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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Troy

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.504
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.511
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Northern Kentucky Troy 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273 -0.00222
Northern Kentucky Troy 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273 -0.00222
Northern Kentucky Troy 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273 -0.00222
Northern Kentucky Troy 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273 -0.00222
Central Michigan Troy 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00053
Central Michigan Troy 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00053
Central Michigan Troy 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00053
Central Michigan Troy 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00053
Florida A&M Florida A&M 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356 -0.00049
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00080
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00080
Southern Mississippi Southern Mississippi 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00080
Samford Troy 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00103
New Orleans Troy 10 32 0.238 0.512 0.247 -0.00277
New Orleans Troy 10 32 0.238 0.512 0.247 -0.00277
New Orleans Troy 10 32 0.238 0.512 0.247 -0.00277
South Alabama South Alabama 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00052
South Alabama South Alabama 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00052
Jacksonville State Troy 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00046
Alabama State neutral 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00098
Alabama State Troy 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427 0.00098
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00091
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00091
Louisiana-Monroe Troy 20 30 0.400 0.543 0.336 -0.00091
Alabama neutral 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459 0.00165
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00029
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00029
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00029
Alabama-Birmingham Alabama-Birmingham 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447 0.00140
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00371
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00371
Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 43 7 0.860 0.511 0.558 0.00371
Auburn Auburn 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408 0.00059
Alabama A&M Troy 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304 -0.00158
Western Kentucky Troy 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00059
Western Kentucky Troy 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00059
Western Kentucky Troy 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00059
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00054
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00054
Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354 -0.00054
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00103
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00046
Texas-Arlington Troy 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00029
Texas-Arlington Troy 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00029
Texas-Arlington Troy 22 25 0.468 0.527 0.366 -0.00029
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00071
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00071
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00071

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 134.08 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459
Alabama State 43.50 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427
Alabama-Birmingham 128.24 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Auburn 61.63 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408
Florida A&M 136.93 22 24 0.478 0.467 0.356
Florida State 135.35 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526
Jacksonville State 140.37 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Samford 125.04 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 209.20 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Clemson 267.88 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Florida 260.35 33 16 0.673 0.626 0.493
Furman 295.93 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Georgia 210.21 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 247.99 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
Georgia State 162.78 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 163.95 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
Jackson State 251.11 22 23 0.489 0.374 0.338
Jacksonville 275.91 15 28 0.349 0.579 0.319
Kennesaw State 173.70 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Mercer 151.97 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
Middle Tennessee State 280.99 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Mississippi 272.40 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Mississippi State 201.36 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
New Orleans 271.68 10 32 0.238 0.512 0.247
North Florida 283.39 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349
Presbyterian 299.67 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Savannah State 286.94 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Alabama 152.40 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355
Southeastern Louisiana 281.54 29 21 0.580 0.492 0.413
Southern Mississippi 201.85 28 21 0.571 0.530 0.418
Tulane 278.02 21 25 0.457 0.531 0.361
Western Carolina 289.86 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation