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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Valparaiso

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.447
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.479
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00214
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00214
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00214
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00147
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00147
Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402 0.00147
McNeese State McNeese State 26 21 0.553 0.491 0.399 0.00139
McNeese State McNeese State 26 21 0.553 0.491 0.399 0.00139
McNeese State McNeese State 26 21 0.553 0.491 0.399 0.00139
Texas Texas 34 15 0.694 0.579 0.492 0.00372
Texas State Texas State 27 21 0.562 0.531 0.414 0.00177
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 27 21 0.562 0.482 0.402 0.00147
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 27 21 0.562 0.482 0.402 0.00147
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 27 21 0.562 0.482 0.402 0.00147
Chicago State Chicago State 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253 -0.00226
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 0.00079
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 0.00079
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 0.00079
Notre Dame neutral 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00108
Butler Butler 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00111
Notre Dame neutral 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00108
Northern Illinois Valparaiso 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00133
Wright State Valparaiso 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00204
Wright State Valparaiso 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00204
Wright State Valparaiso 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425 0.00204
Northwestern Northwestern 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268 -0.00188
Youngstown State Valparaiso 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00261
Youngstown State Valparaiso 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00261
Youngstown State Valparaiso 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239 -0.00261
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296 -0.00118
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296 -0.00118
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296 -0.00118
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 0.00079
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 0.00079
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375 0.00079
Western Michigan Valparaiso 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330 -0.00033
Chicago State Valparaiso 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253 -0.00226
Oakland Valparaiso 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235 -0.00271
Oakland Valparaiso 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235 -0.00271
Oakland Valparaiso 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235 -0.00271

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 120.27 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bradley 143.88 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Butler 120.43 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Chicago State 34.55 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Eastern Illinois 149.65 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
IPFW 102.90 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Illinois 113.10 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 121.60 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 42.36 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana State 138.40 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Northern Illinois 95.92 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northwestern 54.02 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Notre Dame 44.66 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Purdue 70.82 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Western Michigan 93.02 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 122.30 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 287.93 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Bowling Green State 176.43 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Central Michigan 185.84 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Cincinnati 208.69 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 190.39 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Kentucky 295.56 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Eastern Michigan 182.63 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 242.22 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Indiana 160.09 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Iowa 234.17 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420
Kent State 296.17 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Kentucky 272.70 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Louisville 234.76 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 180.85 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Michigan 178.25 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 157.25 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Morehead State 295.89 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Northern Kentucky 215.80 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Oakland 213.15 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Ohio 298.11 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 232.47 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Southern Illinois 284.44 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 242.25 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 258.23 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Toledo 178.19 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Western Illinois 202.45 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330
Wright State 194.70 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 208.82 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation