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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Troy

Last updated: Fri May 6 06:57:32 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.539
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.517
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northern Kentucky Troy 16 29 0.356 0.467 0.295 -0.00231
Northern Kentucky Troy 16 29 0.356 0.467 0.295 -0.00231
Northern Kentucky Troy 16 29 0.356 0.467 0.295 -0.00231
Northern Kentucky Troy 16 29 0.356 0.467 0.295 -0.00231
Alabama-Birmingham Troy 19 25 0.432 0.588 0.363 -0.00079
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 32 13 0.711 0.499 0.480 0.00181
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 32 13 0.711 0.499 0.480 0.00181
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 32 13 0.711 0.499 0.480 0.00181
Alabama Troy 25 20 0.556 0.562 0.419 0.00045
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 19 25 0.432 0.588 0.363 -0.00079
Auburn neutral 20 24 0.455 0.581 0.373 -0.00057
Southern Mississippi neutral 31 14 0.689 0.557 0.484 0.00189
Michigan State neutral 30 11 0.732 0.489 0.488 0.00198
Samford Samford 26 19 0.578 0.538 0.423 0.00054
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 28 17 0.622 0.527 0.443 0.00098
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 29 16 0.644 0.593 0.470 0.00158
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 29 16 0.644 0.593 0.470 0.00158
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 29 16 0.644 0.593 0.470 0.00158
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 27 18 0.600 0.470 0.417 0.00041
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 27 18 0.600 0.470 0.417 0.00041
Georgia Southern Georgia Southern 27 18 0.600 0.470 0.417 0.00041
Alabama A&M Troy 12 38 0.240 0.372 0.213 -0.00413
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 22 20 0.524 0.531 0.395 -0.00008
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 22 20 0.524 0.531 0.395 -0.00008
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 22 20 0.524 0.531 0.395 -0.00008
Alabama State Troy 31 15 0.674 0.427 0.444 0.00101
New Orleans Troy 26 17 0.605 0.543 0.438 0.00087
New Orleans Troy 26 17 0.605 0.543 0.438 0.00087
New Orleans Troy 26 17 0.605 0.543 0.438 0.00087
Samford Troy 26 19 0.578 0.538 0.423 0.00054
Appalachian State Troy 14 31 0.311 0.498 0.280 -0.00264
Appalachian State Troy 14 31 0.311 0.498 0.280 -0.00264
Appalachian State Troy 14 31 0.311 0.498 0.280 -0.00264
Jacksonville State Troy 28 17 0.622 0.527 0.443 0.00098
Arkansas State Arkansas State 20 23 0.465 0.526 0.364 -0.00077
Arkansas State Arkansas State 20 23 0.465 0.526 0.364 -0.00077
Arkansas State Arkansas State 20 23 0.465 0.526 0.364 -0.00077
Alabama Alabama 25 20 0.556 0.562 0.419 0.00045
Texas-Arlington Troy 23 23 0.500 0.548 0.387 -0.00026
Texas-Arlington Troy 23 23 0.500 0.548 0.387 -0.00026
Texas-Arlington Troy 23 23 0.500 0.548 0.387 -0.00026
Texas State Texas State 24 22 0.522 0.495 0.385 -0.00031
Texas State Texas State 24 22 0.522 0.495 0.385 -0.00031
Texas State Texas State 24 22 0.522 0.495 0.385 -0.00031
Alabama State Alabama State 31 15 0.674 0.427 0.444 0.00101

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 134.08 25 20 0.556 0.562 0.419
Alabama State 43.50 31 15 0.674 0.427 0.444
Alabama-Birmingham 128.24 19 25 0.432 0.588 0.363
Auburn 61.63 20 24 0.455 0.581 0.373
Florida A&M 136.93 24 17 0.585 0.462 0.408
Florida State 135.35 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499
Jacksonville State 140.37 28 17 0.622 0.527 0.443
Samford 125.04 26 19 0.578 0.538 0.423

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 209.20 12 38 0.240 0.372 0.213
Clemson 267.88 29 15 0.659 0.596 0.479
Florida 260.35 38 7 0.844 0.618 0.577
Furman 295.93 20 25 0.444 0.548 0.359
Georgia 210.21 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407
Georgia Southern 247.99 27 18 0.600 0.470 0.417
Georgia State 162.78 21 22 0.488 0.467 0.361
Georgia Tech 163.95 30 14 0.682 0.570 0.484
Jackson State 251.11 16 24 0.400 0.387 0.297
Jacksonville 275.91 27 15 0.643 0.528 0.454
Kennesaw State 173.70 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357
Mercer 151.97 28 17 0.622 0.497 0.435
Middle Tennessee State 280.99 17 28 0.378 0.561 0.329
Mississippi 272.40 34 12 0.739 0.590 0.517
Mississippi State 201.36 30 14 0.682 0.602 0.492
New Orleans 271.68 26 17 0.605 0.543 0.438
North Florida 283.39 28 15 0.651 0.538 0.460
Presbyterian 299.67 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
Savannah State 286.94 11 34 0.244 0.462 0.237
South Alabama 152.40 35 12 0.745 0.512 0.500
Southeastern Louisiana 281.54 32 13 0.711 0.499 0.480
Southern Mississippi 201.85 31 14 0.689 0.557 0.484
Tulane 278.02 28 14 0.667 0.546 0.470
Western Carolina 289.86 22 21 0.512 0.521 0.386

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation