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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Toledo

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:58 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.488
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.483
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wright State neutral 35 22 0.614 0.468 0.424 0.00110
Belmont Belmont 24 30 0.444 0.506 0.349 -0.00029
Wright State neutral 35 22 0.614 0.468 0.424 0.00110
Winthrop Winthrop 27 33 0.450 0.474 0.344 -0.00038
Winthrop Winthrop 27 33 0.450 0.474 0.344 -0.00038
Winthrop Winthrop 27 33 0.450 0.474 0.344 -0.00038
Virginia Tech neutral 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341 -0.00044
Virginia Tech neutral 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341 -0.00044
Virginia Tech neutral 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341 -0.00044
Virginia Tech neutral 21 31 0.404 0.554 0.341 -0.00044

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 114.93 28 29 0.491 0.469 0.363
Ball State 136.98 37 18 0.673 0.474 0.455
Bowling Green State 18.08 25 27 0.481 0.493 0.364
Central Michigan 146.66 34 23 0.596 0.455 0.412
Dayton 135.53 23 30 0.434 0.468 0.334
Eastern Michigan 42.68 16 34 0.320 0.441 0.270
IPFW 86.14 17 36 0.321 0.451 0.273
Kent State 121.84 35 23 0.603 0.456 0.415
Michigan 43.95 30 29 0.508 0.521 0.384
Michigan State 88.17 31 26 0.544 0.511 0.400
Notre Dame 135.97 21 31 0.404 0.507 0.329
Oakland 73.99 12 33 0.267 0.484 0.255
Ohio State 116.59 30 28 0.517 0.509 0.386
Western Michigan 112.35 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Wright State 130.41 35 22 0.614 0.468 0.424
Youngstown State 149.97 17 38 0.309 0.478 0.274

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 263.05 26 26 0.500 0.476 0.369
Butler 183.09 16 30 0.348 0.482 0.294
Canisius 257.82 40 16 0.714 0.456 0.471
Chicago State 207.12 15 37 0.288 0.423 0.250
Cincinnati 180.14 22 31 0.415 0.518 0.337
Eastern Illinois 283.28 21 33 0.389 0.531 0.327
Eastern Kentucky 272.41 24 31 0.436 0.464 0.334
Illinois 264.57 32 21 0.604 0.512 0.430
Illinois State 291.99 29 22 0.569 0.500 0.409
Illinois-Chicago 209.53 24 27 0.471 0.412 0.338
Indiana 229.41 44 15 0.746 0.549 0.510
Indiana State 250.07 35 18 0.660 0.516 0.459
Kentucky 254.23 37 25 0.597 0.586 0.445
Louisville 263.68 50 17 0.746 0.537 0.507
Marshall 250.21 16 31 0.340 0.488 0.292
Miami, Ohio 158.70 30 27 0.526 0.509 0.390
Morehead State 238.40 27 28 0.491 0.462 0.361
Niagara 254.07 20 31 0.392 0.453 0.309
Northern Illinois 267.85 17 36 0.321 0.517 0.290
Northern Kentucky 186.27 14 37 0.275 0.483 0.258
Northwestern 212.92 17 33 0.340 0.497 0.294
Ohio 178.08 11 39 0.220 0.456 0.224
Pittsburgh 206.33 22 30 0.423 0.502 0.337
Purdue 193.20 13 37 0.260 0.548 0.267
St. Bonaventure 264.56 12 30 0.286 0.454 0.257
Valparaiso 178.19 24 27 0.471 0.446 0.347
West Virginia 233.88 28 26 0.519 0.551 0.397
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 243.09 18 28 0.391 0.410 0.298
Xavier 178.25 30 29 0.508 0.522 0.385

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation