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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Valparaiso

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.488
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.367


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00109
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00109
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00109
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.541 0.407 0.00071
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.541 0.407 0.00071
New Orleans New Orleans 31 26 0.544 0.541 0.407 0.00071
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320 -0.00084
Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe 20 35 0.364 0.553 0.320 -0.00084
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 39 17 0.696 0.504 0.474 0.00191
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 39 17 0.696 0.504 0.474 0.00191
Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 39 17 0.696 0.504 0.474 0.00191
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 40 17 0.702 0.532 0.484 0.00209
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 40 17 0.702 0.532 0.484 0.00209
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 40 17 0.702 0.532 0.484 0.00209
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 40 17 0.702 0.532 0.484 0.00209
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00116
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00116
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00116
Wright State Valparaiso 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487 0.00214
Wright State Valparaiso 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487 0.00214
Wright State Valparaiso 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487 0.00214
Ball State Valparaiso 32 26 0.552 0.442 0.387 0.00036
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.478 0.383 0.00029
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.478 0.383 0.00029
Illinois State Valparaiso 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286 -0.00145
Western Michigan Western Michigan 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311 -0.00100
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386 0.00034
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.484 0.340 -0.00048
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.484 0.340 -0.00048
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.484 0.340 -0.00048
Chicago State Chicago State 12 41 0.226 0.435 0.222 -0.00259
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342 -0.00045
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342 -0.00045
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Valparaiso 29 26 0.527 0.478 0.383 0.00029
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Valparaiso 29 26 0.527 0.478 0.383 0.00029
Chicago State Valparaiso 12 41 0.226 0.435 0.222 -0.00259
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342 -0.00045
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342 -0.00045
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342 -0.00045
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00066
Wright State Wright State 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487 0.00214
Wright State Wright State 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487 0.00214
Northern Kentucky Valparaiso 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00116
Northern Kentucky Valparaiso 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00116
Purdue Valparaiso 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223 -0.00257
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00191
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00191
Oakland Valparaiso 21 27 0.438 0.484 0.340 -0.00048
Oakland Valparaiso 21 27 0.438 0.484 0.340 -0.00048
Youngstown State Valparaiso 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00191
Youngstown State Valparaiso 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00191
Youngstown State Valparaiso 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00191
Northern Kentucky neutral 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00116
Illinois-Chicago neutral 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342 -0.00045
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.478 0.383 0.00029
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.478 0.383 0.00029
Wright State neutral 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487 0.00214

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 120.27 32 26 0.552 0.442 0.387
Bradley 143.88 25 20 0.556 0.485 0.399
Butler 120.43 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240
Chicago State 34.55 12 41 0.226 0.435 0.222
Eastern Illinois 149.65 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
IPFW 102.90 29 24 0.547 0.407 0.375
Illinois 113.10 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411
Illinois State 121.60 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286
Illinois-Chicago 42.36 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342
Indiana State 138.40 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441
Northern Illinois 95.92 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 54.02 15 38 0.283 0.485 0.263
Notre Dame 44.66 27 27 0.500 0.545 0.386
Purdue 70.82 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223
Western Michigan 93.02 20 31 0.392 0.461 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 122.30 29 26 0.527 0.478 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 287.93 0.000
Bowling Green State 176.43 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Central Michigan 185.84 22 36 0.379 0.491 0.312
Cincinnati 208.69 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 190.39 19 36 0.345 0.486 0.294
Eastern Kentucky 295.56 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Eastern Michigan 182.63 22 35 0.386 0.498 0.318
Evansville 242.22 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381
Indiana 160.09 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410
Iowa 234.17 26 25 0.510 0.561 0.395
Kent State 296.17 42 12 0.778 0.447 0.501
Kentucky 272.70 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418
Louisville 234.76 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551
Miami, Ohio 180.85 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Michigan 178.25 36 20 0.643 0.523 0.452
Michigan State 157.25 36 18 0.667 0.487 0.455
Morehead State 295.89 31 27 0.534 0.506 0.394
Northern Kentucky 215.80 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Oakland 213.15 21 27 0.438 0.484 0.340
Ohio 298.11 23 29 0.442 0.441 0.331
Ohio State 232.47 39 18 0.684 0.491 0.465
Southern Illinois 284.44 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 242.25 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 258.23 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332
Toledo 178.19 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
Western Illinois 202.45 13 35 0.271 0.491 0.258
Wright State 194.70 43 15 0.741 0.465 0.487
Xavier 208.82 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation