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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Valparaiso

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.455
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.486
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.349


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
San Diego State San Diego State 27 16 0.628 0.511 0.442 0.00266
San Diego State San Diego State 27 16 0.628 0.511 0.442 0.00266
San Diego State San Diego State 27 16 0.628 0.511 0.442 0.00266
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00014
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00014
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344 -0.00014
Western Carolina Western Carolina 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00011
Western Carolina Western Carolina 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00011
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293 -0.00160
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293 -0.00160
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293 -0.00160
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00089
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00089
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00089
Indiana Indiana 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00251
Purdue Purdue 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00183
Youngstown State Valparaiso 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00209
Youngstown State Valparaiso 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00209
Youngstown State Valparaiso 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00209
Chicago State Chicago State 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226 -0.00351
Wright State Valparaiso 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483 0.00383
Wright State Valparaiso 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483 0.00383
Ball State Ball State 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00226
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413 0.00183
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413 0.00183
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413 0.00183
Notre Dame Notre Dame 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477 0.00366
Oakland Valparaiso 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00286
Oakland Valparaiso 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00286
Oakland Valparaiso 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00286
Western Michigan Western Michigan 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311 -0.00109
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00089
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00089
Illinois-Chicago Valparaiso 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00089
Oakland Oakland 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00286
Oakland Oakland 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00286
Oakland Oakland 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00286

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 120.27 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bradley 143.88 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Butler 120.43 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Chicago State 34.55 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
Eastern Illinois 149.65 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
IPFW 102.90 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Illinois 113.10 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 121.60 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Illinois-Chicago 42.36 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Indiana State 138.40 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Northern Illinois 95.92 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northwestern 54.02 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Notre Dame 44.66 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Purdue 70.82 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Western Michigan 93.02 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 122.30 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 287.93 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Bowling Green State 176.43 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Central Michigan 185.84 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442
Cincinnati 208.69 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 190.39 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Eastern Kentucky 295.56 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Eastern Michigan 182.63 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
Evansville 242.22 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Indiana 160.09 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Iowa 234.17 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469
Kent State 296.17 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Kentucky 272.70 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 234.76 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 180.85 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Michigan 178.25 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Michigan State 157.25 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426
Morehead State 295.89 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Northern Kentucky 215.80 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Oakland 213.15 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249
Ohio 298.11 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 232.47 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Southern Illinois 284.44 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 242.25 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 258.23 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Toledo 178.19 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Western Illinois 202.45 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270
Wright State 194.70 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 208.82 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation