Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Troy

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:50 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.527
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.467 0.302 -0.00156
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.467 0.302 -0.00156
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.467 0.302 -0.00156
Northern Kentucky Troy 20 34 0.370 0.467 0.302 -0.00156
Alabama-Birmingham Troy 21 34 0.382 0.555 0.330 -0.00107
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 39 18 0.684 0.513 0.470 0.00134
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 39 18 0.684 0.513 0.470 0.00134
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 39 18 0.684 0.513 0.470 0.00134
Alabama Troy 32 26 0.552 0.553 0.414 0.00037
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 21 34 0.382 0.555 0.330 -0.00107
Auburn neutral 23 33 0.411 0.569 0.348 -0.00076
Southern Mississippi neutral 39 18 0.684 0.551 0.480 0.00151
Michigan State neutral 36 19 0.655 0.489 0.450 0.00100
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00031
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00069
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 40 19 0.678 0.567 0.481 0.00153
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 40 19 0.678 0.567 0.481 0.00153
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 40 19 0.678 0.567 0.481 0.00153
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00067
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00067
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431 0.00067
Alabama A&M Troy 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208 -0.00318
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.531 0.373 -0.00033
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.531 0.373 -0.00033
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 26 28 0.481 0.531 0.373 -0.00033
Alabama State Troy 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459 0.00115
New Orleans Troy 31 26 0.544 0.539 0.407 0.00025
New Orleans Troy 31 26 0.544 0.539 0.407 0.00025
New Orleans Troy 31 26 0.544 0.539 0.407 0.00025
Samford Troy 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00031
Appalachian State Troy 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291 -0.00175
Appalachian State Troy 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291 -0.00175
Appalachian State Troy 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291 -0.00175
Jacksonville State Troy 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432 0.00069
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00018
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00018
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00018
Alabama Alabama 32 26 0.552 0.553 0.414 0.00037
Texas-Arlington Troy 30 28 0.517 0.535 0.392 -0.00000
Texas-Arlington Troy 30 28 0.517 0.535 0.392 -0.00000
Texas-Arlington Troy 30 28 0.517 0.535 0.392 -0.00000
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.490 0.385 -0.00012
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.490 0.385 -0.00012
Texas State Texas State 31 28 0.525 0.490 0.385 -0.00012
Alabama State Alabama State 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459 0.00115
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00125
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00125
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00125
Auburn Auburn 23 33 0.411 0.569 0.348 -0.00076
Mississippi State Troy 41 16 0.719 0.571 0.502 0.00189
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337 -0.00095
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337 -0.00095
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337 -0.00095
South Alabama Troy 40 20 0.667 0.517 0.463 0.00122
South Alabama Troy 40 20 0.667 0.517 0.463 0.00122
South Alabama Troy 40 20 0.667 0.517 0.463 0.00122
Texas State neutral 31 28 0.525 0.490 0.385 -0.00012
Arkansas State neutral 29 29 0.500 0.528 0.382 -0.00018

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 134.08 32 26 0.552 0.553 0.414
Alabama State 43.50 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459
Alabama-Birmingham 128.24 21 34 0.382 0.555 0.330
Auburn 61.63 23 33 0.411 0.569 0.348
Florida A&M 136.93 31 21 0.596 0.483 0.419
Florida State 135.35 37 19 0.661 0.598 0.480
Jacksonville State 140.37 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432
Samford 125.04 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 209.20 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208
Clemson 267.88 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493
Florida 260.35 47 12 0.797 0.602 0.549
Furman 295.93 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378
Georgia 210.21 27 30 0.474 0.622 0.392
Georgia Southern 247.99 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431
Georgia State 162.78 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337
Georgia Tech 163.95 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jackson State 251.11 25 26 0.490 0.365 0.336
Jacksonville 275.91 33 22 0.600 0.507 0.427
Kennesaw State 173.70 29 27 0.518 0.492 0.382
Mercer 151.97 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443
Middle Tennessee State 280.99 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318
Mississippi 272.40 43 17 0.717 0.585 0.505
Mississippi State 201.36 41 16 0.719 0.571 0.502
New Orleans 271.68 31 26 0.544 0.539 0.407
North Florida 283.39 39 19 0.672 0.515 0.465
Presbyterian 299.67 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Savannah State 286.94 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228
South Alabama 152.40 40 20 0.667 0.517 0.463
Southeastern Louisiana 281.54 39 18 0.684 0.513 0.470
Southern Mississippi 201.85 39 18 0.684 0.551 0.480
Tulane 278.02 39 19 0.672 0.532 0.469
Western Carolina 289.86 28 29 0.491 0.523 0.376

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation