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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Toledo

Last updated: Wed Jul 27 06:49:15 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.502
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.491
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37375


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ohio State neutral 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00171
Niagara neutral 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265 -0.00191
Pittsburgh neutral 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 0.00013
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00054
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00054
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00054
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00054
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00106
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00106
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00106
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 21 0.596 0.476 0.417 0.00076
Florida State Florida State 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00179
Jacksonville Jacksonville 33 22 0.600 0.504 0.426 0.00092
Jacksonville Jacksonville 33 22 0.600 0.504 0.426 0.00092
Jacksonville Jacksonville 33 22 0.600 0.504 0.426 0.00092
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 0.00020
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00062
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00062
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00062
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00062
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00142
Buffalo Toledo 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00105
Buffalo Toledo 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00105
Buffalo Toledo 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314 -0.00105
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00171
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00184
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00184
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00184
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00201
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00200
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00200
Kent State Kent State 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00200
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00193
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00193
Wright State Toledo 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00193
Dayton Toledo 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00142
Michigan Michigan 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00129
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00107
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00107
Central Michigan Central Michigan 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00107
Michigan State Michigan State 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444 0.00123
Western Michigan Toledo 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00103
Western Michigan Toledo 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00103
Western Michigan Toledo 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00103
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00077
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00077
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00077
Wright State Toledo 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00193
Ball State Toledo 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00021
Ball State Toledo 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00021
Ball State Toledo 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386 0.00021
Eastern Michigan Toledo 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00093
Eastern Michigan Toledo 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00093
Eastern Michigan Toledo 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00093
Northern Illinois neutral 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00077
Kent State neutral 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00200
Eastern Michigan neutral 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00093

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 114.93 0.000
Ball State 136.98 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Bowling Green State 18.08 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Central Michigan 146.66 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Dayton 135.53 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Michigan 42.68 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
IPFW 86.14 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Kent State 121.84 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Michigan 43.95 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 88.17 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Notre Dame 135.97 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Oakland 73.99 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Ohio State 116.59 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Western Michigan 112.35 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Wright State 130.41 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Youngstown State 149.97 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 263.05 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314
Butler 183.09 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Canisius 257.82 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379
Chicago State 207.12 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Cincinnati 180.14 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Eastern Illinois 283.28 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Kentucky 272.41 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Illinois 264.57 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 291.99 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 209.53 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana 229.41 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 250.07 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Kentucky 254.23 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 263.68 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Marshall 250.21 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Miami, Ohio 158.70 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 238.40 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Niagara 254.07 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265
Northern Illinois 267.85 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northern Kentucky 186.27 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Northwestern 212.92 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Ohio 178.08 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Pittsburgh 206.33 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Purdue 193.20 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
St. Bonaventure 264.56 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373
Valparaiso 178.19 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
West Virginia 233.88 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 243.09 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382
Xavier 178.25 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation