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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Towson

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.516
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.490
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3805


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Wake Forest Wake Forest 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00057
Marshall neutral 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00138
Georgetown neutral 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00127
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00131
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00131
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00131
Army neutral 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443 0.00145
Albany neutral 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235 -0.00338
Campbell Campbell 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00169
Monmouth neutral 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350 -0.00071
Pennsylvania neutral 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403 0.00052
Navy Navy 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340 -0.00094
Houston Houston 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00308
Houston Houston 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00308
Houston Houston 36 13 0.735 0.583 0.513 0.00308
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00378
Monmouth neutral 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350 -0.00071
Georgetown Georgetown 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00127
Georgetown Georgetown 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00127
Georgetown Towson 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00127
Coppin State Towson 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237 -0.00334
St. John's St. John's 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444 0.00148
Delaware State Towson 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412 0.00073
College of Charleston Towson 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00185
College of Charleston Towson 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00185
College of Charleston Towson 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460 0.00185
Delaware State Delaware State 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412 0.00073
George Washington George Washington 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289 -0.00213
Northeastern Northeastern 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356 -0.00057
Northeastern Northeastern 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356 -0.00057
Northeastern Northeastern 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356 -0.00057
Bucknell Towson 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416 0.00083
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 0.00029
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 0.00029
George Mason Towson 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00092
Mount St. Mary's Towson 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321 -0.00138
James Madison Towson 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00162
James Madison Towson 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00162
James Madison Towson 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00162
William and Mary William and Mary 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460 0.00185
William and Mary William and Mary 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460 0.00185
William and Mary William and Mary 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460 0.00185
Maryland-Baltimore County Towson 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295 -0.00199

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bucknell 108.60 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416
Coppin State 17.54 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Delaware 49.71 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Delaware State 58.89 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
George Mason 54.07 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 45.84 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 38.18 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
James Madison 138.15 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
LaSalle 89.40 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Lafayette 117.92 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 105.63 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Maryland 33.14 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 11.21 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 95.80 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Mount St. Mary's 43.65 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 28.91 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Penn State 117.82 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Pennsylvania 84.49 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Princeton 123.21 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Richmond 135.13 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Rider 116.48 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
Rutgers 139.03 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
St. Joseph's 83.74 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
Temple 92.15 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Villanova 86.48 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281
Virginia 138.50 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 134.08 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
William and Mary 145.59 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 283.14 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Albany 269.45 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235
Army 196.53 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443
Binghamton 189.48 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361
Buffalo 273.04 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395
Campbell 298.89 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Canisius 270.12 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457
Central Connecticut State 257.28 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391
Columbia 175.35 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Connecticut 282.53 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371
Cornell 210.81 18 21 0.462 0.442 0.342
Duke 267.08 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 265.88 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Elon 276.67 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Fairfield 214.94 26 19 0.578 0.451 0.402
Fairleigh Dickinson 171.70 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Fordham 176.28 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341
Hartford 263.65 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
High Point 300.00 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Hofstra 183.86 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339
Iona 183.31 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257
Kent State 276.79 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
LIU Brooklyn 165.63 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372
Liberty 198.03 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 174.38 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Manhattan 176.76 13 29 0.310 0.458 0.270
Marist 213.43 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259
Marshall 279.05 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Massachusetts 296.92 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264
Monmouth 151.02 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350
New Jersey Tech 159.45 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
New York Tech 186.74 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161
Niagara 285.00 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288
Norfolk State 177.11 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina 275.24 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 286.93 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 265.65 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 273.72 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Greensboro 288.80 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Ohio 293.57 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Old Dominion 174.28 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Pittsburgh 191.90 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Quinnipiac 240.66 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305
Radford 263.93 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Sacred Heart 218.32 22 22 0.500 0.513 0.378
Seton Hall 155.89 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
Siena 273.85 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300
St. Bonaventure 209.80 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262
St. John's 175.17 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
St. Peter's 161.88 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Stony Brook 212.42 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434
VMI 188.56 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia Tech 255.49 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wagner 159.63 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291
West Virginia 180.56 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Yale 233.46 18 22 0.450 0.446 0.337
Youngstown State 251.95 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation