toledo 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414 0.00077
Ohio State Ohio State 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00301
Akron Akron 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358 -0.00060
Akron Akron 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358 -0.00060
Akron Akron 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358 -0.00060
Michigan Michigan 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430 0.00116
Central Michigan Toledo 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442 0.00145
Central Michigan Toledo 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442 0.00145
Central Michigan Toledo 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442 0.00145
Western Michigan Western Michigan 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311 -0.00174
Western Michigan Western Michigan 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311 -0.00174
Western Michigan Western Michigan 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311 -0.00174
Dayton Dayton 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00321
Notre Dame Notre Dame 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477 0.00230
Northern Illinois Toledo 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292 -0.00221
Northern Illinois Toledo 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292 -0.00221
Northern Illinois Toledo 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292 -0.00221
Michigan State Michigan State 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00106
Ball State Ball State 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00111
Ball State Ball State 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00111
Ball State Ball State 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00111

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 114.93 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Ball State 136.98 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bowling Green State 18.08 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Central Michigan 146.66 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442
Dayton 135.53 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Eastern Michigan 42.68 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
IPFW 86.14 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Kent State 121.84 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Michigan 43.95 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Michigan State 88.17 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426
Notre Dame 135.97 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Oakland 73.99 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249
Ohio State 116.59 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Western Michigan 112.35 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Wright State 130.41 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Youngstown State 149.97 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 263.05 11 23 0.324 0.453 0.275
Butler 183.09 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Canisius 257.82 19 22 0.463 0.382 0.327
Chicago State 207.12 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
Cincinnati 180.14 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Eastern Illinois 283.28 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Kentucky 272.41 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Illinois 264.57 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 291.99 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Illinois-Chicago 209.53 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Indiana 229.41 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 250.07 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Kentucky 254.23 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 263.68 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Marshall 250.21 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Miami, Ohio 158.70 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Morehead State 238.40 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Niagara 254.07 9 20 0.310 0.395 0.254
Northern Illinois 267.85 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northern Kentucky 186.27 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Northwestern 212.92 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Ohio 178.08 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Pittsburgh 206.33 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Purdue 193.20 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
St. Bonaventure 264.56 14 15 0.483 0.402 0.342
Valparaiso 178.19 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
West Virginia 233.88 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 243.09 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413
Xavier 178.25 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation