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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Toledo

Last updated: Tue May 24 06:53:51 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.505
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3755


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ohio State neutral 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00169
Niagara neutral 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265 -0.00205
Pittsburgh neutral 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 0.00014
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351 -0.00045
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351 -0.00045
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351 -0.00045
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351 -0.00045
Duke Duke 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00142
Duke Duke 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00142
Duke Duke 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00142
Florida A&M Florida A&M 31 19 0.620 0.476 0.429 0.00099
Florida State Florida State 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00175
Jacksonville Jacksonville 33 20 0.623 0.510 0.439 0.00118
Jacksonville Jacksonville 33 20 0.623 0.510 0.439 0.00118
Jacksonville Jacksonville 33 20 0.623 0.510 0.439 0.00118
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386 0.00019
Indiana Indiana 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00077
Indiana Indiana 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00077
Indiana Indiana 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00077
Indiana Indiana 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00077
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00149
Buffalo Toledo 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00112
Buffalo Toledo 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00112
Buffalo Toledo 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315 -0.00112
Ohio State Ohio State 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00169
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00197
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00197
Bowling Green State Bowling Green State 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269 -0.00197
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00214
Kent State Kent State 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00223
Kent State Kent State 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00223
Kent State Kent State 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00223
Wright State Wright State 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00199
Wright State Wright State 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00199
Wright State Toledo 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00199
Dayton Toledo 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00149
Michigan Michigan 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454 0.00145
Central Michigan Central Michigan 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00132
Central Michigan Central Michigan 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00132
Central Michigan Central Michigan 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00132
Michigan State Michigan State 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00134
Western Michigan Toledo 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298 -0.00144
Western Michigan Toledo 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298 -0.00144
Western Michigan Toledo 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298 -0.00144
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340 -0.00066
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340 -0.00066
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340 -0.00066
Wright State Toledo 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483 0.00199
Ball State Toledo 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00038
Ball State Toledo 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00038
Ball State Toledo 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00038
Eastern Michigan Toledo 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00121
Eastern Michigan Toledo 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00121
Eastern Michigan Toledo 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310 -0.00121

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 114.93 0.000
Ball State 136.98 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Bowling Green State 18.08 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Central Michigan 146.66 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304
Dayton 135.53 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295
Eastern Michigan 42.68 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
IPFW 86.14 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Kent State 121.84 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
Michigan 43.95 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Michigan State 88.17 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448
Notre Dame 135.97 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Oakland 73.99 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345
Ohio State 116.59 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467
Western Michigan 112.35 18 31 0.367 0.460 0.298
Wright State 130.41 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Youngstown State 149.97 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 263.05 21 31 0.404 0.452 0.315
Butler 183.09 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Canisius 257.82 30 25 0.545 0.430 0.380
Chicago State 207.12 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Cincinnati 180.14 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Eastern Illinois 283.28 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Eastern Kentucky 272.41 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
Illinois 264.57 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 291.99 17 35 0.327 0.512 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 209.53 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345
Indiana 229.41 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Indiana State 250.07 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Kentucky 254.23 32 24 0.571 0.555 0.424
Louisville 263.68 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Marshall 250.21 32 19 0.627 0.522 0.444
Miami, Ohio 158.70 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Morehead State 238.40 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Niagara 254.07 16 37 0.302 0.457 0.265
Northern Illinois 267.85 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340
Northern Kentucky 186.27 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Northwestern 212.92 15 38 0.283 0.492 0.264
Ohio 178.08 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Pittsburgh 206.33 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Purdue 193.20 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
St. Bonaventure 264.56 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374
Valparaiso 178.19 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
West Virginia 233.88 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 243.09 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388
Xavier 178.25 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation