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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Valparaiso

Last updated: Fri Jul 1 06:47:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.489
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.491
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36725


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00094
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00094
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421 0.00094
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00068
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00068
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.534 0.406 0.00068
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00085
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.549 0.319 -0.00085
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467 0.00175
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467 0.00175
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 42 20 0.677 0.514 0.467 0.00175
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 44 19 0.698 0.543 0.485 0.00207
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 44 19 0.698 0.543 0.485 0.00207
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 44 19 0.698 0.543 0.485 0.00207
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 44 19 0.698 0.543 0.485 0.00207
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00116
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00116
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00116
Wright State Valparaiso 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00205
Wright State Valparaiso 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00205
Wright State Valparaiso 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00205
Ball State Valparaiso 32 26 0.552 0.439 0.386 0.00033
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00026
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00026
Illinois State Valparaiso 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00144
Western Michigan Western Michigan 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00092
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 0.00031
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00050
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00050
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00050
Chicago State Chicago State 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00257
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00046
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00046
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Valparaiso 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00026
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Valparaiso 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00026
Chicago State Valparaiso 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00257
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00046
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00046
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00046
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00065
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00205
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00205
Northern Kentucky Valparaiso 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00116
Northern Kentucky Valparaiso 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00116
Purdue Valparaiso 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00255
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00190
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00190
Oakland Valparaiso 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00050
Oakland Valparaiso 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00050
Youngstown State Valparaiso 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00190
Youngstown State Valparaiso 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00190
Youngstown State Valparaiso 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00190
Northern Kentucky neutral 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00116
Illinois-Chicago neutral 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00046
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00026
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00026
Wright State neutral 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00205

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 120.27 32 26 0.552 0.439 0.386
Bradley 143.88 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Butler 120.43 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Chicago State 34.55 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
Eastern Illinois 149.65 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
IPFW 102.90 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Illinois 113.10 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 121.60 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 42.36 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana State 138.40 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Northern Illinois 95.92 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 54.02 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Notre Dame 44.66 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Purdue 70.82 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Western Michigan 93.02 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 122.30 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 287.93 0.000
Bowling Green State 176.43 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Central Michigan 185.84 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Cincinnati 208.69 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 190.39 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Kentucky 295.56 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Eastern Michigan 182.63 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 242.22 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Indiana 160.09 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Iowa 234.17 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395
Kent State 296.17 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Kentucky 272.70 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 234.76 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 180.85 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Michigan 178.25 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 157.25 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Morehead State 295.89 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Northern Kentucky 215.80 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Oakland 213.15 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Ohio 298.11 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 232.47 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Southern Illinois 284.44 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 242.25 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 258.23 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Toledo 178.19 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Western Illinois 202.45 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257
Wright State 194.70 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 208.82 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation