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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Toledo

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:06 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.522
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.474
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3795


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wright State neutral 11 6 0.647 0.451 0.436 0.00314
Belmont Belmont 8 8 0.500 0.466 0.366 -0.00075
Wright State neutral 11 6 0.647 0.451 0.436 0.00314
Winthrop Winthrop 13 5 0.722 0.438 0.470 0.00503
Winthrop Winthrop 13 5 0.722 0.438 0.470 0.00503
Winthrop Winthrop 13 5 0.722 0.438 0.470 0.00503
Virginia Tech neutral 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00119
Virginia Tech neutral 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00119
Virginia Tech neutral 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00119
Virginia Tech neutral 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00119
Michigan State neutral 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372 -0.00042
Michigan neutral 11 8 0.579 0.450 0.402 0.00125
Maryland-Baltimore County neutral 2 6 0.250 0.301 0.200 -0.00997
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466 0.00481
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495 0.00642
Cincinnati Cincinnati 6 11 0.353 0.416 0.280 -0.00553
Cincinnati Cincinnati 6 11 0.353 0.416 0.280 -0.00553
Cincinnati Cincinnati 6 11 0.353 0.416 0.280 -0.00553

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 114.93 8 7 0.533 0.531 0.399
Ball State 136.98 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429
Bowling Green State 18.08 5 9 0.357 0.484 0.299
Central Michigan 146.66 13 7 0.650 0.436 0.434
Dayton 135.53 5 11 0.312 0.422 0.262
Eastern Michigan 42.68 6 12 0.333 0.624 0.323
IPFW 86.14 11 6 0.647 0.400 0.423
Kent State 121.84 8 7 0.533 0.516 0.396
Michigan 43.95 11 8 0.579 0.450 0.402
Michigan State 88.17 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Notre Dame 135.97 14 4 0.778 0.548 0.526
Oakland 73.99 2 12 0.143 0.708 0.248
Ohio State 116.59 10 5 0.667 0.584 0.480
Western Michigan 112.35 7 9 0.438 0.431 0.327
Wright State 130.41 11 6 0.647 0.451 0.436
Youngstown State 149.97 3 7 0.300 0.551 0.288

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 263.05 3 10 0.231 0.465 0.232
Butler 183.09 4 14 0.222 0.551 0.249
Canisius 257.82 7 11 0.389 0.468 0.311
Chicago State 207.12 5 13 0.278 0.481 0.259
Cincinnati 180.14 6 11 0.353 0.416 0.280
Eastern Illinois 283.28 0 13 0.000 0.541 0.135
Eastern Kentucky 272.41 5 11 0.312 0.377 0.250
Illinois 264.57 14 4 0.778 0.432 0.497
Illinois State 291.99 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Illinois-Chicago 209.53 4 9 0.308 0.421 0.259
Indiana 229.41 13 4 0.765 0.501 0.508
Indiana State 250.07 8 7 0.533 0.555 0.405
Kentucky 254.23 13 6 0.684 0.545 0.478
Louisville 263.68 14 6 0.700 0.460 0.465
Marshall 250.21 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296
Miami, Ohio 158.70 2 12 0.143 0.613 0.225
Morehead State 238.40 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
Niagara 254.07 2 11 0.154 0.397 0.176
Northern Illinois 267.85 9 9 0.500 0.408 0.352
Northern Kentucky 186.27 2 12 0.143 0.658 0.236
Northwestern 212.92 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234
Ohio 178.08 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Pittsburgh 206.33 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375
Purdue 193.20 7 10 0.412 0.545 0.342
St. Bonaventure 264.56 9 2 0.818 0.295 0.483
Valparaiso 178.19 4 10 0.286 0.444 0.254
West Virginia 233.88 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 243.09 10 4 0.714 0.540 0.492
Xavier 178.25 4 14 0.222 0.624 0.267

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation